ABD Ba\u015fkan\u0131 Donald Trump, \u0130ran\u2019\u0131n bir son tarihle kar\u015f\u0131 kar\u015f\u0131ya oldu\u011funu ve sava\u015f\u0131 bitirmeye y\u00f6nelik g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fmelerin t\u0131kand\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 s\u00f6yledi. CNBC\u2019nin Pazar g\u00fcnk\u00fc haberine g\u00f6re Trump, Truth Social\u2019da \u201csaat i\u015fliyor\u201d ifadesini kulland\u0131 ve \u201cZAMAN KR\u0130T\u0130K!\u201d dedi.<\/p>\n
Trump, hangi sonu\u00e7lar\u0131 kastetti\u011fini ya da \u0130ran\u2019\u0131n hangi ad\u0131mlar\u0131 atmas\u0131n\u0131 istedi\u011fini a\u00e7\u0131klamad\u0131. A\u00e7\u0131klamalar, Pazar g\u00fcn\u00fc \u0130srail Ba\u015fbakan\u0131 Binyamin Netanyahu ile planlanan telefon g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fmesi \u00f6ncesinde geldi.<\/p>\n
\u0130ran bas\u0131n\u0131, Tahran\u2019\u0131n son \u00f6nerilerine ABD\u2019nin verdi\u011fi yan\u0131tta somut bir geri ad\u0131m (net taviz) bulunmad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 bildirdi. Haberlerde bu durum, \u00e7at\u0131\u015fmay\u0131 bitirme \u00e7abalar\u0131nda ilerleme sa\u011flanamamas\u0131yla ili\u015fkilendirildi.<\/p>\n
G\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fmelerin t\u0131kanmas\u0131 ve Ba\u015fkan\u2019\u0131n yeni uyar\u0131s\u0131 nedeniyle \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki haftalarda piyasalarda dalgalanman\u0131n (fiyatlar\u0131n h\u0131zl\u0131 ve sert ini\u015f-\u00e7\u0131k\u0131\u015f yapmas\u0131n\u0131n) artmas\u0131na haz\u0131rl\u0131kl\u0131 olmak gerekir. CBOE Volatilite Endeksi (VIX) \u015fu s\u0131ralar 15 civar\u0131nda. VIX, piyasadaki \u201ckorku\u201d ve beklenen oynakl\u0131\u011f\u0131 g\u00f6steren bir g\u00f6stergedir. Bu seviye, 2022\u2019de Ukrayna sava\u015f\u0131n\u0131n ilk d\u00f6neminde 30\u2019un \u00fczerine \u00e7\u0131kan s\u0131\u00e7ramalara k\u0131yasla d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck. VIX al\u0131m opsiyonu (call option), VIX y\u00fckselirse de\u011fer kazanan bir s\u00f6zle\u015fmedir; bu nedenle genel belirsizli\u011fe kar\u015f\u0131 bir t\u00fcr sigorta (riskten korunma\/hedge) olarak kullan\u0131labilir.<\/p>\n
En do\u011frudan etki ham petrolde g\u00f6r\u00fclebilir; \u00e7\u00fcnk\u00fc \u0130ran, H\u00fcrm\u00fcz Bo\u011faz\u0131\u2019nda kritik bir konuma sahip. Brent petrol varil fiyat\u0131 yakla\u015f\u0131k 95 dolar seviyesinde i\u015flem g\u00f6r\u00fcrken, sert bir y\u00fckseli\u015fe oynayan al\u0131m opsiyonlar\u0131 (fiyat y\u00fckselirse kazand\u0131ran s\u00f6zle\u015fmeler) \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131k\u0131yor. Benzer bir tablo, 2025\u2019in sonlar\u0131nda b\u00f6lgesel gerilimin fiyatlar\u0131 k\u0131sa s\u00fcreli\u011fine 110 dolar\u0131n \u00fczerine itip sonra sakinle\u015fti\u011fi d\u00f6nemde g\u00f6r\u00fclm\u00fc\u015ft\u00fc.<\/p>\n
Bu t\u00fcr jeopolitik risk, hisse senetlerinde d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015fe kar\u015f\u0131 korunma ihtiyac\u0131n\u0131 art\u0131r\u0131r. S&P 500 endeksi 6.200 civar\u0131nda tarihi zirveleri zorluyor; bu da olumsuz haber ak\u0131\u015f\u0131nda sert bir geri \u00e7ekilmeye a\u00e7\u0131k oldu\u011fu anlam\u0131na gelir. SPY gibi b\u00fcy\u00fck endeks ETF\u2019lerinde (borsada i\u015flem g\u00f6ren fon; bir endeksi sepet olarak takip eden yat\u0131r\u0131m \u00fcr\u00fcn\u00fc) sat\u0131m opsiyonu (put option: fiyat d\u00fc\u015ferse de\u011fer kazanan s\u00f6zle\u015fme) almak, olas\u0131 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015fe kar\u015f\u0131 koruma sa\u011flayabilir.<\/p>\n
Ayr\u0131ca g\u00fcvenli limana ka\u00e7\u0131\u015f (riskli varl\u0131klardan daha g\u00fcvenli g\u00f6r\u00fclen varl\u0131klara y\u00f6nelim) beklenebilir; bu genellikle de\u011ferli metallere yarar. Alt\u0131n ons fiyat\u0131 2.550 dolar civar\u0131nda, ancak k\u00fcresel belirsizli\u011fin artmas\u0131 fiyat\u0131 yeni rekorlara ta\u015f\u0131yabilir. Alt\u0131n vadeli i\u015flemlerinde (futures) uzun pozisyon (fiyat art\u0131\u015f\u0131na y\u00f6nelik pozisyon) almak veya alt\u0131n ETF\u2019lerinde al\u0131m opsiyonu kullanmak, yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n g\u00fcvenli liman aray\u0131\u015f\u0131ndan faydalanman\u0131n do\u011frudan yollar\u0131d\u0131r.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"
Trump\u2019tan \u0130ran\u2019a \u201csaat i\u015fliyor\u201d uyar\u0131s\u0131: g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fmeler t\u0131kand\u0131, jeopolitik risk y\u00fckseliyor. Piyasada oynakl\u0131k artabilir; VIX hedge\u2019i, Brent\u2019te y\u00fckseli\u015f opsiyonlar\u0131, S&P 500\u2019de putlar ve alt\u0131nda g\u00fcvenli liman pozisyonlar\u0131 \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131k\u0131yor.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-46831","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/46831","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=46831"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/46831\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=46831"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=46831"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=46831"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}