{"id":46800,"date":"2026-05-15T21:28:00","date_gmt":"2026-05-15T21:28:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr\/uncategorized\/sahin-fed-beklentileri-ve-yukselen-tahvil-faizleri-dolari-guclendirirken-euro-geriledi-eur-usd-baski-altinda\/"},"modified":"2026-05-15T21:28:00","modified_gmt":"2026-05-15T21:28:00","slug":"sahin-fed-beklentileri-ve-yukselen-tahvil-faizleri-dolari-guclendirirken-euro-geriledi-eur-usd-baski-altinda","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/live-updates\/sahin-fed-beklentileri-ve-yukselen-tahvil-faizleri-dolari-guclendirirken-euro-geriledi-eur-usd-baski-altinda\/","title":{"rendered":"\u015eahin Fed Beklentileri ve Y\u00fckselen Tahvil Faizleri Dolar\u0131 G\u00fc\u00e7lendirirken Euro Geriledi; EUR\/USD Bask\u0131 Alt\u0131nda"},"content":{"rendered":"

Euro, cuma g\u00fcn\u00fc ABD Dolar\u0131 kar\u015f\u0131s\u0131nda gerilemesini s\u00fcrd\u00fcrd\u00fc; EUR\/USD paritesi yakla\u015f\u0131k 1,1626 ile bir ay\u0131n en d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck seviyelerine yak\u0131nd\u0131. Parite, **daha \u201c\u015fahin\u201d (faizi art\u0131rmaya daha istekli)** bir ABD Merkez Bankas\u0131 (Fed) beklentisinin dolar\u0131 ve ABD Hazine tahvili faizlerini yukar\u0131 \u00e7ekmesiyle haftay\u0131 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015fle kapatmaya haz\u0131rlan\u0131yordu.<\/p>\n

Enerji fiyatlar\u0131, Orta Do\u011fu\u2019da arz\u0131n aksama riski nedeniyle y\u00fckseldi; bu da b\u00fcy\u00fck ekonomilerde enflasyon g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fcn\u00fc k\u00f6t\u00fcle\u015ftirdi. ABD\u2019de enflasyon nisanda ikinci ay \u00fcst \u00fcste sert artt\u0131; t\u00fcketici harcamalar\u0131 ise g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc kald\u0131.<\/p>\n

Son ABD verileri, Fed\u2019in \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki birka\u00e7 ay faizleri de\u011fi\u015ftirmeyebilece\u011fi g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fc destekledi. Piyasada ayr\u0131ca **CME FedWatch arac\u0131**na g\u00f6re (vadeli i\u015flemler piyasas\u0131ndaki fiyatlamadan hareketle Fed\u2019in olas\u0131 kararlar\u0131na dair olas\u0131l\u0131k veren g\u00f6sterge) aral\u0131k toplant\u0131s\u0131nda faiz art\u0131\u015f\u0131 ihtimali **yakla\u015f\u0131k y\u00fczde 50** olarak fiyatland\u0131.<\/p>\n

**ABD Dolar Endeksi** (dolar\u0131n ba\u015fl\u0131ca para birimleri kar\u015f\u0131s\u0131ndaki de\u011ferini g\u00f6steren \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fct) 99,00 seviyesinin \u00fczerine \u00e7\u0131karak 8 Nisan\u2019dan bu yana en y\u00fcksek d\u00fczeye ula\u015ft\u0131. **10 y\u0131ll\u0131k ABD Hazine tahvili faizi** (piyasan\u0131n \u201cfaiz\u201d diye izledi\u011fi getiri oran\u0131) bir y\u0131l\u0131n zirvesine y\u00fckseldi.<\/p>\n

Euro B\u00f6lgesi\u2019nde de enflasyon nisanda h\u0131zland\u0131. Piyasalar bu y\u0131l en az iki Avrupa Merkez Bankas\u0131 (ECB) faiz art\u0131\u015f\u0131n\u0131 fiyatlad\u0131; haziran art\u0131r\u0131m\u0131 ise tamamen fiyatlara yans\u0131d\u0131.<\/p>\n

ABD-\u0130ran g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fmeleri t\u0131kanm\u0131\u015f durumda kal\u0131rken H\u00fcrm\u00fcz Bo\u011faz\u0131\u2019ndaki abluka s\u00fcrd\u00fc; bu da petrol fiyatlar\u0131n\u0131 y\u00fcksek tuttu. Donald Trump, \u201cger\u00e7ek\u201d olmas\u0131 halinde \u0130ran\u2019\u0131n n\u00fckleer program\u0131n\u0131n 20 y\u0131l ask\u0131ya al\u0131nmas\u0131n\u0131 destekleyece\u011fini s\u00f6yledi; anla\u015fma olmazsa ABD\u2019nin yeniden sald\u0131r\u0131 d\u00fczenleyebilece\u011fi uyar\u0131s\u0131nda bulundu.<\/p>\n

Orta Do\u011fu\u2019daki \u00e7at\u0131\u015fmalar benzer \u015fekilde dalgalanmay\u0131 art\u0131r\u0131yor ve Brent petrol\u00fc varil ba\u015f\u0131na 80 dolar\u0131n \u00fczerinde tutuyor. Yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n d\u00f6viz opsiyonlar\u0131nda **\u00f6rt\u00fck oynakl\u0131\u011f\u0131** (opsiyon fiyatlar\u0131n\u0131n ima etti\u011fi, piyasan\u0131n bekledi\u011fi dalgalanma d\u00fczeyi) izlemesi gerekiyor; beklenmedik jeopolitik haberler iki y\u00f6ne de sert fiyat hareketleri yaratabilir.<\/p>\n

ABD bor\u00e7lanma ara\u00e7lar\u0131n\u0131n cazibesi dolar\u0131 desteklemeyi s\u00fcrd\u00fcr\u00fcyor. G\u00f6sterge 10 y\u0131ll\u0131k ABD tahvil faizi 4,5 civar\u0131nda; bu seviye Alman tahvillerine g\u00f6re belirgin bir **faiz fark\u0131** yarat\u0131yor. Bu fark\u0131n ABD\u2019ye sermaye ak\u0131\u015f\u0131n\u0131 \u00e7ekerek euro \u00fczerinde bask\u0131 kurmas\u0131 bekleniyor.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Piyasalar diken \u00fcst\u00fcnde: \u015eahin Fed beklentisiyle dolar ve ABD tahvil faizleri y\u00fckselirken EUR\/USD 1,1626\u2019ya indi. Orta Do\u011fu riskleri petrol\u00fc 80$ \u00fcst\u00fcnde tutup enflasyonu art\u0131r\u0131yor; aral\u0131kta faiz art\u0131\u015f\u0131 olas\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131 %50.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-46800","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"aioseo_head":"\n\t\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t