USD\/CAD Cuma g\u00fcn\u00fc 1,3760 civar\u0131nda i\u015flem g\u00f6rd\u00fc. Beklentiden s\u0131cak gelen ABD enflasyon verisi sonras\u0131 enflasyon endi\u015feleri ve y\u00fckselen ABD Hazine tahvili getirileri (devlet tahvillerinin faizi) pariteyi destekledi. Orta Do\u011fu\u2019daki jeopolitik belirsizlik de ABD dolar\u0131n\u0131 g\u00fc\u00e7lendirdi; \u0130ran\u2019\u0131 i\u00e7eren g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fmelerde ilerleme s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 kal\u0131rken H\u00fcrm\u00fcz Bo\u011faz\u0131 \u00e7evresindeki riskler s\u00fcrd\u00fc.<\/p>\n
ABD T\u00dcFE (T\u00fcketici Fiyat Endeksi) Nisan\u2019da y\u0131ll\u0131k %3,8 geldi. ABD \u00dcFE (\u00dcretici Fiyat Endeksi) ayl\u0131k %1,4 artt\u0131; bu son d\u00f6rt y\u0131l\u0131n en g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc ayl\u0131k art\u0131\u015f\u0131 oldu. Bu tablo, ABD Merkez Bankas\u0131\u2019n\u0131n (Fed) faizleri daha uzun s\u00fcre y\u00fcksek tutabilece\u011fi beklentisini art\u0131rd\u0131.<\/p>\n
Y\u00fcksek petrol fiyatlar\u0131, genelde emtia (ham madde) fiyatlar\u0131yla birlikte hareket eden Kanada dolar\u0131ndaki d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f\u00fc s\u0131n\u0131rlad\u0131. Kanada\u2019da konutla ba\u011flant\u0131l\u0131 g\u00f6stergeler 240 bin beklentiye kar\u015f\u0131 279,3 bin seviyesine \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131. \u0130malat verisi ise ayl\u0131k %3 ile %3,5 beklentinin alt\u0131nda kald\u0131.<\/p>\n
4 saatlik grafikte USD\/CAD 1,3756 seviyesindeydi; 20 d\u00f6nemlik SMA\u2019n\u0131n (Basit Hareketli Ortalama: belirli say\u0131da mumun ortalama fiyat\u0131) 1,3717 ve 100 d\u00f6nemlik SMA\u2019n\u0131n 1,3659 \u00fczerinde kald\u0131. RSI (G\u00f6reli G\u00fc\u00e7 Endeksi: fiyat\u0131n ne kadar h\u0131zl\u0131 y\u00fckselip d\u00fc\u015ft\u00fc\u011f\u00fcn\u00fc g\u00f6steren momentum g\u00f6stergesi) 78\u2019e yak\u0131nd\u0131 ve \u201ca\u015f\u0131r\u0131 al\u0131m\u201d b\u00f6lgesindeydi. Diren\u00e7 1,3767, destek 1,3751 ve 1,3735 olarak izleniyor.<\/p>\n
Fed ile Kanada Merkez Bankas\u0131 (BoC) aras\u0131ndaki politika ayr\u0131\u015fmas\u0131 (faiz hedeflerinin farkl\u0131la\u015fmas\u0131) temel belirleyici. ABD\u2019de enflasyon diren\u00e7li kal\u0131rken, Kanada verileri fiyat bask\u0131lar\u0131n\u0131n zay\u0131flad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6sterdi; y\u0131ll\u0131k enflasyon Nisan\u2019da %2,7\u2019ye geriledi. Bu durum ABD dolar\u0131n\u0131n faiz avantaj\u0131n\u0131 art\u0131rarak Kanada dolar\u0131 \u00fczerinde bask\u0131 yarat\u0131yor.<\/p>\n
Y\u00fckseli\u015fin s\u00fcrmesini bekleyenler i\u00e7in, Haziran veya Temmuz 2026 vadeli (vadesi o tarihte dolan) 1,3800 kullan\u0131m fiyatl\u0131 (strike: opsiyonun i\u015flem fiyat\u0131) al\u0131m opsiyonu (call: belirli fiyattan alma hakk\u0131) almak uygun olabilir. RSI\u2019\u0131n a\u015f\u0131r\u0131 al\u0131mda olmas\u0131 k\u0131sa bir geri \u00e7ekilmeyi (k\u0131sa s\u00fcreli d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f) m\u00fcmk\u00fcn k\u0131l\u0131yor; bu da daha iyi giri\u015f noktas\u0131 sa\u011flayabilir. Bu y\u00f6ntem, y\u00fckseli\u015ften faydalan\u0131rken maksimum riski ba\u015ftan s\u0131n\u0131rlamay\u0131 sa\u011flar.<\/p>\n
Daha temkinli bir y\u00f6ntem bull call spread (y\u00fckseli\u015f ama\u00e7l\u0131 iki al\u0131m opsiyonuyla kurulan, maliyeti d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcren strateji) olabilir; y\u00fckseli\u015f pozisyonunun pe\u015fin maliyetini azalt\u0131r. 2025 sonuna bak\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131nda, benzer enflasyon ko\u015fullar\u0131nda USD\/CAD 1,3600\u2019tan 1,3800 \u00fczerine h\u0131zl\u0131 y\u00fckselmi\u015fti. Ayr\u0131ca, 1,3650 destek seviyesine yak\u0131n kullan\u0131m fiyat\u0131yla \u201cout-of-the-money\u201d (OTM: mevcut fiyata g\u00f6re \u015fu an k\u00e2rda olmayan) sat\u0131m opsiyonu (put: belirli fiyattan satma hakk\u0131) satmak, prim (opsiyon sat\u0131c\u0131s\u0131n\u0131n ald\u0131\u011f\u0131 \u00fccret) toplaman\u0131n bir yolu olabilir; geri \u00e7ekilmelerin s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 kalaca\u011f\u0131 varsay\u0131m\u0131yla.<\/p>\n
WTI ham petrol (ABD tipi ham petrol) varil fiyat\u0131n\u0131n 84,50 dolar civar\u0131nda kalmas\u0131 Kanada dolar\u0131na destek verse de, g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc ABD dolar\u0131 e\u011filimini dengelemeye yetmedi. Orta Do\u011fu\u2019daki gerilim, \u201cg\u00fcvenli liman\u201d (risk artt\u0131\u011f\u0131nda tercih edilen varl\u0131k) talebiyle dolar\u0131 destekliyor. Bu unsurlar, USD\/CAD\u2019de ana y\u00f6n\u00fcn yukar\u0131 olmaya devam etti\u011fine i\u015faret ediyor.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"
USD\/CAD 1,3760\u2019ta: S\u0131cak ABD enflasyonu, y\u00fckselen tahvil getirileri ve Ortado\u011fu riskleri dolar\u0131 g\u00fc\u00e7lendiriyor. Teknikte RSI a\u015f\u0131r\u0131 al\u0131m; 1,3767 diren\u00e7. Fed-BoC ayr\u0131\u015fmas\u0131 yukar\u0131 y\u00f6n\u00fc destekliyor.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-46799","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/46799","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=46799"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/46799\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=46799"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=46799"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=46799"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}