AUD\/USD, Cuma g\u00fcn\u00fc Asya i\u015flemlerinin erken saatlerinde yakla\u015f\u0131k 0,7205\u2019e geriledi. Piyasalar, Pekin\u2019de ABD Ba\u015fkan\u0131 Donald Trump ile \u00c7in Devlet Ba\u015fkan\u0131 Xi Jinping aras\u0131nda yap\u0131lacak g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fmelerin ikinci ve son g\u00fcn\u00fc \u00f6ncesinde temkinliydi.<\/p>\n
Trump, Xi\u2019nin \u0130ran \u00fczerinde etkisi olabilece\u011fini ve \u0130ran konusunda daha fazla sab\u0131rl\u0131 olmayaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 s\u00f6yledi. Trump, Per\u015fembe g\u00fcn\u00fc Xi\u2019nin \u0130ran\u2019la sava\u015f\u0131 bitirmeye y\u00f6nelik m\u00fczakerelere yard\u0131mc\u0131 olmay\u0131 ve H\u00fcrm\u00fcz Bo\u011faz\u0131\u2019n\u0131n (k\u00fcresel petrol ve mal ta\u015f\u0131mac\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131 i\u00e7in kritik bir deniz ge\u00e7idi) uluslararas\u0131 ta\u015f\u0131mac\u0131l\u0131\u011fa a\u00e7\u0131k kalmas\u0131n\u0131 sa\u011flamay\u0131 teklif etti\u011fini belirtmi\u015fti.<\/p>\n
Tayvan g\u00fcndemde kalmay\u0131 s\u00fcrd\u00fcrd\u00fc. Xi, \u00c7in\u2019in Tayvan \u00fczerindeki iddialar\u0131n\u0131n k\u00f6t\u00fc y\u00f6netilmesinin \u201c\u00e7at\u0131\u015fmalara ve hatta daha b\u00fcy\u00fck anla\u015fmazl\u0131klara\u201d yol a\u00e7abilece\u011fi uyar\u0131s\u0131nda bulundu. ABD-\u00c7in geriliminin artmas\u0131, Avustralya Dolar\u0131 \u00fczerinde bask\u0131 yaratabilir; \u00e7\u00fcnk\u00fc \u00c7in, Avustralya\u2019n\u0131n en \u00f6nemli ticaret ortaklar\u0131ndan biri.<\/p>\n
ABD\u2019de beklenenden y\u00fcksek enflasyon, piyasalar\u0131n ABD Merkez Bankas\u0131\u2019n\u0131n (Fed) faizleri daha uzun s\u00fcre y\u00fcksek tutaca\u011f\u0131 beklentisini g\u00fc\u00e7lendirdi. CME FedWatch arac\u0131 (vadeli i\u015flemler \u00fczerinden Fed\u2019in olas\u0131 faiz ad\u0131mlar\u0131na dair piyasa olas\u0131l\u0131klar\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6steren g\u00f6sterge), Aral\u0131k ay\u0131nda en az 25 baz puanl\u0131k (0,25 y\u00fczde puan) faiz art\u0131\u015f\u0131 ihtimalini %32,9 olarak g\u00f6steriyor; bu oran bir hafta \u00f6nce %22,5\u2019ti.<\/p>\n
Avustralya Dolar\u0131; Avustralya Merkez Bankas\u0131 (RBA) faizleri, \u00c7in ekonomisindeki g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm, demir cevheri fiyatlar\u0131, enflasyon, b\u00fcy\u00fcme, d\u0131\u015f ticaret dengesi (ihracat-ithalat fark\u0131) ve genel risk i\u015ftah\u0131ndan etkilenir. Demir cevheri 2021\u2019de y\u0131ll\u0131k 118 milyar dolar seviyesinde de\u011ferlenmi\u015fti; ana al\u0131c\u0131 \u00c7in\u2019di.<\/p>\n
Piyasada AUD\/USD\u2019nin tutunmakta zorland\u0131\u011f\u0131 g\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcyor; bu, Avustralya dolar\u0131 i\u00e7in zorlu bir tabloya i\u015faret ediyor. Temel etkenler; Fed\u2019in s\u0131k\u0131 para politikas\u0131 duru\u015funun (enflasyonu d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcrmek i\u00e7in faizleri y\u00fcksek tutma e\u011filimi) destekledi\u011fi g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc ABD Dolar\u0131 ve \u00c7in ekonomisinin sa\u011fl\u0131\u011f\u0131na y\u00f6nelik artan kayg\u0131lar. Bu g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm, paritede olas\u0131 y\u00fckseli\u015f denemelerinde yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n temkinli kalmas\u0131 gerekti\u011fini g\u00f6steriyor.<\/p>\n
ABD Dolar\u0131\u2019ndaki g\u00fc\u00e7lenme, g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc verilerle destekleniyor. Nisan 2026 t\u00fcketici fiyat endeksi (T\u00dcFE \u2013 hanehalk\u0131n\u0131n sat\u0131n ald\u0131\u011f\u0131 \u00fcr\u00fcn ve hizmetlerin fiyat de\u011fi\u015fimini \u00f6l\u00e7en enflasyon g\u00f6stergesi) beklentilerin \u00fczerinde %3,6 geldi. Buna ba\u011fl\u0131 olarak piyasa, \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcnc\u00fc \u00e7eyrek sonuna kadar Fed faiz indirimi (faizi d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcrerek ekonomiyi destekleme ad\u0131m\u0131) ihtimalini neredeyse yok say\u0131yor. Bu politika g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fc, ABD Dolar\u0131\u2019n\u0131 di\u011fer para birimlerine g\u00f6re daha cazip k\u0131l\u0131yor.<\/p>\n
\u00d6te yandan Avustralya dolar\u0131n\u0131 destekleyen temel g\u00f6stergeler zay\u0131fl\u0131yor. \u00c7in\u2019de resmi imalat PMI (Sat\u0131n Alma Y\u00f6neticileri Endeksi \u2013 50\u2019nin alt\u0131 daralma, 50\u2019nin \u00fcst\u00fc b\u00fcy\u00fcme anlam\u0131na gelir) 49,8\u2019e gerileyerek daralmaya i\u015faret etti ve ham madde talebine ili\u015fkin endi\u015feleri art\u0131rd\u0131. Bu durum, Avustralya\u2019n\u0131n en \u00f6nemli ihracat\u0131 olan demir cevherinin fiyat\u0131n\u0131 son bir ayda yakla\u015f\u0131k %8 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcrerek ton ba\u015f\u0131na 110 dolar civar\u0131na \u00e7ekti.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"
Kritik zirve \u00f6ncesi AUD\/USD 0,7205\u2019e geriledi: Trump-Xi g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fmeleri ve Tayvan riski bask\u0131 yarat\u0131rken, ABD\u2019de y\u00fcksek enflasyon Fed\u2019in s\u0131k\u0131 duru\u015funu g\u00fc\u00e7lendirdi; \u00c7in PMI\u2019\u0131 ve d\u00fc\u015fen demir cevheri fiyatlar\u0131 Aussie\u2019yi zay\u0131flat\u0131yor.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-46737","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/46737","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=46737"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/46737\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=46737"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=46737"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=46737"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}