EUR\/USD paritesi, cuma g\u00fcn\u00fc Asya i\u015flemlerinin erken saatlerinde 1,1660 civar\u0131na gerileyerek Euro kar\u015f\u0131s\u0131nda ABD dolar\u0131n\u0131n hafif g\u00fc\u00e7lenmesiyle d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f g\u00f6sterdi. Hareket, Orta Do\u011fu\u2019daki gerilimlerin etkisiyle ABD\u2019de enflasyonun (fiyat art\u0131\u015flar\u0131) daha g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc gelmesinin ard\u0131ndan, ABD Merkez Bankas\u0131\u2019n\u0131n (Fed) faizleri daha uzun s\u00fcre y\u00fcksek tutabilece\u011fi veya ek faiz art\u0131\u015f\u0131na gidebilece\u011fi beklentilerini art\u0131rmas\u0131yla geldi.<\/p>\n
Bu haftaki veriler, ABD \u00dcFE\u2019nin (\u00dcretici Fiyat Endeksi: \u00fcreticilerin sat\u0131\u015f fiyatlar\u0131ndaki art\u0131\u015f\u0131 \u00f6l\u00e7er) nisanda 2022\u2019den bu yana en h\u0131zl\u0131 art\u0131\u015f\u0131 g\u00f6rd\u00fc\u011f\u00fcn\u00fc, T\u00dcFE\u2019nin (T\u00fcketici Fiyat Endeksi: t\u00fcketici sepetindeki fiyat de\u011fi\u015fimini \u00f6l\u00e7er) ise 2023\u2019ten bu yana en h\u0131zl\u0131 y\u00fckseli\u015fi kaydetti\u011fini g\u00f6sterdi. Bu tablo, daha y\u00fcksek faiz beklentisini g\u00fc\u00e7lendirerek parite \u00fczerinde bask\u0131 yaratt\u0131.<\/p>\n
CME FedWatch arac\u0131na g\u00f6re piyasalar, aral\u0131k toplant\u0131s\u0131nda ABD\u2019de en az 25 baz puanl\u0131k (0,25 puan) faiz art\u0131\u015f\u0131 ihtimalini %36,9 olarak fiyatlad\u0131. Bu oran bir hafta \u00f6nce %22,5 seviyesindeydi. <\/p>\n
ABD Ba\u015fkan\u0131 Donald Trump ile \u00c7in Devlet Ba\u015fkan\u0131 \u015ei Cinping\u2019in Pekin\u2019deki g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fmesi sonras\u0131 diplomatik ba\u015fl\u0131klar da izlendi. Trump, ABD-\u00c7in ili\u015fkilerinin \u201cher zamankinden daha g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc ve daha iyi\u201d olmas\u0131n\u0131 istedi\u011fini s\u00f6yledi. Ayr\u0131ca \u015ei\u2019nin \u00e7at\u0131\u015fma konusunda destek teklif etti\u011fini, \u0130ran\u2019a askeri ekipman sa\u011flamama taahh\u00fcd\u00fcnde bulundu\u011funu ve H\u00fcrm\u00fcz Bo\u011faz\u0131\u2019n\u0131n yeniden a\u00e7\u0131lmas\u0131n\u0131 destekledi\u011fini ifade etti.<\/p>\n
Euro, AB\u2019de 20 \u00fclke taraf\u0131ndan kullan\u0131l\u0131yor ve 2022\u2019de t\u00fcm d\u00f6viz (FX: yabanc\u0131 para) i\u015flemlerinin %31\u2019ini olu\u015fturdu. G\u00fcnl\u00fck ortalama i\u015flem hacmi 2,2 trilyon dolar\u0131n \u00fczerindeydi. EUR\/USD, t\u00fcm FX i\u015flemlerinin yakla\u015f\u0131k %30\u2019unu olu\u015fturuyor; ard\u0131ndan EUR\/JPY (%4), EUR\/GBP (%3) ve EUR\/AUD (%2) geliyor.<\/p>\n
T\u00fcrev (opsiyon gibi fiyat\u0131 ba\u015fka bir varl\u0131\u011fa ba\u011fl\u0131 \u00fcr\u00fcnler) i\u015flemi yapanlar a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan bu ortam, \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki haftalarda dolar kar\u015f\u0131s\u0131nda Euro\u2019da zay\u0131fl\u0131\u011f\u0131n s\u00fcrebilece\u011fine i\u015faret ediyor. Haziran sonu veya temmuz vadeli EUR\/USD sat\u0131m opsiyonlar\u0131 (put: parite d\u00fc\u015ferse kazan\u00e7 sa\u011flayan opsiyon) almak, 1,0400 seviyesine do\u011fru olas\u0131 bir geri \u00e7ekilmeden faydalanman\u0131n net bir yolu olarak \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131k\u0131yor. \u00d6rt\u00fck volatilite (opsiyon fiyatlar\u0131na yans\u0131yan beklenen oynakl\u0131k) y\u00fckseli\u015fte; bu da s\u00f6z konusu pozisyonlar\u0131n belirsizli\u011fe kar\u015f\u0131 koruma (hedge) ama\u00e7l\u0131 kullan\u0131lmas\u0131na da imkan verebilir.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"
Alarm zilleri: EUR\/USD 1,1660\u2019a indi. G\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc ABD enflasyonu Fed\u2019in daha uzun s\u00fcre y\u00fcksek faiz\/ek art\u0131\u015f fiyatlamas\u0131n\u0131 art\u0131rd\u0131. FedWatch\u2019ta Aral\u0131k +25 bp olas\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131 %36,9. Put opsiyonlar\u0131yla 1,0400 senaryosu masada.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-46733","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/46733","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=46733"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/46733\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=46733"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=46733"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=46733"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}