AUD\/USD per\u015fembe g\u00fcn\u00fc %0,5 geriledi. Parite 0,7280 b\u00f6lgesini test ettikten sonra, Haziran 2022\u2019den bu yana g\u00f6r\u00fclen en g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc seviye ve son d\u00f6rt y\u0131l\u0131n zirvesinden geri \u00e7ekildi. \u00d6\u011fleden sonra kademeli olarak a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 geldi ve seans\u0131n en d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck seviyesine yak\u0131n kapand\u0131.<\/p>\n
Avustralya\u2019da veri takvimi sakindi; dikkat gelecek haftaki a\u00e7\u0131klamalara kayd\u0131. Sal\u0131 g\u00fcn\u00fc RBA (Avustralya Merkez Bankas\u0131) Toplant\u0131 Tutanaklar\u0131 a\u00e7\u0131klanacak. Ayn\u0131 g\u00fcn, Nisan\u2019da %-12,5 gelen Westpac T\u00fcketici G\u00fcveni verisi de izlenecek.<\/p>\n
\u00c7in\u2019in Nisan Sanayi \u00dcretimi ve Perakende Sat\u0131\u015f verileri pazartesi a\u00e7\u0131klanacak. \u00d6nceki y\u0131ll\u0131k (y\u0131l\u0131n ayn\u0131 ay\u0131na g\u00f6re) art\u0131\u015f oranlar\u0131 s\u0131ras\u0131yla %5,7 ve %1,7 idi. Bu veriler, \u00c7in ile ticaret ba\u011flar\u0131 nedeniyle Avustralya Dolar\u0131 i\u00e7in \u00f6nemli bir d\u0131\u015f g\u00f6sterge olmaya devam ediyor.<\/p>\n
ABD\u2019de Nisan Perakende Sat\u0131\u015flar ayl\u0131k bazda %0,5 artt\u0131. Otomobil hari\u00e7 (volatilitesi y\u00fcksek otomobil sat\u0131\u015flar\u0131 \u00e7\u0131kar\u0131larak hesaplanan) art\u0131\u015f %0,7 oldu; Mart\u2019ta %1,6 y\u00fckseli\u015f g\u00f6r\u00fclm\u00fc\u015ft\u00fc. \u0130lk \u0130\u015fsizlik Maa\u015f\u0131 Ba\u015fvurular\u0131 (i\u015fsiz kalanlar\u0131n ilk kez yapt\u0131\u011f\u0131 haftal\u0131k ba\u015fvuru say\u0131s\u0131) 205 bin beklentiye kar\u015f\u0131 211 bine \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131. Piyasalar\u0131n oda\u011f\u0131 s\u0131rada FOMC (ABD Merkez Bankas\u0131\u2019n\u0131n faiz karar organ\u0131) tutanaklar\u0131 ve S&P Global PMI (sat\u0131n alma y\u00f6neticileri endeksi; imalat ve hizmetlerde faaliyet h\u0131z\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6steren anket) verilerinde.<\/p>\n
AUD\/USD 0,7222\u2019den i\u015flem g\u00f6rd\u00fc; g\u00fcn a\u00e7\u0131l\u0131\u015f\u0131 0,7258\u2019in alt\u0131ndayd\u0131. Stokastik RSI (momentum g\u00f6stergesi; fiyat\u0131n a\u015f\u0131r\u0131 al\u0131m\/a\u015f\u0131r\u0131 sat\u0131m ko\u015fullar\u0131n\u0131 izler) 49 civar\u0131ndayd\u0131. G\u00fcnl\u00fck g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcmde parite 50 g\u00fcnl\u00fck EMA\u2019n\u0131n (\u00fcstel hareketli ortalama; son g\u00fcnlere daha fazla a\u011f\u0131rl\u0131k verir) 0,7108 ve 200 g\u00fcnl\u00fck EMA\u2019n\u0131n 0,6847 \u00fczerinde kald\u0131. G\u00fcnl\u00fck Stokastik RSI ise 72 civar\u0131ndayd\u0131.<\/p>\n
AUD\/USD\u2019nin d\u00f6rt y\u0131l\u0131n zirvesinden geri \u00e7ekilmesi, 0,7280 \u00e7evresinde yukar\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc ivmenin zay\u0131flad\u0131\u011f\u0131na i\u015faret ediyor. Seans diplerine yak\u0131n kapan\u0131\u015f, sat\u0131c\u0131lar\u0131n kontrol\u00fc ald\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6steriyor. Bu g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm, geri \u00e7ekilmenin k\u0131sa bir soluklanma m\u0131 yoksa daha belirgin bir d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn ba\u015flang\u0131c\u0131 m\u0131 oldu\u011fu a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan kritik.<\/p>\n
Avustralya Dolar\u0131 i\u00e7in gelecek hafta risk yo\u011fun, \u00f6zellikle de RBA tutanaklar\u0131 nedeniyle. Avustralya\u2019n\u0131n 2026 1. \u00e7eyrek enflasyonunda \u00e7ekirdek enflasyon (g\u0131da ve enerji gibi oynak kalemler d\u0131\u015far\u0131da b\u0131rak\u0131larak hesaplanan fiyat art\u0131\u015f\u0131) %3,8 ile y\u00fcksek kald\u0131. Bu nedenle tutanaklarda \u201c\u015fahin\u201d (faiz art\u0131r\u0131m\u0131 veya s\u0131k\u0131 para politikas\u0131 e\u011filimi) sinyaller aranacak. \u00d6te yandan, bir y\u0131l\u0131 a\u015fk\u0131n s\u00fcredir zay\u0131f seyreden t\u00fcketici g\u00fcveni, faiz art\u0131\u015f\u0131 beklentilerini s\u0131n\u0131rlayabilir.<\/p>\n
Pazartesi \u00c7in sanayi \u00fcretimi ve perakende sat\u0131\u015f verileri yak\u0131ndan izlenecek. \u00c7in\u2019de toparlanma dalgal\u0131 seyrediyor; bu, 2025 boyunca beklenen daha g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc ivmeden farkl\u0131. Zay\u0131f veriler, g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc ticaret ba\u011flant\u0131lar\u0131 nedeniyle Avustralya Dolar\u0131\u2019n\u0131 bask\u0131layabilir ve pariteyi \u00f6nemli destek seviyelerine itebilir.<\/p>\n
ABD Dolar\u0131 taraf\u0131nda son veriler, ekonomide s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 bir so\u011fumaya i\u015faret ediyor. \u0130\u015fsizlik ba\u015fvurular\u0131n\u0131n 211 bine y\u00fckselmesi ve perakende sat\u0131\u015f art\u0131\u015f\u0131n\u0131n yava\u015flamas\u0131, Fed\u2019in s\u0131k\u0131la\u015ft\u0131rma d\u00f6ng\u00fcs\u00fcn\u00fcn (faiz art\u0131r\u0131mlar\u0131n\u0131n s\u00fcrd\u00fc\u011f\u00fc d\u00f6nem) sonuna yakla\u015ft\u0131\u011f\u0131 g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fc destekliyor. Bu nedenle gelecek haftaki FOMC tutanaklar\u0131, ABD faizlerinin gidi\u015fat\u0131 konusunda kritik olacak.<\/p>\n
Birden fazla ba\u015fl\u0131kta y\u00fcksek \u201cevent risk\u201d (veri ve a\u00e7\u0131klamalar sonras\u0131 sert fiyat hareketi riski) bulundu\u011fu i\u00e7in opsiyonlarla oynakl\u0131k almak (fiyat dalgalanmas\u0131ndan faydalanmaya y\u00f6nelik pozisyon) temkinli bir tercih olabilir. \u201cLong straddle\u201d (ayn\u0131 kullan\u0131m fiyat\u0131 ve vadede hem al\u0131m opsiyonu\/call hem sat\u0131m opsiyonu\/put alma) stratejisi, gelecek haftaki veriler sonras\u0131 fiyat\u0131n hangi y\u00f6ne gitti\u011finden ba\u011f\u0131ms\u0131z olarak b\u00fcy\u00fck bir hareketten kazan\u00e7 sa\u011flayabilir. Bu y\u00f6ntem, belirli bir y\u00f6n tahmini yapmadan belirsizli\u011fi fiyatlamay\u0131 hedefler.<\/p>\n
Vadeli i\u015flem (futures; belirli bir tarihte belirli fiyattan al\u0131m-sat\u0131m y\u00fck\u00fcml\u00fcl\u00fc\u011f\u00fc veren s\u00f6zle\u015fme) i\u015flemi yapanlar i\u00e7in g\u00fcnl\u00fck grafikte 50 g\u00fcnl\u00fck hareketli ortalama civar\u0131ndaki 0,7108 deste\u011fi kritik e\u015fik. Daha geni\u015f y\u00fckseli\u015f trendi korunacaksa bu seviyeye geri \u00e7ekilme al\u0131m f\u0131rsat\u0131 olarak g\u00f6r\u00fclebilir. Ancak seviyenin alt\u0131na net bir k\u0131r\u0131lma, geri \u00e7ekilmenin daha derin bir d\u00fczeltmeye d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015ft\u00fc\u011f\u00fcn\u00fc g\u00f6sterebilir; bu da \u201cstop-loss\u201d (zarar\u0131 s\u0131n\u0131rlamak i\u00e7in otomatik kapama emri) emirlerini tetikleyip yeni k\u0131sa (d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f y\u00f6nl\u00fc) pozisyonlar\u0131 \u00e7ekebilir.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"
4 y\u0131l\u0131n zirvesinden d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015f: AUD\/USD %0,5 d\u00fc\u015ferek 0,7280\u2019den geri \u00e7ekildi. G\u00f6zler \u00c7in verileri, RBA ve FOMC tutanaklar\u0131nda; 0,7108 deste\u011fi k\u0131r\u0131l\u0131rsa d\u00fczeltme derinle\u015febilir.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-46728","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/46728","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=46728"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/46728\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=46728"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=46728"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=46728"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}