{"id":46715,"date":"2026-05-15T02:20:54","date_gmt":"2026-05-15T02:20:54","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr\/uncategorized\/petrol-hurmuz-bogazinin-kapanmasiyla-arz-sikilasirken-kazanclarini-koruyor\/"},"modified":"2026-05-15T02:20:54","modified_gmt":"2026-05-15T02:20:54","slug":"petrol-hurmuz-bogazinin-kapanmasiyla-arz-sikilasirken-kazanclarini-koruyor","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/analysis\/petrol-hurmuz-bogazinin-kapanmasiyla-arz-sikilasirken-kazanclarini-koruyor\/","title":{"rendered":"Petrol, H\u00fcrm\u00fcz Bo\u011faz\u0131\u2019n\u0131n Kapanmas\u0131yla Arz S\u0131k\u0131la\u015f\u0131rken Kazan\u00e7lar\u0131n\u0131 Koruyor"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/9\/2026\/06\/Oil2-2-1024x573.webp\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-45337\"\/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>\u00d6ne \u00c7\u0131kan Noktalar<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>CL-OIL <strong>97,859<\/strong> seviyesinde i\u015flem g\u00f6rd\u00fc; <strong>0,107<\/strong> puan (yakla\u015f\u0131k <strong>%0,11<\/strong>) y\u00fckseldi. G\u00fcn i\u00e7i en y\u00fcksek seviye <strong>97,929<\/strong> oldu.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Brent petrol varil ba\u015f\u0131na <strong>107 dolar<\/strong> seviyesine yakla\u015ft\u0131; West Texas Intermediate (WTI, ABD tipi ham petrol) <strong>102 dolar<\/strong> civar\u0131nda i\u015flem g\u00f6rd\u00fc.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Uluslararas\u0131 Enerji Ajans\u0131 (IEA), \u00e7at\u0131\u015fmalar gelecek ay bitse bile piyasan\u0131n <strong>Ekim\u2019e kadar ciddi arz a\u00e7\u0131\u011f\u0131<\/strong> ya\u015fayaca\u011f\u0131 uyar\u0131s\u0131nda bulundu.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Beyaz Saray yetkilisine g\u00f6re Trump ve \u015ei, enerji ticaretini desteklemek i\u00e7in H\u00fcrm\u00fcz\u2019\u00fcn a\u00e7\u0131k kalmas\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015ft\u00fc; ancak \u00c7in\u2019in resmi a\u00e7\u0131klamas\u0131nda enerji ba\u015fl\u0131\u011f\u0131 yer almad\u0131.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator has-alpha-channel-opacity is-style-dots\"\/>\n\n\n\n<p>Petrol fiyatlar\u0131, H\u00fcrm\u00fcz Bo\u011faz\u0131 kapal\u0131 kal\u0131rken ve \u0130ran\u2019la ilgili sava\u015f\u0131n bitirilmesine d\u00f6n\u00fck giri\u015fimler netle\u015fmezken haftal\u0131k y\u00fckseli\u015fe y\u00f6neldi. Brent petrol varil ba\u015f\u0131na <strong>107 dolar<\/strong> seviyesine yakla\u015ft\u0131; WTI <strong>102 dolar<\/strong> civar\u0131nda i\u015flem g\u00f6rd\u00fc.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Grafi\u011fe g\u00f6re CL-OIL, <strong>15\/05 04:20:34 GMT+3<\/strong> itibar\u0131yla <strong>97,859<\/strong> seviyesinde; <strong>0,107<\/strong> puan (yakla\u015f\u0131k <strong>%0,11<\/strong>) yukar\u0131da. G\u00fcn i\u00e7i en y\u00fcksek <strong>97,929<\/strong>, en d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck <strong>97,184<\/strong>; a\u00e7\u0131l\u0131\u015f <strong>97,732<\/strong>, kapan\u0131\u015f <strong>97,520<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-rich is-provider-twitter wp-block-embed-twitter\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"500\" data-dnt=\"true\"><p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">Nearly half of the crude oil released from the US Strategic Petroleum Reserve is being exported, a fresh sign of how severely global supplies have tightened amid the Iran war <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/dq7ix3EC6N\">https:\/\/t.co\/dq7ix3EC6N<\/a><\/p>&mdash; Bloomberg (@business) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/business\/status\/2055003425398575382?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">May 14, 2026<\/a><\/blockquote><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script>\n<\/div><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>Piyasa art\u0131k yaln\u0131zca \u201cate\u015fkes\u201d haberlerine tepki vermiyor. Yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar, deniz ta\u015f\u0131mac\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131n yeniden g\u00fcvenli \u015fekilde yap\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131na dair somut i\u015faret ar\u0131yor. ABD\u2019nin \u0130ran limanlar\u0131na y\u00f6nelik deniz ablukas\u0131 (donanman\u0131n giri\u015f-\u00e7\u0131k\u0131\u015f\u0131 k\u0131s\u0131tlamas\u0131) s\u00fcrerken, H\u00fcrm\u00fcz \u00e7evresi ticari gemiler i\u00e7in riskli olmaya devam ediyor.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-rich is-provider-twitter wp-block-embed-twitter\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"500\" data-dnt=\"true\"><p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">The number of supertankers hauling unsanctioned oil through the Strait of Hormuz has shown signs of rising in recent days, offering limited relief to an oil market that\u2019s suffered the largest supply disruption in history <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/TVSC04pHQy\">https:\/\/t.co\/TVSC04pHQy<\/a><\/p>&mdash; Bloomberg (@business) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/business\/status\/2054937393594024246?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">May 14, 2026<\/a><\/blockquote><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script>\n<\/div><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>Bo\u011faz giri\u015fine yak\u0131n bir noktada bir ticari gemi, yetkisi olmayan ki\u015filerce ele ge\u00e7irilip \u0130ran karasular\u0131na do\u011fru g\u00f6t\u00fcr\u00fcld\u00fc. Bu geli\u015fme, navlun ve sigorta maliyetlerine yans\u0131yan \u201cta\u015f\u0131mac\u0131l\u0131k risk primi\u201dni (risk artt\u0131\u011f\u0131nda fiyat\u0131n \u00fczerine eklenen maliyet) yeniden y\u00fckseltti. Birle\u015fik Krall\u0131k deniz unsurlar\u0131 geminin F\u00fcceyre a\u00e7\u0131klar\u0131ndan al\u0131n\u0131p \u0130ran sular\u0131na y\u00f6nlendirildi\u011fini bildirdi. Di\u011fer kaynaklar da bunun Tahran\u2019\u0131n b\u00f6lgedeki deniz trafi\u011fi \u00fczerindeki bask\u0131s\u0131n\u0131n s\u00fcrd\u00fc\u011f\u00fc bir d\u00f6nemde ya\u015fand\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 aktard\u0131.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Trump-\u015ei G\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fmesi Talep ve Diplomasi Boyutu Ekledi<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>Petrol piyasas\u0131, Trump-\u015ei zirvesini de yak\u0131ndan izledi. Beyaz Saray\u2019dan bir yetkiliye g\u00f6re Trump, Per\u015fembe g\u00fcn\u00fc \u00c7in lideri \u015ei Cinping ile g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015ft\u00fc; taraflar H\u00fcrm\u00fcz Bo\u011faz\u0131\u2019n\u0131n enerji ticareti i\u00e7in a\u00e7\u0131k kalmas\u0131n\u0131 ve ABD\u2019den \u00c7in\u2019e petrol ak\u0131\u015f\u0131n\u0131n artmas\u0131n\u0131 ele ald\u0131. \u00c7in\u2019in resmi a\u00e7\u0131klamas\u0131nda enerji ba\u015fl\u0131\u011f\u0131 yer almad\u0131; ancak Orta Do\u011fu\u2019nun g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015f\u00fcld\u00fc\u011f\u00fc belirtildi.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-rich is-provider-twitter wp-block-embed-twitter\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"500\" data-dnt=\"true\"><p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">Chinese President Xi Jinping warned U.S. President Donald Trump on Thursday that the U.S. and China \u201cwill have clashes and even conflicts\u201d if the longstanding issue of Taiwan\u2019s independence is mishandled.<br><br>If that issue is not handled \u201cproperly,\u201d Xi said, it could put \u201cthe entire\u2026 <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/vVOKrSr0RZ\">pic.twitter.com\/vVOKrSr0RZ<\/a><\/p>&mdash; CNBC (@CNBC) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/CNBC\/status\/2055075753193091209?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">May 15, 2026<\/a><\/blockquote><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script>\n<\/div><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>ABD ve \u00c7in a\u00e7\u0131klamalar\u0131 aras\u0131ndaki bu fark, piyasay\u0131 temkinli tutuyor. Washington ve Pekin enerji ak\u0131\u015f\u0131nda ortak bir zeminde bulu\u015fursa, petroldeki \u201cpanik primi\u201d (haber ak\u0131\u015f\u0131yla olu\u015fan ekstra fiyat \u015fi\u015fmesi) azalabilir. Net bir yol haritas\u0131 \u00e7\u0131kmazsa, H\u00fcrm\u00fcz\u2019\u00fcn yaz aylar\u0131nda \u201cbo\u011faz noktas\u0131\u201d (dar ge\u00e7it, ta\u015f\u0131may\u0131 kilitleyebilen kritik hat) olarak kalaca\u011f\u0131 riski fiyatlarda kalabilir.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u00c7in\u2019in rol\u00fc ayr\u0131ca \u00f6nemli. Haberlere g\u00f6re \u0130ran, Tahran-Pekin aras\u0131ndaki bir mutabakat sonras\u0131 baz\u0131 \u00c7in gemilerinin H\u00fcrm\u00fcz\u2019den ge\u00e7i\u015fine izin vermeye ba\u015flad\u0131. Bo\u011faz, k\u00fcresel petrol ve gaz sevkiyat\u0131n\u0131n yakla\u015f\u0131k <strong>%20<\/strong>\u2019sini ta\u015f\u0131yor. Bu nedenle s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 ge\u00e7i\u015f bile arz\u0131n rahatlayabilece\u011fi beklentisini etkileyebilir.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-rich is-provider-twitter wp-block-embed-twitter\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"500\" data-dnt=\"true\"><p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">Iran allowing transit of Chinese vessels in Strait of Hormuz, Fars news reports <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/VvzBrVuwez\">https:\/\/t.co\/VvzBrVuwez<\/a> <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/VvzBrVuwez\">https:\/\/t.co\/VvzBrVuwez<\/a><\/p>&mdash; Reuters (@Reuters) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/Reuters\/status\/2054957453960249561?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">May 14, 2026<\/a><\/blockquote><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script>\n<\/div><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>Trump, Cuma sabah\u0131 Truth Social payla\u015f\u0131m\u0131nda \u201c\u0130ran\u2019\u0131n askeri olarak yok edilmesi (devam edecek!)\u201d ifadesini kullan\u0131rken, ABD-\u00c7in ili\u015fkisinin \u201cher zamankinden daha g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc ve daha iyi\u201d olmas\u0131n\u0131 umdu\u011funu da s\u00f6yledi. Bu kar\u0131\u015f\u0131k mesajlar, piyasada diplomasi ile \u00e7at\u0131\u015fma riskini ayn\u0131 anda g\u00fcndemde tutuyor.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">IEA Uyar\u0131s\u0131 Arz Primini Canl\u0131 Tutuyor<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>Uluslararas\u0131 Enerji Ajans\u0131 (IEA), bu hafta arz taraf\u0131na dikkat \u00e7ekti. Ajans, sava\u015f\u0131n k\u00fcresel petrol stoklar\u0131n\u0131 rekor h\u0131zla d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcrd\u00fc\u011f\u00fcn\u00fc belirterek, \u00e7at\u0131\u015fma Haziran ba\u015f\u0131nda bitse bile piyasan\u0131n \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcnc\u00fc \u00e7eyrek sonuna kadar <strong>ciddi arz a\u00e7\u0131\u011f\u0131<\/strong> (talebi kar\u015f\u0131layacak kadar \u00fcretim\/stok olmamas\u0131) ya\u015fayaca\u011f\u0131 uyar\u0131s\u0131n\u0131 yapt\u0131. IEA\u2019n\u0131n temel senaryosuna g\u00f6re stoklar y\u0131l\u0131n son \u00e7eyre\u011fine kadar gerilemeye devam edecek; ard\u0131ndan s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 bir \u201cfazla\u201d (talebin biraz \u00fczerinde arz) g\u00f6r\u00fclebilir.<\/p>\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-rich is-provider-twitter wp-block-embed-twitter\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"500\" data-dnt=\"true\"><p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">Oil struggles for direction as IEA flags greater volatility ahead, OPEC cuts demand forecast <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/A2YH7NZSuX\">https:\/\/t.co\/A2YH7NZSuX<\/a><\/p>&mdash; CNBC (@CNBC) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/CNBC\/status\/2054740917777567819?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">May 14, 2026<\/a><\/blockquote><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script>\n<\/div><\/figure>\n<!-- \/wp:post-content -->\n\n<!-- wp:paragraph -->\n<p>Bu uyar\u0131, geri \u00e7ekilmelerde al\u0131m yapanlar\u0131 (fiyat d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcnce alan yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar) piyasada tutuyor. H\u00fcrm\u00fcz\u2019\u00fcn kapal\u0131 olmas\u0131, ABD ablukas\u0131 ve stoklar\u0131n d\u00fc\u015fmesi, talep endi\u015fesi olsa bile sert bir d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f\u00fc zorla\u015ft\u0131r\u0131yor.<\/p>\n<!-- \/wp:paragraph -->\n\n<!-- wp:paragraph -->\n<p>ABD enflasyon verileri de siyasi bask\u0131y\u0131 art\u0131rd\u0131. Petrol \u015foku, i\u00e7 fiyatlara yans\u0131yor ve Kas\u0131m\u2019daki ara se\u00e7imler \u00f6ncesinde Trump \u00fczerindeki bask\u0131y\u0131 art\u0131r\u0131yor. Yak\u0131t maliyetlerindeki art\u0131\u015f t\u00fcketici g\u00fcvenini zay\u0131flatabilir, ta\u015f\u0131mac\u0131l\u0131k maliyetlerini y\u00fckseltebilir ve enflasyon y\u00fcksek kal\u0131rsa Fed\u2019in (ABD Merkez Bankas\u0131) faiz ad\u0131mlar\u0131n\u0131 zorla\u015ft\u0131rabilir.<\/p>\n<!-- \/wp:paragraph -->\n\n<!-- wp:heading -->\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Ate\u015fkes S\u00fcr\u00fcyor, Ancak Bar\u0131\u015f G\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fmeleri Zay\u0131f<\/h2>\n<!-- \/wp:heading -->\n\n<!-- wp:paragraph -->\n<p>Nisan ba\u015f\u0131ndan bu yana bir ate\u015fkes var; zaman zaman gerginlik artsa da s\u00fcr\u00fcyor. Buna kar\u015f\u0131n Washington ile Tahran\u2019\u0131n temel anla\u015fmazl\u0131klarda belirgin ilerleme kaydetmedi\u011fi g\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcyor.<\/p>\n<!-- \/wp:paragraph -->\n\n<!-- wp:paragraph -->\n<p>Trump, yak\u0131n zamanda ate\u015fkesin \u201chayatta kalma cihaz\u0131na ba\u011fl\u0131\u201d oldu\u011funu s\u00f6yleyerek, \u0130ran\u2019\u0131n sava\u015f\u0131 bitirmeye d\u00f6n\u00fck \u00f6nerisine verdi\u011fi yan\u0131t\u0131 ele\u015ftirdi. Bu s\u00f6ylem, g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fmeler, gemi hareketleri ve askeri geli\u015fmelere ili\u015fkin her haberin petrol fiyat\u0131na etkisini art\u0131r\u0131yor.<\/p>\n<!-- \/wp:paragraph -->\n\n<!-- wp:paragraph -->\n<p>Petrol i\u00e7in yaln\u0131zca ate\u015fkes yetmiyor. Piyasa, normal ak\u0131\u015fa d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015f istiyor. Tankerler H\u00fcrm\u00fcz\u2019den eskort (koruma) olmadan, el koyma riski ve askeri uyar\u0131lar olmadan ge\u00e7emedik\u00e7e, Brent ve WTI\u2019da \u201carz riski primi\u201d (arz kesintisi olas\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131na kar\u015f\u0131 fiyata eklenen pay) kalmaya devam edebilir.<\/p>\n<!-- \/wp:paragraph -->\n\n<!-- wp:heading -->\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Teknik Analiz<\/h2>\n<!-- \/wp:heading -->\n\n<!-- wp:paragraph -->\n<p>CL-OIL, <strong>97,85<\/strong> civar\u0131nda geni\u015f bir yatay bantta (belirgin y\u00f6n olmadan gidip gelme) i\u015flem g\u00f6r\u00fcyor. Mart ay\u0131nda ham petrol\u00fc <strong>119,42<\/strong> zirvesine ta\u015f\u0131yan sert y\u00fckseli\u015f ivmesi (fiyat\u0131n h\u0131zla artma g\u00fcc\u00fc) hen\u00fcz geri gelmedi. Son seanslarda hareket alan\u0131 darald\u0131; yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar yeni y\u00f6n i\u00e7in daha g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc bir makro geli\u015fme (ekonomi genelini etkileyen veri) veya jeopolitik tetikleyici bekliyor.<\/p>\n<!-- \/wp:paragraph -->\n\n<!-- wp:paragraph -->\n<p>K\u0131sa vadede g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm n\u00f6tr:<\/p>\n<!-- \/wp:paragraph -->\n\n<!-- wp:list -->\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\"><!-- wp:list-item -->\n<li><strong>MA5 (5 g\u00fcnl\u00fck hareketli ortalama):<\/strong> 98,51<\/li>\n<!-- \/wp:list-item -->\n\n<!-- wp:list-item -->\n<li><strong>MA10 (10 g\u00fcnl\u00fck hareketli ortalama):<\/strong> 98,85<\/li>\n<!-- \/wp:list-item -->\n\n<!-- wp:list-item -->\n<li><strong>MA20 (20 g\u00fcnl\u00fck hareketli ortalama):<\/strong> 98,07<\/li>\n<!-- \/wp:list-item --><\/ul>\n<!-- \/wp:list -->\n\n<!-- wp:paragraph -->\n<p>Hareketli ortalamalar birbirine \u00e7ok yak\u0131n ve yatayla\u015f\u0131yor. Bu durum genelde trend g\u00fcc\u00fcn\u00fcn zay\u0131flad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 ve piyasan\u0131n bant i\u00e7inde (aral\u0131kta) i\u015flem g\u00f6rd\u00fc\u011f\u00fcn\u00fc g\u00f6sterir. Fiyat da bu ortalamalar\u0131n etraf\u0131nda gidip geliyor; karars\u0131z yap\u0131 g\u00fc\u00e7leniyor.<\/p>\n<!-- \/wp:paragraph -->\n\n<!-- wp:image {\"id\":50225,\"sizeSlug\":\"large\",\"linkDestination\":\"none\"} -->\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/9\/2026\/06\/image-19-1024x459.jpg\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-50225\"\/><\/figure>\n<!-- \/wp:image -->\n\n<!-- wp:paragraph -->\n<p>\u0130zlenecek seviyeler:<\/p>\n<!-- \/wp:paragraph -->\n\n<!-- wp:list -->\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\"><!-- wp:list-item -->\n<li><strong>Yak\u0131n destek (d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015fte tutunma alan\u0131):<\/strong> 97,00 \u2192 95,00<\/li>\n<!-- \/wp:list-item -->\n\n<!-- wp:list-item -->\n<li><strong>Ana destek:<\/strong> 87,25<\/li>\n<!-- \/wp:list-item -->\n\n<!-- wp:list-item -->\n<li><strong>Diren\u00e7 (y\u00fckseli\u015fte zorlanma alan\u0131):<\/strong> 100,00 \u2192 106,00 \u2192 119,42<\/li>\n<!-- \/wp:list-item --><\/ul>\n<!-- \/wp:list -->\n\n<!-- wp:paragraph -->\n<p><strong>97\u201398 band\u0131<\/strong> k\u0131sa vadede kritik d\u00f6n\u00fcm alan\u0131 oldu. Al\u0131c\u0131lar May\u0131s boyunca bu b\u00f6lgeyi birka\u00e7 kez savundu; ivme zay\u0131flasa da d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn derinle\u015fmesini engelledi.<\/p>\n<!-- \/wp:paragraph -->\n\n<!-- wp:paragraph -->\n<p>Yukar\u0131 y\u00f6n i\u00e7in ham petrol\u00fcn psikolojik <strong>100<\/strong> seviyesinin \u00fczerine g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc bi\u00e7imde \u00e7\u0131kmas\u0131 gerekiyor. Bu seviyenin a\u015f\u0131lmas\u0131 (k\u0131r\u0131l\u0131m), fiyat\u0131 <strong>105\u2013106<\/strong> civar\u0131ndaki daha geni\u015f diren\u00e7 alan\u0131na yeniden ta\u015f\u0131yabilir; \u00f6nceki y\u00fckseli\u015fler bu b\u00f6lgede zay\u0131flam\u0131\u015ft\u0131.<\/p>\n<!-- \/wp:paragraph -->\n\n<!-- wp:paragraph -->\n<p>Buna kar\u015f\u0131l\u0131k fiyat <strong>95<\/strong> alt\u0131na sarkarsa, yatay yap\u0131n\u0131n bozulup <strong>87<\/strong> civar\u0131ndaki ana deste\u011fe do\u011fru daha belirgin bir geri \u00e7ekilmeye (d\u00fczeltme) d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015fmesi riski artar.<\/p>\n<!-- \/wp:paragraph -->\n\n<!-- wp:paragraph -->\n<p>Genel ekonomik tablo petrol i\u00e7in kar\u0131\u015f\u0131k. Arz endi\u015feleri ve jeopolitik gerilimler taban destek verse de, k\u00fcresel talebe dair daha zay\u0131f beklentiler ve \u00c7in sanayi faaliyetindeki temkin agresif y\u00fckseli\u015fi s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131yor.<\/p>\n<!-- \/wp:paragraph -->\n\n<!-- wp:paragraph -->\n<p>Piyasalar, OPEC+ (OPEC ve ortak \u00fcreticiler grubu) mesajlar\u0131n\u0131, ABD stok verilerini ve \u00fcretim ile ta\u015f\u0131mac\u0131l\u0131k talebine ba\u011fl\u0131 ekonomik g\u00f6stergeleri izliyor. Ayr\u0131ca dolar\u0131n son d\u00f6nemde sakinle\u015fmesi, emtialar\u0131n (petrol gibi ham maddelerin) daha \u00f6nce ald\u0131\u011f\u0131 destekleri bir miktar azaltt\u0131.<\/p>\n<!-- \/wp:paragraph -->\n\n<!-- wp:paragraph -->\n<p>\u0130\u015flem hacmi (al\u0131m-sat\u0131m miktar\u0131), Mart\u2019taki ralli d\u00f6nemine g\u00f6re geriledi. Bu da piyasan\u0131n yeni bir sert y\u00fckseli\u015f d\u00f6ng\u00fcs\u00fcne girmekten \u00e7ok, yatayda dinlendi\u011fi g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fc destekliyor.<\/p>\n<!-- \/wp:paragraph -->\n\n<!-- wp:paragraph -->\n<p>\u015eimdilik CL-OIL, <strong>95\u201397 destek b\u00f6lgesi<\/strong> \u00fczerinde kald\u0131\u011f\u0131 s\u00fcrece <strong>n\u00f6tr ve s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 iyimser<\/strong> bir g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcmde; ancak daha g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc y\u00fckseli\u015f i\u00e7in <strong>100<\/strong> \u00fczerinde kal\u0131c\u0131 hareket gerekiyor.<\/p>\n<!-- \/wp:paragraph -->\n\n<!-- wp:heading -->\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Temkinli Tahmin<\/h2>\n<!-- \/wp:heading -->\n\n<!-- wp:paragraph -->\n<p>CL-OIL, <strong>98,858<\/strong> alt\u0131nda kald\u0131\u011f\u0131 s\u00fcrece; ancak <strong>97,184<\/strong> \u00fczerinde tutunduk\u00e7a bant i\u00e7inde hareket edebilir. <strong>98,858<\/strong> \u00fczerinde kapan\u0131\u015f, \u00f6zellikle H\u00fcrm\u00fcz kapal\u0131 kal\u0131r ve stok bask\u0131s\u0131 artarsa (stoklar\u0131n h\u0131zla d\u00fc\u015fmesi), <strong>105,968<\/strong> y\u00f6n\u00fcnde daha g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc bir hareketi destekleyebilir.<\/p>\n<!-- \/wp:paragraph -->\n\n<!-- wp:paragraph -->\n<p><strong>97,184<\/strong> alt\u0131na k\u0131r\u0131l\u0131m, yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n arz riski primini azaltmaya ba\u015flad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6sterebilir. Ancak ABD ablukas\u0131 s\u00fcrd\u00fck\u00e7e ve IEA Ekim\u2019e kadar ciddi arz a\u00e7\u0131\u011f\u0131 vurgusunu koruduk\u00e7a d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 kalabilir. Bir sonraki net hareket; H\u00fcrm\u00fcz\u2019de gemi g\u00fcvenli\u011fi, ABD-\u0130ran g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fmelerinden gelecek sinyal ve Trump-\u015ei enerji temaslar\u0131n\u0131n somut arz rahatlamas\u0131na d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015f\u00fcp d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015fmeyece\u011fine ba\u011fl\u0131.<\/p>\n<!-- \/wp:paragraph -->\n\n<!-- wp:details -->\n<details class=\"wp-block-details\"><summary><strong>Yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131 Sorular\u0131<\/strong><\/summary><!-- wp:paragraph -->\n<p><strong>Petrol fiyatlar\u0131 neden haftal\u0131k y\u00fckseli\u015fe gidiyor?<\/strong><\/p>\n<!-- \/wp:paragraph -->\n\n<!-- wp:paragraph -->\n<p>H\u00fcrm\u00fcz Bo\u011faz\u0131 kapal\u0131 kald\u0131\u011f\u0131 ve \u0130ran\u2019daki sava\u015fa ili\u015fkin bar\u0131\u015f giri\u015fimleri t\u0131kand\u0131\u011f\u0131 i\u00e7in petrol haftal\u0131k y\u00fckseli\u015fe y\u00f6neldi.<\/p>\n<!-- \/wp:paragraph -->\n\n<!-- wp:paragraph -->\n<p>Brent petrol <strong>107 dolar<\/strong> civar\u0131na y\u00fckselirken, WTI <strong>102 dolar<\/strong> civar\u0131nda i\u015flem g\u00f6rd\u00fc.<\/p>\n<!-- \/wp:paragraph -->\n\n<!-- wp:paragraph -->\n<p><strong>CL-OIL \u015fu an ka\u00e7?<\/strong><\/p>\n<!-- \/wp:paragraph -->\n\n<!-- wp:paragraph -->\n<p>CL-OIL <strong>97,859<\/strong> seviyesinde; <strong>0,107<\/strong> puan (yakla\u015f\u0131k <strong>%0,11<\/strong>) yukar\u0131da.<\/p>\n<!-- \/wp:paragraph -->\n\n<!-- wp:paragraph -->\n<p>G\u00fcn i\u00e7i en y\u00fcksek <strong>97,929<\/strong>, en d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck <strong>97,184<\/strong>; a\u00e7\u0131l\u0131\u015f <strong>97,732<\/strong>, kapan\u0131\u015f <strong>97,520<\/strong>.<\/p>\n<!-- \/wp:paragraph -->\n\n<!-- wp:paragraph -->\n<p><strong>H\u00fcrm\u00fcz Bo\u011faz\u0131 petrol fiyatlar\u0131n\u0131 neden etkiliyor?<\/strong><\/p>\n<!-- \/wp:paragraph -->\n\n<!-- wp:paragraph -->\n<p>H\u00fcrm\u00fcz, d\u00fcnya petrol ve gaz\u0131n\u0131n en kritik ge\u00e7i\u015f hatlar\u0131ndan biri. Bo\u011fazdan k\u00fcresel petrol ve gaz sevkiyat\u0131n\u0131n yakla\u015f\u0131k <strong>%20<\/strong>\u2019si ge\u00e7iyor. Kapanma ya da risk art\u0131\u015f\u0131, navlun ve sigorta maliyetlerini h\u0131zla y\u00fckseltip Brent ve WTI\u2019da \u201carz riski primi\u201dni art\u0131rabiliyor.<\/p>\n<!-- \/wp:paragraph -->\n\n<!-- wp:paragraph -->\n<p><strong>\u0130ran\u2019daki sava\u015f petrol arz\u0131n\u0131 nas\u0131l etkiliyor?<\/strong><\/p>\n<!-- \/wp:paragraph -->\n\n<!-- wp:paragraph -->\n<p>Sava\u015f, H\u00fcrm\u00fcz\u2019\u00fcn kapal\u0131 kalmas\u0131na ve ABD\u2019nin \u0130ran limanlar\u0131na y\u00f6nelik deniz ablukas\u0131n\u0131n s\u00fcrmesine yol a\u00e7arak arz\u0131 bask\u0131l\u0131yor.<\/p>\n<!-- \/wp:paragraph -->\n\n<!-- wp:paragraph -->\n<p>Ayr\u0131ca bo\u011faz giri\u015finde bir ticari geminin yetkisiz ki\u015filerce ele ge\u00e7irilip \u0130ran sular\u0131na g\u00f6t\u00fcr\u00fcld\u00fc\u011f\u00fcne dair haberler de fiyatlar\u0131 etkiliyor.<\/p>\n<!-- \/wp:paragraph -->\n\n<!-- wp:paragraph -->\n<p><strong>Yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar neden h\u00e2l\u00e2 arz riski primi fiyatl\u0131yor?<\/strong><\/p>\n<!-- \/wp:paragraph -->\n\n<!-- wp:paragraph -->\n<p>\u00c7\u00fcnk\u00fc ate\u015fkes, deniz ta\u015f\u0131mac\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 normale d\u00f6nd\u00fcrmedi.<\/p>\n<!-- \/wp:paragraph -->\n\n<!-- wp:paragraph -->\n<p>Nisan ba\u015f\u0131ndan beri ate\u015fkes olsa da Washington-Tahran hatt\u0131nda kapsaml\u0131 bir anla\u015fmaya yakla\u015f\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131 g\u00f6r\u00fclm\u00fcyor. Gemiler H\u00fcrm\u00fcz\u2019den g\u00fcvenle ge\u00e7ene kadar petrol fiyatlar\u0131 destek bulabilir.<\/p>\n<!-- \/wp:paragraph --><\/details>\n<!-- \/wp:details -->\n<p>\n<!-- wp:paragraph -->\n<p><strong>Hemen i\u015flem yapmaya ba\u015flay\u0131n &#8211; Ger\u00e7ek VT Markets hesab\u0131n\u0131z\u0131 olu\u015fturmak i\u00e7in <a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr\/trade-now\/\">buraya<\/a> t\u0131klay\u0131n <\/strong> <\/p>\n<!-- \/wp:paragraph --><!-- \/wp:paragraph -->","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>H\u00fcrm\u00fcz riski t\u0131rman\u0131rken petrol yeniden ate\u015fte: Brent 107 dolara, WTI 102\u2019ye yakla\u015ft\u0131; CL-OIL 97,86\u2019da. IEA, \u00e7at\u0131\u015fma bitse bile Ekim\u2019e kadar ciddi arz a\u00e7\u0131\u011f\u0131 uyar\u0131yor.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":46714,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[2],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-46715","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-analysis"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/46715","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=46715"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/46715\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/46714"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=46715"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=46715"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=46715"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}