Rusya\u2019n\u0131n d\u0131\u015f ticaret dengesi Mart ay\u0131nda 13,966 milyar dolar oldu. Bu seviye, 11,8 milyar dolarl\u0131k beklentinin \u00fczerinde ger\u00e7ekle\u015fti.<\/p>\n
Buna g\u00f6re d\u0131\u015f ticaret dengesi beklentiyi 2,166 milyar dolar a\u015ft\u0131. Veriler Mart ay\u0131n\u0131 kaps\u0131yor.<\/p>\n
Mart ay\u0131nda beklentileri a\u015fan 13,966 milyar dolarl\u0131k d\u0131\u015f ticaret fazlas\u0131, Rusya\u2019n\u0131n ihracata dayal\u0131 ekonomisinin (b\u00fcy\u00fcmesinin \u00f6nemli k\u0131sm\u0131 ihracattan gelen yap\u0131) dayan\u0131kl\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6steriyor. Bu s\u00fcrpriz, rublede (Rus para birimi) daha \u00f6nce bekledi\u011fimizden daha g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc bir \u201ctaban\u201d (d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015flerde destek seviyesi) olu\u015fabilece\u011fine i\u015faret ediyor. Bu nedenle rubleye kar\u015f\u0131 a\u00e7\u0131lm\u0131\u015f \u201ck\u0131sa pozisyonlar\u0131\u201d (fiyat d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f\u00fcnden kazan\u00e7 hedefleyen i\u015flemler) yeniden de\u011ferlendirmek gerekir; \u00e7\u00fcnk\u00fc temel destek (ticaret fazlas\u0131, ihracat geliri gibi g\u00f6stergelerin sa\u011flad\u0131\u011f\u0131 destek) daha g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcyor.<\/p>\n
Bu veri, enerji piyasalar\u0131nda g\u00f6rd\u00fc\u011f\u00fcm\u00fcz son e\u011filimlerle de uyumlu. Brent petrol fiyat\u0131 Nisan sonu ve May\u0131s ba\u015f\u0131nda 2026\u2019da varil ba\u015f\u0131na 95 dolar\u0131n \u00fczerinde kalmay\u0131 s\u00fcrd\u00fcrd\u00fc. Urals petrol\u00fcndeki iskontonun (Urals\u2019\u0131n Brent\u2019e g\u00f6re daha d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck fiyattan sat\u0131lmas\u0131) ise 2025\u2019in son \u00e7eyre\u011finde ortalama 18 dolardan 12 dolara geriledi\u011fi g\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcyor. Bu fiyat g\u00fcc\u00fc, ihracat gelirlerini do\u011frudan art\u0131rarak Mart ay\u0131ndaki fazla verisini destekliyor.<\/p>\n
Bu \u00e7er\u00e7evede, \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki haftalar i\u00e7in d\u00f6viz t\u00fcrev (kur hareketine ba\u011fl\u0131 s\u00f6zle\u015fmeler) stratejilerinde ayarlama d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fclmeli. Rublede a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6n riskine kar\u015f\u0131 koruma maliyeti, \u00f6zellikle USD\/RUB al\u0131m opsiyonu (call; kur y\u00fckselirse kazan\u00e7 sa\u011flayan opsiyon) sat\u0131n almak, mevcut riskle k\u0131yasland\u0131\u011f\u0131nda pahal\u0131 kalabilir. Bu nedenle bu t\u00fcr call opsiyonlar\u0131n\u0131n bir k\u0131sm\u0131n\u0131 satmak ya da rublede yataydan-g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc seyre (istikrarl\u0131 veya g\u00fc\u00e7lenen rubleye) yarayan pozisyonlar almak g\u00fcndeme gelebilir.<\/p>\n
Ticaret verileri, ikinci \u00e7eyrek i\u00e7in baz\u0131 emtialarda (petrol gibi ham maddeler) olumlu (y\u00fckseli\u015f y\u00f6nl\u00fc) bir g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fc de destekliyor. Rusya ihracat\u0131ndaki bu g\u00fc\u00e7, \u00f6zellikle Asya\u2019daki \u00f6nemli al\u0131c\u0131lardan gelen k\u00fcresel talebin g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc kald\u0131\u011f\u0131na i\u015faret ediyor. Petrol t\u00fcrevlerinde uzun pozisyon (fiyat art\u0131\u015f\u0131ndan kazan\u00e7 hedefleyen i\u015flem) art\u0131rmak i\u00e7in, Temmuz veya A\u011fustos vadeli Brent vadeli i\u015flemleri (futures; ileri tarihte belirli fiyattan al\u0131m-sat\u0131m s\u00f6zle\u015fmesi) \u00fczerine al\u0131m opsiyonu (call) almak de\u011ferlendirilebilir.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"
Rusya\u2019n\u0131n Mart d\u0131\u015f ticaret fazlas\u0131 13,966 milyar dolarla 11,8 milyar beklentiyi a\u015ft\u0131: \u0130hracat dayan\u0131kl\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131 rublede g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc taban sinyali veriyor, k\u0131sa pozisyonlar sorgulan\u0131yor; Brent\/Urals fiyat g\u00fcc\u00fc emtia ve t\u00fcrev stratejilerini etkiliyor.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-46682","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/46682","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=46682"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/46682\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=46682"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=46682"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=46682"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}