USD\/CHF per\u015fembe g\u00fcn\u00fc yatay seyretti ve 0,7800 seviyesinin hemen \u00fczerinde tutundu. Piyasalar\u0131n oda\u011f\u0131nda, ABD Ba\u015fkan\u0131 Donald Trump\u2019\u0131n \u00c7in ziyareti sonras\u0131 olu\u015facak tablo vard\u0131. \u0130ran\u2019daki \u00e7\u0131kmaz\u0131n yaratt\u0131\u011f\u0131 \u201cg\u00fcvenli liman\u201d talebi (yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n risk art\u0131nca daha g\u00fcvenli g\u00f6r\u00fclen varl\u0131klara y\u00f6nelmesi) ve y\u00fckselen ABD Hazine tahvili faizleri de fiyatlamay\u0131 etkiledi.<\/p>\n
Trump ile \u00c7in Devlet Ba\u015fkan\u0131 \u015ei Cinping iki saatlik bir g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fme yapt\u0131. Trump g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fmelerin olumlu ge\u00e7ti\u011fini s\u00f6ylerken, \u015ei ikili ili\u015fkilerin istikrarl\u0131 oldu\u011funu ve g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015flerin ayr\u0131nt\u0131l\u0131 \u015fekilde ele al\u0131nd\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 belirtti.<\/p>\n
Bu hafta \u0130svi\u00e7re taraf\u0131nda veri ak\u0131\u015f\u0131 s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 kald\u0131. ABD\u2019de ise enflasyon verileri, nisan ay\u0131nda enerji fiyatlar\u0131ndaki sert art\u0131\u015f\u0131n (enerji kaynakl\u0131 \u201cfiyat \u015foku\u201d) fiyatlar \u00fczerindeki etkisinin beklenenden g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc oldu\u011funa i\u015faret etti. Bu durum, Fed\u2019in (ABD Merkez Bankas\u0131) y\u0131l\u0131n ikinci yar\u0131s\u0131nda faiz art\u0131raca\u011f\u0131 beklentisini g\u00fc\u00e7lendirdi. Fed\u2019in faiz art\u0131rma ihtimalinin artmas\u0131, ABD tahvil faizlerini ve dolar\u0131 destekledi.<\/p>\n
4 saatlik grafikte parite \u201cd\u00fc\u015fen kama\u201d formasyonu i\u00e7inde i\u015flem g\u00f6r\u00fcyordu. D\u00fc\u015fen kama, fiyat\u0131n a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 e\u011fimli ama s\u0131k\u0131\u015farak ilerledi\u011fi bir yap\u0131 olup, \u00e7o\u011fu zaman yukar\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc k\u0131r\u0131lma ihtimalini art\u0131ran bir teknik g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm olarak izlenir. RSI (G\u00f6reli G\u00fc\u00e7 Endeksi: 0-100 aral\u0131\u011f\u0131nda momentumu \u00f6l\u00e7en g\u00f6sterge) \u201cy\u00fckseli\u015f uyumsuzlu\u011fu\u201d g\u00f6sterdi; yani fiyat zay\u0131flarken g\u00f6stergenin g\u00fc\u00e7lenmesi olas\u0131 toparlanmaya i\u015faret etti. RSI 56\u2019ya yak\u0131n seyrederken, MACD (hareketli ortalamalar fark\u0131na dayal\u0131 trend\/momentum g\u00f6stergesi) \u00e7izgileri hafif pozitifti.<\/p>\n
Paritenin 4 May\u0131s zirvesi ve kaman\u0131n \u00fcst band\u0131 olan yakla\u015f\u0131k 0,7845\u2019in \u00fczerine \u00e7\u0131kmas\u0131, y\u00fckseli\u015f y\u00f6n\u00fcnde d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015f\u00fc teyit edebilirdi. Sonraki diren\u00e7ler 0,7930 civar\u0131nda izlenirken, destek seviyeleri 0,7760 ve 0,7740; ard\u0131ndan 0,7670 olarak belirtiliyordu.<\/p>\n
Buna g\u00f6re, yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki haftalarda d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f beklentisiyle temmuz vadeli 0,8500 \u201cput\u201d (sat\u0131m) opsiyonu al\u0131m\u0131n\u0131 de\u011ferlendirebilir. Put opsiyonu, belirli bir tarihe kadar belirli bir fiyattan satma hakk\u0131 vererek d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015fe oynama imk\u00e2n\u0131 sa\u011flar. Daha s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 risk ve daha d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck maliyetli bir se\u00e7enek olarak \u201cay\u0131 put spread\u201d (d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015fe y\u00f6nelik opsiyon kombinasyonu) \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131kar: Temmuz 0,8500 put al\u0131n\u0131rken ayn\u0131 anda temmuz 0,8350 put sat\u0131l\u0131r. Bu yap\u0131 ba\u015flang\u0131\u00e7 maliyetini azalt\u0131r ve parite 0,8350 seviyesine do\u011fru gerilerse kazan\u00e7 potansiyeli sunar.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"
USD\/CHF 0,7800 \u00fczerinde yatay; \u0130ran kaynakl\u0131 g\u00fcvenli liman talebi ve y\u00fckselen ABD tahvil faizleri etkili. Trump-\u015ei g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fmesi izlenirken, Fed faiz art\u0131\u015f\u0131 beklentisi dolar\u0131 destekliyor; teknik g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm ve opsiyon stratejileri \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131k\u0131yor.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-46666","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/46666","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=46666"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/46666\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=46666"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=46666"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=46666"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}