Japon Yeni, Per\u015fembe g\u00fcn\u00fc Avrupa seans\u0131nda ABD Dolar\u0131 kar\u015f\u0131s\u0131nda zay\u0131flad\u0131; USD\/JPY iki haftan\u0131n zirvesi olan 158,00 seviyesine yak\u0131n seyretti. Parite, ABD Dolar\u0131\u2019n\u0131n g\u00fc\u00e7lenmeye devam etmesiyle g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc kald\u0131.<\/p>\n
Bu hafta ABD Dolar Endeksi (DXY) \u2014Dolar\u0131n alt\u0131 b\u00fcy\u00fck para birimine kar\u015f\u0131 performans\u0131n\u0131 \u00f6l\u00e7en endeks\u2014 %0,72 y\u00fckselerek yakla\u015f\u0131k 98,55\u2019e \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131. Dolar, ABD Merkez Bankas\u0131\u2019n\u0131n (Fed) bu y\u0131l faiz indirmeyece\u011fi beklentisiyle destek buldu.<\/p>\n
CME FedWatch arac\u0131 \u2014piyasan\u0131n Fed faiz beklentisini vadeli i\u015flemler fiyatlar\u0131ndan \u00e7\u0131karan g\u00f6sterge\u2014 Fed\u2019in faizi sabit tutmas\u0131 veya en az bir kez art\u0131rmas\u0131 beklendi\u011fini g\u00f6steriyor; de\u011fi\u015fiklik olmamas\u0131 ihtimali %66,8. Bu beklentiler, Nisan ay\u0131 ABD T\u00dcFE (CPI: t\u00fcketici fiyat endeksi) verisinde man\u015fet enflasyonun y\u0131ll\u0131k %3,8\u2019e y\u00fckselmesiyle g\u00fc\u00e7lendi; bu oran yakla\u015f\u0131k \u00fc\u00e7 y\u0131l\u0131n en y\u00fckse\u011fi.<\/p>\n
Piyasalar ayr\u0131ca ABD Ba\u015fkan\u0131 Donald Trump\u2019\u0131n, \u00c7in lideri \u015ei Cinping ile g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fmesinin ard\u0131ndan yapaca\u011f\u0131 a\u00e7\u0131klamalar\u0131 bekledi. Japonya\u2019da Japonya Merkez Bankas\u0131\u2019n\u0131n (BoJ) Nisan \u201cG\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fler \u00d6zeti\u201d, Orta Do\u011fu kaynakl\u0131 belirsizliklere ra\u011fmen faiz art\u0131\u015f\u0131n\u0131n bir sonraki toplant\u0131da gelebilece\u011fine i\u015faret etti.<\/p>\n
Per\u015fembe g\u00fcn\u00fc ilerleyen saatlerde odak, 12:30 GMT\u2019de a\u00e7\u0131klanacak Nisan ay\u0131 ABD Perakende Sat\u0131\u015f verisine \u00e7evriliyor. Beklenti %0,5 art\u0131\u015f y\u00f6n\u00fcnde; \u00f6nceki veri %1,7 art\u0131\u015ft\u0131.<\/p>\n
ABD-japonya faiz fark\u0131 h\u00e2l\u00e2 \u00e7ok geni\u015f; \u015fu anda 5 y\u00fczde puan\u0131n \u00fczerinde. Bu b\u00fcy\u00fck fark, \u201ccarry trade\u201d (faiz fark\u0131 i\u015flemi: d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck faizli para biriminden bor\u00e7lan\u0131p y\u00fcksek faizli para birimine yat\u0131r\u0131m yapma) kapsam\u0131nda Yen\u2019deki zay\u0131fl\u0131\u011fa oynayan i\u015flemleri canl\u0131 tutuyor.<\/p>\n
USD\/JPY opsiyonlar\u0131nda \u201cima edilen oynakl\u0131k\u201d (implied volatility: opsiyon fiyatlar\u0131na yans\u0131yan beklenen kur dalgalanmas\u0131) y\u00fcksek kal\u0131yor. Bu durum, devletin Yeni desteklemek i\u00e7in m\u00fcdahale edebilece\u011fi endi\u015fesini yans\u0131t\u0131yor. Geni\u015f piyasa korkusunu \u00f6l\u00e7en VIX endeksi 13,5 ile g\u00f6rece sakin olsa da, d\u00f6viz taraf\u0131nda riskler belirgin. \u0130\u015flem yapanlar, y\u00f6n se\u00e7meden b\u00fcy\u00fck hareket beklemek i\u00e7in \u201cstraddle\u201d (ayn\u0131 vadede ayn\u0131 kullan\u0131m fiyat\u0131ndan hem al\u0131m hem sat\u0131m opsiyonu alma stratejisi) kullanabilir.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"
Dolar r\u00fczg\u00e2r\u0131 Yen\u2019i savuruyor: USD\/JPY 158\u2019e yak\u0131n. DXY %0,72 artt\u0131; Fed indirim yok beklentisi g\u00fc\u00e7leniyor. BoJ mesaj\u0131 kar\u0131\u015f\u0131k. G\u00f6zler ABD perakende sat\u0131\u015flar\u0131nda ve olas\u0131 m\u00fcdahalede.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-46659","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/46659","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=46659"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/46659\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=46659"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=46659"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=46659"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}