AUD\/JPY, Per\u015fembe g\u00fcn\u00fc erken Avrupa i\u015flemlerinde 114,65 civar\u0131nda y\u00fckseldi. Piyasalar, ABD Ba\u015fkan\u0131 Donald Trump ile \u00c7in Devlet Ba\u015fkan\u0131 \u015ei Cinping\u2019in Per\u015fembe ve Cuma g\u00fcnleri Pekin\u2019de yapaca\u011f\u0131 g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fmeyi izliyor.<\/p>\n
\u00c7in\u2019in devlet haber ajans\u0131 Xinhua\u2019ya g\u00f6re \u015ei, ziyaretteki ABD\u2019li \u015firket y\u00f6neticilerine \u00c7in\u2019in kap\u0131s\u0131n\u0131n \u201cdaha da geni\u015f a\u00e7\u0131laca\u011f\u0131n\u0131\u201d s\u00f6yledi. \u015ei, ABD\u2019li \u015firketlerin \u00c7in\u2019de daha fazla i\u015f f\u0131rsat\u0131 bulaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 ifade etti.<\/p>\n
G\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fme, B\u00fcy\u00fck Halk Salonu\u2019nda yap\u0131ld\u0131. Toplant\u0131ya Elon Musk, Nvidia\u2019n\u0131n CEO\u2019su Jensen Huang ve Apple\u2019\u0131n CEO\u2019su Tim Cook kat\u0131ld\u0131. Trump, Sal\u0131 g\u00fcn\u00fc \u015ei\u2019den \u00c7in\u2019i \u201cdaha fazla a\u00e7mas\u0131n\u0131\u201d isteyece\u011fini s\u00f6yledi.<\/p>\n
G\u00fcnl\u00fck grafikte AUD\/JPY, 100 g\u00fcnl\u00fck Basit Hareketli Ortalama\u2019n\u0131n (SMA: belirli g\u00fcn say\u0131s\u0131ndaki fiyatlar\u0131n ortalamas\u0131n\u0131 alan ve trendi g\u00f6steren g\u00f6sterge) ve Bollinger Bantlar\u0131\u2019n\u0131n orta \u00e7izgisinin (fiyat\u0131n oynakl\u0131\u011f\u0131na g\u00f6re \u00fcst-orta-alt kanal olu\u015fturan teknik g\u00f6sterge) \u00fczerinde kald\u0131. 14 g\u00fcnl\u00fck RSI yakla\u015f\u0131k 63 seviyesindeydi. RSI (G\u00f6reli G\u00fc\u00e7 Endeksi: 0-100 aras\u0131 \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fcmle al\u0131m-sat\u0131m bask\u0131s\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6sterir) y\u00fckseli\u015f b\u00f6lgesinde kal\u0131rken a\u015f\u0131r\u0131 al\u0131m (genelde 70 \u00fczeri) seviyesine ula\u015fmad\u0131.<\/p>\n
Diren\u00e7 (fiyat\u0131n y\u00fckselirken zorland\u0131\u011f\u0131 seviye) 115,00 civar\u0131nda ve Bollinger \u00fcst band\u0131nda. Destek (fiyat\u0131n d\u00fc\u015ferken tutunmaya \u00e7al\u0131\u015ft\u0131\u011f\u0131 seviye) 114,02; ard\u0131ndan 113,80 ve 112,63 seviyelerinde. 100 g\u00fcnl\u00fck SMA ise 110,18\u2019de.<\/p>\n
Japon yeni; Japonya ekonomisi, Japonya Merkez Bankas\u0131 (BoJ) politikas\u0131, Japonya ve ABD tahvil faizleri aras\u0131ndaki fark (getiri fark\u0131) ve piyasalardaki risk i\u015ftah\u0131ndan etkilenir. BoJ, 2013-2024 d\u00f6neminde \u00e7ok gev\u015fek para politikas\u0131 uygulad\u0131 (d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck faiz ve bol likidite), 2024\u2019te ise bu politikay\u0131 geri \u00e7ekme s\u00fcrecine ba\u015flad\u0131. Bu s\u0131rada 10 y\u0131ll\u0131k ABD-Japonya tahvil faizi fark\u0131 daral\u0131yor.<\/p>\n
Son y\u0131llarda zirvelerde g\u00f6r\u00fclen ABD-\u00c7in ili\u015fkilerine dair iyimserlik, AUD\/JPY i\u00e7in art\u0131k eskisi kadar belirleyici de\u011fil. Parite bir d\u00f6nem \u00c7in\u2019in ekonomisini a\u00e7aca\u011f\u0131 beklentisiyle 115,00 civar\u0131n\u0131 test ederken, \u015fimdi 105,50 \u00e7evresinde zorlanan bir g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131k\u0131yor. Temel dinamikler de\u011fi\u015fti ve piyasa alg\u0131s\u0131 \u00f6nceki kadar g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc de\u011fil.<\/p>\n
Avustralya dolar\u0131n\u0131n y\u00f6n\u00fc h\u00e2l\u00e2 \u00c7in\u2019e ba\u011fl\u0131. Ancak son veriler olumsuz sinyal verdi. \u00c7in\u2019in Caixin \u0130malat PMI\u2019\u0131 (sat\u0131n alma y\u00f6neticileri endeksi; 50 \u00fcst\u00fc b\u00fcy\u00fcme, 50 alt\u0131 daralma) Nisan 2026\u2019da beklenmedik \u015fekilde 49,8\u2019e geriledi. Bu, daralmaya i\u015faret ederek Avustralya\u2019n\u0131n emtia (demir cevheri gibi ham madde) ihracat\u0131na olan talep konusunda endi\u015fe yaratt\u0131. Bu tablo, 2025\u2019in b\u00fcy\u00fck b\u00f6l\u00fcm\u00fcndeki b\u00fcy\u00fcmeye i\u015faret eden verilerden farkl\u0131 ve toparlanman\u0131n h\u0131z kesti\u011fini g\u00f6steriyor; bu da Avustralya dolar\u0131n\u0131 bask\u0131l\u0131yor.<\/p>\n
Paritenin di\u011fer taraf\u0131nda BoJ\u2019un duru\u015fu, 2024\u2019te a\u015f\u0131r\u0131 gev\u015fek politikadan \u00e7\u0131k\u0131\u015fa ba\u015flamas\u0131ndan bu yana belirgin bi\u00e7imde de\u011fi\u015fti. 2025\u2019te iki k\u00fc\u00e7\u00fck faiz art\u0131\u015f\u0131n\u0131n ard\u0131ndan piyasa, y\u0131l\u0131n \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcnc\u00fc \u00e7eyre\u011fi sonuna kadar 15 baz puanl\u0131k (0,15 puan) yeni bir art\u0131\u015f olas\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 %70\u2019in \u00fczerinde fiyatl\u0131yor. Ama\u00e7, kal\u0131c\u0131 enflasyonla m\u00fccadele. Buna kar\u015f\u0131l\u0131k Avustralya Merkez Bankas\u0131\u2019n\u0131n (RBA) faizi sabit tutmas\u0131, politika ayr\u0131\u015fmas\u0131n\u0131 art\u0131rarak yeni destekliyor.<\/p>\n
Teknik g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm de bu temkinli duru\u015fla uyumlu. 2025\u2019in sonlar\u0131nda \u201cdeath cross\u201d (\u00f6l\u00fcm kesi\u015fimi: 50 g\u00fcnl\u00fck ortalaman\u0131n 200 g\u00fcnl\u00fck ortalaman\u0131n alt\u0131na inmesi; uzun vadeli d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f sinyali) olu\u015ftu ve d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f trendi s\u00fcrd\u00fc. RSI \u015fu anda 45 civar\u0131nda seyrediyor; bu da y\u00fckseli\u015f b\u00f6lgesinin d\u0131\u015f\u0131nda kal\u0131nd\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 ve sat\u0131\u015f bask\u0131s\u0131n\u0131n \u00f6nde oldu\u011funu g\u00f6steriyor.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"
AUD\/JPY 114,65\u2019e t\u0131rman\u0131rken g\u00f6zler Trump-\u015ei zirvesinde: \u015ei \u201cdaha fazla a\u00e7\u0131l\u0131m\u201d mesaj\u0131 verdi. Teknikte 115 diren\u00e7, 114 destek. Caixin PMI 49,8, BoJ s\u0131k\u0131la\u015fmas\u0131 ve RBA dura\u011fanl\u0131\u011f\u0131 bask\u0131 yarat\u0131yor.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-46638","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/46638","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=46638"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/46638\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=46638"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=46638"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=46638"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}