GBP\/JPY \u00c7ar\u015famba g\u00fcn\u00fc 213,50 civar\u0131nda i\u015flem g\u00f6rd\u00fc ve g\u00fcn\u00fc neredeyse de\u011fi\u015fmeden, %0,04 art\u0131da kapatt\u0131. Parite, 50 g\u00fcnl\u00fck basit hareketli ortalaman\u0131n (SMA: fiyat\u0131n son 50 g\u00fcn ortalamas\u0131; k\u0131sa-orta vadeli y\u00f6n\u00fc g\u00f6sterir) 213,16 seviyesinin \u00fczerinde kald\u0131. 213,50 seviyesi ise y\u00fckseli\u015fi s\u0131n\u0131rlamay\u0131 s\u00fcrd\u00fcrd\u00fc. <\/p>\n
30 Nisan\u2019daki m\u00fcdahalenin ard\u0131ndan GBP\/JPY 210,00\u2013212,00 band\u0131nda dengelendi. Daha sonra 50 g\u00fcnl\u00fck SMA\u2019n\u0131n \u00fczerine \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131 ancak 213,50\u2019nin \u00fczerine yerle\u015femedi. <\/p>\n
RSI (G\u00f6reli G\u00fc\u00e7 Endeksi: 0\u2013100 aras\u0131 bir g\u00f6stergedir; 50 civar\u0131 al\u0131c\u0131 ve sat\u0131c\u0131 g\u00fcc\u00fcn\u00fcn dengeli oldu\u011funu anlat\u0131r) n\u00f6tr 50 seviyesine yak\u0131n ve yatay. Bu, al\u0131c\u0131lar ile sat\u0131c\u0131lar aras\u0131nda dengenin korundu\u011funu g\u00f6sterir. <\/p>\n
214,00 \u00fczeri hareket, 214,43 ve ard\u0131ndan 215,00 seviyelerini g\u00fcndeme getirebilir. Bu seviyeler a\u015f\u0131l\u0131rsa bir sonraki seviye y\u0131l i\u00e7i zirve olan 216,60 olur. <\/p>\n
D\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn s\u00fcrmesi i\u00e7in paritenin \u00f6nce 50 g\u00fcnl\u00fck SMA\u2019n\u0131n, ard\u0131ndan 213,00\u2019\u00fcn alt\u0131na inmesi gerekir. Sonraki destekler 100 g\u00fcnl\u00fck SMA (son 100 g\u00fcn ortalamas\u0131; daha uzun vadeli e\u011filimi izlemek i\u00e7in) 212,19 ve 6 May\u0131s dip seviyesi 210,76. <\/p>\n
2025 ortas\u0131nda 215,00 y\u00f6nl\u00fc beklenen y\u00fckseli\u015f g\u00f6r\u00fclse de kal\u0131c\u0131 olmad\u0131; \u0130ngiltere Merkez Bankas\u0131\u2019n\u0131n (BoE) daha gev\u015fek politikaya (faiz indirimi ve finansal ko\u015fullar\u0131 yumu\u015fatma) y\u00f6nelmesiyle tablo de\u011fi\u015fti. Nisan 2026\u2019da \u0130ngiltere enflasyonunun iki y\u0131l\u0131n en d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck seviyesi olan %2,1\u2019e gerilemesi sonras\u0131 piyasalar, y\u0131l bitmeden en az iki faiz indirimi olas\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 fiyatl\u0131yor. (Piyasalar\u0131n \u201cfiyatlamas\u0131\u201d, yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n \u00fcr\u00fcn fiyatlar\u0131na bu beklentiyi yans\u0131tmas\u0131d\u0131r.) <\/p>\n
\u00d6te yandan Japonya Merkez Bankas\u0131 (BoJ) daha net bir s\u0131k\u0131la\u015fma \u00e7izgisine ge\u00e7ti ve 2026\u2019n\u0131n ilk \u00e7eyre\u011finde politika faizini 15 baz puan art\u0131rd\u0131. (Baz puan: faiz oran\u0131nda %0,01\u2019lik de\u011fi\u015fim.) Ayr\u0131ca ayl\u0131k tahvil al\u0131mlar\u0131nda belirgin bir azalma g\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcyor. Bu, parasal s\u0131k\u0131la\u015fma ad\u0131m\u0131 olarak \u201cniceliksel s\u0131k\u0131la\u015ft\u0131rma\u201dya (merkez bankas\u0131n\u0131n piyasadan daha az tahvil alarak\/portf\u00f6y\u00fcn\u00fc k\u00fc\u00e7\u00fclterek para deste\u011fini azaltmas\u0131) i\u015faret ediyor ve Yen\u2019i destekliyor. Bu durum, 2024 ve 2025 ba\u015f\u0131nda pariteyi yukar\u0131 ta\u015f\u0131yan \u201ccarry trade\u201d (d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck faizli para biriminden bor\u00e7lan\u0131p y\u00fcksek faizli para birimine ge\u00e7erek faiz fark\u0131ndan kazan\u00e7 hedefleme) cazibesini zay\u0131flatt\u0131. <\/p>\n
Mevcut ko\u015fullarda yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar daha fazla d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f ya da bant hareketini (belirli bir aral\u0131kta dalgalanma) dikkate alabilir. 200,00 alt\u0131 kullan\u0131m fiyatl\u0131 (strike: opsiyonun al\u0131m\/sat\u0131m hakk\u0131n\u0131 verdi\u011fi fiyat) put opsiyonu (sat\u0131m opsiyonu: fiyat d\u00fc\u015ferse de\u011fer kazan\u0131r) almak, riski \u00f6nceden s\u0131n\u0131rlayan bir y\u00f6ntem sunar. Ayr\u0131ca 205,00 civar\u0131nda tavan\u0131 olan call spread (al\u0131m opsiyonlar\u0131nda ayn\u0131 vadede bir al\u0131p daha \u00fcst seviyeden bir satma; kazan\u00e7 ve risk s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131d\u0131r) satmak, d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f ya da yatay g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fle prim geliri (opsiyon primi: s\u00f6zle\u015fme bedeli) elde etmeye y\u00f6nelik bir se\u00e7enek olabilir.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"
Sterlin\/Yen 213,50\u2019de s\u0131k\u0131\u015ft\u0131: 50 g\u00fcnl\u00fck SMA \u00fcst\u00fcnde kalsa da diren\u00e7 a\u015f\u0131lam\u0131yor. RSI n\u00f6tr. BoE gev\u015feme, BoJ s\u0131k\u0131la\u015fma sinyaliyle bask\u0131 art\u0131yor; 214-216,60 hedef, a\u015fa\u011f\u0131da 213-210,76. Opsiyon stratejileri \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131k\u0131yor.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-46629","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/46629","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=46629"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/46629\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=46629"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=46629"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=46629"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}