WTI ham petrol\u00fc sal\u0131 g\u00fcn\u00fc yakla\u015f\u0131k %3,3 y\u00fckselerek birka\u00e7 g\u00fcnd\u00fcr s\u00fcren \u00e7\u0131k\u0131\u015f\u0131 uzatt\u0131 ve spot i\u015flemlerde (anl\u0131k piyasada) 100 dolara yakla\u015ft\u0131. Fiyat kapan\u0131\u015fta 99,40 dolar civar\u0131ndayd\u0131; ard\u0131ndan 98,70 dolar seviyesinde i\u015flem g\u00f6rd\u00fc. Daha sonra 98,30 ve 98,66 dolar seviyeleri de kaydedildi.<\/p>\n
Hareketin arkas\u0131nda, Ba\u015fkan Trump\u2019\u0131n \u0130ran\u2019\u0131n son bar\u0131\u015f \u00f6nerisini reddetmesi ve ate\u015fkesi \u201cinan\u0131lmaz derecede zay\u0131f\u201d diye nitelemesi vard\u0131. Haberlere g\u00f6re Trump, olas\u0131 yeni asker\u00ee ad\u0131mlar ile H\u00fcrm\u00fcz Bo\u011faz\u0131\u2019ndan (k\u00fcresel petrol ta\u015f\u0131mac\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131 i\u00e7in kritik ge\u00e7i\u015f noktas\u0131) ticari gemilere refakat edilmesi konular\u0131n\u0131 ulusal g\u00fcvenlik ekibiyle g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fmeyi planlad\u0131.<\/p>\n
Saudi Aramco CEO\u2019su Amin Nasser, piyasada her hafta yakla\u015f\u0131k 100 milyon varillik arz kayb\u0131 ya\u015fand\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 s\u00f6yledi. Nasser ayr\u0131ca, aksama s\u00fcrerse normal ko\u015fullara d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn 2027\u2019ye sarkabilece\u011fini belirtti.<\/p>\n
\u00c7ar\u015famba g\u00fcn\u00fc a\u00e7\u0131klanacak EIA stok raporunun (ABD Enerji Enformasyon \u0130daresi\u2019nin haftal\u0131k petrol ve yak\u0131t stok verisi), H\u00fcrm\u00fcz\u2019deki kapanma s\u00fcrecinde ABD arz ko\u015fullar\u0131na dair g\u00fcncelleme vermesi bekleniyor. Ge\u00e7en hafta EIA verisinde stoklar 2,3 milyon varil azald\u0131; beklenti 3,3 milyon varillik azal\u0131\u015ft\u0131.<\/p>\n
15 dakikal\u0131k grafikte g\u00fcn\u00fcn a\u00e7\u0131l\u0131\u015f\u0131 95,14 dolard\u0131; Stochastic RSI (momentum g\u00f6stergesi; fiyat\u0131n son d\u00f6nemde \u201ca\u015f\u0131r\u0131 al\u0131m\/a\u015f\u0131r\u0131 sat\u0131m\u201d b\u00f6lgesine yakla\u015f\u0131p yakla\u015fmad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 anlamaya yarar) yakla\u015f\u0131k 42 seviyesindeydi. G\u00fcnl\u00fck grafikte WTI, 105 dolar b\u00f6lgesinden gelen geri \u00e7ekilme sonras\u0131 50 g\u00fcnl\u00fck EMA\u2019n\u0131n (\u00fcstel hareketli ortalama; son fiyatlara daha fazla a\u011f\u0131rl\u0131k verir) yakla\u015f\u0131k 90,30 dolar ve 200 g\u00fcnl\u00fck EMA\u2019n\u0131n yakla\u015f\u0131k 74,81 dolar seviyesinin \u00fczerinde i\u015flem g\u00f6rd\u00fc.<\/p>\n
Ge\u00e7en y\u0131lki dalgalanmay\u0131 hat\u0131rl\u0131yoruz: \u0130ran bar\u0131\u015f \u00f6nerisi reddedildikten sonra WTI neredeyse varil ba\u015f\u0131na 100 dolara ula\u015fm\u0131\u015ft\u0131. 2025\u2019teki bu sert y\u00fckseli\u015f, H\u00fcrm\u00fcz Bo\u011faz\u0131\u2019ndaki jeopolitik gerginli\u011fin piyasay\u0131 ne kadar h\u0131zl\u0131 etkileyebildi\u011fini g\u00f6steriyor. Bug\u00fcn WTI 88 dolar civar\u0131nda seyrederken, piyasa arz tarafl\u0131 (\u00fcretim\/ta\u015f\u0131ma kaynakl\u0131) her habere sert tepki veriyor.<\/p>\n
Yaz aylar\u0131ndaki yo\u011fun ara\u00e7 kullan\u0131m\u0131 d\u00f6nemine girilirken arz taraf\u0131ndaki s\u0131k\u0131l\u0131k s\u00fcr\u00fcyor. 6 May\u0131s 2026 tarihli son EIA raporu, ham petrol stoklar\u0131nda 2,1 milyon varillik azal\u0131\u015f g\u00f6sterdi. Bu, talebin yeniden arz\u0131 a\u015fmaya ba\u015flad\u0131\u011f\u0131na i\u015faret ediyor. Ek aksakl\u0131klar, fiyatlar\u0131 2025\u2019te g\u00f6r\u00fclen zirvelere h\u0131zla yakla\u015ft\u0131rabilir.<\/p>\n
OPEC+ (OPEC ve ortak \u00fcreticiler) \u00fcretim k\u0131s\u0131nt\u0131lar\u0131n\u0131 s\u00fcrd\u00fcrerek fiyatlara taban olu\u015fturuyor ve arz endi\u015felerini art\u0131r\u0131yor. ABD enflasyon verilerinde de \u00e7ekirdek T\u00dcFE\u2019nin (enerji ve g\u0131da gibi oynak kalemler hari\u00e7 enflasyon) %3\u2019\u00fcn \u00fczerinde kalmas\u0131, merkez bankalar\u0131n\u0131n enerji kaynakl\u0131 yeni bir fiyat \u015fokuna kar\u015f\u0131 h\u00e2l\u00e2 hassas oldu\u011funu g\u00f6steriyor. Bu ortamda petrolde g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc bir y\u00fckseli\u015f, daha s\u0131k\u0131 para politikas\u0131 tepkisini (faiz art\u0131r\u0131m\u0131 veya daha uzun s\u00fcre y\u00fcksek faiz) g\u00fcndeme getirebilir.<\/p>\n
Yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan bu tablo, oynakl\u0131\u011f\u0131n (fiyatlar\u0131n h\u0131zl\u0131 ve sert dalgalanmas\u0131) y\u00fcksek kalabilece\u011fine i\u015faret ediyor. Bu da opsiyon stratejilerini \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131kar\u0131yor. Uzun vadeli al\u0131m opsiyonu (call; belirli fiyattan alma hakk\u0131) almak veya bo\u011fa call spread (daha d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck kullan\u0131m fiyatl\u0131 call al\u0131p daha y\u00fcksek kullan\u0131m fiyatl\u0131 call satmak; maliyeti d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcr\u00fcr) gibi y\u00f6ntemler, olas\u0131 arz \u015fokuna s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 riskle pozisyon almay\u0131 sa\u011flayabilir. Buna kar\u015f\u0131l\u0131k, ima edilen volatilite (opsiyon fiyatlar\u0131na yans\u0131yan beklenen oynakl\u0131k) y\u00fcksekken, 80 dolar\u0131n d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck seviyelerine do\u011fru sert geri \u00e7ekilmelerde nakit teminatl\u0131 put sat\u0131\u015f\u0131 (cash-secured put; olas\u0131 al\u0131m i\u00e7in nakit ay\u0131rarak sat\u0131\u015f opsiyonu satmak) prim geliri elde etmek ve daha iyi bir giri\u015f seviyesi hedeflemek i\u00e7in kullan\u0131labilir.<\/p>\n
Ge\u00e7en y\u0131lki t\u00fcrb\u00fclans\u0131n \u00f6nemli teknik seviyeleri art\u0131k g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc psikolojik e\u015fikler. 90 dolar seviyesi ilk \u00f6nemli diren\u00e7 b\u00f6lgesi (y\u00fckseli\u015fte zorlan\u0131lan seviye) olarak \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131k\u0131yor. As\u0131l s\u0131nav, fiyatlar\u0131n 95-100 dolar band\u0131n\u0131 yeniden zorlay\u0131p zorlayamayaca\u011f\u0131 olacak; bu b\u00f6lge 2025\u2019te \u201ctavan\u201d i\u015flevi g\u00f6rm\u00fc\u015ft\u00fc. Bir sonraki hareket i\u00e7in EIA verileri ve Orta Do\u011fu\u2019dan gelecek haber ak\u0131\u015f\u0131 izlenecek.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"
Petrolde tansiyon y\u00fckseliyor: WTI %3,3 s\u0131\u00e7ray\u0131p 100 dolara dayand\u0131. Trump\u2019\u0131n \u0130ran resti ve H\u00fcrm\u00fcz riski fiyatl\u0131yor. Aramco arz kayb\u0131 uyar\u0131yor; g\u00f6zler EIA verisi, 95-100 band\u0131.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-46558","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/46558","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=46558"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/46558\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=46558"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=46558"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=46558"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}