G\u00fcm\u00fc\u015f, Pazartesi g\u00fcn\u00fc %7\u2019nin \u00fczerinde y\u00fckseldikten sonra Sal\u0131 g\u00fcn\u00fc yatay seyretti. G\u00fcn i\u00e7i en d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck seviye olan 83,05 dolar\u0131 g\u00f6rd\u00fckten sonra %0,69 art\u0131\u015fla 86,58 dolara \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131.<\/p>\n
Teknik g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm, fiyat\u0131n Mart ay\u0131ndaki iki zirveden ge\u00e7en \u201cdiren\u00e7 trend \u00e7izgisinin\u201d (y\u00fckseli\u015fi s\u0131n\u0131rlayan \u00e7izgi) \u00fczerine \u00e7\u0131kmas\u0131yla n\u00f6trden \u201cn\u00f6tr-yukar\u0131\u201dya d\u00f6nd\u00fc. Bu \u00e7izgi 77,00 dolar civar\u0131nda.<\/p>\n
G\u00f6reli G\u00fc\u00e7 Endeksi (RSI: fiyat\u0131n son d\u00f6nemde ne kadar h\u0131zl\u0131 y\u00fckseldi\u011fini \u00f6l\u00e7en g\u00f6sterge) yukar\u0131 \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131 ve \u201ca\u015f\u0131r\u0131 al\u0131m\u201d b\u00f6lgesine (fiyat\u0131n k\u0131sa vadede fazla y\u00fckselmi\u015f olabilece\u011fi alan) yakla\u015ft\u0131. Bu, yukar\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc ivmenin g\u00fc\u00e7lendi\u011fine i\u015faret ediyor.<\/p>\n
G\u00fcm\u00fc\u015f 87,00 dolar\u0131 a\u015farsa 90,00 dolar\u0131 test edebilir. 90,00 dolar\u0131n \u00fczeri, 2 Mart zirvesi olan 96,62 dolar\u0131; ard\u0131ndan 100,00 dolar\u0131 g\u00fcndeme getirir.<\/p>\n
A\u015fa\u011f\u0131da ise 83,06 dolara geri \u00e7ekilme, 17 Nisan\u2019daki g\u00fcnl\u00fck zirvenin olu\u015fturdu\u011fu deste\u011fi (fiyat\u0131n d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015fte tutunmaya \u00e7al\u0131\u015ft\u0131\u011f\u0131 seviye) \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131kar\u0131r. Bunun alt\u0131nda s\u0131radaki seviyeler; 100 g\u00fcnl\u00fck SMA (basit hareketli ortalama: son 100 g\u00fcn\u00fcn ortalama fiyat\u0131) 80,92 dolar, 50 g\u00fcnl\u00fck SMA 76,99 dolar ve ard\u0131ndan 70,00 dolar.<\/p>\n
G\u00fcm\u00fc\u015f fiyatlar\u0131n\u0131; faiz oranlar\u0131, ABD Dolar\u0131\u2019ndaki hareketler ve talep, maden arz\u0131 ile geri d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015f\u00fcmdeki de\u011fi\u015fimler etkiler. Ayr\u0131ca elektronik ve g\u00fcne\u015f enerjisi gibi alanlardaki sanayi kullan\u0131m\u0131 da fiyatlar\u0131 etkileyebilir. G\u00fcm\u00fc\u015f \u00e7o\u011fu zaman alt\u0131n\u0131 takip eder; alt\u0131n\/g\u00fcm\u00fc\u015f oran\u0131 (iki metalin fiyat\u0131n\u0131 k\u0131yaslayan oran) g\u00f6reli de\u011ferlemeyi kar\u015f\u0131la\u015ft\u0131rmak i\u00e7in kullan\u0131l\u0131r.<\/p>\n
G\u00fcm\u00fc\u015f, 2025 ba\u015f\u0131ndan beri izlenen \u00f6nemli bir diren\u00e7 trend \u00e7izgisini net bi\u00e7imde a\u015farak n\u00f6tr g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcmden \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131. Fiyat\u0131n 86,00 dolar \u00fczerinde kalmas\u0131, bir s\u00fcre yatay seyrin (konsolidasyon: fiyat\u0131n dar aral\u0131kta gidip gelmesi) ard\u0131ndan al\u0131c\u0131lar\u0131n kontrol\u00fc art\u0131rd\u0131\u011f\u0131na i\u015faret ediyor. RSI\u2019nin a\u015f\u0131r\u0131 al\u0131m seviyelerine yakla\u015fmas\u0131 da bu g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc al\u0131m bask\u0131s\u0131n\u0131 destekliyor.<\/p>\n
Yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar i\u00e7in bu durum, y\u00fckseli\u015ften faydalanmak amac\u0131yla \u201cuzun call\u201d (al\u0131m opsiyonu sat\u0131n almak: belirli fiyattan alma hakk\u0131) veya \u201cbull call spread\u201d (y\u00fckseli\u015f spread\u2019i: daha d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck kullan\u0131m fiyat\u0131ndan call al\u0131p daha y\u00fcksek kullan\u0131m fiyat\u0131ndan call satarak maliyeti d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcrme) gibi stratejileri \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131karabilir. 87,00 dolar\u0131n kal\u0131c\u0131 \u015fekilde a\u015f\u0131lmas\u0131 bir sonraki teyit olur ve 90,00 dolardaki psikolojik e\u015fi\u011fe (yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n dikkat etti\u011fi yuvarlak seviye) do\u011fru alan a\u00e7ar. Son %7\u2019lik y\u00fckseli\u015f, daha b\u00fcy\u00fck bir y\u00fckseli\u015f dalgas\u0131n\u0131n ba\u015flang\u0131c\u0131 olabilir.<\/p>\n
Bu olumlu teknik g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm, g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc temel unsurlarla (fundamentaller: arz-talep ve makro ko\u015fullar) da destekleniyor; \u00f6zellikle sanayi taraf\u0131nda. K\u00fcresel talep rekor seviyelerde; 2026 ba\u015f\u0131na ait veriler, fotovoltaiklerde (g\u00fcne\u015f paneli teknolojisi) t\u00fcketimin y\u0131ll\u0131k %20, elektronik taraf\u0131n\u0131n ise %9 artt\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6steriyor. Bu kal\u0131c\u0131 sanayi talebi, 2025\u2019teki yava\u015flamada g\u00f6r\u00fclmeyen \u015fekilde fiyatlar i\u00e7in g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc bir taban olu\u015fturuyor.<\/p>\n
Makro g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm de, g\u00fcm\u00fc\u015f gibi \u201cgetiri \u00fcretmeyen varl\u0131klar\u201d (faiz\/temett\u00fc vermeyen varl\u0131klar) i\u00e7in daha elveri\u015fli hale geliyor. Piyasa beklentileri, d\u00f6rd\u00fcnc\u00fc \u00e7eyre\u011fe kadar ABD Merkez Bankas\u0131\u2019n\u0131n (Fed) faiz indirimi ihtimalini %65\u2019in \u00fczerine fiyatl\u0131yor. Son bir ayda %2 gerileyen ABD dolar\u0131ndaki zay\u0131fl\u0131k da g\u00fcm\u00fc\u015fe destek veriyor.<\/p>\n
Alt\u0131n\/g\u00fcm\u00fc\u015f oran\u0131 da izleniyor; oran 2025 boyunca g\u00f6r\u00fclen 85:1 \u00fczeri seviyelerden 78:1\u2019e geriledi. Bu, g\u00fcm\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn alt\u0131na g\u00f6re de\u011fer fark\u0131n\u0131 kapatt\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6sterir; bu e\u011filim k\u0131ymetli madenlerde y\u00fckseli\u015f d\u00f6nemlerinde h\u0131zlanabilir. G\u00fcm\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn oynakl\u0131\u011f\u0131 (fiyat\u0131n h\u0131zl\u0131 dalgalanmas\u0131) daha y\u00fcksek oldu\u011fu i\u00e7in trend s\u00fcrerse alt\u0131ndan daha iyi performans g\u00f6sterebilir.<\/p>\n
Ancak risk y\u00f6netimi \u00f6nemli. 83,00 dolar seviyesi yak\u0131ndan izlenmeli. Bu seviyenin alt\u0131na d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f, daha \u00f6nce diren\u00e7 olup sonra deste\u011fe d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015fen alan\u0131n k\u0131r\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131na ve y\u00fckseli\u015fin zay\u0131flad\u0131\u011f\u0131na i\u015faret edebilir. Bu senaryoda \u201cput\u201d (sat\u0131m opsiyonu: belirli fiyattan satma hakk\u0131) almak veya \u201cbear put spread\u201d (d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f spread\u2019i: daha y\u00fcksek kullan\u0131m fiyat\u0131ndan put al\u0131p daha d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck kullan\u0131m fiyat\u0131ndan put satarak maliyeti d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcrme) kurmak, 80,92 dolardaki 100 g\u00fcnl\u00fck ortalamaya do\u011fru geri \u00e7ekilmeye kar\u015f\u0131 korunma (hedge: riski dengeleme) amac\u0131yla de\u011ferlendirilebilir.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"
G\u00fcm\u00fc\u015f 86,58 dolarda yatay; teknik g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm diren\u00e7 trend \u00e7izgisi \u00fcst\u00fcnde \u201cn\u00f6tr-yukar\u0131\u201d. RSI a\u015f\u0131r\u0131 al\u0131ma yak\u0131n. 87 \u00fcst\u00fc 90-96,62-100 hedef. 83 alt\u0131 risk. G\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc sanayi talebi, zay\u0131f dolar ve Fed indirimi beklentisi destek.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-46553","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/46553","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=46553"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/46553\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=46553"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=46553"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=46553"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}