EUR\/USD sal\u0131 g\u00fcn\u00fc 1,1750\u2019nin alt\u0131na indi. Parite pazartesi 1,1790 yak\u0131n\u0131nda tutunamad\u0131. ABD-\u0130ran ate\u015fkesine dair endi\u015feler art\u0131nca ABD Dolar\u0131\u2019na talep y\u00fckseldi.<\/p>\n
ABD Ba\u015fkan\u0131 Donald Trump\u2019\u0131n a\u00e7\u0131klamalar\u0131nda ate\u015fkesin \u201chayat destek \u00fcnitesinde\u201d oldu\u011fu belirtildi. CNN, dan\u0131\u015fmanlara dayand\u0131rd\u0131\u011f\u0131 haberinde, ABD ba\u015fkan\u0131n\u0131n \u00e7at\u0131\u015fmalar\u0131 yeniden ba\u015flatma se\u00e7ene\u011fini de\u011ferlendirebilece\u011fini aktard\u0131.<\/p>\n
ABD T\u00fcketici Fiyat Endeksi (T\u00dcFE), yani hanehalk\u0131n\u0131n sat\u0131n ald\u0131\u011f\u0131 \u00fcr\u00fcn ve hizmetlerin fiyat de\u011fi\u015fimini \u00f6l\u00e7en veri, sal\u0131 g\u00fcn\u00fc ilerleyen saatlerde a\u00e7\u0131klanacak. Man\u015fet enflasyonun (genel T\u00dcFE) nisanda y\u0131ll\u0131k %3,7 ile Eyl\u00fcl 2023\u2019ten bu yana en y\u00fcksek seviyeye \u00e7\u0131kmas\u0131 bekleniyor. G\u0131da ve enerji gibi oynak kalemler hari\u00e7 tutulan \u00e7ekirdek T\u00dcFE\u2019nin (daha kal\u0131c\u0131 fiyat e\u011filimini g\u00f6sterir) ise marttaki %2,6\u2019dan %2,7\u2019ye y\u00fckseldi\u011fi \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcyor.<\/p>\n
Euro B\u00f6lgesi\u2019nde Almanya i\u00e7in ZEW Ekonomik Beklenti Endeksi (yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131 ve analistlerin beklentilerini \u00f6l\u00e7en anket) may\u0131sta -17,2\u2019den -10,2\u2019ye y\u00fckseldi; beklenti -19,8 idi. Mevcut durum g\u00f6stergesi -73,7\u2019den -77,8\u2019e geriledi ve -77,5\u2019lik piyasa beklentisinin alt\u0131nda kald\u0131.<\/p>\n
4 saatlik grafikte momentum zay\u0131flad\u0131. RSI (G\u00f6reli G\u00fc\u00e7 Endeksi: fiyat\u0131n a\u015f\u0131r\u0131 al\u0131m\/a\u015f\u0131r\u0131 sat\u0131m b\u00f6lgesine yakla\u015f\u0131p yakla\u015fmad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6steren g\u00f6sterge) 47 civar\u0131nda. MACD (Hareketli Ortalama Yak\u0131nsama\/Iraksama: trendin y\u00f6n\u00fcn\u00fc ve h\u0131z\u0131n\u0131 izleyen g\u00f6sterge) s\u0131f\u0131r\u0131n hafif alt\u0131nda. Destek seviyeleri 1,1725 ile 1,1645\u20131,1675 band\u0131; diren\u00e7 ise 1,1790\u20131,1800 ve 1,1850.<\/p>\n
Bu ortamda EUR\/USD\u2019de a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6n riskine veya s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 yukar\u0131 potansiyele odaklanan stratejiler \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131k\u0131yor. \u00d6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki 6\u20138 haftada vadesi dolacak, kullan\u0131m fiyat\u0131 (opsiyonda i\u015flem hakk\u0131n\u0131n do\u011fdu\u011fu fiyat) 1,1000 civar\u0131nda olan sat\u0131m opsiyonu (put: belirli fiyattan satma hakk\u0131) almak, merkez bankas\u0131 beklentilerindeki ayr\u0131\u015fman\u0131n tetikleyebilece\u011fi d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015fe kar\u015f\u0131 maliyeti g\u00f6rece d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck bir korunma sa\u011flayabilir. Bu yakla\u015f\u0131m, d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f hareketinden faydalanma imk\u00e2n\u0131 verirken en y\u00fcksek zarar\u0131 da ba\u015ftan s\u0131n\u0131rlar.<\/p>\n
Fed\u2019in faiz indirim zamanlamas\u0131 ile ECB\u2019nin olas\u0131 ad\u0131mlar\u0131 aras\u0131ndaki belirsizlik, opsiyon oynakl\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 (volatilite: fiyat dalgalanmas\u0131n\u0131n \u015fiddeti) y\u00fcksek tutuyor. Cboe EuroCurrency Volatility Index (EVZ) (euro\/dolar opsiyonlar\u0131nda beklenen oynakl\u0131\u011f\u0131 \u00f6l\u00e7en endeks) 8,5 civar\u0131nda ve 2025 \u00f6ncesi ortalamas\u0131n\u0131n \u00fczerinde; bu da piyasadaki tedirginli\u011fi yans\u0131t\u0131yor. Bu nedenle baz\u0131 yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar, put al\u0131m maliyetini d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcrmek i\u00e7in, kullan\u0131m fiyat\u0131 mevcut seviyenin \u00fczerinde olan al\u0131m opsiyonlar\u0131 (out-of-the-money call: \u015fu anki fiyatta kullan\u0131labilir olmayan, daha yukar\u0131da kullan\u0131m fiyat\u0131na sahip call) sat\u0131p elde edilen primle put al\u0131m\u0131n\u0131 finanse etmeyi tercih edebiliyor.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"
Ate\u015fkes kayg\u0131s\u0131 dolar\u0131 g\u00fc\u00e7lendirdi, EUR\/USD 1,1750 alt\u0131na sarkt\u0131. G\u00f6zler ABD T\u00dcFE\u2019de. ZEW kar\u0131\u015f\u0131k. Teknik zay\u0131f. 1,1725 destek. Put opsiyonlar\u0131yla korunma \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131k\u0131yor. Volatilite y\u00fcksek.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-46540","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/46540","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=46540"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/46540\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=46540"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=46540"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=46540"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}