WTI, Cuma g\u00fcn\u00fc %2,49 d\u00fc\u015ferek 92,47 dolara geriledi ve haftay\u0131 %7,39\u2019dan fazla kay\u0131pla kapatmaya haz\u0131rlan\u0131yordu. Bu hareket, ABD-\u0130ran anla\u015fmas\u0131 olabilece\u011fine dair s\u00f6ylentilerin ve H\u00fcrm\u00fcz Bo\u011faz\u0131\u2019na (Basra K\u00f6rfezi\u2019nden d\u00fcnya petrol ta\u015f\u0131mac\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131n ge\u00e7ti\u011fi dar ge\u00e7it) y\u00f6nelik ilginin ard\u0131ndan geldi. <\/p>\n
Piyasalar, ABD ile \u0130ran\u2019\u0131n gece boyunca kar\u015f\u0131l\u0131kl\u0131 ate\u015f a\u00e7t\u0131\u011f\u0131na dair haberleri izlerken, Washington Tahran\u2019\u0131n 14 maddelik bir memoranduma (resm\u00ee not\/uzla\u015fma metni tasla\u011f\u0131) verece\u011fi yan\u0131t\u0131 bekliyordu. Reuters, i\u015flem oda\u011f\u0131n\u0131n sava\u015f ba\u015fl\u0131klar\u0131 ve H\u00fcrm\u00fcz\u2019\u00fcn yeniden a\u00e7\u0131lma ihtimali \u00fczerinde oldu\u011funu aktard\u0131. <\/p>\n
Baker Hughes, ABD\u2019li sondaj \u015firketlerinin (driller) \u00fcst \u00fcste \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcnc\u00fc haftada petrol ve do\u011fal gaz sondaj kulesi (rig: aktif sondaj istasyonu) say\u0131s\u0131n\u0131 art\u0131rd\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 s\u00f6yledi. Toplam say\u0131 1 artarak 548\u2019e \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131; ancak bir y\u0131l \u00f6ncesine g\u00f6re 30 adet, yani %5 daha d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck kald\u0131. <\/p>\n
ABD verileri, Nisan ay\u0131nda tar\u0131m d\u0131\u015f\u0131 istihdam\u0131n (Nonfarm Payrolls: tar\u0131m sekt\u00f6r\u00fc hari\u00e7 yeni i\u015f say\u0131s\u0131) 115 bin artt\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131, beklentinin ise 62 bin oldu\u011funu g\u00f6sterdi. Michigan \u00dcniversitesi t\u00fcketici g\u00fcveni May\u0131s ay\u0131nda t\u00fcm zamanlar\u0131n en d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck seviyesine inerken, y\u00fcksek benzin fiyatlar\u0131na dair endi\u015feler \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131. <\/p>\n
Teknik g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcmde WTI, 91,98 dolar civar\u0131ndaki basit hareketli ortalamalar\u0131n (simple moving average: belirli g\u00fcnlerin ortalama fiyat\u0131) \u00fczerinde kald\u0131; 14 g\u00fcnl\u00fck RSI (g\u00f6receli g\u00fc\u00e7 endeksi: fiyat\u0131n a\u015f\u0131r\u0131 al\u0131m\/a\u015f\u0131r\u0131 sat\u0131m durumunu \u00f6l\u00e7en g\u00f6sterge) 48 civar\u0131ndayd\u0131. Destek 92,00\u201392,50 band\u0131nda, ard\u0131ndan 89,00 ve 80,82 seviyelerinde g\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcrken; \u00e7at\u0131\u015fman\u0131n t\u0131rmanmas\u0131 halinde 100 dolar \u00fcst\u00fc ihtimali dile getirildi. <\/p>\n
2025\u2019te k\u0131sa s\u00fcreli\u011fine zay\u0131flayan jeopolitik risk primi (fiyat\u0131n, jeopolitik risk nedeniyle \u00fczerine eklenen \u201cek bedel\u201d) yeniden belirgin \u015fekilde piyasaya d\u00f6nd\u00fc. Basra K\u00f6rfezi kaynakl\u0131 her ba\u015fl\u0131kta sert ve ani fiyat hareketleri beklenebilir. Bu ortamda oynakl\u0131\u011fa (volatility: fiyat dalgalanmas\u0131n\u0131n \u015fiddeti) kar\u015f\u0131 korunmak i\u00e7in opsiyon (belirli fiyattan alma\/satma hakk\u0131 veren s\u00f6zle\u015fme) kullanmak, teminats\u0131z vadeli i\u015flem (naked futures: tek ba\u015f\u0131na ve korumas\u0131z futures pozisyonu) ta\u015f\u0131maya g\u00f6re daha temkinli bir yakla\u015f\u0131m olarak \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131k\u0131yor. <\/p>\n
Arz taraf\u0131nda tablo s\u0131k\u0131 kal\u0131yor; bu da ge\u00e7en y\u0131la g\u00f6re daha y\u00fcksek fiyatlar\u0131 destekliyor. OPEC+ (OPEC ve m\u00fcttefik \u00fcreticiler) ikinci \u00e7eyrek boyunca \u00fcretim kesintilerini s\u00fcrd\u00fcrd\u00fc. Son Baker Hughes verileri, ABD\u2019de kule say\u0131s\u0131n\u0131n 605\u2019te kald\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6steriyor; s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 art\u0131\u015f, kaya petrol\u00fc \u00fcreticilerinin (shale operators) daha kontroll\u00fc b\u00fcy\u00fcd\u00fc\u011f\u00fcne i\u015faret ediyor. Bu, \u00f6nceki d\u00f6nemlerde g\u00f6r\u00fclen h\u0131zl\u0131 arz tepkilerinden belirgin bi\u00e7imde farkl\u0131. <\/p>\n
\u00d6te yandan talep g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fc endi\u015fe yarat\u0131yor ve arz\u0131 destekleyen unsurlara kar\u015f\u0131 a\u011f\u0131rl\u0131k olu\u015fturuyor. Son ABD enflasyon raporu, \u00e7ekirdek T\u00dcFE\u2019nin (Core CPI: enerji ve g\u0131da hari\u00e7 t\u00fcketici enflasyonu) %3,8 ile y\u00fcksek seyrini korudu\u011funu g\u00f6sterdi; bu da Fed\u2019in (ABD Merkez Bankas\u0131) yak\u0131n zamanda faiz indirmesini zorla\u015ft\u0131r\u0131yor. <\/p>\n
Bu haftaki stok verileri k\u0131sa vadede y\u00fckseli\u015f beklentisini g\u00fc\u00e7lendirdi. \u00c7ar\u015famba g\u00fcn\u00fc EIA (ABD Enerji Enformasyon \u0130daresi) raporu, 1,1 milyon varil beklenen d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015fe kar\u015f\u0131 s\u00fcrpriz \u015fekilde 4,2 milyon varillik ham petrol stok azalmas\u0131 (drawdown: stoklar\u0131n d\u00fc\u015fmesi) g\u00f6sterdi. Bu, geni\u015f ekonomiye dair kayg\u0131lara ra\u011fmen k\u0131sa vadeli talebin g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc kald\u0131\u011f\u0131na i\u015faret ediyor.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"
Petrolde \u00e7anlar \u00e7al\u0131yor: WTI 92,47 dolara gerileyip haftal\u0131k %7,4\u2019e ko\u015farken, \u0130ran-ABD s\u00f6ylentileri ve H\u00fcrm\u00fcz riski fiyat\u0131 oynat\u0131yor. Stok d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f\u00fc destek, talep\/Fed bask\u0131.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-46502","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/46502","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=46502"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/46502\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=46502"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=46502"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=46502"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}