{"id":46497,"date":"2026-05-09T02:25:05","date_gmt":"2026-05-09T02:25:05","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr\/uncategorized\/macaristanda-enflasyon-yapiskan-seyrediyor-piyasalar-2026da-olasi-faiz-artisini-ve-forintte-oynakligi-fiyatliyor\/"},"modified":"2026-05-09T02:25:05","modified_gmt":"2026-05-09T02:25:05","slug":"macaristanda-enflasyon-yapiskan-seyrediyor-piyasalar-2026da-olasi-faiz-artisini-ve-forintte-oynakligi-fiyatliyor","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/live-updates\/macaristanda-enflasyon-yapiskan-seyrediyor-piyasalar-2026da-olasi-faiz-artisini-ve-forintte-oynakligi-fiyatliyor\/","title":{"rendered":"Macaristan\u2019da Enflasyon Yap\u0131\u015fkan Seyrediyor; Piyasalar 2026\u2019da Olas\u0131 Faiz Art\u0131\u015f\u0131n\u0131 ve Forint\u2019te Oynakl\u0131\u011f\u0131 Fiyatl\u0131yor"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Macaristan\u2019da enflasyon Nisan ay\u0131nda y\u00fckseldi; \u015eubat\u2019ta g\u00f6r\u00fclen son 10 y\u0131l\u0131n en d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck seviyesinin ard\u0131ndan yukar\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc hareket etti. Man\u015fet T\u00fcketici Fiyat Endeksi (T\u00dcFE), y\u0131ll\u0131k bazda %2,1, ayl\u0131k bazda %0,4 oldu.<\/p>\n<p>\u00c7ekirdek enflasyon (yak\u0131t gibi fiyat\u0131 s\u0131k de\u011fi\u015fen kalemler hari\u00e7) y\u0131ll\u0131k %2,2\u2019ye \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131. Di\u011fer temel g\u00f6stergeler olumlu olarak tan\u0131mland\u0131; bu da \u201cikinci tur etkilerin\u201d (ilk fiyat art\u0131\u015flar\u0131n\u0131n \u00fccretler ve di\u011fer fiyatlara yay\u0131l\u0131p kal\u0131c\u0131 enflasyon yaratmas\u0131) s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 olabilece\u011fine i\u015faret ediyor.<\/p>\n<h3>Y\u0131l\u0131n Geri Kalan\u0131 \u0130\u00e7in Enflasyon G\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fc<\/h3>\n<p>Ana senaryo, enflasyonun yaz aylar\u0131nda %3\u2019e yak\u0131n seyretmesini ve y\u0131l sonunda %4,0\u2013%4,5 band\u0131na ula\u015fmas\u0131n\u0131 \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fcyor. Ayn\u0131 senaryo, 2026\u2019da man\u015fet enflasyonun ortalama yakla\u015f\u0131k %3,0\u2013%3,5 olmas\u0131n\u0131 bekliyor.<\/p>\n<p>Bu veri setine bakarak k\u0131sa vadede para politikas\u0131nda (merkez bankas\u0131n\u0131n faiz ve likidite kararlar\u0131) de\u011fi\u015fiklik beklenmiyor. Politika faizi (merkez bankas\u0131n\u0131n belirledi\u011fi ana faiz oran\u0131) i\u00e7in y\u0131l boyunca %6,25\u2019te kalaca\u011f\u0131 tahmin ediliyor. Ancak jeopolitik geli\u015fmeler, enerji fiyatlar\u0131 ve forintin (Macar para birimi) de\u011fer kazan\u0131p kazanmamas\u0131na ba\u011fl\u0131 olarak y\u0131l\u0131n ilerleyen d\u00f6neminde faiz indirimi ya da art\u0131\u015f\u0131 ihtimali masada.<\/p>\n<p>Veriler Macaristan Merkez \u0130statistik Ofisi taraf\u0131ndan a\u00e7\u0131kland\u0131.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Macaristan\u2019da enflasyon yeniden t\u0131rman\u0131\u015fta: Nisan\u2019da T\u00dcFE y\u0131ll\u0131k %2,1, ayl\u0131k %0,4; \u00e7ekirdek %2,2. Yaz\u0131n %3, y\u0131l sonu %4-4,5 bekleniyor. Faiz %6,25\u2019te kalabilir. Enerji-forint risk.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-46497","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"aioseo_head":"\n\t\t<!-- All in One SEO Pro 5.0.1.1 - aioseo.com -->\n\t<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Macaristan\u2019da enflasyon yeniden t\u0131rman\u0131\u015fta: Nisan\u2019da T\u00dcFE y\u0131ll\u0131k %2,1, ayl\u0131k %0,4; \u00e7ekirdek %2,2. Yaz\u0131n %3, y\u0131l sonu %4-4,5 bekleniyor. Faiz %6,25\u2019te kalabilir. 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