Sterlin, Cuma g\u00fcnk\u00fc Avrupa seans\u0131nda ba\u015fl\u0131ca para birimleri kar\u015f\u0131s\u0131nda y\u00fckseldi. ABD Dolar\u0131 kar\u015f\u0131s\u0131nda 1,3610 civar\u0131nda %0,43 art\u0131da seyretti.<\/p>\n
GBP\u2019deki (\u0130ngiliz Sterlini) g\u00fc\u00e7lenme, risk i\u015ftah\u0131 y\u00fcksek varl\u0131klara (piyasa dalgalan\u0131nca daha \u00e7ok etkilenen varl\u0131klar) talebin g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc kalmas\u0131yla geldi. Hareket, ABD ile \u0130ran aras\u0131nda diplomatik bir sonu\u00e7 \u00e7\u0131kabilece\u011fi beklentilerini izledi.<\/p>\n
S&P 500 vadeli i\u015flemleri (endeksin gelecekteki fiyat\u0131na y\u00f6nelik kontratlar), Nisan ay\u0131 ABD Tar\u0131m D\u0131\u015f\u0131 \u0130stihdam (tar\u0131m d\u0131\u015f\u0131 sekt\u00f6rlerdeki yeni istihdam; piyasan\u0131n en yak\u0131ndan izledi\u011fi veri) verisi \u00f6ncesinde %0,55 art\u0131\u015fla 7.375 civar\u0131na y\u00fckseldi. ABD Dolar Endeksi (DXY; dolar\u0131n ba\u015fl\u0131ca para birimlerine kar\u015f\u0131 g\u00fcc\u00fcn\u00fc g\u00f6steren g\u00f6sterge) %0,3 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015fle 97,95 civar\u0131ndayd\u0131.<\/p>\n
GBP\/USD (Sterlin\/Dolar paritesi) ayn\u0131 seansta %0,25 art\u0131\u015fla 1,3590 civar\u0131na \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131. Parite, Sterlin\u2019in \u00e7o\u011fu para birimini geride b\u0131rakmas\u0131yla g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc kald\u0131; yaln\u0131zca Avustralya ve Yeni Zelanda dolarlar\u0131 (emtia ve risk i\u015ftah\u0131na duyarl\u0131 para birimleri) kar\u015f\u0131s\u0131nda daha zay\u0131ft\u0131.<\/p>\n
S&P 500 vadeli i\u015flemleri ayr\u0131ca %0,3 art\u0131\u015fla 7.360 civar\u0131nda kotasyonland\u0131. DXY, Per\u015fembe g\u00fcnk\u00fc toparlanman\u0131n ard\u0131ndan %0,16 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015fle 98,10 civar\u0131na geriledi.<\/p>\n
Ge\u00e7en y\u0131l bu d\u00f6nemde, May\u0131s 2025\u2019te, risk i\u015ftah\u0131ndaki art\u0131\u015f Sterlin\u2019i desteklemi\u015f ve pariteyi 1,3600 seviyesinin \u00fczerine ta\u015f\u0131m\u0131\u015ft\u0131. Orta Do\u011fu\u2019da diplomatik \u00e7\u00f6z\u00fcm beklentileri ve ABD Dolar Endeksi\u2019ndeki zay\u0131fl\u0131k bu y\u00fckseli\u015fi desteklemi\u015fti. Odak, Tar\u0131m D\u0131\u015f\u0131 \u0130stihdam verisi sonras\u0131 Sterlin\u2019in bu kazan\u0131mlar\u0131 koruyup koruyamayaca\u011f\u0131yd\u0131.<\/p>\n
Bug\u00fcn ise \u00e7ok farkl\u0131 bir tablo var: GBP\/USD 1,2550 \u00e7evresinde zorlan\u0131yor. Ge\u00e7en haftaki Nisan 2026 ABD Tar\u0131m D\u0131\u015f\u0131 \u0130stihdam verisi 240 bin ile g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc geldi; beklentileri a\u015ft\u0131 ve ABD Merkez Bankas\u0131\u2019n\u0131n (Fed; \u00fclkenin para politikas\u0131n\u0131 belirleyen kurum) faiz indirimlerinde \u201cacele etmeme\u201d duru\u015funu peki\u015ftirdi. Bu durum, ABD Dolar Endeksi\u2019ni (DXY) 105,50 civar\u0131na ta\u015f\u0131d\u0131; bu seviye, bir y\u0131l \u00f6nceki 98 d\u00fczeyine g\u00f6re belirgin \u015fekilde daha g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc.<\/p>\n
\u0130\u00e7eride de Sterlin \u00fczerinde bask\u0131 var. Nisan ay\u0131 \u0130ngiltere T\u00dcFE (T\u00fcketici Fiyat Endeksi; enflasyonu g\u00f6steren ana \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fcm) y\u0131ll\u0131k %3,1 geldi ve \u0130ngiltere Merkez Bankas\u0131\u2019n\u0131n (BoE) %2 hedefinin \u00fczerinde kalmaya devam etti. Bu nedenle BoE bu haftaki toplant\u0131s\u0131nda faizi %5,25\u2019te tuttu; yak\u0131n vadede indirim sinyali vermemesi, b\u00fcy\u00fcme g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fc \u00fczerinde bask\u0131 yarat\u0131yor.<\/p>\n
Bu ortamda \u2014 ABD ekonomisinin g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc g\u00f6r\u00fcnmesi ve \u0130ngiltere\u2019de stagflasyon (y\u00fcksek enflasyon + zay\u0131f b\u00fcy\u00fcme) endi\u015feleri \u2014 t\u00fcrev i\u015flem yapanlar (opsiyon, vadeli i\u015flem gibi \u00fcr\u00fcnlerle i\u015flem yapan yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar) Sterlin\u2019de zay\u0131flaman\u0131n s\u00fcrmesinden faydalanan stratejileri de\u011ferlendirebilir. 1,2500 alt\u0131ndan kullan\u0131m fiyatl\u0131 (strike; opsiyonun devreye girdi\u011fi fiyat) put opsiyonu almak (satma hakk\u0131 veren opsiyon; d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015fe kar\u015f\u0131 korunma ya da d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f beklentisiyle pozisyon), \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki haftalarda olas\u0131 k\u0131r\u0131lmaya kar\u015f\u0131 koruma veya spek\u00fclatif pozisyon sa\u011flayabilir. GBP\/USD vadeli kontratlar\u0131nda (futures; belirli tarihte belirli fiyattan al\u0131m-sat\u0131m y\u00fck\u00fcml\u00fcl\u00fc\u011f\u00fc) k\u0131sa pozisyon almak da d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f trendine do\u011frudan oynama y\u00f6ntemidir.<\/p>\n
Merkez bankas\u0131 politikalar\u0131ndaki ayr\u0131\u015fma belirsizli\u011fi art\u0131r\u0131r ve sert fiyat hareketleri riskini y\u00fckseltir. Bu y\u00fczden bir sonraki \u0130ngiltere enflasyon verisi \u00f6ncesinde oynakl\u0131k odakl\u0131 stratejiler (volatilite; fiyat\u0131n ne kadar h\u0131zl\u0131 ve geni\u015f aral\u0131kta hareket etti\u011fini g\u00f6sterir) d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fclebilir; \u00f6rne\u011fin straddle veya strangle almak (ayn\u0131 vadede hem al\u0131m hem sat\u0131m opsiyonu kombinasyonu; b\u00fcy\u00fck hareketten iki y\u00f6nde de faydalanma hedefi). Bu yakla\u015f\u0131m, fiyat hangi y\u00f6ne giderse gitsin b\u00fcy\u00fck bir hareketten kazan\u00e7 imk\u00e2n\u0131 verir.<\/p>\n
2022\u2019deki \u201cmini b\u00fct\u00e7e\u201d sonras\u0131 a\u015f\u0131r\u0131 dalgalanmay\u0131 hat\u0131rlad\u0131\u011f\u0131m\u0131zda, Sterlin\u2019in beklentilerdeki de\u011fi\u015fime sert tepki verebildi\u011fi biliniyor. Bir ayl\u0131k GBP\/USD opsiyonlar\u0131nda ima edilen oynakl\u0131k (implied volatility; opsiyon fiyatlar\u0131ndan piyasan\u0131n bekledi\u011fi oynakl\u0131k) bu hafta %8\u2019in \u00fczerine \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131; y\u0131l ba\u015f\u0131ndaki %6 civar\u0131 dipten belirgin y\u00fckseli\u015f var. Bu da piyasada daha fazla t\u00fcrb\u00fclans\u0131n fiyatland\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6steriyor; yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar bunu stratejilerinde de\u011ferlendirebilir.<\/p>\n
Canl\u0131 VT Markets hesab\u0131n\u0131z\u0131 a\u00e7\u0131n<\/a>\u00a0ve\u00a0hemen i\u015flem yapmaya ba\u015flay\u0131n<\/a>. <\/b><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":" Sterlin\u2019de fla\u015f d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015f: Risk i\u015ftah\u0131 ve jeopolitik iyimserlik GBP\u2019yi desteklese de g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc ABD verileri DXY\u2019yi yukar\u0131 ta\u015f\u0131d\u0131. BoE\u2019nin s\u0131k\u0131 duru\u015fu bask\u0131 yarat\u0131yor; opsiyon\/futures\u2019ta d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f-oynakl\u0131k stratejileri \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131k\u0131yor.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-46478","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/46478","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=46478"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/46478\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=46478"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=46478"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=46478"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}