{"id":46465,"date":"2026-05-08T16:58:33","date_gmt":"2026-05-08T16:58:33","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr\/uncategorized\/abd-faiz-avantaji-genislerken-eurodaki-ralli-zayifladi-opsiyon-iskewu-defansife-dondu\/"},"modified":"2026-05-08T16:58:33","modified_gmt":"2026-05-08T16:58:33","slug":"abd-faiz-avantaji-genislerken-eurodaki-ralli-zayifladi-opsiyon-iskewu-defansife-dondu","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/live-updates\/abd-faiz-avantaji-genislerken-eurodaki-ralli-zayifladi-opsiyon-iskewu-defansife-dondu\/","title":{"rendered":"ABD Faiz Avantaj\u0131 Geni\u015flerken Euro\u2019daki Ralli Zay\u0131flad\u0131; Opsiyon \u0130skew\u00fc Defansife D\u00f6nd\u00fc"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Euro, ABD dolar\u0131 kar\u015f\u0131s\u0131nda %0,4 y\u00fckseldi ve G10 para birimleri aras\u0131nda orta s\u0131ralarda yer ald\u0131. Y\u00fckseli\u015fte, ABD-\u0130ran gerilimine ba\u011fl\u0131 risk i\u015ftah\u0131 (yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n riskli varl\u0131klara y\u00f6nelme e\u011filimi) etkili olurken, Almanya d\u0131\u015f ticaret verilerindeki zay\u0131flama bask\u0131 unsuru oldu.<\/p>\n<p>Getiri farklar\u0131 (tahvil faizleri aras\u0131ndaki fark) darald\u0131; \u00e7\u00fcnk\u00fc ECB\u2019nin (Avrupa Merkez Bankas\u0131) para politikas\u0131n\u0131 s\u0131k\u0131la\u015ft\u0131raca\u011f\u0131 (faiz art\u0131raca\u011f\u0131) beklentileri zay\u0131flad\u0131. Haziran toplant\u0131s\u0131 i\u00e7in piyasada 19 baz puan (faizin y\u00fczde 0,19\u2019u) art\u0131\u015f fiyatlan\u0131yor; bu seviye 30 Nisan toplant\u0131s\u0131 sonras\u0131 g\u00f6r\u00fclen zirvenin yakla\u015f\u0131k 10 baz puan alt\u0131nda.<\/p>\n<h3>Opsiyon Piyasas\u0131 Euro\u2019da Korunma Talebinde De\u011fi\u015fime \u0130\u015faret Ediyor<\/h3>\n<p>Opsiyon piyasas\u0131nda risk reversal g\u00f6stergesi (al\u0131m-sat\u0131m opsiyonlar\u0131 aras\u0131ndaki fiyat fark\u0131yla yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n y\u00f6n beklentisini \u00f6l\u00e7en g\u00f6sterge), Euro\u2019nun zay\u0131flamas\u0131na kar\u015f\u0131 korunma talebinin azald\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6sterdi. Primler (opsiyon fiyat\u0131na eklenen maliyet) yeniden yukar\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc korunmaya (Euro\u2019nun g\u00fc\u00e7lenmesine kar\u015f\u0131 pozisyon alma) kayabilir; bu durum 2025 sonu ve 2026 ba\u015f\u0131nda da g\u00f6r\u00fclm\u00fc\u015ft\u00fc.<\/p>\n<p>Almanya d\u0131\u015f ticaret verileri, mart ay\u0131nda enerji ithalat\u0131ndaki art\u0131\u015f nedeniyle zay\u0131flad\u0131. Euro, 4 Temmuz i\u00e7in yeniden g\u00fcndeme gelebilecek ticaret gerilimi ve g\u00fcmr\u00fck vergisi tehditlerine (ithalata ek vergi) s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 tepki verdi.<\/p>\n<p>Teknik g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcmde EUR\/USD, 1,16\u2019lar\u0131n orta-\u00fcst band\u0131nda, ocak-mart d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fcn %38,2 Fibonacci d\u00fczeltme seviyesine (fiyat\u0131n \u00f6nceki hareketine g\u00f6re olas\u0131 geri \u00e7ekilme\/d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015f seviyeleri) yak\u0131n b\u00f6lgede destek buldu. Ard\u0131ndan 1,1746\u2019daki orta noktan\u0131n \u00fczerine \u00e7\u0131karak %61,8 seviyesine denk gelen 1,1825\u2019e do\u011fru ilerledi.<\/p>\n<p>RSI (G\u00f6reli G\u00fc\u00e7 Endeksi: fiyat\u0131n h\u0131z\u0131n\u0131 ve g\u00fcc\u00fcn\u00fc \u00f6l\u00e7en g\u00f6sterge) 50\u2019lerin \u00fcst band\u0131ndayd\u0131; bu da olumlu momentuma (yukar\u0131 e\u011filimin g\u00fcc\u00fcne) i\u015faret etti. K\u0131sa vadeli bant 1,1720\u20131,1820 olarak \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131karken, 1,20 \u00fczerindeki ocak zirvesinin yeniden test edilme ihtimali g\u00fcndemde kald\u0131.<\/p>\n<p><b><a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/trade-now\/\">Canl\u0131 VT Markets hesab\u0131n\u0131z\u0131 olu\u015fturun<\/a>\u00a0ve\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/myaccount.vtmarkets.com\/login\">i\u015flem yapmaya ba\u015flay\u0131n<\/a>\u00a0. <\/b><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Euro, dolar kar\u015f\u0131s\u0131nda %0,4 t\u0131rman\u0131rken g\u00f6zler yeniden 1,20\u2019ye mi \u00e7evrildi? Risk i\u015ftah\u0131 destek verdi, Almanya verisi bask\u0131lad\u0131; ECB faiz beklentisi zay\u0131flad\u0131, opsiyonlarda korunma azald\u0131, teknik hedef 1,1825.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-46465","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/46465","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=46465"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/46465\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=46465"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=46465"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=46465"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}