Alt\u0131n, cuma g\u00fcn\u00fc iki haftay\u0131 a\u015fan zirvenin alt\u0131nda kald\u0131. Ancak \u00fc\u00e7 haftad\u0131r g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc y\u00fckseli\u015fle haftay\u0131 kapatmaya haz\u0131rlan\u0131yordu. Piyasalar, g\u00fcn\u00fcn ilerleyen saatlerinde a\u00e7\u0131klanacak ABD Tar\u0131m D\u0131\u015f\u0131 \u0130stihdam (NFP: tar\u0131m sekt\u00f6r\u00fc hari\u00e7 yeni i\u015fe al\u0131m say\u0131s\u0131) verisini bekliyordu. <\/p>\n
H\u00fcrm\u00fcz Bo\u011faz\u0131\u2019ndaki \u00e7at\u0131\u015fmalar s\u00fcrerken, ABD-\u0130ran anla\u015fmas\u0131 umutlar\u0131 ham petrol\u00fc d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcrd\u00fc. Bu durum enflasyon endi\u015felerini (fiyat art\u0131\u015f\u0131 bask\u0131s\u0131) azaltt\u0131 ve ABD Merkez Bankas\u0131\u2019n\u0131n (Fed) daha \u201c\u015fahin\u201d (faiz art\u0131\u015f\u0131na daha istekli) bir \u00e7izgiye kayaca\u011f\u0131 beklentisini zay\u0131flatt\u0131. B\u00f6ylece ABD Dolar\u0131\u2019ndaki y\u00fckseli\u015f s\u0131n\u0131rlan\u0131rken alt\u0131n destek buldu. <\/p>\n
ABD Merkez Komutanl\u0131\u011f\u0131, ABD g\u00fc\u00e7lerinin bo\u011fazda sava\u015f gemilerine y\u00f6nelik sald\u0131r\u0131larla ba\u011flant\u0131l\u0131 \u0130ran hedeflerini vurdu\u011funu s\u00f6yledi. \u0130ran, ABD\u2019nin ate\u015fkesi bozdu\u011funu savundu. Donald Trump ise ate\u015fkesin y\u00fcr\u00fcrl\u00fckte kald\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 belirtti; ABD ordusu da gerilimi t\u0131rmand\u0131rmak istemediklerini ifade etti. <\/p>\n
Faiz indirimi beklentileri 2027 sonu veya 2028 ba\u015f\u0131na \u00f6telenince, bu durum ABD Dolar\u0131\u2019ndaki d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f\u00fc s\u0131n\u0131rlad\u0131 ve alt\u0131n\u0131n y\u00fckseli\u015fini de frenledi. NFP raporunun, nisanda 178 binin ard\u0131ndan 62 bin istihdam art\u0131\u015f\u0131 g\u00f6stermesi; i\u015fsizli\u011fin %4,3\u2019te kalmas\u0131 ve ortalama saatlik kazan\u00e7lar\u0131n y\u0131ll\u0131k %3,8 artmas\u0131 bekleniyordu. <\/p>\n
Teknik g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcmde alt\u0131n, 200 periyotluk SMA\u2019n\u0131n (Basit Hareketli Ortalama: belirli d\u00f6nem fiyat ortalamas\u0131) ve %61,8 d\u00fczeltme (retracement: \u00f6nceki hareketin geri alma seviyesi) seviyesinin \u00fczerinde kald\u0131. RSI (G\u00f6reli G\u00fc\u00e7 Endeksi: momentum g\u00f6stergesi) 64,24\u2019te, MACD (Hareketli Ortalama Yak\u0131nsama\/Iraksama: trend-momentum g\u00f6stergesi) 6,13\u2019e yak\u0131nd\u0131. Destekler 4.703,51$, 4.665,16$, 4.587,31$ ve 4.493,39$; diren\u00e7 4.891,35$ civar\u0131ndayd\u0131. <\/p>\n
Bug\u00fcn, 8 May\u0131s 2026\u2019da, ABD\u2019nin nisan ay\u0131 istihdam raporu a\u00e7\u0131kland\u0131 ve beklentilerin belirgin \u015fekilde alt\u0131nda kald\u0131. Ekonomi yaln\u0131zca 35 bin ki\u015filik istihdam art\u0131\u015f\u0131 yaratt\u0131; 62 bin beklentisinin \u00e7ok alt\u0131nda. \u0130\u015fsizlik oran\u0131 da beklenmedik \u015fekilde %4,4\u2019e y\u00fckseldi. Bu veri, i\u015f g\u00fcc\u00fc piyasas\u0131n\u0131n (\u00e7al\u0131\u015fan ve i\u015f arayanlar\u0131n genel durumu) so\u011fudu\u011funu teyit ederek birka\u00e7 g\u00fcn \u00f6nceki g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fc de\u011fi\u015ftirdi. <\/p>\n
Zay\u0131f istihdam verisi, Fed\u2019in bu y\u0131l faiz indirimini yeniden g\u00fcndeme ta\u015f\u0131d\u0131 ve \u201c2027 sonuna kadar indirim yok\u201d g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015f\u00fcyle \u00e7eli\u015fti. CME FedWatch Tool (Fed faiz kararlar\u0131na y\u00f6nelik piyasa olas\u0131l\u0131k g\u00f6stergesi), 2026 sonuna kadar faiz indirimi ihtimalini %40\u2019a yak\u0131n g\u00f6steriyor; ge\u00e7en hafta %5\u2019in alt\u0131ndayd\u0131. <\/p>\n
Alt\u0131n t\u00fcrev (derivative: de\u011feri ba\u015fka bir varl\u0131\u011fa ba\u011fl\u0131 s\u00f6zle\u015fme) i\u015flemleri yapanlar i\u00e7in bu veri y\u00fckseli\u015f sinyali. Fiyat, daha \u00f6nce belirtilen 4.891$ direncinin \u00fczerine \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131. Faiz beklentilerinin gerilemesi ve dolar\u0131n zay\u0131flamas\u0131yla, 5.000$ psikolojik seviyesine y\u00f6nelik al\u0131m opsiyonlar\u0131 (call option: belirli fiyattan alma hakk\u0131) veya bo\u011fa call spread (bull call spread: d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck fiyattan call al\u0131p daha y\u00fcksek fiyattan call satarak maliyeti d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcren y\u00fckseli\u015f stratejisi) \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131k\u0131yor. 2026 ilk \u00e7eyrek raporunda merkez bankalar\u0131n\u0131n 250 tonu a\u015fan alt\u0131n al\u0131mlar\u0131 da bu hareketi destekliyor. <\/p>\n
ABD Dolar Endeksi (DXY: dolar\u0131n ba\u015fl\u0131ca para birimleri kar\u015f\u0131s\u0131ndaki g\u00fcc\u00fc), haberle birlikte 102,00 ana deste\u011finin alt\u0131na indi; bu, di\u011fer para birimi sahipleri i\u00e7in alt\u0131n\u0131 daha ucuz hale getirdi. Piyasa Fed\u2019in gev\u015femeyi (faiz indirimi y\u00f6n\u00fc) fiyatlad\u0131\u011f\u0131 s\u00fcrece bu zay\u0131fl\u0131\u011f\u0131n s\u00fcrmesi bekleniyor. Yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar, dolar d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f\u00fcnden faydalanan stratejileri de\u011ferlendirebilir; \u00f6rne\u011fin dolar a\u011f\u0131rl\u0131kl\u0131 paritelerde sat\u0131m opsiyonlar\u0131 (put option: belirli fiyattan satma hakk\u0131). <\/p>\n
Ham petrolde odak, jeopolitik risklerden \u00e7ok daha geni\u015f bir ekonomik yava\u015flama riskine kayd\u0131; bu da enerji talebinin d\u00fc\u015febilece\u011fi anlam\u0131na geliyor. H\u00fcrm\u00fcz Bo\u011faz\u0131\u2019ndaki durum dalgalanma kayna\u011f\u0131 olmaya devam etse de, zay\u0131f ABD istihdam verisi art\u0131k fiyatlar \u00fczerinde ana bask\u0131 unsuru. Bu tablo, Orta Do\u011fu haberleriyle olu\u015fabilecek fiyat s\u0131\u00e7ramalar\u0131n\u0131n k\u0131sa s\u00fcreli kalabilece\u011fini ve k\u0131sa pozisyon (short: fiyat d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f\u00fcne oynayan i\u015flem) f\u0131rsat\u0131 do\u011furabilece\u011fini g\u00f6steriyor.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"
NFP\u2019de 35 binle gelen \u015fok, Fed indirimi beklentisini h\u0131zland\u0131rd\u0131: DXY 102 alt\u0131na sarkt\u0131, alt\u0131n 4.891$ direncini a\u015ft\u0131; hedef 5.000$. Petrolde b\u00fcy\u00fcme endi\u015fesi bask\u0131n.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-46450","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/46450","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=46450"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/46450\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=46450"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=46450"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=46450"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}