{"id":46431,"date":"2026-05-08T08:24:05","date_gmt":"2026-05-08T08:24:05","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr\/uncategorized\/usd-jpy-15700-seviyesi-yakininda-islem-goruyor-nfp-bekleniyor\/"},"modified":"2026-05-08T08:24:05","modified_gmt":"2026-05-08T08:24:05","slug":"usd-jpy-15700-seviyesi-yakininda-islem-goruyor-nfp-bekleniyor","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/analysis\/usd-jpy-15700-seviyesi-yakininda-islem-goruyor-nfp-bekleniyor\/","title":{"rendered":"USD\/JPY 157,00 Seviyesi Yak\u0131n\u0131nda \u0130\u015flem G\u00f6r\u00fcyor, NFP Bekleniyor"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/9\/2026\/05\/image-1024x573.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-49813\"\/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>\u00d6ne \u00c7\u0131kanlar<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>USD\/JPY, Cuma g\u00fcn\u00fc Asya i\u015flemlerinde 157,00 civar\u0131na hafif geriledi.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Japonya\u2019n\u0131n, May\u0131s tatil d\u00f6neminde d\u00f6viz piyasas\u0131na yeniden m\u00fcdahale etti\u011fi bildirildi.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Piyasa \u015fimdi Cuma g\u00fcn\u00fc a\u00e7\u0131klanacak ABD Nisan istihdam verilerine odakland\u0131.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator has-alpha-channel-opacity\"\/>\n\n\n\n<p>USD\/JPY, Cuma g\u00fcn\u00fc Asya seans\u0131nda 157,00 seviyesine yak\u0131n temkinli seyretti. \u00d6nceki seansta g\u00f6r\u00fclen toparlanman\u0131n ard\u0131ndan, ABD dolar\u0131ndaki (dolar\u0131n di\u011fer para birimlerine kar\u015f\u0131 g\u00fc\u00e7lenmesi) hareketi izledi. Ancak y\u00fckseli\u015f s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 kald\u0131; \u00e7\u00fcnk\u00fc yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar Japonya\u2019n\u0131n d\u00f6viz piyasas\u0131na yeni bir m\u00fcdahalede (kurun y\u00f6n\u00fcn\u00fc etkilemek i\u00e7in piyasadan y\u00fckl\u00fc al\u0131m-sat\u0131m yapmas\u0131) bulunabilece\u011fi ihtimalini fiyatl\u0131yor. Ayr\u0131ca piyasa kat\u0131l\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131, Cuma g\u00fcn\u00fc a\u00e7\u0131klanacak ABD Nisan istihdam raporu \u00f6ncesinde b\u00fcy\u00fck pozisyon almaktan ka\u00e7\u0131nd\u0131.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Japonya\u2019dan yeni m\u00fcdahale sinyali<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>Reuters\u2019\u0131n Cuma g\u00fcnk\u00fc haberine g\u00f6re, konuya yak\u0131n bir kayna\u011f\u0131n aktard\u0131\u011f\u0131 \u00fczere Japon yetkililer, 30 Nisan\u2019daki yen al\u0131m i\u015flemlerinin ard\u0131ndan May\u0131s ba\u015f\u0131ndaki tatil d\u00f6neminde de d\u00f6viz piyasas\u0131na m\u00fcdahale etti. Kaynak, zamanlaman\u0131n tatil nedeniyle piyasa likiditesinin (piyasada al\u0131m-sat\u0131m\u0131n rahat yap\u0131labilmesi i\u00e7in yeterli i\u015flem hacmi ve kar\u015f\u0131 taraf bulunmas\u0131) d\u00fc\u015ft\u00fc\u011f\u00fc d\u00f6neme denk getirildi\u011fini belirtti.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-rich is-provider-twitter wp-block-embed-twitter\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"500\" data-dnt=\"true\"><p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">Japan to keep intervening to defend 160-per-dollar level, ex-BOJ official says <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/e5GolIoYlV\">https:\/\/t.co\/e5GolIoYlV<\/a> <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/e5GolIoYlV\">https:\/\/t.co\/e5GolIoYlV<\/a><\/p>&mdash; Reuters (@Reuters) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/Reuters\/status\/2052455951051923477?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">May 7, 2026<\/a><\/blockquote><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script>\n<\/div><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>Yeni bir m\u00fcdahale ihtimali, Japon yenini destekleyerek paritede yukar\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc hareketi s\u0131n\u0131rlayabilir. Japonya\u2019n\u0131n \u00fcst d\u00fczey d\u00f6viz yetkilisi Atsushi Mimura da Per\u015fembe g\u00fcn\u00fc, d\u00f6viz piyasas\u0131ndaki spek\u00fclatif hareketlere (k\u0131sa vadeli fiyat oynakl\u0131\u011f\u0131ndan k\u00e2r ama\u00e7l\u0131 i\u015flemler) t\u00fcm mevcut ara\u00e7larla kar\u015f\u0131l\u0131k vermeye haz\u0131r olduklar\u0131n\u0131 s\u00f6yledi.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-rich is-provider-twitter wp-block-embed-twitter\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"500\" data-dnt=\"true\"><p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">The Fed\u2019s custody holdings of Treasuries fell for the first time in a month at a time Japan was likely intervening to support its currency, with markets debating whether the nation offloaded US securities to fund its yen purchases <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/DyOX0pyMQn\">https:\/\/t.co\/DyOX0pyMQn<\/a><\/p>&mdash; Bloomberg (@business) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/business\/status\/2052598907755000089?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">May 8, 2026<\/a><\/blockquote><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script>\n<\/div><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p><\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Dolar bask\u0131 alt\u0131nda; g\u00f6zler ABD istihdam verilerinde<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>Dikkatler Cuma g\u00fcn\u00fc a\u00e7\u0131klanacak ABD Nisan istihdam raporuna \u00e7evrildi. Analistler, tar\u0131m d\u0131\u015f\u0131 istihdam\u0131n (NFP: tar\u0131m sekt\u00f6r\u00fc hari\u00e7 ka\u00e7 yeni i\u015f yarat\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6steren veri) 60 bin artmas\u0131n\u0131 bekliyor. \u0130\u015fsizlik oran\u0131n\u0131n ise %4,3\u2019te yatay kalaca\u011f\u0131 \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcyor. Yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar ayr\u0131ca Per\u015fembe g\u00fcn\u00fc a\u00e7\u0131klanacak haftal\u0131k ilk i\u015fsizlik maa\u015f\u0131 ba\u015fvurular\u0131n\u0131 (i\u015fsizlik \u00f6dene\u011fi i\u00e7in ilk kez ba\u015fvuranlar\u0131n say\u0131s\u0131) izleyecek.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-rich is-provider-twitter wp-block-embed-twitter\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"500\" data-dnt=\"true\"><p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">Trapdoor creaks for dollar if Iran war ends <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/XM4JuJbeyT\">https:\/\/t.co\/XM4JuJbeyT<\/a> <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/XM4JuJbeyT\">https:\/\/t.co\/XM4JuJbeyT<\/a><\/p>&mdash; Reuters (@Reuters) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/Reuters\/status\/2052493845871341634?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">May 7, 2026<\/a><\/blockquote><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script>\n<\/div><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>Bu arada ABD dolar\u0131 genel \u00e7apta sat\u0131\u015f bask\u0131s\u0131 alt\u0131nda. Dolar Endeksi (DXY: dolar\u0131n ba\u015fl\u0131ca para birimlerinden olu\u015fan sepete kar\u015f\u0131 de\u011ferini g\u00f6steren endeks) 97,90 civar\u0131nda iki ay\u0131n diplerine yak\u0131n seyrediyor. ABD Merkez Bankas\u0131\u2019n\u0131n (Fed) daha \u201cg\u00fcvercin\u201d bir \u00e7izgiye (faiz art\u0131r\u0131m\u0131na daha az e\u011filimli, daha destekleyici para politikas\u0131) kayabilece\u011fi beklentisi dolar\u0131 bask\u0131l\u0131yor ve yen kar\u015f\u0131s\u0131nda g\u00fc\u00e7lenmesini s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131yor.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">USD\/JPY Teknik G\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>USD\/JPY \u015fu s\u0131ralar 156,88 civar\u0131nda ve 157,00\u2019deki kritik diren\u00e7 seviyesinin (y\u00fckseli\u015fte zorlan\u0131lan seviye) hemen alt\u0131nda seyrediyor. 4 saatlik grafikte iki g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f mumu (fiyat\u0131n belirgin \u015fekilde geriledi\u011fi zaman dilimi) olu\u015ftu; bunun Japon yetkililerin m\u00fcdahalesiyle ba\u011flant\u0131l\u0131 oldu\u011fu d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fcl\u00fcyor. Bu nedenle \u00f6nceki y\u00fckseli\u015f yap\u0131s\u0131 bozuldu. Fiyat hareketi, daha d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck tepe ve daha d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck diplerle (fiyat\u0131n her y\u00fckseli\u015fte daha a\u015fa\u011f\u0131da zirve yapmas\u0131 ve her d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015fte daha a\u015fa\u011f\u0131da taban olu\u015fturmas\u0131) d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f e\u011filiminin erken i\u015faretlerini veriyor.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Hareketli ortalamalar (fiyat\u0131n belirli d\u00f6nem ortalamas\u0131n\u0131 alarak trendi daha net g\u00f6steren g\u00f6stergeler) 155,00 deste\u011finden (d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015fte al\u0131c\u0131lar\u0131n devreye girdi\u011fi seviye) gelen tepkinin ard\u0131ndan birbirine yakla\u015ft\u0131; bu da k\u0131sa vadede y\u00f6n\u00fcn net olmad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6steriyor. Olas\u0131 sat\u0131\u015f senaryolar\u0131nda 155,00 alt\u0131na kal\u0131c\u0131 bir k\u0131r\u0131lma ve hareketli ortalamalar\u0131n d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f y\u00f6n\u00fcnde dizilmesi daha g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc teyit sa\u011flayabilir. Ayr\u0131ca MACD g\u00f6stergesinin (momentumu, yani fiyat\u0131n h\u0131z\u0131n\u0131 \u00f6l\u00e7en teknik g\u00f6sterge) sinyal \u00e7izgisi s\u0131f\u0131r\u0131n alt\u0131nda kalmay\u0131 s\u00fcrd\u00fcr\u00fcyor; ancak histogram (momentumun g\u00fc\u00e7lenip zay\u0131flad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6steren \u00e7ubuklar) h\u00e2l\u00e2 pozitif. Histogram\u0131n yeniden negatife d\u00f6nmesi, a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc beklentiyi g\u00fc\u00e7lendirebilir.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/9\/2026\/05\/codeZTdlMjhhYjkwY2M4YzYyZTcyNTk2M2VmZTU0OWE1YjZfU25aOGxkQnc5WE4yUFE2TmVsQVE4emRoRld6M2UxRFVfVG9rZW46WlBnbGJnMkFDb3BSVG94ZmRUdmxnSnQxZ3ZmXzE3NzgyMTk1NjY6MTc3ODIyMzE2Nl9WNA.jpg\" alt=\"\"\/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">\u0130zlenecek kritik seviyeler:<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Destek: 155.868 -&gt; 155.000 <\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Diren\u00e7: 157.000 -&gt; 158.000<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">S\u0131rada ne var<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>Piyasan\u0131n oda\u011f\u0131, Cuma g\u00fcn\u00fc a\u00e7\u0131klanacak ABD Nisan istihdam raporunda. Ekonomistler, tar\u0131m d\u0131\u015f\u0131 istihdam\u0131n (NFP) 65 bin artmas\u0131n\u0131 beklerken i\u015fsizlik oran\u0131n\u0131n %4,3\u2019te kalaca\u011f\u0131 tahmin ediliyor. Yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar ayr\u0131ca Per\u015fembe g\u00fcn\u00fc a\u00e7\u0131klanacak haftal\u0131k ilk i\u015fsizlik maa\u015f\u0131 ba\u015fvurular\u0131n\u0131 izleyecek.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<details class=\"wp-block-details is-layout-flow wp-block-details-is-layout-flow\"><summary><strong>Yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131 Sorusu<\/strong><\/summary>\n<p><strong>USD\/JPY neden 157,00 civar\u0131nda temkinli seyrediyor?<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Paritede dalgalanma s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131; \u00e7\u00fcnk\u00fc yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar iki ana unsuru tart\u0131yor: ABD dolar\u0131ndaki toparlanma ve Japonya\u2019n\u0131n kur m\u00fcdahalesi (d\u00f6viz piyasas\u0131na do\u011frudan al\u0131m-sat\u0131m ile y\u00f6n verme) riskinin artmas\u0131. Ayr\u0131ca piyasalar, tar\u0131m d\u0131\u015f\u0131 istihdam (NFP) verisi \u00f6ncesinde b\u00fcy\u00fck pozisyon almaya isteksiz.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Japonya son d\u00f6nemde d\u00f6viz piyasas\u0131na m\u00fcdahale etti mi?<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Haberlere g\u00f6re Japon yetkililer, 30 Nisan\u2019daki yen al\u0131m\u0131n\u0131n ard\u0131ndan May\u0131s ba\u015f\u0131ndaki tatil d\u00f6neminde de m\u00fcdahalede bulunmu\u015f olabilir. Bu ad\u0131mlar, tatil nedeniyle likiditenin (i\u015flem hacmi ve kar\u015f\u0131 taraf bulunabilirli\u011fi) d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck oldu\u011fu bir d\u00f6neme denk getirilerek etkinin art\u0131r\u0131lmas\u0131 hedeflenmi\u015f g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcyor.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Japon yetkililerin yenle ilgili duru\u015fu ne?<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Japonya\u2019n\u0131n \u00fcst d\u00fczey d\u00f6viz yetkilisi Atsushi Mimura, spek\u00fclatif hareketlere (k\u0131sa vadeli oynakl\u0131ktan k\u00e2r ama\u00e7l\u0131 i\u015flemler) t\u00fcm imk\u00e2nlarla kar\u015f\u0131l\u0131k vermeye haz\u0131r olduklar\u0131n\u0131 belirtti. Bu yakla\u015f\u0131m, yen a\u015f\u0131r\u0131 de\u011fer kaybederse yeni m\u00fcdahale ihtimalinin g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc kald\u0131\u011f\u0131na i\u015faret ediyor.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>ABD Nisan istihdam raporu i\u00e7in piyasa beklentisi ne?<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Analistler tar\u0131m d\u0131\u015f\u0131 istihdam\u0131n (NFP) 65 bin artmas\u0131n\u0131 bekliyor. \u0130\u015fsizlik oran\u0131n\u0131n %4,3\u2019te kalaca\u011f\u0131 \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcyor. Bu veriler \u00f6nemli; \u00e7\u00fcnk\u00fc Fed\u2019in gelecek faiz kararlar\u0131na y\u00f6nelik beklentileri etkiliyor.<\/p>\n<\/details>\n\n<p>\n\n<p><strong>Hemen i\u015flem yapmaya ba\u015flay\u0131n &#8211; Ger\u00e7ek VT Markets hesab\u0131n\u0131z\u0131 olu\u015fturmak i\u00e7in <a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr\/trade-now\/\">buraya<\/a> t\u0131klay\u0131n <\/strong> <\/p>\n<!-- \/wp:post-content -->","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>USD\/JPY 157,00 alt\u0131nda temkinli: Japonya\u2019n\u0131n tatilde kur m\u00fcdahalesi iddias\u0131 yeni hamle fiyatl\u0131yor. Dolar endeksi zay\u0131f. G\u00f6zler ABD Nisan istihdam\u0131nda; 60-65 bin NFP, %4,3 i\u015fsizlik. 155-158 bant.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":46430,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[2],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-46431","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-analysis"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/46431","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=46431"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/46431\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/46430"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=46431"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=46431"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=46431"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}