GBP\/USD, Per\u015fembe g\u00fcn\u00fc ABD ile \u0130ran\u2019\u0131n bir bar\u0131\u015f anla\u015fmas\u0131na yakla\u015ft\u0131\u011f\u0131na dair haberlerin ard\u0131ndan y\u00fckseldi. Bu anla\u015fma H\u00fcrm\u00fcz Bo\u011faz\u0131\u2019n\u0131n yeniden a\u00e7\u0131lmas\u0131na zemin haz\u0131rlayabilir; ancak \u0130ran\u2019\u0131n n\u00fckleer program\u0131 gibi ba\u015fl\u0131klar \u00e7\u00f6z\u00fcms\u00fcz kal\u0131yor. Parite, yaz\u0131m s\u0131ras\u0131nda yakla\u015f\u0131k %0,28 art\u0131\u015fla 1,3627\u2019de i\u015flem g\u00f6rd\u00fc ve y\u00fckseli\u015fini \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcnc\u00fc g\u00fcne ta\u015f\u0131d\u0131.<\/p>\n
Avrupa seans\u0131nda GBP\/USD 1,3620 civar\u0131ndayd\u0131 ve %0,18 y\u00fckseldi. Anla\u015fma beklentilerine ba\u011fl\u0131 olarak ABD dolar\u0131nda sat\u0131\u015f bask\u0131s\u0131 g\u00f6r\u00fcld\u00fc. Bu hareket pariteyi 1,3600 b\u00f6lgesine yak\u0131n tuttu.<\/p>\n
Teknik de\u011ferlendirmeler, k\u0131sa vadede g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fcn g\u00fc\u00e7lendi\u011fine i\u015faret etti; parite y\u00fckselen bir kanal\u0131n (fiyat\u0131n yukar\u0131 e\u011fimli iki bant aras\u0131nda hareket etmesi) alt band\u0131ndan tepki verdi. Ayr\u0131ca 20 g\u00fcnl\u00fck EMA\u2019dan (\u00fcstel hareketli ortalama; son g\u00fcnlere daha fazla a\u011f\u0131rl\u0131k veren trend g\u00f6stergesi) destek ald\u0131\u011f\u0131 ve 1,3700\u2019e do\u011fru y\u00fckseli\u015f potansiyeli oldu\u011fu belirtildi.<\/p>\n
2025\u2019te GBP\/USD\u2019nin 1,3600 civar\u0131nda i\u015flem g\u00f6rd\u00fc\u011f\u00fc d\u00f6nemde, ABD-\u0130ran bar\u0131\u015f anla\u015fmas\u0131n\u0131n dolar\u0131 zay\u0131flataca\u011f\u0131 beklentisiyle iyimserlik hakimdi. Bug\u00fcn tablo olduk\u00e7a farkl\u0131; anla\u015fma tam anlam\u0131yla ger\u00e7ekle\u015fmedi ve parite d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f e\u011filimine girdi. Bu de\u011fi\u015fim, jeopolitik alg\u0131n\u0131n h\u0131zla tersine d\u00f6nebilece\u011fini g\u00f6steriyor.<\/p>\n
\u015eu anda dolar\u0131n g\u00fcc\u00fc ana belirleyici. Bunun arkas\u0131nda, Bank of England\u2019a k\u0131yasla daha \u201c\u015fahin\u201d bir Federal Reserve (faizleri y\u00fcksek tutma veya art\u0131rma e\u011filiminde daha sert duru\u015f) var. Son ABD istihdam verileri, ge\u00e7en ay ekonominin 210 binden fazla istihdam ekledi\u011fini g\u00f6sterdi; bu da Fed\u2019in faizleri y\u00fcksek seviyede tutma duru\u015funu g\u00fc\u00e7lendirdi. Para politikas\u0131 (faiz ve likidite ad\u0131mlar\u0131) fark\u0131 sterlin \u00fczerinde kal\u0131c\u0131 bask\u0131 yarat\u0131yor.<\/p>\n
\u0130ngiltere\u2019de ise son veride %3,5\u2019e gelen inat\u00e7\u0131 enflasyon ve yava\u015flayan b\u00fcy\u00fcme \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131k\u0131yor. Bu durum Bank of England\u2019\u0131 zor bir noktaya getiriyor ve sterlini destekleyecek yeni faiz art\u0131r\u0131mlar\u0131n\u0131 daha az olas\u0131 k\u0131l\u0131yor. Piyasalar art\u0131k y\u0131l sonuna do\u011fru olas\u0131 bir faiz indirimini fiyatl\u0131yor; 2025\u2019te bu yoktu.<\/p>\n
\u00d6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki haftalarda, daha g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc dolar ve daha zay\u0131f sterlinden fayda sa\u011flayan stratejiler de\u011ferlendirilebilir. GBP\/USD\u2019de 1,2450 civar\u0131nda kullan\u0131m fiyatl\u0131 (strike; opsiyonun i\u015flem fiyat\u0131) sat\u0131m (put) opsiyonu almak, olas\u0131 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015fe kar\u015f\u0131 koruma sa\u011flayabilir. Z\u0131mni oynakl\u0131k (implied volatility; opsiyon fiyatlar\u0131n\u0131n ima etti\u011fi beklenen dalgalanma) son d\u00f6nemde artt\u0131; bu da piyasada daha b\u00fcy\u00fck fiyat hareketi beklendi\u011fini g\u00f6sterir. Bu nedenle ay\u0131 put spread (bear put spread; bir put al\u0131p daha d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck kullan\u0131m fiyatl\u0131 ba\u015fka bir put satarak maliyeti azaltan strateji) gibi spread yap\u0131lar\u0131, artan prim maliyetini (opsiyonun pe\u015fin bedeli) y\u00f6netmeye yard\u0131mc\u0131 olabilir.<\/p>\n
Canl\u0131 VT Markets hesab\u0131n\u0131z\u0131 olu\u015fturun<\/a>\u00a0ve\u00a0hemen i\u015flem yapmaya ba\u015flay\u0131n<\/a>. <\/b><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":" Bar\u0131\u015f anla\u015fmas\u0131 umudu GBP\/USD\u2019yi 1,3627\u2019ye ta\u015f\u0131d\u0131; teknikler 1,3700\u2019\u00fc i\u015faret ediyor. Ancak Fed\u2019in \u015fahinli\u011fi ve BoE bask\u0131s\u0131 dolar\u0131 destekliyor; put opsiyonlarla d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015fe kar\u015f\u0131 strateji \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131k\u0131yor.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-46417","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/46417","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=46417"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/46417\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=46417"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=46417"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=46417"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}