USD\/SGD, piyasalar olas\u0131 bir ABD\u2013\u0130ran anla\u015fmas\u0131na dair daha net haber beklerken yatay bantta hareket ediyor. Parite, temkinli iyimserlikle s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 geriledi; ancak \u0130ran hen\u00fcz yan\u0131t vermedi ve 48 saatlik s\u00fcre hafta sonu \u00f6ncesinde doluyor.<\/p>\n
G\u00fcn i\u00e7i hareketin ayn\u0131 y\u00f6nde devam\u0131 gelmezse dikkatli olmak gerekir. Parite en son 1,2680 civar\u0131ndayd\u0131; g\u00fcnl\u00fck ivme (fiyat\u0131n h\u0131z\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6steren g\u00f6sterge) yatay, RSI (a\u015f\u0131r\u0131 al\u0131m\/a\u015f\u0131r\u0131 sat\u0131m\u0131 \u00f6l\u00e7en G\u00f6reli G\u00fc\u00e7 Endeksi) ise a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 s\u00fcz\u00fcl\u00fcyor.<\/p>\n
\u00c7ift y\u00f6nl\u00fc i\u015flemler muhtemel, ancak hafif a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 e\u011filim var. Dirence yak\u0131n b\u00f6lgelerde \u201cy\u00fckseli\u015fte sat\u0131\u015f\u201d daha uygun g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcyor. Destek 1,2660\u2019ta (Fibonacci %76,4 seviyesi; olas\u0131 destek\/diren\u00e7 i\u00e7in kullan\u0131lan oran) ve 1,2610\u2019da. Diren\u00e7ler 1,2720\u2019de (2026 dipten tepeye hareketin Fibonacci %61,8 geri \u00e7ekilmesi; \u00f6nceki hareketin bir k\u0131sm\u0131n\u0131 geri alma seviyesi), 1,2770\u2019te (50 ve 100 g\u00fcnl\u00fck hareketli ortalamalar\/DMA; trendi yumu\u015fatarak izleyen ortalamalar) ve 1,2800\u2019de.<\/p>\n
\u00d6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki haftalarda USD\/SGD\u2019nin yatay kalmas\u0131n\u0131, ancak a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 do\u011fru kademeli sarkma e\u011filimi g\u00f6stermesini bekliyoruz. Ana etken ABD\u2013\u0130ran g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fmelerindeki belirsizlik ve bu hafta sonu yakla\u015fan kritik s\u00fcre. Anla\u015fma sa\u011flan\u0131rsa piyasalarda \u201crisk i\u015ftah\u0131\u201d (riskli varl\u0131klara y\u00f6nelim) artabilir ve bu da genelde ABD dolar\u0131 i\u00e7in olumsuz olur.<\/p>\n
Singapur Para Otoritesi\u2019nin (MAS) g\u00f6rece \u015fahin duru\u015fu (enflasyonla m\u00fccadele i\u00e7in s\u0131k\u0131 politikaya yak\u0131n duru\u015f), 2026 1. \u00e7eyrekte enflasyonun %3,1\u2019e \u00e7\u0131kmas\u0131n\u0131n ard\u0131ndan SGD\u2019ye destek veriyor. Buna kar\u015f\u0131l\u0131k ABD\u2019nin nisan istihdam raporunda so\u011fuma i\u015faretleri g\u00f6r\u00fclmesi, Fed\u2019in agresif ad\u0131m beklentisini azaltt\u0131 ve USD\u2019nin SGD kar\u015f\u0131s\u0131nda zay\u0131flama ihtimalini g\u00fc\u00e7lendirdi.<\/p>\n
Bu tablo 2025 3. \u00e7eyre\u011fe benziyor: Jeopolitik gerilimler USD\/SGD\u2019yi birka\u00e7 hafta yakla\u015f\u0131k %1,5\u2019lik dar bir bantta tutmu\u015f, ard\u0131ndan a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 k\u0131r\u0131l\u0131m gelmi\u015fti. Benzer bir s\u0131k\u0131\u015fma ve sonras\u0131nda a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 hareket riski \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131k\u0131yor.<\/p>\n
T\u00fcrev i\u015flemler yapanlar i\u00e7in (t\u00fcrevin de\u011feri ba\u015fka bir varl\u0131\u011fa ba\u011fl\u0131 \u00fcr\u00fcnler) pratik yakla\u015f\u0131m, opsiyonlarla y\u00fckseli\u015fleri satmak olabilir. \u00d6rne\u011fin 1,2770 veya 1,2800 kullan\u0131m fiyatl\u0131 (strike; opsiyonun i\u015flem hakk\u0131 verdi\u011fi fiyat) al\u0131m opsiyonu (call; belirli fiyattan alma hakk\u0131) satmak, parite belirgin \u015fekilde yukar\u0131 gidemezse fayda sa\u011flar. A\u015fa\u011f\u0131 e\u011filimi g\u00f6stermek i\u00e7in 1,2650 kullan\u0131m fiyat\u0131 civar\u0131nda sat\u0131m opsiyonu (put; belirli fiyattan satma hakk\u0131) almak, anla\u015fma olursa veya risk alg\u0131s\u0131 iyile\u015firse 1,2610\u2019a do\u011fru hareketi hedefleyebilir. Ayr\u0131ca y\u00fcksek \u201colay riski\u201d (haber\/karar kaynakl\u0131 sert hareket riski) s\u00fcrebilece\u011fi i\u00e7in, bant i\u00e7inde kalaca\u011f\u0131 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fclen d\u00f6nemlerde \u201ciron condor\u201d gibi (belirli bir aral\u0131kta kal\u0131rsa getiri sa\u011flayan, hem al\u0131m hem sat\u0131m opsiyonlar\u0131n\u0131 i\u00e7eren yap\u0131) oynakl\u0131k sat\u0131\u015f\u0131 stratejileri de tercih edilebilir.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"
Kritik 48 saat! USD\/SGD, ABD\u2013\u0130ran haberini beklerken 1,2660\u20131,2800 band\u0131nda s\u0131k\u0131\u015ft\u0131; hafif a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 e\u011filim s\u00fcr\u00fcyor. MAS \u015fahin, Fed beklentisi yumu\u015fuyor; olas\u0131 anla\u015fma dolar aleyhine risk yarat\u0131yor.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-46415","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/46415","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=46415"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/46415\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=46415"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=46415"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=46415"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}