GBP\/USD per\u015fembe g\u00fcn\u00fc yakla\u015f\u0131k %0,28 y\u00fckseldi ve 1,3627 civar\u0131nda i\u015flem g\u00f6rd\u00fc; art\u0131\u015f serisi \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcnc\u00fc g\u00fcne uzad\u0131. Hareket, ABD-\u0130ran aras\u0131nda olas\u0131 bir bar\u0131\u015f anla\u015fmas\u0131na dair haberlerin ard\u0131ndan geldi. Bu anla\u015fma H\u00fcrm\u00fcz Bo\u011faz\u0131\u2019n\u0131n yeniden a\u00e7\u0131lmas\u0131n\u0131 sa\u011flayabilir; ancak n\u00fckleer program gibi ba\u015fl\u0131klar\u0131n \u00e7\u00f6z\u00fcms\u00fcz kald\u0131\u011f\u0131 belirtiliyor.<\/p>\n
ABD\u2019de 2 May\u0131s\u2019ta biten hafta i\u00e7in **\u0130lk \u0130\u015fsizlik Maa\u015f\u0131 Ba\u015fvurular\u0131** (i\u015fini kaybedenlerin ilk kez yapt\u0131\u011f\u0131 yard\u0131m ba\u015fvurusu) 200 bin oldu; beklenti 205 bin, \u00f6nceki veri 190 bindi. **Challenger i\u015ften \u00e7\u0131karma verisi** (\u015firketlerin duyurdu\u011fu planl\u0131 i\u015ften \u00e7\u0131karmalar) marttaki 60,62 binden nisanda 83,687 bine y\u00fckseldi.<\/p>\n
ABD Merkez Bankas\u0131 (Fed) yetkilileri, i\u015f g\u00fcc\u00fc piyasas\u0131n\u0131n istikrarl\u0131 kald\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 ancak **maksimum istihdamda** (ekonomi istihdam\u0131 daha da art\u0131rmaya \u00e7al\u0131\u015ft\u0131\u011f\u0131nda enflasyon bask\u0131s\u0131 yaratmadan ula\u015f\u0131labilen en y\u00fcksek seviye) olmad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 s\u00f6yledi. Cleveland Fed Ba\u015fkan\u0131 Beth Hammack, faizlerin \u201cepey bir s\u00fcre\u201d sabit kalabilece\u011fini, ileti\u015fimin de ne indirime ne art\u0131\u015f\u0131 ima edecek \u015fekilde kurulmas\u0131 gerekti\u011fini belirtti.<\/p>\n
Birle\u015fik Krall\u0131k\u2019ta yerel se\u00e7imler izleniyor; Ba\u015fbakan Keir Starmer\u2019\u0131n partisinin ciddi kay\u0131p ya\u015fayaca\u011f\u0131 beklentisi \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131k\u0131yor. Haberlerde, Starmer \u00fczerindeki bask\u0131n\u0131n bir k\u0131sm\u0131 da Peter Mandelson\u2019\u0131n ABD B\u00fcy\u00fckel\u00e7isi atanmas\u0131na y\u00f6nelik ele\u015ftiriler ve Mandelson\u2019\u0131n ilk Epstein dosyalar\u0131nda ad\u0131n\u0131n ge\u00e7mesiyle ili\u015fkilendirildi.<\/p>\n
Piyasalar, yeni Fed konu\u015fmalar\u0131 ile cuma g\u00fcn\u00fc a\u00e7\u0131klanacak **Tar\u0131m D\u0131\u015f\u0131 \u0130stihdam** verisini (ABD\u2019de tar\u0131m d\u0131\u015f\u0131ndaki sekt\u00f6rlerde olu\u015fan ayl\u0131k istihdam de\u011fi\u015fimi) takip ediyor; nisan i\u00e7in beklenti 62 bin. Teknik seviyeler olarak 1,3607, 1,3492, 1,3436, 1,3417 ve **Fed Duyarl\u0131l\u0131k Endeksi** (piyasan\u0131n Fed\u2019e ili\u015fkin genel beklenti\/alg\u0131s\u0131n\u0131 say\u0131salla\u015ft\u0131ran g\u00f6sterge) i\u00e7in 132 civar\u0131 an\u0131l\u0131yor.<\/p>\n
Yakla\u015fan Tar\u0131m D\u0131\u015f\u0131 \u0130stihdam verisi en kritik g\u00fcndem. Sadece 62 binlik beklenti, 2024\u2019te ayl\u0131k ortalama 230 binin \u00fczerindeki istihdam art\u0131\u015f\u0131yla k\u0131yasland\u0131\u011f\u0131nda belirgin bir yava\u015flama riskine i\u015faret ediyor. Veri beklentinin belirgin \u00fczerinde ya da alt\u0131nda gelirse sert fiyat hareketi g\u00f6r\u00fclebilir; \u00e7\u00fcnk\u00fc Fed **veriye ba\u011fl\u0131** (faiz kararlar\u0131n\u0131 gelen ekonomik verilere g\u00f6re ayarlayan) hareket ediyor.<\/p>\n
Paritenin di\u011fer taraf\u0131nda ise \u0130ngiltere yerel se\u00e7imleri \u00f6nemli risk yarat\u0131yor. Siyasi belirsizli\u011fin ge\u00e7mi\u015fte sterlini bask\u0131lad\u0131\u011f\u0131 unutulmamal\u0131; \u00f6rne\u011fin 2022\u2019deki liderlik krizinde g\u00f6r\u00fclen sert d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015fler. Ba\u015fbakan i\u00e7in zay\u0131f bir sonu\u00e7, dolar\u0131n zay\u0131fl\u0131\u011f\u0131 devam etse bile GBP\/USD\u2019deki son kazan\u0131mlar\u0131 silebilir.<\/p>\n
Bu iki z\u0131t etken nedeniyle yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar, y\u00f6n se\u00e7mek yerine beklenen oynakl\u0131\u011f\u0131 **opsiyonlarla** (belirli bir tarihe kadar belirli fiyattan al\u0131m-sat\u0131m hakk\u0131 veren s\u00f6zle\u015fme) de\u011ferlendirmeyi d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcnebilir. **Straddle** (ayn\u0131 vade ve kullan\u0131m fiyat\u0131nda hem al\u0131m\/call hem sat\u0131m\/put opsiyonu almak; b\u00fcy\u00fck fiyat hareketinden yararlanmay\u0131 hedefler) bu a\u00e7\u0131dan uygun bir strateji olabilir. **Z\u0131mni oynakl\u0131k** (opsiyon fiyatlar\u0131n\u0131n ima etti\u011fi beklenen dalgalanma) y\u00fckseliyor; bu da piyasan\u0131n g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc bir hareket bekledi\u011fini g\u00f6steriyor.<\/p>\n
Teknik g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcmde 1,3436 **direncinin** (y\u00fckseli\u015fi zorla\u015ft\u0131ran seviye) a\u015f\u0131lmas\u0131 al\u0131c\u0131lar i\u00e7in olumlu. Ancak ana **destek** (d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f\u00fc durdurabilecek seviye) 1,3492 civar\u0131ndaki **trend \u00e7izgisinde** (fiyat hareketinin y\u00f6n\u00fcn\u00fc g\u00f6steren teknik \u00e7izgi) bulunuyor. Bu seviyenin alt\u0131na sarkma, \u0130ngiltere kaynakl\u0131 siyasi endi\u015felerin jeopolitik iyimserli\u011fin \u00f6n\u00fcne ge\u00e7meye ba\u015flad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6sterebilir.<\/p>\n
VT Markets canl\u0131 hesab\u0131n\u0131z\u0131 olu\u015fturun<\/a>\u00a0ve\u00a0i\u015fleme ba\u015flay\u0131n<\/a>\u00a0. <\/b><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":" Sterlin\/dolar \u00fc\u00e7 g\u00fcnd\u00fcr y\u00fckseli\u015fte: 1,3627. \u0130ran-ABD bar\u0131\u015f umudu desteklerken, ABD i\u015fsizlik verileri ve Fed\u2019in \u201cuzun s\u00fcre sabit faiz\u201d mesaj\u0131 izleniyor. Cuma NFP ve \u0130ngiltere se\u00e7imleri oynakl\u0131k yaratabilir.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-46409","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/46409","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=46409"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/46409\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=46409"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=46409"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=46409"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}