EUR\/GBP per\u015fembe g\u00fcn\u00fc 0,8641 civar\u0131nda yatay seyretti ve bir haftal\u0131k bant i\u00e7inde kald\u0131. Piyasalar, \u0130ngiltere\u2019deki yerel se\u00e7im sonu\u00e7lar\u0131n\u0131 ve Orta Do\u011fu\u2019daki sava\u015f\u0131 bitirmeye ba\u011flanan olas\u0131 bir ABD-\u0130ran anla\u015fmas\u0131na dair haberleri izliyor.<\/p>\n
Anketler, Ba\u015fbakan Keir Starmer\u2019\u0131n \u0130\u015f\u00e7i Partisi\u2019nin yerel se\u00e7imlerde a\u011f\u0131r kay\u0131p ya\u015fayabilece\u011fine i\u015faret ediyor. Bu sonu\u00e7, \u0130ngiltere\u2019de siyasi belirsizli\u011fi art\u0131rabilir ve Sterlin \u00fczerinde bask\u0131 yaratabilir.<\/p>\n
Euro da zorlan\u0131yor. Orta Do\u011fu gerilimi ve y\u00fckselen petrol fiyatlar\u0131, faiz beklentilerini yukar\u0131 \u00e7ekiyor. Politika faizi (merkez bankas\u0131n\u0131n temel faiz oran\u0131) ECB\u2019de %2,15, BoE\u2019de %3,75 seviyesinde. Bu \u201cfaiz fark\u0131\u201d (iki \u00fclkenin faiz oranlar\u0131 aras\u0131ndaki fark) Sterlin\u2019i destekliyor.<\/p>\n
Parite, 100 g\u00fcnl\u00fck ve 200 g\u00fcnl\u00fck basit hareketli ortalamalar\u0131n (SMA: belirli g\u00fcn say\u0131s\u0131ndaki kapan\u0131\u015flar\u0131n ortalamas\u0131) alt\u0131nda kald\u0131\u011f\u0131 i\u00e7in a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc e\u011filimini koruyor. Momentum (fiyat hareketinin g\u00fcc\u00fc) zay\u0131f: RSI (g\u00f6reli g\u00fc\u00e7 endeksi, fiyat\u0131n a\u015f\u0131r\u0131 al\u0131m\/sat\u0131m ko\u015fullar\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6steren g\u00f6sterge) 40\u2019a yak\u0131n, MACD histogram\u0131 (iki hareketli ortalama aras\u0131ndaki ili\u015fkiyi g\u00f6steren g\u00f6stergenin alt bile\u015feni) negatif b\u00f6lgede.<\/p>\n
Diren\u00e7 (y\u00fckseli\u015fte zorlan\u0131lan seviye) 100 g\u00fcnl\u00fck SMA\u2019da 0,8687 civar\u0131nda ve 200 g\u00fcnl\u00fck SMA\u2019da 0,8703 b\u00f6lgesinde. Destek (d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015fte tutunma seviyesi) 0,8600 yak\u0131n\u0131nda. Bu seviyenin alt\u0131na k\u0131r\u0131l\u0131m, kay\u0131plar\u0131 derinle\u015ftirebilir.<\/p>\n
Yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar i\u00e7in temel ikilem, \u0130ngiltere\u2019de zay\u0131f b\u00fcy\u00fcme ile yap\u0131\u015fkan (kolay d\u00fc\u015fmeyen) i\u00e7 enflasyon aras\u0131ndaki gerilim. Enflasyon nisan ay\u0131nda %2,8 olarak a\u00e7\u0131kland\u0131. Bu durum BoE\u2019nin daha sert faiz indirimleri sinyali vermesini zorla\u015ft\u0131r\u0131yor. ECB ise para politikas\u0131n\u0131 gev\u015fetmek (faizleri indirmek) konusunda daha rahat. Bu ayr\u0131\u015fma, Sterlin\u2019in faizde avantajl\u0131 olsa da ekonomik zemininin zay\u0131f kald\u0131\u011f\u0131na i\u015faret ediyor.<\/p>\n
T\u00fcrev \u00fcr\u00fcn kullananlar i\u00e7in (t\u00fcrev: de\u011feri ba\u015fka bir varl\u0131\u011fa ba\u011fl\u0131 \u00fcr\u00fcnler), bu kar\u0131\u015f\u0131k sinyaller ortam\u0131 fiyat\u0131n bant i\u00e7inde kalmas\u0131ndan veya yava\u015f bir a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 hareketten yararlanan opsiyon stratejilerini \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131kar\u0131yor. \u201cOut-of-the-money\u201d (zarar b\u00f6lgesinde; kullan\u0131m fiyat\u0131 mevcut fiyattan uzak) 0,8650 \u00fczeri kullan\u0131m fiyatlar\u0131na sahip al\u0131m opsiyonu spread\u2019leri satmak (call spread: iki al\u0131m opsiyonunu birlikte al\u0131p\/satarak risk-getiri profilini s\u0131n\u0131rlamak) prim toplamak i\u00e7in kullan\u0131labilir. Bu strateji (prim: opsiyonun fiyat\u0131) riski s\u0131n\u0131rlar ve teknik bask\u0131n\u0131n s\u00fcrd\u00fc\u011f\u00fc g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fc yans\u0131t\u0131r.<\/p>\n
Vadeli i\u015flemler kullananlar\u0131n (futures: ileri tarihte al\u0131m-sat\u0131m i\u00e7in standart s\u00f6zle\u015fme) b\u00fcy\u00fck pozisyon biriktirirken temkinli olmas\u0131 gerekir. Geni\u015f faiz fark\u0131, k\u0131sa pozisyon ta\u015f\u0131yanlarda (short: d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f beklentisiyle sat\u0131\u015f) sert ve \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fclemez \u201cs\u0131k\u0131\u015ft\u0131rmalar\u201da (short squeeze: fiyat y\u00fckselirken k\u0131sa pozisyonlar\u0131n zorla kapanmas\u0131yla y\u00fckseli\u015fin h\u0131zlanmas\u0131) yol a\u00e7abilir. 50 g\u00fcnl\u00fck hareketli ortalamaya do\u011fru g\u00fc\u00e7lenmeleri, \u015fu anda 0,8590 civar\u0131nda, s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 k\u0131sa pozisyon denemeleri i\u00e7in f\u0131rsat olarak g\u00f6rmek daha temkinli bir yakla\u015f\u0131m olabilir. Bu disiplinli y\u00f6ntem, d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f trendine kat\u0131l\u0131rken piyasadaki kar\u015f\u0131t ak\u0131mlar\u0131 da dikkate al\u0131r.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"
EUR\/GBP 0,8640\u2019ta s\u0131k\u0131\u015ft\u0131: \u0130ngiltere yerel se\u00e7imleri siyasi riski art\u0131r\u0131rken, olas\u0131 ABD-\u0130ran anla\u015fmas\u0131 ve petrol ECB\/BoE ayr\u0131\u015fmas\u0131n\u0131 \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131kar\u0131yor. Teknik g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm zay\u0131f; 0,8600 k\u0131r\u0131l\u0131rsa d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f derinle\u015febilir.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-46399","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/46399","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=46399"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/46399\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=46399"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=46399"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=46399"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}