Hindistan Rupisi (INR), Per\u015fembe g\u00fcn\u00fc ABD Dolar\u0131 kar\u015f\u0131s\u0131nda (USD) erken saatlerdeki kay\u0131plardan toparlanarak art\u0131ya ge\u00e7ti; USD\/INR paritesi 94,15 civar\u0131na geriledi. Hareket, H\u00fcrm\u00fcz Bo\u011faz\u0131\u2019n\u0131n yak\u0131nda yeniden a\u00e7\u0131labilece\u011fine dair haberlerin ard\u0131ndan petrol fiyatlar\u0131n\u0131n d\u00fc\u015fmesini izledi. Bu bo\u011faz, k\u00fcresel enerji arz\u0131n\u0131n (d\u00fcnyan\u0131n toplam enerji tedariki) yakla\u015f\u0131k %20\u2019siyle ba\u011flant\u0131l\u0131 \u00f6nemli bir ge\u00e7i\u015f noktas\u0131.<\/p>\n
WTI ham petrol\u00fc (ABD referans petrol\u00fc) yakla\u015f\u0131k %3 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015fle 90,00 dolar seviyesine indi. Al-Hadath, X\u2019te ABD ile \u0130ran aras\u0131nda bo\u011faz\u0131n kademeli olarak yeniden a\u00e7\u0131lmas\u0131 i\u00e7in temaslar\u0131n s\u00fcrd\u00fc\u011f\u00fcn\u00fc yazd\u0131; b\u00f6lgede bekleyen gemilerin saatler i\u00e7inde etkilenebilece\u011fini belirtti.<\/p>\n
Yabanc\u0131 kurumsal yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar (FII: yurtd\u0131\u015f\u0131ndaki b\u00fcy\u00fck fon ve kurumlar), May\u0131s ay\u0131nda Hindistan hisse senedi piyasas\u0131nda net sat\u0131c\u0131 konumunu korudu; ilk \u00fc\u00e7 seanstan ikisinde sat\u0131\u015f yapt\u0131. Toplam net sat\u0131\u015f 6.620,86 crore rupi (yakla\u015f\u0131k 66,2 milyar rupi) oldu.<\/p>\n
ABD Dolar Endeksi (DXY: dolar\u0131n ba\u015fl\u0131ca para birimlerinden olu\u015fan sepete kar\u015f\u0131 g\u00fcc\u00fcn\u00fc \u00f6l\u00e7en endeks) %0,12 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015fle 97,90 civar\u0131na geriledi; \u00c7ar\u015famba g\u00fcn\u00fc g\u00f6r\u00fclen 97,62 ile iki ay\u0131 a\u015fan en d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck seviyeye yak\u0131n seyrediyor. Piyasalar, Cuma g\u00fcn\u00fc a\u00e7\u0131klanacak ABD Tar\u0131m D\u0131\u015f\u0131 \u0130stihdam (NFP: tar\u0131m sekt\u00f6r\u00fc hari\u00e7 yeni istihdam say\u0131s\u0131) verisini izliyor; Nisan i\u00e7in 60 bin yeni i\u015f beklentisi var.<\/p>\n
USD\/INR, 20 g\u00fcnl\u00fck EMA (\u00dcstel Hareketli Ortalama: son g\u00fcnlere daha fazla a\u011f\u0131rl\u0131k veren trend g\u00f6stergesi) olan 94,17 civar\u0131nda bulunuyor; bu da k\u0131sa vadeli trendi belirsiz b\u0131rak\u0131yor. RSI (G\u00f6reli G\u00fc\u00e7 Endeksi: fiyat\u0131n h\u0131z\u0131n\u0131 ve y\u00f6n\u00fcn\u00fc \u00f6l\u00e7en momentum g\u00f6stergesi) 52,60\u2019a geriledi; 93\u2019l\u00fc seviyeler destek, 95,53 ise diren\u00e7 olarak izleniyor.<\/p>\n
Petrol\u00fcn varil ba\u015f\u0131na 90 dolar civar\u0131na d\u00fc\u015fmesi, H\u00fcrm\u00fcz Bo\u011faz\u0131\u2019n\u0131n yeniden a\u00e7\u0131laca\u011f\u0131 beklentisiyle Rupiyi k\u0131sa vadede destekliyor. Daha d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck enerji maliyeti, Hindistan\u2019\u0131n ithalat faturas\u0131n\u0131 (d\u0131\u015far\u0131dan al\u0131nan enerji ve mal i\u00e7in \u00f6denen toplam tutar) azalt\u0131r; bu da para birimi i\u00e7in olumlu g\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcr. Bu nedenle USD\/INR k\u0131sa vadede gerileyebilir.<\/p>\n
Bu tablo daha \u00f6nce de g\u00f6r\u00fcld\u00fc. \u00d6rne\u011fin 2022\u2019de petrol fiyatlar\u0131ndaki sert y\u00fckseli\u015fler Rupiyi ciddi \u015fekilde bask\u0131lam\u0131\u015ft\u0131. 2026 ba\u015f\u0131 verilerine g\u00f6re Hindistan imalat PMI (Sat\u0131n Alma Y\u00f6neticileri Endeksi: 50\u2019nin \u00fczeri b\u00fcy\u00fcmeye i\u015faret eder) 58\u2019in \u00fczerinde kalarak g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc seyretti; bu, istikrarl\u0131 enerji ithalat\u0131na ba\u011fl\u0131 canl\u0131 ekonomik faaliyet anlam\u0131na gelir. Hindistan petrol sepeti i\u00e7in son d\u00f6nemdeki 89 dolar\/varil ortalamas\u0131n\u0131n alt\u0131nda kal\u0131c\u0131 bir d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f, bu olumlu tabloyu destekleyebilir.<\/p>\n
USD\/INR \u015fu anda 94,17 civar\u0131nda kritik bir teknik seviyeyi test ediyor. \u00d6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki seanslarda bu deste\u011fin net bi\u00e7imde a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 k\u0131r\u0131lmas\u0131, paritede 93\u2019l\u00fc seviyelere do\u011fru ek bir geri \u00e7ekilmeyi tetikleyebilir. Bu seviye, Rupideki son zay\u0131flaman\u0131n duraksay\u0131p duraksamad\u0131\u011f\u0131na dair sinyal verebilir.<\/p>\n
\u00d6te yandan, yabanc\u0131 kurumsal yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n devam eden sat\u0131\u015flar\u0131 da dikkate al\u0131nmal\u0131. Bu ay yaln\u0131zca 6.600 crore rupiyi a\u015fan hisse sat\u0131\u015f\u0131 yap\u0131ld\u0131. 2022\u2019de FIIs\u2019\u0131n Hindistan hisselerinde yakla\u015f\u0131k 30 milyar dolarl\u0131k sat\u0131\u015fla \u00e7\u0131k\u0131\u015f yapt\u0131\u011f\u0131 d\u00f6nemlerde, di\u011fer etkenlere ra\u011fmen Rupinin zay\u0131flamas\u0131 s\u0131k g\u00f6r\u00fclm\u00fc\u015ft\u00fc. Bu tablo, Rupinin temel g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fcn\u00fcn (ekonomik ve sermaye ak\u0131mlar\u0131na dayal\u0131 ana durumun) k\u0131r\u0131lgan kald\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6steriyor.<\/p>\n
ABD dolar\u0131ndaki genel zay\u0131fl\u0131k da etkili; Dolar Endeksi iki ay\u0131n diplerine yak\u0131n. Cuma g\u00fcnk\u00fc istihdam verisinin 60 binle s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 kalmas\u0131, dolar\u0131 daha da zay\u0131flatabilir ve Rupiye ge\u00e7ici destek verebilir. Bu nedenle, daha uzun vadeli bir g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015f olu\u015fturmadan \u00f6nce Cuma verisi kritik olacak.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"
S\u00fcrpriz rupi rallisi: H\u00fcrm\u00fcz\u2019un a\u00e7\u0131lma ihtimali petrol\u00fc 90 dolara \u00e7ekince USD\/INR 94,15\u2019e indi. DXY gev\u015fiyor, NFP bekleniyor. 94,17 kritik; 93 destek, 95,53 diren\u00e7. FII sat\u0131\u015flar\u0131 risk.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-46383","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/46383","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=46383"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/46383\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=46383"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=46383"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=46383"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}