G\u00fcm\u00fc\u015f Per\u015fembe g\u00fcn\u00fc y\u00fckseldi ve 80,00 dolar\u0131n \u00fczerine \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131; \u00fc\u00e7 haftan\u0131n en y\u00fcksek seviyesine ula\u015ft\u0131. Fiyat hareketi, 20 Nisan b\u00f6lgesine denk gelen 80,50-80,70 dolar aral\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 i\u015faret etti.<\/p>\n
ABD Hazine tahvili getirilerinin d\u00fc\u015fmesi ve petrol fiyatlar\u0131n\u0131n gerilemesi, \u201crisk alma\u201d i\u015ftah\u0131n\u0131n artt\u0131\u011f\u0131 (yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n daha riskli varl\u0131klara y\u00f6neldi\u011fi) bir ortamda zay\u0131flayan ABD Dolar\u0131 ile birlikte de\u011ferli metalleri destekledi. ABD-\u0130ran bar\u0131\u015f s\u00fcrecinde ilerleme oldu\u011fu y\u00f6n\u00fcndeki haberler ve H\u00fcrm\u00fcz Bo\u011faz\u0131\u2019n\u0131n yeniden a\u00e7\u0131lmas\u0131na ili\u015fkin g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fme s\u00f6ylentileri, ham petrol\u00fc a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 \u00e7ekti. Bu durum, Fed\u2019in faiz art\u0131r\u0131m\u0131 beklentilerini azaltt\u0131.<\/p>\n
G\u00fcm\u00fc\u015f son iki g\u00fcnde yakla\u015f\u0131k %10 y\u00fckseldi. Bu hareket, haftal\u0131k diplerden gelen toparlanman\u0131n ard\u0131ndan geldi; 72,25 dolar civar\u0131nda daha y\u00fcksek bir dip olu\u015ftu ve \u00c7ar\u015famba g\u00fcn\u00fc g\u00fcnl\u00fck grafikte \u201cbo\u011fa yutan\u201d mum g\u00f6r\u00fcld\u00fc. \u201cBo\u011fa yutan mum\u201d, g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc al\u0131mlar\u0131n bir \u00f6nceki g\u00fcnk\u00fc d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f\u00fc tamamen geri ald\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6steren bir mum formasyonudur.<\/p>\n
G\u00f6stergeler, y\u00fckseli\u015fin k\u0131sa vadede a\u015f\u0131r\u0131 h\u0131zland\u0131\u011f\u0131na i\u015faret etti. 4 saatlik RSI (G\u00f6receli G\u00fc\u00e7 Endeksi: fiyat\u0131n h\u0131z\u0131n\u0131 \u00f6l\u00e7en g\u00f6sterge) 80\u2019e yakla\u015ft\u0131. MACD histogram\u0131 (iki hareketli ortalama aras\u0131ndaki farktan \u00fcretilen momentum g\u00f6stergesi) pozitifteydi ve y\u00fckseliyordu. 80,70 dolar civar\u0131 diren\u00e7 (fiyat\u0131n zor ge\u00e7ti\u011fi seviye) olarak \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131karken, bir sonraki seviye 83,00 dolar\u0131n hemen \u00fczeri olarak izlendi.<\/p>\n
Destek (fiyat\u0131n tutunma e\u011filimi g\u00f6sterdi\u011fi seviye) 76,70 dolar civar\u0131nda; haftal\u0131k dip ise 72,15 dolar yak\u0131n\u0131nda g\u00f6r\u00fcld\u00fc. \u201cRisk alma\u201d d\u00f6nemlerinde hisseler, bir\u00e7ok emtia ve AUD, CAD, NZD, RUB, ZAR gibi para birimleri genelde y\u00fckselir. \u201cRiskten ka\u00e7\u0131\u015f\u201d d\u00f6nemlerinde ise tahviller, alt\u0131n ve USD, JPY, CHF gibi para birimleri g\u00fc\u00e7lenme e\u011filimindedir.<\/p>\n
G\u00fcm\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn 80,00 dolar\u0131n \u00fczerine \u00e7\u0131kmas\u0131yla y\u00fckseli\u015f ivmesi g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc; ancak teknik g\u00f6stergeler uyar\u0131 veriyor. RSI 80\u2019e yakla\u015f\u0131yor; bu seviye genelde \u201ca\u015f\u0131r\u0131 al\u0131m\u201d (fiyat\u0131n h\u0131zl\u0131 y\u00fckselip k\u0131sa s\u00fcreli duraksama ya da geri \u00e7ekilme ihtimalinin artmas\u0131) sinyali olarak g\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcr. Yani trend yukar\u0131 olsa da sert bir geri d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015f riski art\u0131yor.<\/p>\n
Bu kadar h\u0131zlanan ko\u015fullarda, hem y\u00fckseli\u015fin s\u00fcrmesinden hem de k\u0131sa vadeli d\u00fczeltmeden faydalanabilecek opsiyon stratejileri \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131kar. Opsiyon, belirli bir fiyattan alma ya da satma hakk\u0131 veren t\u00fcrev \u00fcr\u00fcnd\u00fcr. CBOE Silver Volatility Index (VXSLV), yani g\u00fcm\u00fc\u015fte beklenen dalgalanmay\u0131 \u00f6l\u00e7en endeks, 34 civar\u0131nda y\u00fcksek seyrediyor. Bu, piyasada k\u0131sa vadede sert fiyat hareketleri beklendi\u011fi anlam\u0131na gelir.<\/p>\n
Temel tarafta (haber\/ekonomi kaynakl\u0131 etkenler), ABD 10 y\u0131ll\u0131k tahvil getirilerinin %4,1\u2019in alt\u0131na gerilemesi y\u00fckseli\u015fi destekliyor. Getiri, tahvilden elde edilen faizi ifade eder. Getiri d\u00fc\u015ft\u00fc\u011f\u00fcnde, faiz geliri olmayan g\u00fcm\u00fc\u015f gibi varl\u0131klar daha cazip hale gelebilir. Ayr\u0131ca CME FedWatch arac\u0131, \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcnc\u00fc \u00e7eyre\u011fe kadar Fed\u2019in faiz indirimi yapma olas\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 yakla\u015f\u0131k %70\u2019e yak\u0131n g\u00f6steriyor. Bu da fiyat\u0131 83,00 dolar direncine do\u011fru destekleyebilir. Bu nedenle belirgin bir geri \u00e7ekilmede al\u0131m opsiyonu (call: belirli fiyattan alma hakk\u0131) almak takip edilebilir.<\/p>\n
\u00c7eli\u015fkili sinyaller nedeniyle \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki haftalarda esnek yakla\u015f\u0131m gerekli. \u201cBull call spread\u201d (y\u00fckseli\u015f s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 risk stratejisi: bir al\u0131m opsiyonu al\u0131p daha yukar\u0131 fiyattan ba\u015fka bir al\u0131m opsiyonu satarak maliyeti d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcrme) kullan\u0131labilir. \u00d6rne\u011fin 81 kullan\u0131m fiyatl\u0131 (strike: opsiyonun hak fiyat\u0131) call al\u0131p 83 kullan\u0131m fiyatl\u0131 call satmak, yukar\u0131 hareketten faydalan\u0131rken pe\u015fin maliyeti s\u0131n\u0131rlar. Mevcut uzun pozisyonlar\u0131 korumak i\u00e7in ise 76,70 deste\u011fine yak\u0131n kullan\u0131m fiyat\u0131ndan \u201ckoruyucu sat\u0131m opsiyonu\u201d (protective put: d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015fe kar\u015f\u0131 sigorta) de\u011ferlendirilebilir.<\/p>\n
Canl\u0131 VT Markets hesab\u0131n\u0131z\u0131 olu\u015fturun<\/a>\u00a0ve\u00a0hemen i\u015flem yapmaya ba\u015flay\u0131n<\/a>. <\/b><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":" G\u00fcm\u00fc\u015f 80 dolar \u00fcst\u00fcne t\u0131rmanarak \u00fc\u00e7 haftan\u0131n zirvesini g\u00f6rd\u00fc. D\u00fc\u015fen ABD getirileri ve zay\u0131f dolar destekliyor; RSI 80 \u201ca\u015f\u0131r\u0131 al\u0131m\u201d uyar\u0131s\u0131 veriyor. Diren\u00e7 80,70-83; destek 76,70\/72,15. Opsiyonda bull call spread ve protective put \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131k\u0131yor.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-46382","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/46382","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=46382"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/46382\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=46382"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=46382"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=46382"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}