WTI ham petrol\u00fc per\u015fembe g\u00fcn\u00fc \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcnc\u00fc g\u00fcn \u00fcst \u00fcste geriledi ve 90,66 dolardan i\u015flem g\u00f6rd\u00fc. Hareket, ABD-\u0130ran bar\u0131\u015f g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fmelerine ili\u015fkin haberlerin ve H\u00fcrm\u00fcz Bo\u011faz\u0131\u2019n\u0131n yeniden a\u00e7\u0131labilece\u011fine dair beklentilerin ard\u0131ndan geldi.<\/p>\n
Al-Hadath, X\u2019te (eski ad\u0131yla Twitter) g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015ft\u00fc\u011f\u00fc kaynaklara dayanarak, bo\u011faz\u0131n kademeli olarak yeniden a\u00e7\u0131lmas\u0131 i\u00e7in yo\u011fun temaslar\u0131n s\u00fcrd\u00fc\u011f\u00fcn\u00fc yazd\u0131. H\u00fcrm\u00fcz Bo\u011faz\u0131, d\u00fcnya petrol arz\u0131n\u0131n (piyasaya sunulan petrol miktar\u0131) yakla\u015f\u0131k %20\u2019sinin ge\u00e7ti\u011fi kritik bir ge\u00e7i\u015f noktas\u0131.<\/p>\n
Haberlere g\u00f6re Tahran, sava\u015f\u0131 resmen sona erdirecek son ABD bar\u0131\u015f teklifini inceliyor. Reuters\u2019\u0131n aktard\u0131\u011f\u0131 kaynaklar, teklifin n\u00fckleer g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fmeler i\u00e7in \u00e7er\u00e7eve belirleyece\u011fini, H\u00fcrm\u00fcz Bo\u011faz\u0131\u2019n\u0131n yeniden a\u00e7\u0131lmas\u0131n\u0131 ve ABD\u2019nin \u0130ran\u2019a uygulad\u0131\u011f\u0131 yapt\u0131r\u0131mlar\u0131n (ticaret ve finans k\u0131s\u0131tlamalar\u0131) kald\u0131r\u0131lmas\u0131n\u0131 da i\u00e7erece\u011fini s\u00f6yledi.<\/p>\n
WTI, ge\u00e7en haftaki zirvelerinden yakla\u015f\u0131k 17 dolar geriledi. Yine de sava\u015f \u00f6ncesi seviyelerin yakla\u015f\u0131k %40 \u00fczerinde. Bunun nedeni, H\u00fcrm\u00fcz\u2019\u00fcn gelece\u011fine ili\u015fkin belirsizli\u011fin s\u00fcrmesi.<\/p>\n
Piyasa kat\u0131l\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131, ge\u00e7i\u015fin yeniden a\u00e7\u0131lmas\u0131na dair net bir i\u015faret bekliyor. Bu geli\u015fme, petrol ve do\u011falgaz fiyatlar\u0131n\u0131 sava\u015f \u00f6ncesi seviyelere yakla\u015ft\u0131rabilir.<\/p>\n
Ge\u00e7en y\u0131l\u0131n sonlar\u0131na do\u011fru, ABD-\u0130ran bar\u0131\u015f g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fmelerindeki ilerleme kamuoyuna yans\u0131y\u0131nca ham petrol fiyatlar\u0131n\u0131n sert d\u00fc\u015ft\u00fc\u011f\u00fcn\u00fc g\u00f6rd\u00fck. 107 dolar\u0131n \u00fczerini g\u00f6ren WTI, bo\u011faz\u0131n yeniden a\u00e7\u0131laca\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6n\u00fcndeki ilk beklentilerle yakla\u015f\u0131k 90 dolara geriledi. Bu ilk hareket, gerilimin azalaca\u011f\u0131 beklentisiyle ortaya \u00e7\u0131km\u0131\u015ft\u0131.<\/p>\n
Art\u0131k H\u00fcrm\u00fcz Anla\u015fmalar\u0131 y\u00fcr\u00fcrl\u00fckte oldu\u011fundan, piyasa artan arz ger\u00e7e\u011fine g\u00f6re yeniden fiyatlama yapt\u0131. \u0130ran ihracat\u0131 \u015fubattan bu yana g\u00fcnl\u00fck yakla\u015f\u0131k 900 bin varil artt\u0131. WTI \u015fu anda 78 dolar civar\u0131nda dengelenmi\u015fken, jeopolitik risk primi (belirsizlik nedeniyle fiyata eklenen pay) b\u00fcy\u00fck \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fcde ortadan kalkt\u0131. Bo\u011fazdan ge\u00e7en gemilere ili\u015fkin ge\u00e7i\u015f verileri de sava\u015f \u00f6ncesi d\u00fczeyin %95\u2019ine d\u00f6nd\u00fc; bu, kritik hatt\u0131n normale d\u00f6nd\u00fc\u011f\u00fcn\u00fc g\u00f6steriyor.<\/p>\n
T\u00fcrev \u00fcr\u00fcn (fiyat\u0131 ba\u015fka bir varl\u0131\u011fa ba\u011fl\u0131 finansal s\u00f6zle\u015fmeler) i\u015flemi yapanlar i\u00e7in bu, 2025\u2019in sonlar\u0131nda g\u00f6r\u00fclen y\u00fcksek \u201cz\u0131mni oynakl\u0131k\u201d d\u00f6neminin (opsiyon fiyatlar\u0131n\u0131n i\u015faret etti\u011fi beklenen fiyat dalgalanmas\u0131) b\u00fcy\u00fck \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fcde geride kald\u0131\u011f\u0131 anlam\u0131na geliyor. Petrol borsa yat\u0131r\u0131m fonlar\u0131nda (ETF: borsada al\u0131n\u0131p sat\u0131lan fon) \u201ccovered call\u201d (eldeki varl\u0131k \u00fczerine al\u0131m opsiyonu satma) veya \u201cshort strangle\u201d (ayn\u0131 vadede hem al\u0131m hem sat\u0131m opsiyonu satma) gibi stratejilerle prim satmak (opsiyon geliri elde etmek), pahal\u0131 koruma (hedge: riske kar\u015f\u0131 sigorta ama\u00e7l\u0131 pozisyon) almaya g\u00f6re daha cazip hale gelebilir. Petrol oynakl\u0131k endeksi OVX (petrol opsiyonlar\u0131ndaki beklenen dalgalanmay\u0131 g\u00f6steren endeks) de bunu yans\u0131t\u0131yor: \u00e7at\u0131\u015fma s\u0131ras\u0131nda 55 civar\u0131na \u00e7\u0131kan seviye, 30\u2019lu d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck de\u011ferlere geriledi.<\/p>\n
Oda\u011f\u0131n art\u0131k jeopolitik man\u015fetlerden OPEC+\u2019\u0131n arz y\u00f6netimine kaymas\u0131 gerekiyor. Yeni \u0130ran varillerine kar\u015f\u0131l\u0131k OPEC+ nisan toplant\u0131s\u0131nda g\u00f6n\u00fcll\u00fc \u00fcretim kesintilerini uzatt\u0131 ve b\u00f6ylece piyasada bir taban olu\u015fturdu. Takvim spread\u2019i (farkl\u0131 vadelerde ayn\u0131 varl\u0131kta al\u0131m-sat\u0131m yaparak vade fark\u0131ndan yararlanma) i\u015flemleri, \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki aylarda piyasan\u0131n ileride s\u0131k\u0131la\u015faca\u011f\u0131 beklentisine g\u00f6re \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131kan bir strateji olabilir.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"
Petrolde tansiyon d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcyor: WTI \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcnc\u00fc g\u00fcnde 90,66 dolara indi. ABD-\u0130ran bar\u0131\u015f sinyalleri ve H\u00fcrm\u00fcz\u2019\u00fcn a\u00e7\u0131lma beklentisi arz endi\u015fesini azalt\u0131yor; risk primi, oynakl\u0131k s\u00f6n\u00fcyor, oda\u011f\u0131n OPEC+\u2019a kaymas\u0131 bekleniyor.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-46378","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/46378","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=46378"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/46378\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=46378"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=46378"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=46378"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}