{"id":46354,"date":"2026-05-07T07:20:22","date_gmt":"2026-05-07T07:20:22","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr\/uncategorized\/iran-anlasmasina-yonelik-umutlarin-sonmesiyle-dolar-dengelendi\/"},"modified":"2026-05-07T07:20:22","modified_gmt":"2026-05-07T07:20:22","slug":"iran-anlasmasina-yonelik-umutlarin-sonmesiyle-dolar-dengelendi","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/analysis\/iran-anlasmasina-yonelik-umutlarin-sonmesiyle-dolar-dengelendi\/","title":{"rendered":"\u0130ran Anla\u015fmas\u0131na Y\u00f6nelik Umutlar\u0131n S\u00f6nmesiyle Dolar Dengelendi"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/9\/2026\/05\/USD4-1-1024x573.webp\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-47235\"\/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>\u00d6ne \u00c7\u0131kanlar<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>USDX 97,866 seviyesinde i\u015flem g\u00f6rd\u00fc; 0,003 geriledi (y\u00fczde 0,00) ve g\u00fcn i\u00e7i en y\u00fcksek 97,911\u2019i g\u00f6rd\u00fc.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>USDX dolar endeksi, \u00c7ar\u015famba 97,625 ile iki ay\u0131n en d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u011f\u00fcn\u00fc g\u00f6rd\u00fckten sonra 98,017 civar\u0131nda yatay seyretti.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>ABD ve \u0130ran, bir ayl\u0131k bar\u0131\u015f g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fmelerinin zeminini olu\u015fturabilecek 14 maddelik bir \u201cmutabakat metni\u201d (g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fmelerin \u00e7er\u00e7evesini yazan taslak) \u00fczerinde \u00e7al\u0131\u015f\u0131yor.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Ba\u015fkan Donald Trump\u2019\u0131n \u0130ran\u2019la \u201ciyi g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fmeler\u201d yap\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 s\u00f6ylemesiyle dolar \u00fczerindeki bask\u0131 azald\u0131; ancak sonu\u00e7lanmam\u0131\u015f ba\u015fl\u0131klar, \u201cg\u00fcvenli liman\u201d talebini (risk art\u0131nca yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131n\u0131n dolara y\u00f6nelmesi) canl\u0131 tutuyor.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator has-alpha-channel-opacity is-style-dots\"\/>\n\n\n\n<p>Dolar, \u00c7ar\u015famba g\u00fcn\u00fc iki ay\u0131n en d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck seviyesine indikten sonra Per\u015fembe g\u00fcn\u00fc dengelendi. Piyasalar, ABD-\u0130ran anla\u015fma ihtimalini ve g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fmelerin bozulma riskini birlikte fiyatl\u0131yor. USDX dolar endeksi, anla\u015fman\u0131n yak\u0131n oldu\u011funa dair haberlerin ard\u0131ndan 97,625\u2019e kadar geriledikten sonra 98,017 civar\u0131nda yatay seyretti.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Grafi\u011fe g\u00f6re USDX, 05\/07 09:57:39 GMT+3 itibar\u0131yla 97,866\u2019da; 0,003 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015fle (y\u00fczde 0,00). G\u00fcn i\u00e7i en y\u00fcksek 97,911; en d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck 97,744; a\u00e7\u0131l\u0131\u015f 97,884; kapan\u0131\u015f 97,869.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Dolar\u0131n duraklamas\u0131 do\u011fal. Bar\u0131\u015f beklentisi, g\u00fcvenli liman talebini azaltarak dolar\u0131 zay\u0131flatabilir; ayr\u0131ca petrol fiyat\u0131 bask\u0131s\u0131n\u0131 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcrerek enflasyon riskini (fiyat art\u0131\u015f\u0131 riski) s\u0131n\u0131rlayabilir.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-rich is-provider-twitter wp-block-embed-twitter\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"500\" data-dnt=\"true\"><p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">Washington\u2019s spending spree endangers the global status of the dollar as a reliable safe haven, according to Eurizon SLJ Capital\u2019s Stephen Jen <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/zBTb7tTAHo\">https:\/\/t.co\/zBTb7tTAHo<\/a><\/p>&mdash; Bloomberg (@business) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/business\/status\/2051740524088811967?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">May 5, 2026<\/a><\/blockquote><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script>\n<\/div><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>Buna kar\u015f\u0131n yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar, nihai \u015fartlar netle\u015fmeden dolardan tamamen \u00e7\u0131kmak istemiyor. Trump\u2019\u0131n, \u0130ran anla\u015fmaya varmazsa askeri ad\u0131m\u0131n yeniden g\u00fcndeme gelebilece\u011fini s\u00f6ylemesi de temkinli duru\u015fu destekliyor.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">\u0130ran G\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fmeleri Dolar\u0131 Dar Bir Bantta Tutuyor<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>ABD ve \u0130ran, arabulucularla birlikte 14 maddelik bir mutabakat metni \u00fczerinde \u00e7al\u0131\u015f\u0131yor. Bu metin, bir ay s\u00fcrecek bar\u0131\u015f g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fmeleri i\u00e7in \u00e7er\u00e7eveyi (hangi ba\u015fl\u0131klar\u0131n, hangi s\u0131rayla ele al\u0131naca\u011f\u0131n\u0131) belirleyecek. Taslak, \u00e7at\u0131\u015fmalar\u0131n bitmesini ve daha kapsaml\u0131 n\u00fckleer g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fmeler i\u00e7in yol a\u00e7\u0131lmas\u0131n\u0131 hedefliyor.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-rich is-provider-twitter wp-block-embed-twitter\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"500\" data-dnt=\"true\"><p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">It\u2019s not just Big Oil. Wind giants welcome profit beats as Iran war spurs energy pivot <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/CaFtKSr7oR\">https:\/\/t.co\/CaFtKSr7oR<\/a><\/p>&mdash; CNBC (@CNBC) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/CNBC\/status\/2052255699023847535?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">May 7, 2026<\/a><\/blockquote><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script>\n<\/div><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>Trump, \u00c7ar\u015famba g\u00fcn\u00fc \u0130ranl\u0131 m\u00fczakerecilerle \u201ciyi g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fmeler\u201d yap\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 ve \u0130ran\u2019\u0131n n\u00fckleer silah sahibi olmamay\u0131 kabul etti\u011fini s\u00f6yledi. Ancak kritik ba\u015fl\u0131klar h\u00e2l\u00e2 a\u00e7\u0131k. Trump ayr\u0131ca, anla\u015fma olmazsa askeri ad\u0131m\u0131n yeniden ba\u015flayabilece\u011fini belirtti.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Bu tablo dolar\u0131 iki y\u00f6nl\u00fc b\u0131rak\u0131yor. \u00c7er\u00e7evenin imzalanmas\u0131, petrol fiyat\u0131 d\u00fc\u015ferse USDX\u2019i a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 \u00e7ekebilir; risk i\u015ftah\u0131 (yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131n\u0131n riskli varl\u0131klara y\u00f6nelme iste\u011fi) artar ve piyasalar Fed\u2019in gelecekte faiz indirimini yeniden fiyatlayabilir. G\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fmelerin da\u011f\u0131lmas\u0131 ise, yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131n\u0131n savunmac\u0131 varl\u0131klara (riskten ka\u00e7\u0131\u015fta tercih edilen ara\u00e7lar) d\u00f6nmesiyle dolar\u0131 g\u00fc\u00e7lendirebilir.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Fed Fiyatlamas\u0131 USDX \u0130\u00e7in H\u00e2l\u00e2 \u00d6nemli<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>Dolar art\u0131k sadece ABD Merkez Bankas\u0131\u2019n\u0131n (Fed) faiz beklentileriyle hareket etmiyor. \u0130ran kaynakl\u0131 gerilim, petrol fiyatlar\u0131 ve H\u00fcrm\u00fcz Bo\u011faz\u0131 (petrol ta\u015f\u0131mac\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131 i\u00e7in kritik ge\u00e7i\u015f noktas\u0131) makro g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fcn merkezinde. Yine de Fed fiyatlamas\u0131 \u00f6nemli; \u00e7\u00fcnk\u00fc daha d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck petrol ve daha d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck enflasyon riski, faiz indirimi beklentilerini yeniden g\u00fc\u00e7lendirebilir.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-rich is-provider-twitter wp-block-embed-twitter\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"500\" data-dnt=\"true\"><p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">Fed officials say rising supply chain risks fuel concern of more persistent inflation <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/EtDHw13iVO\">https:\/\/t.co\/EtDHw13iVO<\/a> <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/EtDHw13iVO\">https:\/\/t.co\/EtDHw13iVO<\/a><\/p>&mdash; Reuters (@Reuters) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/Reuters\/status\/2052219380356817120?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">May 7, 2026<\/a><\/blockquote><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script>\n<\/div><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>Bar\u0131\u015f g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fmeleri ilerlerse, piyasalarda gelecekte faiz indirimi beklentisi yeniden g\u00fc\u00e7lenebilir; bu da dolar\u0131 bask\u0131lar. G\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fmeler t\u0131kan\u0131r ve petrol toparlan\u0131rsa, piyasalar Fed\u2019in daha uzun s\u00fcre s\u0131k\u0131 durabilece\u011fini (faizi daha y\u00fcksek tutabilece\u011fini) d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcnebilir; bu da USDX\u2019i destekler.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Bu nedenle dolar 97,625\u2019i g\u00f6rd\u00fckten sonra sert \u00e7\u00f6kmedi. Piyasaya sadece umut veren ba\u015fl\u0131klar yetmiyor. Enerji riskinin (petrol arz\u0131\/ta\u015f\u0131mac\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131 riski) azalabilece\u011fine ve enflasyon bask\u0131s\u0131n\u0131n s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 kalaca\u011f\u0131na dair somut i\u015faret aran\u0131yor.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Teknik Analiz<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>USDX <strong>97,87<\/strong> civar\u0131nda. Endeks, <strong>99,40\u2013100,00<\/strong> band\u0131n\u0131 geri alamay\u0131nca bask\u0131 s\u00fcr\u00fcyor; fiyat, genel bir \u201cd\u00fczeltme\u201d yap\u0131s\u0131 i\u00e7inde (\u00f6nceki y\u00fckseli\u015fin bir k\u0131sm\u0131n\u0131 geri veren hareket) kademeli geriliyor. Dolar endeksi, Mart sonundaki <strong>100,48<\/strong> zirvesinden beri zay\u0131fl\u0131yor; y\u00fckseli\u015f denemelerinde sat\u0131\u015f bask\u0131s\u0131 devam ediyor.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Teknik g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcmde momentum (fiyat\u0131n hareket h\u0131z\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6steren e\u011filim) <strong>zay\u0131f\/negatif ile n\u00f6tr<\/strong> aras\u0131nda. Fiyat, <strong>5 g\u00fcnl\u00fck (98,07)<\/strong> ve <strong>10 g\u00fcnl\u00fck (98,22)<\/strong> hareketli ortalamalar\u0131n alt\u0131nda. Hareketli ortalama, belirli g\u00fcnlerin ortalama fiyat\u0131n\u0131 alarak trendi g\u00f6steren basit bir g\u00f6stergedir; bu seviyeler k\u0131sa vadede \u201cdiren\u00e7\u201d (yukar\u0131 hareketi zorla\u015ft\u0131ran e\u015fik) gibi \u00e7al\u0131\u015f\u0131yor. <strong>20 g\u00fcnl\u00fck (98,18)<\/strong> ortalama da mevcut fiyat\u0131n \u00fczerinde; bu da a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc e\u011filimi g\u00fc\u00e7lendiriyor ve al\u0131c\u0131lar\u0131n ivme kazanmakta zorland\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6steriyor.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/9\/2026\/05\/image-10-1024x473.jpg\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-49711\"\/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>\u0130zlenecek seviyeler:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><strong>Destek:<\/strong> 97,74 \u2192 96,40 \u2192 95,34 (destek: d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015fte al\u0131mlar\u0131n gelme ihtimalinin artt\u0131\u011f\u0131 seviye)<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Diren\u00e7:<\/strong> 98,07 \u2192 98,22 \u2192 99,40 (diren\u00e7: y\u00fckseli\u015fte sat\u0131\u015f\u0131n artabilece\u011fi seviye)<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p>Fiyat, <strong>97,74 destek b\u00f6lgesinin<\/strong> hemen \u00fczerinde. Buras\u0131 al\u0131c\u0131lar i\u00e7in ilk savunma hatt\u0131. Bu seviyenin alt\u0131na sarkma, <strong>96,40<\/strong>\u2019\u0131 g\u00fcndeme getirebilir; sat\u0131\u015f bask\u0131s\u0131 h\u0131zlan\u0131rsa <strong>95,34<\/strong> dibine do\u011fru risk artar.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Yukar\u0131da <strong>98,07<\/strong> ilk diren\u00e7. Bu seviye k\u0131sa vadeli hareketli ortalamalarla ayn\u0131 yerde. Yap\u0131n\u0131n toparlanmas\u0131 i\u00e7in <strong>98,20<\/strong> \u00fczerine kal\u0131c\u0131 d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015f gerekir. Daha g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc bir y\u00fckseli\u015f d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015f\u00fc i\u00e7in ise <strong>99,40<\/strong> b\u00f6lgesinin yeniden a\u015f\u0131lmas\u0131 beklenir.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Genel olarak USDX, <strong>zay\u0131f bir d\u00fczeltme d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f\u00fc<\/strong> i\u00e7inde. Fiyat, \u00f6nemli hareketli ortalamalar\u0131n alt\u0131nda kald\u0131\u011f\u0131 s\u00fcrece yukar\u0131 ivme \u00fcretmekte zorlan\u0131yor. <strong>98,20<\/strong> diren\u00e7 b\u00f6lgesinin alt\u0131nda kald\u0131k\u00e7a a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 risk devam ediyor.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Piyasa Etkileri<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/learn\/is-the-u-s-dollar-collapsing-the-reality-of-dedollarisation-in-2026\/?utmsource=DMA\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">Daha zay\u0131f dolar<\/a>, emtia (petrol, alt\u0131n, bak\u0131r gibi borsalarda i\u015flem g\u00f6ren ham maddeler), geli\u015fen \u00fclke para birimleri ve riskli varl\u0131klar\u0131 destekleyebilir. USDX a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 k\u0131rarsa ve piyasa Fed\u2019in daha fazla faiz indirimi ihtimalini fiyatlarsa, alt\u0131n yeniden g\u00fc\u00e7 bulabilir. Bar\u0131\u015f beklentisi k\u00fcresel talep alg\u0131s\u0131n\u0131 iyile\u015ftirirse bak\u0131r ve b\u00fcy\u00fcmeye duyarl\u0131 di\u011fer metaller de destek g\u00f6rebilir.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Daha g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc dolar ters etki yarat\u0131r. \u0130ran g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fmeleri bozulur ya da petrol toparlan\u0131rsa, USDX 98,185\u201398,224 hareketli ortalama b\u00f6lgesini yeniden test edebilir; emtia ve riskli para birimlerinde ivme zay\u0131flayabilir.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Temkinli senaryo, USDX 98,224 alt\u0131nda kald\u0131\u011f\u0131 s\u00fcrece dolar\u0131n zay\u0131f ama bant i\u00e7inde seyretmesi. 97,744 alt\u0131na ini\u015f, 96,414\u2019e do\u011fru daha derin hareketi destekler. 98,224 \u00fczerinde kapan\u0131\u015f ise bar\u0131\u015f iyimserli\u011finin zay\u0131flad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 ve yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131n\u0131n \u201csavunmac\u0131 dolar\u201d pozisyonunu (riske kar\u015f\u0131 dolarda kalma e\u011filimi) art\u0131rd\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6sterebilir.<\/p>\n\n<p>\n\n<p><strong>Hemen i\u015flem yapmaya ba\u015flay\u0131n &#8211; Ger\u00e7ek VT Markets hesab\u0131n\u0131z\u0131 olu\u015fturmak i\u00e7in <a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr\/trade-now\/\">buraya<\/a> t\u0131klay\u0131n <\/strong> <\/p>\n<!-- \/wp:post-content -->","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Dolar endeksi, ABD-\u0130ran mutabakat tasla\u011f\u0131 ve Trump\u2019\u0131n mesajlar\u0131yla 97,62 dip sonras\u0131 98,01 civar\u0131nda yatay. Belirsizlik g\u00fcvenli liman talebini canl\u0131 tutarken teknikte 97,74 destek, 98,22 diren\u00e7 izleniyor.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":46353,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[2],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-46354","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-analysis"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/46354","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=46354"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/46354\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/46353"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=46354"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=46354"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=46354"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}