{"id":46322,"date":"2026-05-07T01:25:53","date_gmt":"2026-05-07T01:25:53","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr\/uncategorized\/mudahale-endiseleri-surerken-dolar-yen-karsisinda-toparlandi-odakta-petrol-kaynakli-riskler-ve-faiz-farklari-var\/"},"modified":"2026-05-07T01:25:53","modified_gmt":"2026-05-07T01:25:53","slug":"mudahale-endiseleri-surerken-dolar-yen-karsisinda-toparlandi-odakta-petrol-kaynakli-riskler-ve-faiz-farklari-var","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/live-updates\/mudahale-endiseleri-surerken-dolar-yen-karsisinda-toparlandi-odakta-petrol-kaynakli-riskler-ve-faiz-farklari-var\/","title":{"rendered":"M\u00fcdahale endi\u015feleri s\u00fcrerken dolar yen kar\u015f\u0131s\u0131nda toparland\u0131; odakta petrol kaynakl\u0131 riskler ve faiz farklar\u0131 var"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>USD\/JPY, bir ba\u015fka olas\u0131 Japonya m\u00fcdahalesiyle ba\u011flant\u0131l\u0131 erken saatlerdeki bask\u0131n\u0131n ard\u0131ndan \u00e7ar\u015famba g\u00fcn\u00fc toparland\u0131. Kur, k\u0131sa s\u00fcreli\u011fine 155,00 civar\u0131na indikten sonra 156,42 yak\u0131n\u0131nda i\u015flem g\u00f6rd\u00fc ve g\u00fcn i\u00e7inde yakla\u015f\u0131k %0,90 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015fteydi.  <\/p>\n<p>ABD Dolar\u0131, Axios\u2019un haberine g\u00f6re ABD ile \u0130ran\u2019\u0131n sava\u015f\u0131 bitirmeye ve n\u00fckleer g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fmeler i\u00e7in \u00e7er\u00e7eve olu\u015fturmaya d\u00f6n\u00fck bir anla\u015fmaya yakla\u015fmas\u0131 beklentisiyle zay\u0131flad\u0131. Ancak nihai anla\u015fmaya dair belirsizlik, dolardaki d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f\u00fc s\u0131n\u0131rlad\u0131.  <\/p>\n<h3>Dollar Index And Intervention Watch<\/h3>\n<p>ABD Dolar Endeksi (DXY) 97,62 g\u00fcn i\u00e7i dip seviyesinin ard\u0131ndan 98,04 civar\u0131ndayd\u0131; yakla\u015f\u0131k %0,45 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f kaydetti. DXY, dolar\u0131n ba\u015fl\u0131ca para birimleri kar\u015f\u0131s\u0131ndaki genel g\u00fcc\u00fcn\u00fc \u00f6l\u00e7en endekstir. Japonya m\u00fcdahaleyi do\u011frulamad\u0131; ancak yetkililerin uyar\u0131lar\u0131 yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131 temkinli tuttu.  <\/p>\n<p>Orta Do\u011fu\u2019da petrol arz\u0131na dair aksama riski alg\u0131y\u0131 bozarken yen zorland\u0131. Bunun nedeni, Japonya\u2019n\u0131n enerjide ithalata ba\u011f\u0131ml\u0131 olmas\u0131 ve sevkiyatlar\u0131n H\u00fcrm\u00fcz Bo\u011faz\u0131\u2019ndan ge\u00e7mesidir. H\u00fcrm\u00fcz Bo\u011faz\u0131 ile ABD-\u0130ran m\u00fczakereleri izleniyor.  <\/p>\n<p>Per\u015fembe g\u00fcn\u00fc Japonya\u2019n\u0131n \u0130\u015fg\u00fcc\u00fc Nakit Kazan\u00e7lar\u0131 (\u00e7al\u0131\u015fanlar\u0131n \u00fccret gelirleri) ve Japonya Merkez Bankas\u0131 (BOJ) toplant\u0131 tutanaklar\u0131, ABD\u2019de ise haftal\u0131k i\u015fsizlik maa\u015f\u0131 ba\u015fvurular\u0131 a\u00e7\u0131klanacak. Cuma g\u00fcn\u00fc ABD Tar\u0131m D\u0131\u015f\u0131 \u0130stihdam (NFP; tar\u0131m d\u0131\u015f\u0131 sekt\u00f6rlerdeki istihdam de\u011fi\u015fimi) verisi takip edilecek. Teknik seviyelerde 157,36, 158,69 ve 154,24 seviyelerinde Basit Hareketli Ortalamalar (SMA; belirli g\u00fcnlerin ortalama fiyat\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6steren g\u00f6sterge) \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131k\u0131yor. RSI (G\u00f6reli G\u00fc\u00e7 Endeksi; momentum g\u00f6stergesi) 38\u2019e yak\u0131n, ADX (Ortalama Y\u00f6n Endeksi; trendin g\u00fcc\u00fcn\u00fc \u00f6l\u00e7er) 23 civar\u0131nda, destek ise 155,50 yak\u0131n\u0131nda.  <\/p>\n<h3>Hedging And Rate Differential Outlook<\/h3>\n<p>T\u00fcrev \u00fcr\u00fcn yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131, ani bir d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015fe kar\u015f\u0131 korunmak i\u00e7in JPY al\u0131m opsiyonu (call; belirli fiyattan alma hakk\u0131) veya USD\/JPY sat\u0131m opsiyonu (put; belirli fiyattan satma hakk\u0131) almay\u0131 de\u011ferlendirebilir. Ana e\u011filim yukar\u0131 olsa da, ge\u00e7en y\u0131l tek g\u00fcnde birka\u00e7 yenlik sert d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015fler g\u00f6r\u00fclmesi, korunmas\u0131z uzun pozisyonlar\u0131 (kur y\u00fckseli\u015fine oynayan pozisyon) \u00e7ok riskli k\u0131l\u0131yor. Opsiyonlar, BOJ kaynakl\u0131 ani bir resmi hamleye kar\u015f\u0131 s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 zararla korunma sa\u011flar.  <\/p>\n<p>Dolar\u0131n g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc kalmas\u0131n\u0131n temel nedeni, ABD ile Japonya aras\u0131ndaki geni\u015f faiz fark\u0131d\u0131r. FED\u2019in faizi, beklenenden inat\u00e7\u0131 enflasyon verileri sonras\u0131 %4,5 civar\u0131nda seyrederken; BOJ politika faizini ge\u00e7en y\u0131l\u0131n sonlar\u0131nda temkinli \u015fekilde %0,1\u2019e ta\u015f\u0131d\u0131. Bu fark, \u201ccarry trade\u201di (d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck faizli para biriminden bor\u00e7lan\u0131p y\u00fcksek faizli para birimine ge\u00e7erek faiz fark\u0131ndan kazan\u00e7 sa\u011flama) cazip k\u0131l\u0131yor; pratikte yen bor\u00e7lan\u0131p dolar almak anlam\u0131na gelir.  <\/p>\n<p><b><a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/trade-now\/\">Canl\u0131 VT Markets hesab\u0131n\u0131z\u0131 olu\u015fturun<\/a>\u00a0ve\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/myaccount.vtmarkets.com\/login\">hemen i\u015flem yapmaya ba\u015flay\u0131n<\/a>. <\/b><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>M\u00fcdahale s\u00f6ylentisi USD\/JPY\u2019yi sars\u0131yor: 155\u2019ten 156,4\u2019e toparland\u0131. ABD-\u0130ran anla\u015fma beklentisi dolar\u0131 zay\u0131flat\u0131rken belirsizlik fren. BoJ\/Fed faiz fark\u0131 ve kritik veriler\/teknikler yak\u0131ndan izleniyor.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-46322","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/46322","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=46322"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/46322\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=46322"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=46322"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=46322"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}