{"id":46318,"date":"2026-05-07T00:55:26","date_gmt":"2026-05-07T00:55:26","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr\/uncategorized\/abd-iran-gorusmeleri-hurmuz-arz-endiselerini-azaltirken-destekleyici-abd-stok-dususune-ragmen-wti-geriledi\/"},"modified":"2026-05-07T00:55:26","modified_gmt":"2026-05-07T00:55:26","slug":"abd-iran-gorusmeleri-hurmuz-arz-endiselerini-azaltirken-destekleyici-abd-stok-dususune-ragmen-wti-geriledi","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/live-updates\/abd-iran-gorusmeleri-hurmuz-arz-endiselerini-azaltirken-destekleyici-abd-stok-dususune-ragmen-wti-geriledi\/","title":{"rendered":"ABD-\u0130ran g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fmeleri H\u00fcrm\u00fcz arz endi\u015felerini azalt\u0131rken, destekleyici ABD stok d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f\u00fcne ra\u011fmen WTI geriledi"},"content":{"rendered":"

WTI ABD ham petrol\u00fc \u00c7ar\u015famba g\u00fcn\u00fc yakla\u015f\u0131k 92,30 dolara gerileyerek g\u00fcn\u00fc %7,62 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015fle kapatt\u0131. Hareket, ABD ile \u0130ran aras\u0131nda diplomatik ilerleme oldu\u011funa dair haberlerin ard\u0131ndan geldi ve arz\u0131n kesintiye u\u011frayaca\u011f\u0131 endi\u015felerini azaltt\u0131.<\/p>\n

Axios, ABD ile \u0130ran\u2019\u0131n, \u0130ran\u2019\u0131n n\u00fckleer program\u0131na ili\u015fkin daha geni\u015f g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fmelerle ba\u011flant\u0131l\u0131 bir \u201cmutabakat zapt\u0131\u201dna (taraflar\u0131n niyetini yaz\u0131l\u0131 hale getiren, genelde ba\u011flay\u0131c\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131 s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 \u00f6n anla\u015fma) yakla\u015fm\u0131\u015f oldu\u011funu bildirdi. Haberde; H\u00fcrm\u00fcz Bo\u011faz\u0131 (k\u00fcresel petrol sevkiyat\u0131n\u0131n ge\u00e7ti\u011fi kritik deniz ge\u00e7idi) \u00e7evresindeki k\u0131s\u0131tlamalar\u0131n kademeli olarak azalt\u0131lmas\u0131, \u0130ran\u2019\u0131n n\u00fckleer zenginle\u015ftirmeye (uranyumun enerji\/askeri ama\u00e7la i\u015flenmesi) ara vermesi, ABD yapt\u0131r\u0131mlar\u0131n\u0131n (ticaret ve finans k\u0131s\u0131tlar\u0131) gev\u015fetilmesi ve dondurulmu\u015f \u0130ran varl\u0131klar\u0131n\u0131n (yurt d\u0131\u015f\u0131nda bloke edilen fonlar) serbest b\u0131rak\u0131lmas\u0131 yer ald\u0131.<\/p>\n

Diplomatik Geli\u015fmeler Ve Arz Riski<\/h3>\n

Axios ayr\u0131ca Beyaz Saray\u2019\u0131n Tahran\u2019dan \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki 48 saat i\u00e7inde yan\u0131t bekledi\u011fini yazd\u0131. Reuters, Pakistanl\u0131 bir diplomatik kayna\u011fa dayand\u0131rd\u0131\u011f\u0131 haberinde iki taraf\u0131n anla\u015fmay\u0131 sonu\u00e7land\u0131rmaya \u201c\u00e7ok yak\u0131n\u201d oldu\u011funu aktard\u0131.<\/p>\n

ABD Ba\u015fkan\u0131 Donald Trump, H\u00fcrm\u00fcz Bo\u011faz\u0131\u2019nda ticari gemi ta\u015f\u0131mac\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00fcvenceye almay\u0131 hedefleyen askeri operasyon \u201cProject Freedom\u201dun g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fmeler s\u0131ras\u0131nda ge\u00e7ici olarak durdurulaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 s\u00f6yledi. ABD Savunma Bakan\u0131 Pete Hegseth de ABD ile \u0130ran aras\u0131ndaki ate\u015fkesin \u201c\u015fimdilik ge\u00e7erli oldu\u011funu\u201d ifade etti.<\/p>\n

ABD Enerji Enformasyon \u0130daresi (EIA), ge\u00e7en hafta ABD ham petrol stoklar\u0131nda 2,314 milyon varillik d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f (stoklar\u0131n azalmas\u0131) bildirildi\u011fini a\u00e7\u0131klad\u0131; bir \u00f6nceki hafta d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f 6,233 milyon varildi. Sonu\u00e7, 2,8 milyon varillik d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f beklentisine yak\u0131nd\u0131. Goldman Sachs ise k\u00fcresel petrol stoklar\u0131n\u0131n yakla\u015f\u0131k sekiz y\u0131l\u0131n en d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck seviyelerine yak\u0131n oldu\u011funu belirtti.<\/p>\n

Piyasa Etkisi Ve Pozisyonlanma<\/h3>\n

EIA\u2019n\u0131n ge\u00e7en haftaki raporu, stoklarda 1,5 milyon varillik s\u00fcrpriz art\u0131\u015f (stoklar\u0131n y\u00fckselmesi) g\u00f6sterdi ve fiyatlar \u00fczerinde bask\u0131 kurdu. Bu zay\u0131f arz verisi, \u00c7in\u2019de sanayi talebinde yava\u015flama endi\u015feleriyle birle\u015fince teknik g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fc (grafiklere dayal\u0131 k\u0131sa vadeli fiyat e\u011filimi) zay\u0131flat\u0131yor.<\/p>\n

\u00d6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki haftalarda, al\u0131m opsiyonu spread\u2019i satmak (call spread: iki farkl\u0131 kullan\u0131m fiyatl\u0131 al\u0131m opsiyonunu birlikte kullanarak primi toplamak ve riski s\u0131n\u0131rlamak) temkinli bir strateji olarak \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131k\u0131yor. WTI 85 dolar\u0131n \u00fczerinde kalmakta zorlan\u0131rken, Haziran vadeli 88-90 dolar al\u0131m opsiyonu spread\u2019ini satmak, prim geliri sa\u011flarken riski tan\u0131mlar. Bu pozisyon, fiyat\u0131n yatay kalmas\u0131 ya da daha da d\u00fc\u015fmesi halinde avantajl\u0131d\u0131r.<\/p>\n

Ancak durumun h\u0131zla tersine d\u00f6nebilece\u011fi unutulmamal\u0131. G\u00fcney \u00c7in Denizi\u2019ndeki gerilimin yeniden artmas\u0131 dikkate al\u0131nd\u0131\u011f\u0131nda, \u201cparadan uzak\u201d (out-of-the-money: mevcut fiyata g\u00f6re kullan\u0131m fiyat\u0131 daha y\u00fcksek olan) ucuz al\u0131m opsiyonlar\u0131 tutmak bir korunma (hedge: beklenmedik hareketlere kar\u015f\u0131 sigorta) i\u015flevi g\u00f6r\u00fcr. \u00d6rne\u011fin Temmuz 95 dolar al\u0131m opsiyonu almak, piyasada \u015fu an yeterince fiyatlanmayan ani bir arz \u015fokuna kar\u015f\u0131 koruma sa\u011flar.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Petrolde sert sat\u0131\u015f: WTI %7,6 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015fle 92,30$\u2019a indi. ABD-\u0130ran mutabakat\u0131 ve H\u00fcrm\u00fcz riskinin azalmas\u0131 arz endi\u015fesini s\u00f6nd\u00fcrd\u00fc. Stoklar d\u00fc\u015fse de talep kayg\u0131s\u0131 bask\u0131n; opsiyon stratejileri \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131k\u0131yor.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-46318","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/46318","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=46318"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/46318\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=46318"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=46318"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=46318"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}