Yeni Zelanda Dolar\u0131, ABD ile \u0130ran\u2019\u0131n bir bar\u0131\u015f anla\u015fmas\u0131na yakla\u015ft\u0131\u011f\u0131na dair haberler sonras\u0131nda \u00c7ar\u015famba g\u00fcn\u00fc ABD Dolar\u0131 kar\u015f\u0131s\u0131nda %1,5\u2019ten fazla y\u00fckseldi. NZD\/USD, \u00fc\u00e7 haftal\u0131k i\u015flem band\u0131n\u0131n \u00fczerine \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131 ve sava\u015f \u00f6ncesi seviyelerin birka\u00e7 pip alt\u0131nda 0,6000\u2019e yakla\u015ft\u0131. (Pip: d\u00f6vizde fiyat\u0131n en k\u00fc\u00e7\u00fck de\u011fi\u015fim birimi.)<\/p>\n
Axios, iki ABD yetkilisi ve di\u011fer kaynaklara dayand\u0131rd\u0131\u011f\u0131 haberinde, ABD ve \u0130ranl\u0131 temsilcilerin \u00e7at\u0131\u015fmay\u0131 bitirmek i\u00e7in tek sayfal\u0131k bir \u201cmutabakat metni\u201dne (resm\u00ee olmayan anla\u015fma \u00e7er\u00e7evesi) yakla\u015ft\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 bildirdi. Habere g\u00f6re bu metin, daha sonra yap\u0131lacak n\u00fckleer g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fmeler i\u00e7in bir \u00e7er\u00e7eve olu\u015fturacak.<\/p>\n
ABD Ba\u015fkan\u0131 Donald Trump, H\u00fcrm\u00fcz Bo\u011faz\u0131\u2019ndan ge\u00e7en gemilere refakat etme planlar\u0131na ara verilece\u011fini a\u00e7\u0131klad\u0131. ABD D\u0131\u015fi\u015fleri Bakan\u0131 Marco Rubio, Sal\u0131 g\u00fcn\u00fc \u201cOperation Epic Fury\u201dnin (Operasyon: asker\u00ee harek\u00e2t) hedeflerine ula\u015f\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 s\u00f6yledi; bunun ard\u0131ndan \u00e7at\u0131\u015fmalar\u0131n yeniden t\u0131rmanaca\u011f\u0131 beklentisi azald\u0131.<\/p>\n
Yeni Zelanda\u2019da i\u015fsizlik oran\u0131 1. \u00e7eyrekte (Q1) 5,4\u2019ten 5,3\u2019e geriledi ve beklentilerin alt\u0131nda geldi; istihdam art\u0131\u015f\u0131 zay\u0131f kalsa da bu veri NZD\u2019yi destekledi. \u0130\u015fg\u00fcc\u00fc maliyetleri (\u00fccret ve yan haklar) de y\u00fckseldi ve a\u00e7\u0131klama sonras\u0131 NZD g\u00fc\u00e7lendi.<\/p>\n
G\u00f6zler daha sonra ABD ADP \u0130stihdam De\u011fi\u015fimi verisine \u00e7evrildi. (ADP: \u00f6zel sekt\u00f6r istihdam\u0131n\u0131 \u00f6l\u00e7en \u00f6nc\u00fc g\u00f6sterge.) Verinin, Mart\u2019taki 62 bin seviyesinden Nisan\u2019da 99 bine y\u00fckseldi\u011fini g\u00f6stermesi bekleniyor. Bu veri, Cuma g\u00fcn\u00fc a\u00e7\u0131klanacak Tar\u0131m D\u0131\u015f\u0131 \u0130stihdam (ABD\u2019de tar\u0131m d\u0131\u015f\u0131ndaki toplam istihdam art\u0131\u015f\u0131) raporu \u00f6ncesinde izleniyor.<\/p>\n
Bug\u00fcn k\u00fcresel risk g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fc ayn\u0131 \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fcde destekleyici de\u011fil; Orta Do\u011fu\u2019daki genel gerilimler arka planda kal\u0131c\u0131 bir risk unsuru olmaya devam ediyor. Bu nedenle, belirgin bir y\u00f6n olu\u015fmas\u0131 i\u00e7in as\u0131l belirleyici etkenin k\u00fcresel duyarl\u0131l\u0131ktan \u00e7ok \u00fclkeler aras\u0131 ekonomik verilerdeki ayr\u0131\u015fma olmas\u0131 bekleniyor.<\/p>\n
Yeni Zelanda Merkez Bankas\u0131 (RBNZ), yap\u0131\u015fkan enflasyonla m\u00fccadele i\u00e7in politika faizini (resm\u00ee faiz oran\u0131) %5,50\u2019de tutarak \u201c\u015fahin\u201d (faizleri y\u00fcksek tutmaya e\u011filimli) duru\u015f sergilemeyi s\u00fcrd\u00fcr\u00fcyor. Enflasyonun %4,0 civar\u0131nda seyretmesi bu duru\u015fu destekliyor. \u0130\u015fsizlik oran\u0131n\u0131n daha d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck olmas\u0131 i\u00e7 talep a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan zemini g\u00fc\u00e7lendirerek para birimine destek sa\u011flayabilir.<\/p>\n
Di\u011fer tarafta ABD Merkez Bankas\u0131 (Fed) da s\u0131k\u0131 para politikas\u0131 \u00e7izgisini koruyor. Bu durum NZD\/USD\u2019de iki merkez bankas\u0131n\u0131n hamlelerinin birbirini dengelemesine yol a\u00e7\u0131yor. Piyasa, hangi merkez bankas\u0131n\u0131n faiz indirimine \u00f6nce zorlanaca\u011f\u0131na odaklanm\u0131\u015f durumda; ABD istihdam verilerinin dayan\u0131kl\u0131 g\u00f6r\u00fcnmesi bu beklentileri etkiliyor. Sonu\u00e7 olarak parite, ge\u00e7en y\u0131la k\u0131yasla daha s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 bir bantta hareket ediyor.<\/p>\n
Bu g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcmde yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar, olas\u0131 sert hareketler i\u00e7in opsiyonlar\u0131 kullanmay\u0131 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcnebilir. (Opsiyon: belirli bir fiyattan alma\/satma hakk\u0131 veren t\u00fcrev \u00fcr\u00fcn.) \u00d6rne\u011fin 0,6200 civar\u0131ndaki diren\u00e7 seviyesinin (fiyat\u0131n zor a\u015ft\u0131\u011f\u0131 seviye) \u00fczerinde kullan\u0131m fiyatl\u0131 NZD\/USD al\u0131m (call) opsiyonlar\u0131, yukar\u0131 hareketten faydalanmay\u0131 sa\u011flarken s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 risk sunar. \u201cZ\u0131mni oynakl\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u201d (implied volatility: opsiyon fiyatlar\u0131na yans\u0131yan beklenen dalgalanma) orta seviyede kalmas\u0131, opsiyon primlerinin (opsiyonun maliyeti) y\u00fcksek belirsizlik d\u00f6nemlerine g\u00f6re daha d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck olabilece\u011fi anlam\u0131na gelir.<\/p>\n
VT Markets canl\u0131 hesab\u0131n\u0131z\u0131 olu\u015fturun<\/a>\u00a0ve\u00a0hemen i\u015flem yapmaya ba\u015flay\u0131n<\/a>. <\/b><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":" Bar\u0131\u015f sinyaliyle risk i\u015ftah\u0131 patlad\u0131: Yeni Zelanda Dolar\u0131, ABD-\u0130ran mutabakat haberi sonras\u0131 USD\u2019ye kar\u015f\u0131 %1,5+ t\u0131rmand\u0131; NZD\/USD 0,6000\u2019e yakla\u015ft\u0131. Destek: d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck i\u015fsizlik, \u015fahin RBNZ; g\u00f6zler ABD ADP\u2019de.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-46291","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/46291","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=46291"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/46291\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=46291"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=46291"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=46291"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}