G\u00fcm\u00fc\u015f hafta ortas\u0131nda %6\u2019n\u0131n \u00fczerinde y\u00fckseldi ve 77,50\u201377,68 dolar band\u0131na yak\u0131n i\u015flem g\u00f6rerek 78,32 dolara do\u011fru ilerledi. Bu hareket, ABD Dolar\u0131\u2019n\u0131n zay\u0131flamas\u0131yla geldi; Dolar Endeksi (USD Index: dolar\u0131n di\u011fer para birimleri kar\u015f\u0131s\u0131ndaki g\u00fcc\u00fcn\u00fc g\u00f6steren endeks) %0,8 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015fle 97,70 civar\u0131na geriledi.<\/p>\n
Haberlere g\u00f6re ABD ile \u0130ran ate\u015fkese (truce: ge\u00e7ici \u00e7at\u0131\u015fmas\u0131zl\u0131k) yakla\u015f\u0131rken, H\u00fcrm\u00fcz Bo\u011faz\u0131\u2019ndaki k\u0131s\u0131tlamalar\u0131n gev\u015fetilmesi de g\u00fcndemde. Taslak; \u0130ran\u2019\u0131n n\u00fckleer zenginle\u015ftirmeye (nuclear enrichment: uranyumun enerji\/askeri ama\u00e7la daha y\u00fcksek safl\u0131\u011fa \u00e7\u0131kar\u0131lmas\u0131) ara vermesi, buna kar\u015f\u0131l\u0131k ABD\u2019nin yapt\u0131r\u0131mlar\u0131 hafifletmesi ve dondurulmu\u015f \u0130ran fonlar\u0131ndan milyarlarca dolar\u0131n serbest b\u0131rak\u0131lmas\u0131n\u0131 i\u00e7eriyor.<\/p>\n
ABD hisse endeksi vadeli kontratlar\u0131 (stock index futures: gelecekteki endeks fiyat\u0131 \u00fczerinden i\u015flem g\u00f6ren s\u00f6zle\u015fmeler) %1,2 ile %1,7 aras\u0131nda y\u00fckseldi; bu, risk i\u015ftah\u0131n\u0131n artt\u0131\u011f\u0131na i\u015faret etti. Reuters, g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fmelere dahil Pakistanl\u0131 bir kayna\u011fa dayand\u0131rd\u0131\u011f\u0131 haberinde, taraflar\u0131n anla\u015fmay\u0131 sonu\u00e7land\u0131rmaya \u00e7ok yak\u0131n oldu\u011funu bildirdi.<\/p>\n
G\u00fcnl\u00fck grafikte Bollinger orta band\u0131 (Bollinger middle band: fiyat\u0131n ortalama etraf\u0131ndaki hareketini g\u00f6steren bantlar\u0131n orta \u00e7izgisi) 76 dolar civar\u0131nda ve 50 g\u00fcnl\u00fck SMA (SMA: basit hareketli ortalama) 77,59 dolarda yak\u0131n destek olarak \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131; RSI (RSI: fiyat\u0131n a\u015f\u0131r\u0131 al\u0131m\/a\u015f\u0131r\u0131 sat\u0131m durumunu \u00f6l\u00e7en g\u00fc\u00e7 g\u00f6stergesi) yakla\u015f\u0131k 54 seviyesindeydi. Diren\u00e7 seviyeleri 78,32 dolar, 100 g\u00fcnl\u00fck SMA olan 80,24 dolar ve \u00fcst Bollinger band\u0131 (upper Bollinger band: y\u00fckseli\u015flerde izlenen \u00fcst bant) olan 81,04 dolar; 81,04 \u00fczeri kal\u0131c\u0131l\u0131kta 85,69 dolar g\u00fcndeme gelebilir.<\/p>\n
Ek destekler 76,12 dolar, ard\u0131ndan 71,20 ve 66,40 dolar seviyelerinde; 200 g\u00fcnl\u00fck SMA ise 63,46 dolarda. Teknik b\u00f6l\u00fcm, bir yapay zek\u00e2 arac\u0131 deste\u011fiyle haz\u0131rlanm\u0131\u015ft\u0131r.<\/p>\n
Bug\u00fcn tablo farkl\u0131: ABD Dolar Endeksi 104 civar\u0131nda g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc duruyor; bu, 2025\u2019teki y\u00fckseli\u015fte g\u00f6r\u00fclen 97,70 seviyesine g\u00f6re belirgin bir fark. G\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc dolar, g\u00fcm\u00fc\u015f fiyat\u0131 i\u00e7in \u00f6nemli bir bask\u0131 unsuru (headwind: fiyat\u0131 yukar\u0131 ta\u015f\u0131may\u0131 zorla\u015ft\u0131ran etken) yarat\u0131yor ve kal\u0131c\u0131 bir k\u0131r\u0131lmay\u0131 (breakout: fiyat\u0131n \u00f6nemli diren\u00e7\/destek seviyesini a\u015f\u0131p yeni bir y\u00f6n bulmas\u0131) zorla\u015ft\u0131r\u0131yor. Ancak dolar\u0131n sert d\u00fc\u015fmesine yol a\u00e7acak bir haber, g\u00fcm\u00fc\u015fte al\u0131m opsiyonu (call option: belirli fiyattan alma hakk\u0131 veren s\u00f6zle\u015fme) ya da vadeli i\u015flem (futures: ileri tarihte al\u0131m-sat\u0131m y\u00fck\u00fcml\u00fcl\u00fc\u011f\u00fc do\u011furan s\u00f6zle\u015fme) pozisyonu ta\u015f\u0131yanlar i\u00e7in y\u00fcksek getiri potansiyeli do\u011furabilir.<\/p>\n
Jeopoliti\u011fin \u00f6tesinde, g\u00fcm\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc sanayi talebi (industrial demand: \u00fcretimde girdi olarak kullan\u0131lan talep) fiyat i\u00e7in temel bir taban olu\u015fturuyor. 2023\u2019te g\u00fcm\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn k\u00fcresel sanayi t\u00fcketimi 654,4 milyon ons ile rekor k\u0131rd\u0131; g\u00fcne\u015f paneli ve elektrikli ara\u00e7 \u00fcretimindeki b\u00fcy\u00fcme bu talebi destekledi. Bu g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc talep, sert d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f y\u00f6nl\u00fc pozisyonlarda (agresif bearish: g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f beklentisiyle al\u0131nan pozisyonlar) temkinli olunmas\u0131 gerekti\u011fini g\u00f6steriyor; \u00e7\u00fcnk\u00fc geri \u00e7ekilmeler, sanayi kullan\u0131c\u0131lar\u0131n\u0131n al\u0131mlar\u0131yla kar\u015f\u0131lanabilir.<\/p>\n
Alt\u0131n\/g\u00fcm\u00fc\u015f oran\u0131 (gold-to-silver ratio: 1 ons alt\u0131n almak i\u00e7in ka\u00e7 ons g\u00fcm\u00fc\u015f gerekti\u011fini g\u00f6steren oran) da dikkat \u00e7ekiyor; oran 88 civar\u0131nda ve 21. y\u00fczy\u0131l ortalamas\u0131 olan yakla\u015f\u0131k 65\u2019in belirgin \u00fczerinde. Ge\u00e7mi\u015fte bu kadar y\u00fckseldi\u011finde, \u00e7o\u011fu zaman g\u00fcm\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn alt\u0131ndan daha iyi performans g\u00f6stermesinin (outperform: ayn\u0131 d\u00f6nemde daha y\u00fcksek getiri sa\u011flamak) \u00f6n\u00fcn\u00fc a\u00e7t\u0131. Bu da y\u00f6n riskini azaltmak isteyenler i\u00e7in uzun g\u00fcm\u00fc\u015f \/ k\u0131sa alt\u0131n ikili i\u015flemlerini (pair trade: iki varl\u0131kta z\u0131t y\u00f6nl\u00fc pozisyon alarak risk dengeleme) cazip k\u0131labilir.<\/p>\n
G\u00fcm\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn sert ve h\u0131zl\u0131 hareket etme e\u011filimi nedeniyle opsiyon stratejileri \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131k\u0131yor. G\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc dolar bask\u0131s\u0131, sa\u011flam sanayi deste\u011fi ve jeopolitik belirsizlik, fiyat\u0131n b\u00fcy\u00fck bir harekete haz\u0131rlanmas\u0131na yol a\u00e7abilir. Yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar, uzun vadeli strangle (strangle: ayn\u0131 vadede, farkl\u0131 kullan\u0131m fiyatl\u0131 al\u0131m ve sat\u0131m opsiyonu birlikte al\u0131narak b\u00fcy\u00fck fiyat hareketinden yararlanma stratejisi) almay\u0131 de\u011ferlendirebilir; piyasa y\u00f6n se\u00e7ti\u011finde oynakl\u0131\u011f\u0131n (volatility: fiyat dalgalanma d\u00fczeyi) artmas\u0131ndan faydalanmay\u0131 hedefleyebilir.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"
G\u00fcm\u00fc\u015f %6\u2019y\u0131 a\u015fan ralliyle 78,32 dolara g\u00f6z k\u0131rparken dolar zay\u0131fl\u0131\u011f\u0131 ve ABD-\u0130ran ate\u015fkes beklentisi destek veriyor. Teknikte 76\u201377,6 destek, 80\u201381 diren\u00e7; sanayi talebi g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc, opsiyonlarda strangle \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131k\u0131yor.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-46285","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/46285","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=46285"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/46285\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=46285"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=46285"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=46285"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}