{"id":46251,"date":"2026-05-06T08:40:22","date_gmt":"2026-05-06T08:40:22","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr\/uncategorized\/voyanin-1c-gelir-ve-hisse-basina-kari-eps-beklentileri-asti-ancak-yonetilen-varliklardaki-aum-eksik-kalis-ucret-gelir-artisina-dair-soru-isaretleri-yaratti\/"},"modified":"2026-05-06T08:40:22","modified_gmt":"2026-05-06T08:40:22","slug":"voyanin-1c-gelir-ve-hisse-basina-kari-eps-beklentileri-asti-ancak-yonetilen-varliklardaki-aum-eksik-kalis-ucret-gelir-artisina-dair-soru-isaretleri-yaratti","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/live-updates\/voyanin-1c-gelir-ve-hisse-basina-kari-eps-beklentileri-asti-ancak-yonetilen-varliklardaki-aum-eksik-kalis-ucret-gelir-artisina-dair-soru-isaretleri-yaratti\/","title":{"rendered":"Voya\u2019n\u0131n 1\u00c7 gelir ve hisse ba\u015f\u0131na k\u00e2r\u0131 (EPS) beklentileri a\u015ft\u0131, ancak y\u00f6netilen varl\u0131klardaki (AUM) eksik kal\u0131\u015f \u00fccret gelir art\u0131\u015f\u0131na dair soru i\u015faretleri yaratt\u0131"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Voya Financial, Mart 2026\u2019da sona eren \u00e7eyrekte gelirini 318 milyon dolara \u00e7\u0131kard\u0131; bu, ge\u00e7en y\u0131l\u0131n ayn\u0131 d\u00f6nemine g\u00f6re %8,2 art\u0131\u015f demek. **EPS (hisse ba\u015f\u0131na k\u00e2r)** 2,26 dolar oldu; ge\u00e7en y\u0131l 2,15 dolard\u0131.<\/p>\n<p>Gelir, Zacks Konsens\u00fcs Tahmini olan 310,83 milyon dolar\u0131n %2,31 \u00fczerinde geldi. EPS de 2,02 dolarl\u0131k konsens\u00fcs\u00fcn %11,88 \u00fcst\u00fcnde ger\u00e7ekle\u015fti.<\/p>\n<p>Emeklilik segmentinde toplam **AUM ve AUA (y\u00f6netilen varl\u0131klar ve y\u00f6netim\/da\u011f\u0131t\u0131m platformunda tutulan varl\u0131klar; \u00fccret geliri bu varl\u0131k b\u00fcy\u00fckl\u00fc\u011f\u00fcne ba\u011fl\u0131d\u0131r)** 779,7 milyar dolar oldu; ortalama tahmin 798,44 milyar dolard\u0131. Emeklilikte m\u00fc\u015fteri varl\u0131klar\u0131 (eleme\/d\u00fczeltme kalemi) -4,76 milyar dolar olurken, tahmin -9,42 milyar dolard\u0131.<\/p>\n<p>Genel Hesap toplam AUM ve AUA 36,9 milyar dolar ile 37,71 milyar dolarl\u0131k tahminin alt\u0131nda kald\u0131. D\u00f6nem sonu AUM, Kurumsal tarafta 169,77 milyar dolar (tahmin 173,23 milyar dolar) ve Bireysel (Retail) tarafta 146,76 milyar dolar (tahmin 151,71 milyar dolar) oldu.<\/p>\n<p>D\u0131\u015f m\u00fc\u015fterilere ait m\u00fc\u015fteri varl\u0131klar\u0131 ara toplam\u0131 316,53 milyar dolar ile 324,94 milyar dolarl\u0131k tahminin gerisinde kald\u0131. **Net yat\u0131r\u0131m geliri (yat\u0131r\u0131mlardan elde edilen faiz\/temett\u00fc benzeri gelirler)** 569 milyon dolar ile 515,52 milyon dolarl\u0131k tahmini a\u015ft\u0131; y\u0131ll\u0131k bazda %1,6 artt\u0131.<\/p>\n<p>Prim gelirleri 744 milyon dolar oldu; 787,18 milyon dolarl\u0131k tahminin alt\u0131nda kald\u0131 ve y\u0131ll\u0131k bazda %1 artt\u0131. \u00dccret geliri 604 milyon dolar ile 659,42 milyon dolarl\u0131k tahminin gerisinde kald\u0131; y\u0131ll\u0131k bazda %6 artt\u0131.<\/p>\n<p>Yat\u0131r\u0131m y\u00f6netiminde d\u00fczeltilmi\u015f faaliyet gelirleri i\u00e7inde \u00fccret geliri 243 milyon dolar oldu; 247,6 milyon dolarl\u0131k tahminin alt\u0131nda kald\u0131 ve y\u0131ll\u0131k bazda %3 artt\u0131. Toplam yat\u0131r\u0131m y\u00f6netimi d\u00fczeltilmi\u015f faaliyet gelirleri 251 milyon dolar ile 255,74 milyon dolarl\u0131k tahminin alt\u0131nda kald\u0131; y\u0131ll\u0131k bazda %3,3 artt\u0131.<\/p>\n<p>Yat\u0131r\u0131m y\u00f6netiminde net yat\u0131r\u0131m geliri ile net k\u00e2r (zarar) 7 milyon dolar oldu; 7,65 milyon dolarl\u0131k tahminin alt\u0131nda kald\u0131. Y\u0131ll\u0131k bazda %16,7 artt\u0131.<\/p>\n<p>Voya\u2019n\u0131n son bilan\u00e7osu, man\u015fetteki g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc \u201cbeklentiyi a\u015fma\u201d g\u00f6r\u00fcnt\u00fcs\u00fcn\u00fcn, alttaki zay\u0131fl\u0131\u011f\u0131 gizledi\u011fi bir tablo sunuyor ve bu da bize f\u0131rsat yarat\u0131yor. Gelirde y\u0131ll\u0131k %8,2 art\u0131\u015f ve k\u00e2rdaki %11,88\u2019lik s\u00fcrpriz, hisse fiyat\u0131nda ilk anda olumlu tepki do\u011furabilir. Ancak yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n temkinli olmas\u0131 gerekir; \u00e7\u00fcnk\u00fc bu \u201ca\u015f\u0131m\u0131n\u201d kaynaklar\u0131 kal\u0131c\u0131 g\u00f6r\u00fcnm\u00fcyor.<\/p>\n<p>Temel sorun, genel olarak **AUM (y\u00f6netilen varl\u0131klar; \u015firketin m\u00fc\u015fteriler ad\u0131na y\u00f6netti\u011fi para)** taraf\u0131ndaki sapma. AUM, ileride olu\u015facak \u00fccret gelirinin ana kayna\u011f\u0131d\u0131r. Toplam emeklilik AUM\u2019si tahminlerin 18 milyar dolar\u0131n \u00fczerinde alt\u0131nda kald\u0131; kurumsal ve bireysel m\u00fc\u015fteri varl\u0131klar\u0131nda da benzer a\u00e7\u0131klar var. Bu, \u015firketin yeni para \u00e7ekmekte ve mevcut paray\u0131 tutmakta zorland\u0131\u011f\u0131na i\u015faret ediyor; bu da gelecek \u00e7eyrekler i\u00e7in olumsuz bir sinyal.<\/p>\n<p>G\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc k\u00e2rl\u0131l\u0131k, net yat\u0131r\u0131m gelirindeki a\u015f\u0131m sayesinde geldi. Bu kalem, 2025 boyunca devam eden y\u00fcksek faiz ortam\u0131yla desteklendi. Bu ge\u00e7ici destek, \u00fccret geliri ve prim gelirindeki daha zay\u0131f g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fc g\u00f6lgede b\u0131rakt\u0131; oysa bu iki kalem ana i\u015fin sa\u011fl\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 daha iyi g\u00f6sterir. Piyasa raporu sindirdik\u00e7e, oda\u011f\u0131n ge\u00e7ici gelir art\u0131\u015f\u0131ndan zay\u0131f varl\u0131k b\u00fcy\u00fcmesine kaymas\u0131 beklenir.<\/p>\n<p>Bu tablo, zor bir piyasa ortam\u0131nda olu\u015fuyor. 2025\u2019te aktif y\u00f6netilen fonlarda 400 milyar dolar\u0131n \u00fczerinde **net \u00e7\u0131k\u0131\u015f (giren paradan \u00e7ok \u00e7\u0131kan para olmas\u0131)** g\u00f6r\u00fcld\u00fc ve bu e\u011filim s\u00fcr\u00fcyor gibi. 2026\u2019da S&#038;P 500 y\u0131lba\u015f\u0131ndan bu yana %4 ile s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 y\u00fckselmi\u015f olsa da, Voya\u2019n\u0131n AUM\u2019si analist beklentilerini yakalayamad\u0131. Bu \u00e7er\u00e7evede, ilk olumlu fiyat tepkisi \u201cbo\u011fa tuza\u011f\u0131\u201d (y\u00fckseli\u015fin kal\u0131c\u0131 san\u0131l\u0131p sonras\u0131nda d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015fe d\u00f6nmesi) olabilir.<\/p>\n<p>Bu nedenle, ilk y\u00fckseli\u015fleri d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f y\u00f6nl\u00fc pozisyonlar i\u00e7in f\u0131rsat olarak g\u00f6rmek gerekir. Birka\u00e7 hafta vadeli **put opsiyonu (hisse d\u00fc\u015ferse de\u011fer kazanan sat\u0131\u015f opsiyonu)** almak, piyasa alg\u0131s\u0131 zay\u0131f AUM rakamlar\u0131na d\u00f6nd\u00fck\u00e7e olas\u0131 fiyat d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f\u00fcnden faydalanmay\u0131 sa\u011flayabilir. Bu yakla\u015f\u0131m, ilk bilan\u00e7o co\u015fkusu s\u00f6n\u00fcnce hissenin geri \u00e7ekilmesi durumunda kazan\u00e7 hedefler.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Voya\u2019da man\u015fetler parlak: gelir %8,2 art\u0131\u015fla 318 milyon $, EPS 2,26 $ ve beklenti \u00fcst\u00fc. Ancak AUM hedefi \u015fa\u015ft\u0131, \u00fccret\/prim zay\u0131f; ilk ralli bo\u011fa tuza\u011f\u0131\u2014put f\u0131rsat\u0131.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-46251","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/46251","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=46251"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/46251\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=46251"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=46251"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=46251"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}