Google (GOOGL), 31 Mart\u2019taki dipten bu yana yeni t\u00fcm zamanlar\u0131n en y\u00fcksek seviyelerini g\u00f6rd\u00fc. Bu dipten ba\u015flayan hareket, Elliott Dalga teorisine g\u00f6re be\u015f dalgal\u0131 bir \u201cimpuls\u201d (g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc ve y\u00f6nl\u00fc ana y\u00fckseli\u015f\/d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f hareketi) olarak tan\u0131mlan\u0131yor.<\/p>\n
31 Mart\u2019tan itibaren (1) dalgas\u0131 342,32 dolarda, (2) dalgas\u0131 ise 331,10 dolarda tamamland\u0131. Ard\u0131ndan (3) dalgas\u0131 y\u00fckseldi ve daha k\u00fc\u00e7\u00fck \u00f6l\u00e7ekte bir impuls yap\u0131s\u0131na b\u00f6l\u00fcnd\u00fc.<\/p>\n
(3) dalgas\u0131n\u0131n i\u00e7inde 1. dalga 353,18 dolara ula\u015ft\u0131, 2. dalga 344,21 dolara geriledi. 3. dalga 378,79 dolara y\u00fckseldi, 4. dalga 365,82 dolara \u00e7ekildi ve 5. dalga 391,39 dolara t\u0131rmand\u0131.<\/p>\n
B\u00f6ylece daha b\u00fcy\u00fck \u00f6l\u00e7ekte (3) dalgas\u0131 tamamland\u0131; ard\u0131ndan (4) dalgas\u0131 379,05 dolara indi. Fiyat \u015fimdi (5) dalgas\u0131n\u0131 tamamlamaya ilerliyor; bu da 31 Mart\u2019ta ba\u015flayan d\u00f6ng\u00fcn\u00fcn (cycle: ayn\u0131 y\u00f6ndeki ana hareketin tamam\u0131) bitmesi anlam\u0131na gelir.<\/p>\n
(5) dalgas\u0131 bitti\u011finde, daha b\u00fcy\u00fck \u00f6l\u00e7ekte \u00fc\u00e7 dalgal\u0131 bir d\u00fczeltme (three-wave correction: genelde A-B-C \u015feklinde, ana trendin tersine ge\u00e7ici geri \u00e7ekilme) bekleniyor. K\u0131sa vadede kurgu, fiyat 331,10 dolar\u0131n \u00fczerinde kald\u0131\u011f\u0131 s\u00fcrece ge\u00e7erli.<\/p>\n
Google hissesi bu y\u0131l g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc performans g\u00f6sterdi; y\u0131lba\u015f\u0131ndan bu yana %15\u2019in \u00fczerinde art\u0131da. Bu y\u00fckseli\u015fte, nisan sonundaki ilk \u00e7eyrek bilan\u00e7osunun (earnings report: \u015firketin gelir-k\u00e2r gibi sonu\u00e7lar\u0131n\u0131 a\u00e7\u0131klad\u0131\u011f\u0131 d\u00f6nemsel rapor) etkisi \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131; gelirler beklentileri yakla\u015f\u0131k %2 a\u015ft\u0131. Bu raporla birlikte \u015firket ilk kez temett\u00fc (dividend: \u015firketin k\u00e2r\u0131ndan ortaklara nakit\/hisse olarak yapt\u0131\u011f\u0131 da\u011f\u0131t\u0131m) ba\u015flatt\u0131 ve piyasaya ciddi al\u0131c\u0131 \u00e7ekti. Bu t\u00fcr iyimserlik s\u0131\u00e7ramalar\u0131, \u00e7o\u011fu zaman d\u00f6ng\u00fc d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015flerine yak\u0131n d\u00f6nemlerde g\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcr.<\/p>\n
Ge\u00e7en y\u0131lki d\u00fczeltme yap\u0131s\u0131n\u0131n tekrar etme ihtimaline kar\u015f\u0131, yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar haziran veya temmuz vadeli sat\u0131m opsiyonu (put option: belirli bir tarihe kadar belirli fiyattan satma hakk\u0131 veren s\u00f6zle\u015fme) almay\u0131 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcnebilir. Bu, \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki haftalarda olas\u0131 bir d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015ften do\u011frudan faydalanman\u0131n bir yoludur. Maliyeti ve potansiyel getiriyi dengelemek i\u00e7in, \u201cparan\u0131n biraz d\u0131\u015f\u0131nda\u201d (out-of-the-money: kullan\u0131m fiyat\u0131 mevcut fiyat\u0131n alt\u0131nda olan put; yani \u015fu an i\u00e7in i\u00e7sel de\u011feri olmayan) kullan\u0131m fiyatlar\u0131 tercih edilebilir.<\/p>\n
Daha temkinli yakla\u015f\u0131m isteyenler i\u00e7in \u201cay\u0131 call spread\u201d satmak (bear call spread: daha d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck kullan\u0131m fiyatl\u0131 al\u0131m opsiyonu sat\u0131n al\u0131p daha y\u00fcksek kullan\u0131m fiyatl\u0131 al\u0131m opsiyonu satmak\/sat\u0131\u015ftan prim almak; yatay veya d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f beklentisine uygun s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 riskli strateji) uygulanabilir. Bu strateji, hissenin yatay kalmas\u0131 ya da a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 s\u00fcz\u00fclmesi halinde gelir \u00fcretmeyi hedefler. Ayr\u0131ca zaman de\u011ferinin erimesinden (time decay: vade yakla\u015ft\u0131k\u00e7a opsiyon priminin azalmas\u0131) faydalan\u0131r.<\/p>\n
Halihaz\u0131rda hissede uzun pozisyon (long position: fiyat y\u00fckseldik\u00e7e kazan\u00e7 sa\u011flayan pozisyon) ta\u015f\u0131yanlar i\u00e7in, ocaktan bu yana elde edilen kazan\u00e7lar\u0131 koruma zaman\u0131. Koruyucu put almak (protective put: eldeki hissedeki d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f riskine kar\u015f\u0131 sigorta ama\u00e7l\u0131 put almak) beklenen geri \u00e7ekilmeye kar\u015f\u0131 g\u00fcvence sa\u011flar; ana pozisyonu korurken olas\u0131 kayb\u0131 s\u0131n\u0131rlar.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"
GOOGL, 31 Mart dip sonras\u0131 Elliott\u2019a g\u00f6re 5 dalgal\u0131 impulsla yeni zirvede; (5) tamamlan\u0131nca A-B-C d\u00fczeltme riski masada. 331,10 \u00fcst\u00fc kurgu ge\u00e7erli; put\/ay\u0131 call spread ve koruyucu putla temkinli olun.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-46244","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/46244","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=46244"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/46244\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=46244"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=46244"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=46244"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}