{"id":46242,"date":"2026-05-06T07:25:45","date_gmt":"2026-05-06T07:25:45","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr\/uncategorized\/ust-uste-ikinci-seansta-gbp-usd-alici-buluyor-haftalik-dip-seviyesi-olan-13510-13515-civarindan-yukseliyor\/"},"modified":"2026-05-06T07:25:45","modified_gmt":"2026-05-06T07:25:45","slug":"ust-uste-ikinci-seansta-gbp-usd-alici-buluyor-haftalik-dip-seviyesi-olan-13510-13515-civarindan-yukseliyor","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/live-updates\/ust-uste-ikinci-seansta-gbp-usd-alici-buluyor-haftalik-dip-seviyesi-olan-13510-13515-civarindan-yukseliyor\/","title":{"rendered":"\u00dcst \u00fcste ikinci seansta GBP\/USD al\u0131c\u0131 buluyor; haftal\u0131k dip seviyesi olan 1,3510-1,3515 civar\u0131ndan y\u00fckseliyor"},"content":{"rendered":"

GBP\/USD \u00c7ar\u015famba g\u00fcn\u00fc ikinci kez y\u00fckseldi. Parite, haftan\u0131n en d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck seviyesi olan 1,3515\u20131,3510 b\u00f6lgesinden uzakla\u015farak Asya seans\u0131nda yakla\u015f\u0131k 1,3580\u2019e \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131. Hareketin arkas\u0131nda, ABD\u2013\u0130ran aras\u0131nda bar\u0131\u015f anla\u015fmas\u0131na dair yeniden canlanan beklentiler vard\u0131. Bu beklenti, \u201cg\u00fcvenli liman\u201d (risk d\u00f6nemlerinde yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n s\u0131\u011f\u0131nd\u0131\u011f\u0131 varl\u0131k) olan ABD Dolar\u0131\u2019n\u0131 zay\u0131flatt\u0131.<\/p>\n

ABD Ba\u015fkan\u0131 Donald Trump, H\u00fcrm\u00fcz Bo\u011faz\u0131\u2019ndan ticari gemi ge\u00e7i\u015fini yeniden sa\u011flama hedefli \u201cProject Freedom\u201d plan\u0131n\u0131n, g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fmelere zaman tan\u0131mak i\u00e7in k\u0131sa s\u00fcreli\u011fine durdurulaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 s\u00f6yledi. ABD Savunma Bakan\u0131 Pete Hegseth ise ate\u015fkesin \u015fimdilik s\u00fcrd\u00fc\u011f\u00fcn\u00fc ve Washington\u2019un Tahran\u2019la gerilimi yeniden t\u0131rmand\u0131rmak istemedi\u011fini belirtti.<\/p>\n

Near Term Price Action<\/h3>\n

Sal\u0131 g\u00fcn\u00fc GBP\/USD dar bantta kalarak 1,3545 civar\u0131nda kapan\u0131rken, 1,3550 b\u00f6lgesi diren\u00e7 (fiyat\u0131n zorland\u0131\u011f\u0131 seviye) konumundayd\u0131. Parite son iki seansta yakla\u015f\u0131k 60 pip aral\u0131\u011f\u0131nda i\u015flem g\u00f6rd\u00fc. (Pip: d\u00f6viz paritelerinde en k\u00fc\u00e7\u00fck fiyat ad\u0131m\u0131.)<\/p>\n

Hafta sonuna kadar \u0130ngiltere veri takvimi sakin oldu\u011fu i\u00e7in, k\u0131sa vadeli y\u00f6n\u00fcn b\u00fcy\u00fck \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fcde ABD Dolar\u0131\u2019ndaki harekete ba\u011fl\u0131 kalmas\u0131 bekleniyor. \u0130ran gerilimi ve H\u00fcrm\u00fcz Bo\u011faz\u0131\u2019n\u0131n kapanma riski ham petrol fiyatlar\u0131n\u0131 desteklerken, piyasa alg\u0131s\u0131 (risk i\u015ftah\u0131) k\u0131r\u0131lgan.<\/p>\n

Ba\u015fka bir g\u00fcncellemede, Sterlin %0,20\u2019nin \u00fczerinde y\u00fckseldi; GBP\/USD 1,3560 civar\u0131ndayd\u0131 ve odak 1,3600 seviyesindeydi. Petrol fiyatlar\u0131n\u0131n yumu\u015famas\u0131, dolara talebin azalmas\u0131 ve ABD hisselerinin y\u00fckselmesi de \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131.<\/p>\n

Policy Divergence And Market Drivers<\/h3>\n

Bu bar\u0131\u015f anla\u015fmas\u0131 iyimserli\u011fi kal\u0131c\u0131 olmad\u0131; anla\u015fma b\u00f6lgeyi tam olarak istikrara kavu\u015fturamad\u0131. G\u00fcncel deniz ta\u015f\u0131mac\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131 verilerine g\u00f6re, H\u00fcrm\u00fcz Bo\u011faz\u0131\u2019ndan tanker ge\u00e7i\u015fi 2025 diplerine g\u00f6re toparlansa da tarihsel ortalaman\u0131n %8 alt\u0131nda. Bu devam eden risk, ani gerilimlerde dolara talebi art\u0131rarak oynakl\u0131\u011f\u0131 (fiyat dalgalanmas\u0131) y\u00fckseltebilir.<\/p>\n

Bug\u00fcn piyasan\u0131n oda\u011f\u0131 Ortado\u011fu ba\u015fl\u0131klar\u0131ndan, merkez bankalar\u0131n\u0131n \u201cpolitika ayr\u0131\u015fmas\u0131na\u201d (farkl\u0131 faiz ve para politikas\u0131 y\u00f6nleri) kayd\u0131. \u0130ngiltere Merkez Bankas\u0131, kal\u0131c\u0131 i\u00e7 enflasyonla u\u011fra\u015f\u0131yor; Ulusal \u0130statistik Ofisi, 2026\u2019n\u0131n ilk \u00e7eyre\u011finde enflasyonun %3,1\u2019de kald\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 bildirdi. Buna kar\u015f\u0131l\u0131k ABD Merkez Bankas\u0131 (Fed) daha temkinli; Nisan\u2019da faizleri sabit tuttu ve \u00fcretimde yava\u015flama endi\u015fesini gerek\u00e7e g\u00f6sterdi.<\/p>\n

Bu politika fark\u0131, GBP\/USD\u2019yi bug\u00fcn g\u00f6r\u00fclen 1,4100 seviyesine ta\u015f\u0131yan ana etken oldu. \u0130ngiltere ile ABD aras\u0131ndaki faiz fark\u0131 (iki \u00fclke faizi aras\u0131ndaki makas) y\u0131l ba\u015f\u0131ndan beri Sterlin lehine 25 baz puan (0,25 puan) a\u00e7\u0131ld\u0131. Yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar now yaz sonuna kadar en az bir BoE faiz art\u0131\u015f\u0131n\u0131 fiyatl\u0131yor.<\/p>\n

Bu ko\u015fullarda, \u201ct\u00fcrev\u201d (dayanak varl\u0131\u011fa ba\u011fl\u0131 s\u00f6zle\u015fmeler) stratejilerinin de uyumlanmas\u0131 gerekir. GBP\/USD opsiyonlar\u0131nda \u201cz\u0131mni oynakl\u0131k\u201d (opsiyon fiyatlar\u0131na yans\u0131yan beklenen dalgalanma) y\u0131l\u0131n en d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck seviyelerine indi; bu, 2025\u2019te \u0130ran haber ak\u0131\u015f\u0131nda g\u00f6r\u00fclen sert s\u0131\u00e7ramalardan farkl\u0131. Bu ortam, \u201ckullan\u0131m fiyat\u0131 piyasa fiyat\u0131ndan uzakta\u201d olan sat\u0131m opsiyonlar\u0131n\u0131 (out-of-the-money put: fiyat d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f\u00fcne kar\u015f\u0131 sigorta gibi \u00e7al\u0131\u015fan, ancak \u015fu an i\u00e7in k\u00e2ra ge\u00e7memi\u015f opsiyon) satarak prim geliri (opsiyon sat\u0131c\u0131s\u0131n\u0131n ald\u0131\u011f\u0131 \u00fccret) elde etmeyi daha cazip k\u0131labilir; paritenin daha istikrarl\u0131 y\u00fckseli\u015f e\u011filiminden yararlanmay\u0131 hedefler.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

GBP\/USD, ABD-\u0130ran bar\u0131\u015f umuduyla 1,3510 diplerinden 1,3580\u2019e toparland\u0131; dolar zay\u0131flad\u0131. Odak, Ortado\u011fu riskleri ve BoE-Fed politika ayr\u0131\u015fmas\u0131: faiz fark\u0131 Sterlin\u2019i destekliyor, opsiyon volatilitesi geriliyor.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-46242","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/46242","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=46242"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/46242\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=46242"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=46242"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=46242"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}