USD\/CHF, Kuzey Amerika seans\u0131nda geriledi ve %0,12 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015fle 0,7830 seviyesinde i\u015flem g\u00f6rd\u00fc. Parite, 0,7842\u20130,7857 band\u0131nda yer alan 20, 50 ve 100 g\u00fcnl\u00fck basit hareketli ortalamalar\u0131n<\/i> (SMA: belirli bir d\u00f6nem kapan\u0131\u015f fiyatlar\u0131n\u0131n ortalamas\u0131; trendi yumu\u015fat\u0131p y\u00f6n\u00fc g\u00f6steren g\u00f6sterge) olu\u015fturdu\u011fu diren\u00e7 b\u00f6lgesinin yak\u0131n\u0131ndan geri d\u00f6nd\u00fc.<\/p>\n
\u00d6nceki toparlanma, fiyat bu dirence \u00e7arp\u0131nca zay\u0131flad\u0131 ve yeniden 0,7800\u2019a y\u00f6neldi. Genel g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc kal\u0131rken, RSI (G\u00f6receli G\u00fc\u00e7 Endeksi: 0\u2013100 aral\u0131\u011f\u0131nda momentum g\u00f6stergesi; al\u0131m\/sat\u0131m bask\u0131s\u0131n\u0131 \u00f6l\u00e7er) al\u0131m i\u015ftah\u0131na i\u015faret ediyor.<\/p>\n
K\u0131sa vadede USD\/CHF, 0,7800 ile 0,7860 aras\u0131nda yatay seyredebilir. 0,7860 \u00fczerine \u00e7\u0131karsa, diren\u00e7 0,7900\u2019da; ard\u0131ndan 200 g\u00fcnl\u00fck SMA (uzun vadeli trendi izlemek i\u00e7in s\u0131k kullan\u0131lan hareketli ortalama) 0,7929 seviyesinde g\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcyor.<\/p>\n
Sonraki diren\u00e7 0,7950 ve ard\u0131ndan 0,8000. Fiyat 0,7800 civar\u0131ndaki destek trend \u00e7izgisinin alt\u0131na sarkarsa, sonraki seviyeler 0,7775, sonra 0,7748 ve ard\u0131ndan 0,7668.<\/p>\n
Temel g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm, merkez bankas\u0131 politikalar\u0131ndaki ayr\u0131\u015fma nedeniyle belirgin \u015fekilde de\u011fi\u015fti. ABD Merkez Bankas\u0131 (Fed) kal\u0131c\u0131 enflasyonla m\u00fccadele i\u00e7in faizleri sabit tutarken, son veriler enflasyonun %2,9 oldu\u011funu g\u00f6sterdi. \u0130svi\u00e7re Merkez Bankas\u0131 (SNB) ise ekonomiyi desteklemek i\u00e7in faiz indiriyor. Bu faiz fark\u0131, \u0130svi\u00e7re frang\u0131 yerine ABD dolar\u0131n\u0131 elde tutmay\u0131 daha cazip k\u0131l\u0131yor.<\/p>\n
T\u00fcrev \u00fcr\u00fcn yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131 i\u00e7in (t\u00fcrev: de\u011feri ba\u015fka bir varl\u0131\u011fa ba\u011fl\u0131 s\u00f6zle\u015fmeler), bu ortam \u201cnakit teminatl\u0131 put\u201d sat\u0131\u015f\u0131 veya \u201cy\u00fckseli\u015f y\u00f6nl\u00fc put spread\u201d gibi stratejileri \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131kar\u0131yor. Nakit teminatl\u0131 put (put opsiyonu sat\u0131p, olas\u0131 al\u0131m y\u00fck\u00fcml\u00fcl\u00fc\u011f\u00fcn\u00fc kar\u015f\u0131layacak nakdi haz\u0131r tutma) ve bullish put spread (daha y\u00fcksek kullan\u0131m fiyatl\u0131 put sat\u0131p daha d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck kullan\u0131m fiyatl\u0131 put alma; riski s\u0131n\u0131rland\u0131ran yukar\u0131 y\u00f6n beklentisi) ile, paritenin belirli bir destek seviyesinin alt\u0131na inmedi\u011fi senaryoda prim geliri hedeflenir. Bu yakla\u015f\u0131m, dolar\u0131n temel desteklerinden yararlan\u0131r.<\/p>\n
\u00d6zellikle, art\u0131k kritik destek olarak g\u00f6r\u00fclen 0,9000 psikolojik seviyesine yak\u0131n kullan\u0131m fiyatl\u0131 put opsiyonlar\u0131 (opsiyon: belirli fiyattan alma\/satma hakk\u0131 veren s\u00f6zle\u015fme; kullan\u0131m fiyat\u0131\/strike: opsiyondaki sabit fiyat) de\u011ferlendirilebilir. Ge\u00e7en y\u0131l konu\u015fulan 0,7800 seviyelerine h\u0131zl\u0131 bir d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015f, mevcut trendde k\u0131sa vadede d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck olas\u0131l\u0131k olarak g\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcyor.<\/p>\n
Bu senaryo i\u00e7in ana risk, Fed\u2019den beklenmedik \u201cg\u00fcvercin\u201d (faiz indirimi\/gev\u015feme e\u011filimi) bir d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015f veya SNB\u2019den ani \u201c\u015fahin\u201d (faiz art\u0131r\u0131m\u0131\/s\u0131k\u0131la\u015fma e\u011filimi) bir duru\u015f olur. Bu nedenle enflasyon verileri ve merkez bankas\u0131 mesajlar\u0131 yak\u0131ndan izlenmeli. Faiz fark\u0131n\u0131n daralabilece\u011fine dair sinyal, dolar\u0131n momentumunu zay\u0131flatabilir.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"
USD\/CHF %0,12 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015fle 0,7830\u2019a indi; 20-50-100 g\u00fcnl\u00fck SMA direncinden d\u00f6nd\u00fc. 0,7800 kritik destek, 0,7860 \u00fczeri 0,7900-0,7929 hedef. Fed-SNB faiz ayr\u0131\u015fmas\u0131 dolar lehine; opsiyon stratejileri \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131k\u0131yor.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-46218","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/46218","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=46218"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/46218\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=46218"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=46218"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=46218"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}