USD\/CAD Sal\u0131 g\u00fcn\u00fc dar bir bantta i\u015flem g\u00f6rd\u00fc. Petrol fiyatlar\u0131ndaki s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 geri \u00e7ekilme ve ABD Dolar\u0131\u2019n\u0131n g\u00fc\u00e7lenmesi Kanada Dolar\u0131\u2019n\u0131 bask\u0131lad\u0131. Parite g\u00fcn i\u00e7i 1,3604 dip seviyesini g\u00f6rd\u00fckten sonra 1,3619 civar\u0131ndayd\u0131. <\/p>\n
ABD Dolar Endeksi (DXY: ABD Dolar\u0131\u2019n\u0131n ba\u015fl\u0131ca para birimleri sepetine kar\u015f\u0131 de\u011ferini \u00f6l\u00e7en endeks) 98,45 civar\u0131ndayd\u0131 ve g\u00fcn i\u00e7inde fazla de\u011fi\u015fmedi. Orta Do\u011fu\u2019daki gerilimler dolar\u0131 destekledi. USD\/CAD nisan ba\u015f\u0131ndan bu yana a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc bask\u0131 alt\u0131nda, ancak k\u0131sa vadeli fiyat hareketi dalgal\u0131 seyrediyor. <\/p>\n
Piyasalar cuma g\u00fcn\u00fc a\u00e7\u0131klanacak ABD ve Kanada istihdam verilerini bekliyor; bu veriler faiz beklentilerini de\u011fi\u015ftirebilir. Parite 20 g\u00fcnl\u00fck Basit Hareketli Ortalama\u2019n\u0131n (SMA: son 20 g\u00fcn\u00fcn ortalama fiyat\u0131) ve Bollinger Bantlar\u0131 orta \u00e7izgisinin (oynakl\u0131\u011fa g\u00f6re \u00fcst-orta-alt bant olu\u015fturan g\u00f6sterge) yer alan 1,3697 seviyesinin alt\u0131nda kal\u0131yor. <\/p>\n
RSI (G\u00f6reli G\u00fc\u00e7 Endeksi: 0\u2013100 aras\u0131 de\u011ferle momentum \u00f6l\u00e7er; d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck de\u011fer zay\u0131fl\u0131\u011f\u0131 g\u00f6sterir) 40 civar\u0131nda. MACD (Hareketli Ortalamalar\u0131n Yak\u0131nsama-Iraksama g\u00f6stergesi: trend ve momentum sinyali \u00fcretir) negatif, k\u0131rm\u0131z\u0131 histogram \u00e7ubuklar\u0131 zay\u0131fl\u0131yor. Diren\u00e7 1,3697\u2019de, ard\u0131ndan 1,3852\u2019de; 1,4000 civar\u0131nda da ek bir bariyer var. <\/p>\n
Destek alt Bollinger Band\u0131\u2019nda 1,3543\u2019te, ard\u0131ndan 1,3400\u2019de. Kanada Dolar\u0131\u2019n\u0131 etkileyen ana unsurlar: Kanada Merkez Bankas\u0131 (BoC) faizleri, petrol fiyatlar\u0131, enflasyon, ekonomik veriler ve d\u0131\u015f ticaret dengesi (ihracat-ithalat fark\u0131). <\/p>\n
BoC enflasyonu %1\u2013%3 aral\u0131\u011f\u0131nda tutmay\u0131 hedefler ve ayr\u0131ca nicel gev\u015feme ya da nicel s\u0131k\u0131la\u015ft\u0131rma uygulayabilir (merkez bankas\u0131n\u0131n tahvil al\u0131p-satarak piyasadaki para miktar\u0131n\u0131 art\u0131rmas\u0131\/azaltmas\u0131). Petrol Kanada\u2019n\u0131n en b\u00fcy\u00fck ihracat kalemidir; fiyatlar\u0131n y\u00fckselmesi ya da d\u00fc\u015fmesi para birimini ve d\u0131\u015f ticaret dengesini etkileyebilir. <\/p>\n
Ge\u00e7en y\u0131la d\u00f6n\u00fcp bak\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131nda, parite 1,3700 seviyesinin alt\u0131nda kald\u0131\u011f\u0131 s\u00fcrece USD\/CAD i\u00e7in d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f beklentisi vard\u0131. 2025\u2019te o d\u00f6nemde momentum zay\u0131fl\u0131yordu ve yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar hamle i\u00e7in istihdam verilerini bekliyordu. Bug\u00fcn tablo belirgin \u015fekilde de\u011fi\u015fti; eski diren\u00e7 seviyesi \u015fimdi yeni destek olarak test ediliyor. <\/p>\n
Ana etken, BoC ile ABD Merkez Bankas\u0131 (Fed) aras\u0131ndaki politika ayr\u0131\u015fmas\u0131. Fed\u2019den gelen son mesajlar yaz boyunca faizin sabit kalabilece\u011fine i\u015faret ederken, BoC 2026 ilk \u00e7eyre\u011finde Kanada GSYH\u2019si (bir \u00fclkenin toplam \u00fcretim de\u011feri) sadece %0,2 b\u00fcy\u00fcd\u00fckten sonra haziranda faiz indirimi olas\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131na kap\u0131 aralad\u0131. Bu politika fark\u0131 USD\/CAD kurunu yukar\u0131 itiyor. <\/p>\n
Buna ek olarak WTI ham petrol fiyat\u0131 (ABD tipi ham petrol g\u00f6stergesi) k\u00fcresel talep endi\u015feleriyle martta varil ba\u015f\u0131na 85 dolar\u0131n \u00fczerinden ge\u00e7en hafta 78 dolar civar\u0131na geriledi. Ayr\u0131ca ge\u00e7en cuma a\u00e7\u0131klanan istihdam verilerinde Kanada yaln\u0131zca 5 bin yeni i\u015f ekledi; beklentilerin \u00e7ok alt\u0131nda kald\u0131. ABD\u2019de ise Tar\u0131m D\u0131\u015f\u0131 \u0130stihdam (NFP: tar\u0131m d\u0131\u015f\u0131 sekt\u00f6rlerdeki ayl\u0131k istihdam de\u011fi\u015fimi) 240 binle g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc geldi. Bu veriler iki \u00fclke ekonomisi aras\u0131ndaki ayr\u0131\u015fmay\u0131 destekliyor. <\/p>\n
Bu \u00e7er\u00e7evede, t\u00fcrev \u00fcr\u00fcn (dayanak varl\u0131k \u00fczerinden fiyatlanan s\u00f6zle\u015fmeler; \u00f6r. opsiyon) yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131 USD\/CAD y\u00fckseli\u015finden fayda sa\u011flayan stratejileri de\u011ferlendirebilir. Temmuz vadeli, 1,3900 kullan\u0131m fiyatl\u0131 al\u0131m opsiyonu (call: belirli fiyattan alma hakk\u0131) almak, riski s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 tutarak olas\u0131 y\u00fckseli\u015fi yakalama imk\u00e2n\u0131 sunar. Bo\u011fa al\u0131m spread\u2019i (bull call spread: daha d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck kullan\u0131m fiyatl\u0131 call al\u0131p daha y\u00fcksek kullan\u0131m fiyatl\u0131 call satarak maliyeti azaltma) ile de ba\u015flang\u0131\u00e7 maliyeti d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcr\u00fclebilir. <\/p>\n
\u0130zlenecek kritik seviye, eski 1,3700 diren\u00e7 b\u00f6lgesi; art\u0131k \u00f6nemli bir destek olarak g\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcyor. Bu seviyenin alt\u0131na kal\u0131c\u0131 sarkma mevcut y\u00fckseli\u015f g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fcn\u00fc zay\u0131flat\u0131r ve uzun pozisyonlar\u0131n (fiyat art\u0131\u015f\u0131na oynayan i\u015flem) azalt\u0131lmas\u0131 i\u00e7in sinyal olabilir. \u015eimdilik bu seviyeye do\u011fru geri \u00e7ekilmeler olas\u0131 al\u0131m f\u0131rsat\u0131 olarak izleniyor.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"
USD\/CAD yatay seyretti; g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc dolar ve zay\u0131flayan petrol CAD\u2019i bask\u0131l\u0131yor. G\u00f6zler ABD-Kanada istihdam verilerinde. Teknikte 1,3697 diren\u00e7, 1,3543 destek. BoC-Fed ayr\u0131\u015fmas\u0131 y\u00fckseli\u015fi destekliyor.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-46213","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/46213","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=46213"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/46213\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=46213"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=46213"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=46213"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}