ABD hisse senetleri Sal\u0131 g\u00fcn\u00fc y\u00fckseldi. Ham petrol fiyatlar\u0131 gerilerken, \u015firketlerin ilk \u00e7eyrek bilan\u00e7olar\u0131 (kazan\u00e7 ve sat\u0131\u015f sonu\u00e7lar\u0131) \u00e7o\u011funlukla beklentileri a\u015ft\u0131. Dow Jones Sanayi Endeksi (DJIA) 49.000\u2019in \u00fczerinde yakla\u015f\u0131k %0,30 artt\u0131, S&P 500 yakla\u015f\u0131k %0,70 y\u00fckseldi, Nasdaq ise g\u00fcn i\u00e7i 25 binin \u00fczerindeki zirvenin ard\u0131ndan yakla\u015f\u0131k %1 prim yapt\u0131.<\/p>\n
WTI ham petrol vadeli i\u015flemleri (gelecekte teslim edilmek \u00fczere bug\u00fcnden fiyatlanan petrol kontrat\u0131) %3 d\u00fc\u015ferek varil ba\u015f\u0131na 102 dolar\u0131n \u00fczerine indi; Brent %2 gerileyerek 111 dolar\u0131n \u00fczerinde kald\u0131. Ate\u015fkes (\u00e7at\u0131\u015fmalar\u0131n durdurulmas\u0131) ilan edildi\u011finden bu yana \u0130ran\u2019\u0131n gemilere dokuz kez sald\u0131rd\u0131\u011f\u0131 bildirildi. 22,5 bin denizcinin H\u00fcrm\u00fcz Bo\u011faz\u0131\u2019ndan (k\u00fcresel petrol ta\u015f\u0131mac\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131nda kritik ge\u00e7i\u015f noktas\u0131) ge\u00e7emedi\u011fi, y\u00fczlerce geminin ABD donanmas\u0131n\u0131n korumas\u0131n\u0131 bekledi\u011fi belirtildi.<\/p>\n
Pfizer hisseleri, 1. \u00e7eyrekte k\u00e2r ve gelirin piyasa beklentisini a\u015fmas\u0131n\u0131n ard\u0131ndan yakla\u015f\u0131k %2 y\u00fckseldi; \u015firket 2026 \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fcs\u00fcn\u00fc (ileri d\u00f6neme y\u00f6nelik hedef) korudu. Anheuser-Busch InBev, \u00fc\u00e7 y\u0131l sonra ilk kez \u00e7eyreklik bira hacminde (sat\u0131\u015f miktar\u0131) b\u00fcy\u00fcme g\u00f6rmesi ve sonu\u00e7lar\u0131n tahminleri a\u015fmas\u0131yla yakla\u015f\u0131k %8 s\u0131\u00e7rad\u0131.<\/p>\n
Intel, Apple ile ABD\u2019de \u00e7ip \u00fcretimine y\u00f6nelik erken a\u015fama g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fmeler yap\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131 haberinin ard\u0131ndan yakla\u015f\u0131k %10 y\u00fckseldi. Micron, yapay zek\u00e2ya ba\u011fl\u0131 \u201cy\u00fcksek bant geni\u015flikli bellek\u201d (HBM: veri aktar\u0131m h\u0131z\u0131 y\u00fcksek bellek t\u00fcr\u00fc) talebi nedeniyle analistlerin hedef fiyat art\u0131r\u0131mlar\u0131 sonras\u0131 %5 daha de\u011fer kazand\u0131.<\/p>\n
Palantir, rekor 1. \u00e7eyrek gelire, hisse ba\u015f\u0131na k\u00e2r\u0131n (EPS: \u015firket k\u00e2r\u0131n\u0131n hisse ba\u015f\u0131na d\u00fc\u015fen k\u0131sm\u0131) beklentiyi a\u015fmas\u0131na ve beklenti art\u0131rmas\u0131na ra\u011fmen yakla\u015f\u0131k %3 d\u00fc\u015ft\u00fc. \u015eirket, y\u0131ll\u0131k bazda %85 sat\u0131\u015f b\u00fcy\u00fcmesi a\u00e7\u0131klad\u0131; piyasa yakla\u015f\u0131k %75 bekliyordu. Hisse y\u0131l ba\u015f\u0131ndan bu yana yakla\u015f\u0131k %20 ekside kald\u0131.<\/p>\n
ISM Hizmet PMI (sat\u0131n alma y\u00f6neticileri endeksi: ekonomik aktiviteyi \u00f6l\u00e7en anket g\u00f6stergesi) 53,6 ile 53,7 beklentisinin hafif alt\u0131nda kald\u0131. S&P Global Bile\u015fik PMI (imalat+hizmet genel g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fc) 51,7 ile 52 beklentisinin alt\u0131nda geldi. JOLTS a\u00e7\u0131k i\u015f say\u0131s\u0131 (ABD\u2019de a\u00e7\u0131k pozisyon verisi) 6,87 milyon olurken, i\u015fe al\u0131m oran\u0131 %3,5\u2019e y\u00fckseldi. Bu veriler, Cuma g\u00fcn\u00fc a\u00e7\u0131klanacak tar\u0131m d\u0131\u015f\u0131 istihdam (NFP: ABD\u2019de ayl\u0131k istihdam art\u0131\u015f\u0131) i\u00e7in 60 binlik beklentinin (\u00f6nceki 178 bin) \u00f6ncesinde izlendi.<\/p>\n
Piyasan\u0131n H\u00fcrm\u00fcz Bo\u011faz\u0131\u2019ndaki geli\u015fmeleri sakin kar\u015f\u0131lamas\u0131, riskin yanl\u0131\u015f fiyatlanmas\u0131na i\u015faret ediyor. Bunu, petrol vadeli i\u015flemlerinde veya enerji sekt\u00f6r\u00fc ETF\u2019lerinde (borsa yat\u0131r\u0131m fonu) ucuz \u201cparan\u0131n d\u0131\u015f\u0131nda\u201d al\u0131m opsiyonu (out-of-the-money call: mevcut fiyat\u0131n \u00fczerinde kullan\u0131m fiyat\u0131 olan, y\u00fckseli\u015f bekleyene yarayan opsiyon) almak i\u00e7in f\u0131rsat olarak g\u00f6r\u00fcyoruz. 2020\u2019lerin ba\u015f\u0131ndaki \u00e7at\u0131\u015fmalarda, k\u00fcresel petrol\u00fcn %20\u2019sinden fazlas\u0131n\u0131n ge\u00e7ti\u011fi kritik bir dar bo\u011faz (chokepoint: ta\u015f\u0131mac\u0131l\u0131kta kilit ge\u00e7i\u015f) tehdit edildi\u011finde enerji piyasalar\u0131n\u0131n fiyat\u0131 ne kadar h\u0131zl\u0131 de\u011fi\u015ftirebildi\u011fi g\u00f6r\u00fcld\u00fc.<\/p>\n
Palantir\u2019in g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc raporuna gelen olumsuz tepki, \u00f6zellikle yapay zek\u00e2 taraf\u0131nda fiyatlaman\u0131n\/katsay\u0131lar\u0131n (valuation: hissenin pahal\u0131-ucuz g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fc) yeniden \u00f6nem kazand\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6steriyor. Bu havadan yararlanmak ve de\u011ferleme katsay\u0131lar\u0131nda daralmaya (multiple compression: yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n ayn\u0131 k\u00e2r i\u00e7in daha d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck fiyat \u00f6demesi) kar\u015f\u0131 korunmak i\u00e7in, y\u00fcksek de\u011ferlemeli teknoloji hisselerinde al\u0131m opsiyonu spread\u2019i sat\u0131\u015f\u0131 (call spread: iki farkl\u0131 kullan\u0131m fiyatl\u0131 call ile getiriyi s\u0131n\u0131rlayan strateji) de\u011ferlendirilebilir. Nasdaq 100\u2019\u00fcn ileriye d\u00f6n\u00fck F\/K oran\u0131 (forward P\/E: gelecek 12 ay tahmini k\u00e2ra g\u00f6re fiyat\/kazan\u00e7) 30\u2019un \u00fczerine t\u0131rman\u0131rken, 2025 sonlar\u0131ndaki de\u011ferleme geri \u00e7ekilmesine benzer bir tablo olu\u015fuyor.<\/p>\n
Cuma g\u00fcnk\u00fc istihdam raporu, piyasa i\u00e7in kritik. 60 binlik d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck beklenti, sonucu iki u\u00e7lu (binary: ya \u00e7ok iyi ya \u00e7ok k\u00f6t\u00fc etkisi olabilen) bir olaya \u00e7eviriyor. S&P 500 gibi geni\u015f bir endekste straddle veya strangle (iki y\u00f6nl\u00fc opsiyon stratejileri: g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc hareketin y\u00f6n\u00fcnden ba\u011f\u0131ms\u0131z kazan\u00e7 hedefler) kullanmak, veri \u00e7ok g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc gelirse de zay\u0131f gelerek resesyon (ekonomik daralma) endi\u015fesi yarat\u0131rsa da sert harekete oynama imk\u00e2n\u0131 verir. CBOE Volatilite Endeksi (VIX: piyasan\u0131n beklenen oynakl\u0131k g\u00f6stergesi) \u015fu anda 18\u2019in alt\u0131nda. Bu seviye, 2025 ortas\u0131nda g\u00f6r\u00fclen \u00e7ok s\u0131ra d\u0131\u015f\u0131 (multi-standard deviation: normalin \u00e7ok \u00fczerinde sapma) s\u00fcrpriz ihtimali d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fcld\u00fc\u011f\u00fcnde fazla rehavetli g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcyor.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"
Wall Street y\u00fckseli\u015fte: Bilan\u00e7olar beklentiyi a\u015ft\u0131, petrol %3 d\u00fc\u015ft\u00fc. H\u00fcrm\u00fcz riskine piyasa kay\u0131ts\u0131z. Pfizer-ABI g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc, Intel-Micron s\u0131\u00e7rad\u0131. Palantir d\u00fc\u015ft\u00fc; de\u011ferleme bask\u0131s\u0131. NFP \u00f6ncesi opsiyon stratejileri \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131k\u0131yor.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-46210","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/46210","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=46210"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/46210\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=46210"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=46210"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=46210"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}