G\u00fcm\u00fc\u015f, iki seansl\u0131k y\u00fckseli\u015fin ard\u0131ndan yeniden geriledi. Orta Do\u011fu\u2019daki tansiyonun yeniden y\u00fckselmesi, genel risk i\u015ftah\u0131n\u0131 (yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n riskli varl\u0131klara y\u00f6nelme e\u011filimi) zay\u0131flatt\u0131. Y\u00fcksek petrol fiyatlar\u0131 da bask\u0131y\u0131 art\u0131rd\u0131. Piyasalar, enflasyon risklerinin ABD Merkez Bankas\u0131\u2019n\u0131 (Fed) temkinli tutabilece\u011finden endi\u015feli.<\/p>\n
G\u00fcm\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn, alt\u0131na k\u0131yasla daha k\u0131r\u0131lgan ve oynak (fiyat\u0131 daha h\u0131zl\u0131 ve sert dalgalanan) oldu\u011fu belirtiliyor. Bunun nedeni, g\u00fcm\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn yaln\u0131zca \u201cde\u011fer saklama\u201d ama\u00e7l\u0131 k\u0131ymetli metal talebine de\u011fil, ayn\u0131 zamanda b\u00fcy\u00fcme ve sanayi talebine (\u00fcretimde kullan\u0131lan metal talebi) de ba\u011fl\u0131 olmas\u0131. Yukar\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc deneme ba\u015far\u0131s\u0131z kal\u0131nca k\u0131sa vadeli ivme (fiyat hareketinin g\u00fcc\u00fc) zay\u0131f kald\u0131; ABD dolar\u0131, ABD Hazine tahvil faizleri ve risk i\u015ftah\u0131 iyile\u015fmedik\u00e7e y\u00fckseli\u015flerin sat\u0131\u015fla kar\u015f\u0131lanmas\u0131 bekleniyor.<\/p>\n
G\u00fcnl\u00fck ivme hafif negatif seyrederken, g\u00f6reli g\u00fc\u00e7 endeksindeki (RSI: fiyat\u0131n h\u0131z\u0131n\u0131 \u00f6l\u00e7en g\u00f6sterge) son y\u00fckseli\u015fin temposu yava\u015flad\u0131. Risklerin a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc a\u011f\u0131r bast\u0131\u011f\u0131 ifade edildi.<\/p>\n
\u0130lk destek seviyeleri 70 ve 63,50 olarak verildi. 63,50 seviyesi, 200 g\u00fcnl\u00fck hareketli ortalama (DMA: belirli g\u00fcn say\u0131s\u0131ndaki ortalama fiyat; trendi izlemek i\u00e7in kullan\u0131l\u0131r) olarak i\u015faretlendi. Bu seviyelerin alt\u0131na ini\u015f, 50\u2019ye do\u011fru bir geri \u00e7ekilmeyi g\u00fcndeme getirebilir.<\/p>\n
Diren\u00e7 75\u2019te; bu seviye 21 g\u00fcnl\u00fck hareketli ortalama (DMA) olarak tan\u0131mland\u0131. Di\u011fer diren\u00e7ler 78 ve 80\u2019de; bunlar s\u0131ras\u0131yla 50 g\u00fcnl\u00fck ve 100 g\u00fcnl\u00fck hareketli ortalamalara (DMA\u2019lar) denk geliyor.<\/p>\n
Orta Do\u011fu\u2019daki gerilimin yeniden artmas\u0131 ve petrol\u00fcn yeniden varil ba\u015f\u0131na 95 dolar\u0131n \u00fczerine \u00e7\u0131kmas\u0131, yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131 tedirgin ederken g\u00fcm\u00fc\u015fte zay\u0131flama yeniden belirginle\u015fiyor. Bu durum, g\u00fcm\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fcn\u00fc alt\u0131na k\u0131yasla daha hassas k\u0131l\u0131yor; \u00e7\u00fcnk\u00fc belirsizlik d\u00f6nemlerinde genellikle yava\u015flayan sanayi talebine de ba\u011fl\u0131. Yukar\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc k\u0131r\u0131l\u0131m denemesi ba\u015far\u0131s\u0131z olunca y\u00fckseli\u015f ivmesi durdu.<\/p>\n
G\u00fcm\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn sanayi b\u00fcy\u00fcmesine ba\u011fl\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131 nedeniyle g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm olumsuz. Nisan 2026 k\u00fcresel imalat PMI verisi (Sat\u0131n Alma Y\u00f6neticileri Endeksi: 50\u2019nin alt\u0131 daralma, \u00fcst\u00fc b\u00fcy\u00fcme sinyali) \u00fcst \u00fcste \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcnc\u00fc ay daralmaya i\u015faret etti. Bu, g\u00fcm\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn dayand\u0131\u011f\u0131 sanayi talebinde yava\u015flamay\u0131 g\u00f6steriyor. B\u00f6ylece, g\u00fcvenli liman talebinden (risk artt\u0131\u011f\u0131nda g\u00fcvenli g\u00f6r\u00fclen varl\u0131klara ge\u00e7i\u015f) daha do\u011frudan yararlanan alt\u0131na k\u0131yasla g\u00fcm\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn zay\u0131f konumu teyit ediliyor.<\/p>\n
Makroekonomik ortam da g\u00fcm\u00fc\u015f aleyhine. ABD 10 y\u0131ll\u0131k tahvil faizi %4,5\u2019in \u00fczerinde kal\u0131rken, faiz getirisi olmayan varl\u0131klar\u0131n (kupon\/faiz \u00f6demeyen; getirisi fiyat art\u0131\u015f\u0131na ba\u011fl\u0131) cazibesi azal\u0131yor. ABD dolar\u0131 g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc seyrini koruduk\u00e7a bu bask\u0131n\u0131n k\u0131sa vadede hafiflemesi zor g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcyor.<\/p>\n
\u00d6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki haftalarda, d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015ften yararlanan ya da y\u00fckseli\u015fi s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 g\u00f6ren stratejiler \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131kabilir. 70\u2019teki ilk destek seviyesinin alt\u0131ndaki kullan\u0131m fiyatlar\u0131ndan (opsiyonu kullanma hakk\u0131 veren seviye) sat\u0131m opsiyonu (put: fiyat d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f\u00fcnden kazan\u00e7 sa\u011flayan opsiyon) almak, 200 g\u00fcnl\u00fck ortalama olan 63,50\u2019ye do\u011fru gerilemeye pozisyon almak i\u00e7in do\u011frudan bir yol olabilir. Bu deste\u011fin net bi\u00e7imde k\u0131r\u0131lmas\u0131, 50 seviyesine do\u011fru daha derin bir geri \u00e7ekilmeyi g\u00fcndeme ta\u015f\u0131yabilir.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"
G\u00fcm\u00fc\u015fte alarm: Orta Do\u011fu gerilimi ve 95$ \u00fczeri petrol risk i\u015ftah\u0131n\u0131 bozdu, iki seansl\u0131k y\u00fckseli\u015f bitti. Dolar\/tahvil faizi bask\u0131s\u0131 s\u00fcr\u00fcyor; 70-63,5 kritik, k\u0131r\u0131l\u0131rsa 50. Diren\u00e7 75-78-80.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-46160","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/46160","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=46160"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/46160\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=46160"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=46160"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=46160"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}