{"id":46154,"date":"2026-05-05T09:55:55","date_gmt":"2026-05-05T09:55:55","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr\/uncategorized\/erken-avrupa-seansinda-gbp-usd-13520-civarina-gerilerken-kritik-hareketli-ortalamalarin-uzerinde-yukselis-gorunumunu-koruyor\/"},"modified":"2026-05-05T09:55:55","modified_gmt":"2026-05-05T09:55:55","slug":"erken-avrupa-seansinda-gbp-usd-13520-civarina-gerilerken-kritik-hareketli-ortalamalarin-uzerinde-yukselis-gorunumunu-koruyor","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/live-updates\/erken-avrupa-seansinda-gbp-usd-13520-civarina-gerilerken-kritik-hareketli-ortalamalarin-uzerinde-yukselis-gorunumunu-koruyor\/","title":{"rendered":"Erken Avrupa seans\u0131nda GBP\/USD 1,3520 civar\u0131na gerilerken, kritik hareketli ortalamalar\u0131n \u00fczerinde y\u00fckseli\u015f g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fcn\u00fc koruyor"},"content":{"rendered":"

GBP\/USD, sal\u0131 g\u00fcn\u00fc erken Avrupa i\u015flemlerinde 1,3550\u2019nin alt\u0131na sarkarak yakla\u015f\u0131k 1,3520\u2019ye geriledi. Parite, 100 g\u00fcnl\u00fck EMA\u2019n\u0131n (\u00fcstel hareketli ortalama; son g\u00fcnlere daha fazla a\u011f\u0131rl\u0131k veren trend g\u00f6stergesi) \u00fczerinde kal\u0131rken, 1,3610 civar\u0131nda diren\u00e7 (y\u00fckseli\u015fi zorla\u015ft\u0131ran seviye) ve 1,3515 civar\u0131nda destek (d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f\u00fc s\u0131n\u0131rlayan seviye) izleniyor.<\/p>\n

ABD Dolar\u0131, H\u00fcrm\u00fcz Bo\u011faz\u0131 yak\u0131nlar\u0131nda ABD donanma unsurlar\u0131na \u0130ran f\u00fczeleriyle sald\u0131r\u0131 yap\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131na dair haberlerle de\u011fer kazand\u0131. \u0130ran medyas\u0131, ABD\u2019nin \u0130ran\u2019a mal ta\u015f\u0131yan ve IRGC (\u0130ran Devrim Muhaf\u0131zlar\u0131) ile ba\u011flant\u0131s\u0131 olmad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 belirtti\u011fi iki sivil gemiyi vurdu\u011funu ve be\u015f sivilin hayat\u0131n\u0131 kaybetti\u011fini bildirdi.<\/p>\n

Jeopolitik ve Merkez Bankas\u0131 Etkileri<\/h3>\n

Donald Trump, bo\u011fazdan ge\u00e7en ticari gemi trafi\u011fini koruyan ABD gemilerinin hedef al\u0131nmas\u0131 halinde \u0130ran\u2019\u0131n \u201cyery\u00fcz\u00fcnden silinece\u011fini\u201d s\u00f6yledi. \u0130ngiltere Merkez Bankas\u0131 (BoE), politika faizini (Bank Rate) %3,75\u2019te sabit tuttu ve gerekti\u011finde faiz art\u0131\u015flar\u0131n\u0131n uygun olabilece\u011fine i\u015faret eden, ancak \u00f6nceden taahh\u00fct i\u00e7ermeyen bir \u00e7er\u00e7eve ortaya koydu.<\/p>\n

BoE Ba\u015fkan\u0131 Andrew Bailey, enerji fiyat\u0131 \u015foklar\u0131n\u0131n enflasyonu y\u00fckseltmesi halinde \u201csert s\u0131k\u0131la\u015fma\u201d (faizleri h\u0131zl\u0131 ve g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc art\u0131rma) gelebilece\u011fini belirtti. G\u00fcnl\u00fck grafikte GBP\/USD, 20 g\u00fcnl\u00fck SMA\u2019n\u0131n (basit hareketli ortalama; belirli g\u00fcn say\u0131s\u0131n\u0131n ortalama fiyat\u0131) ve 100 g\u00fcnl\u00fck EMA\u2019n\u0131n \u00fczerinde kal\u0131rken, RSI (14) 53,8 seviyesinde bulunuyor (RSI: g\u00f6reli g\u00fc\u00e7 endeksi; 0-100 aras\u0131 \u00f6l\u00e7er, 50 civar\u0131 dengeli seyre i\u015faret eder).<\/p>\n

Ek destek seviyeleri olarak 100 g\u00fcnl\u00fck EMA (1,3446) ve Bollinger bantlar\u0131n\u0131n alt band\u0131 (1,3418) \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131 (Bollinger bantlar\u0131: oynakl\u0131\u011fa g\u00f6re geni\u015fleyip daralan fiyat kanal\u0131). Sterlinin tarihi 886 y\u0131l\u0131na uzan\u0131yor; en \u00e7ok i\u015flem g\u00f6ren d\u00f6rd\u00fcnc\u00fc para birimi ve d\u00f6viz piyasas\u0131 (FX) i\u015flem hacminin %12\u2019sini olu\u015fturuyor; 2022\u2019de g\u00fcnl\u00fck yakla\u015f\u0131k 630 milyar dolar. Ba\u015fl\u0131ca pariteler: GBP\/USD %11, GBP\/JPY %3 ve EUR\/GBP %2.<\/p>\n

Opsiyon Oynakl\u0131\u011f\u0131 ve Pozisyonlanma<\/h3>\n

Geriye d\u00f6n\u00fcp bak\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131nda, BoE\u2019nin 2025\u2019teki \u201csert s\u0131k\u0131la\u015fma\u201d uyar\u0131s\u0131 bo\u015f bir ifade de\u011fildi. BoE, enerji kaynakl\u0131 enflasyonla m\u00fccadele i\u00e7in faiz art\u0131rm\u0131\u015ft\u0131. Ancak Nisan 2026\u2019ya ait son Birle\u015fik Krall\u0131k T\u00dcFE (CPI; t\u00fcketici fiyat endeksi, enflasyon g\u00f6stergesi) verisinin %2,8\u2019e gerilemesi, daha agresif art\u0131\u015f bask\u0131s\u0131n\u0131 azalt\u0131yor; bu da BoE\u2019nin yak\u0131nda faiz art\u0131r\u0131mlar\u0131na ara verebilece\u011fine i\u015faret ediyor.<\/p>\n

Bu de\u011fi\u015fim, 2025\u2019teki \u00e7at\u0131\u015fma d\u00f6neminde g\u00f6r\u00fclen a\u015f\u0131r\u0131 oynakl\u0131\u011f\u0131n (fiyatlar\u0131n sert ve h\u0131zl\u0131 dalgalanmas\u0131) k\u0131sa vadede geri d\u00f6nme olas\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcr\u00fcyor. GBP\/USD opsiyonlar\u0131nda ima edilen oynakl\u0131k (piyasan\u0131n opsiyon fiyatlar\u0131ndan \u00e7\u0131kard\u0131\u011f\u0131 beklenen dalgalanma) birka\u00e7 ay\u0131n en d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck seviyelerine indi; bu da fiyat\u0131n bir bant i\u00e7inde kalmas\u0131ndan kazan\u00e7 sa\u011flayan stratejileri daha cazip hale getiriyor. Paritenin 1,3500\u2019l\u00fc seviyelerden g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc y\u00fckseli\u015fi 1,4150 civar\u0131nda duraksad\u0131; bu, y\u00fckseli\u015f trendinin ivme kaybetti\u011fine i\u015faret ediyor.<\/p>\n

Faiz art\u0131\u015f\u0131n\u0131 destekleyen olumlu etkenlerin b\u00fcy\u00fck \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fcde t\u00fckendi\u011fi d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fcl\u00fcrse, yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar yatay seyirden veya s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 bir geri \u00e7ekilmeden faydalanan stratejileri de\u011ferlendirebilir. Paran\u0131n d\u0131\u015f\u0131nda (out-of-the-money; kullan\u0131m fiyat\u0131 mevcut fiyattan daha yukar\u0131da olan) al\u0131m opsiyonlar\u0131 (call) satmak veya ay\u0131 call spread\u2019i (bear call spread; daha d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck kullan\u0131m fiyatl\u0131 call sat\u0131p daha y\u00fcksek kullan\u0131m fiyatl\u0131 call almakla riski s\u0131n\u0131rlayan strateji) kurmak, gelir elde etmek i\u00e7in kullan\u0131labilir. Bu yakla\u015f\u0131m, parite \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki haftalarda yatay seyrederse zaman de\u011feri erimesinden (time decay; opsiyonun zaman ge\u00e7tik\u00e7e de\u011fer kaybetmesi) faydalanmay\u0131 hedefler.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

GBP\/USD 1,3520\u2019ye inerken dolar, H\u00fcrm\u00fcz gerilimiyle g\u00fc\u00e7lendi. Parite 100 EMA \u00fcst\u00fcnde; 1,3610 diren\u00e7, 1,3515 destek. BoE temkinli, volatilite d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck; yatay stratejiler \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131k\u0131yor.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-46154","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/46154","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=46154"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/46154\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=46154"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=46154"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=46154"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}