GBP\/USD paritesi pazartesi yakla\u015f\u0131k %0,35 gerileyerek 1,3600 seviyesini a\u015famay\u0131nca 1,3530 civar\u0131na indi ve seans i\u00e7i en d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck seviye olan 1,3510\u2019a yakla\u015ft\u0131. Cuma g\u00fcn\u00fc New York\u2019ta 1,3650\u2019nin \u00fczerine \u00e7\u0131km\u0131\u015ft\u0131 ancak al\u0131m iste\u011fi (momentum) zay\u0131flay\u0131nca y\u00fckseli\u015f kal\u0131c\u0131 olmad\u0131.<\/p>\n
\u0130ngiltere Merkez Bankas\u0131\u2019n\u0131n Para Politikas\u0131 Kurulu (MPC), politika faizini (Bank Rate) %3,75\u2019te tutmak i\u00e7in 8\u2019e kar\u015f\u0131 1 oy verdi; Huw Pill 25 baz puanl\u0131k (0,25 puan) art\u0131\u015ftan yana oy kulland\u0131. D\u00f6rt \u00fcye daha, enerji kaynakl\u0131 fiyat \u015foklar\u0131 k\u00f6t\u00fcle\u015firse ilerleyen toplant\u0131larda art\u0131\u015flara destek verebileceklerini belirtti. Bu hafta \u0130ngiltere veri takvimi sakin.<\/p>\n
ABD\u2019de odak cuma g\u00fcnk\u00fc Tar\u0131m D\u0131\u015f\u0131 \u0130stihdam (Non-Farm Payrolls: tar\u0131m d\u0131\u015f\u0131 sekt\u00f6rlerde ayl\u0131k istihdam de\u011fi\u015fimi) verisine kay\u0131yor. Beklenti 60 bin yeni istihdam, \u00f6nceki 178 bindi; i\u015fsizlik oran\u0131n\u0131n %4,3 olmas\u0131 bekleniyor. Sal\u0131 g\u00fcn\u00fc ISM Hizmetler PMI (sat\u0131n alma y\u00f6neticileri endeksi; 50\u2019nin \u00fczeri geni\u015fleme) ve JOLTS (a\u00e7\u0131k i\u015f say\u0131s\u0131 verisi) a\u00e7\u0131klanacak. \u00c7ar\u015famba ADP raporu (\u00f6zel sekt\u00f6r istihdam tahmini) gelecek.<\/p>\n
15 dakikal\u0131k grafikte GBP\/USD 1,3532 seviyesinde ve g\u00fcn a\u00e7\u0131l\u0131\u015f\u0131 olan 1,3582\u2019nin alt\u0131nda. Stokastik RSI (RSI\u2019dan t\u00fcretilen, a\u015f\u0131r\u0131 al\u0131m-sat\u0131m b\u00f6lgelerini g\u00f6steren h\u0131zl\u0131 osilat\u00f6r) 47 civar\u0131nda. G\u00fcnl\u00fck grafikte parite 50 g\u00fcnl\u00fck EMA\u2019n\u0131n (\u00fcssel hareketli ortalama; son g\u00fcnlere daha fazla a\u011f\u0131rl\u0131k veren ortalama) 1,3456 ve 200 g\u00fcnl\u00fck EMA\u2019n\u0131n 1,3367 \u00fczerinde kald\u0131; Stokastik RSI 49 civar\u0131nda. 1,3367\u2019nin alt\u0131na sarkma mevcut g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fc zay\u0131flat\u0131r.<\/p>\n
Bu \u00e7er\u00e7evede GBP\/USD i\u00e7in z\u0131mni volatilite (opsiyon fiyatlar\u0131na yans\u0131yan beklenen oynakl\u0131k) \u00e7ok ayl\u0131k dip seviyelere indi; 1 ayl\u0131k opsiyonlarda piyasa yakla\u015f\u0131k %6,5 oynakl\u0131k fiyatl\u0131yor. Bu, \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki haftalarda daha k\u00fc\u00e7\u00fck fiyat hareketleri beklendi\u011fine ve opsiyon alman\u0131n g\u00f6rece ucuz oldu\u011funa i\u015faret ediyor. Yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar, beklenmedik bir k\u0131r\u0131lmaya kar\u015f\u0131 korunma (hedge) almay\u0131 ya da mevcut banttan olas\u0131 \u00e7\u0131k\u0131\u015fa pozisyonlanmay\u0131 de\u011ferlendirebilir.<\/p>\n
Parite 1,2900 seviyesinin alt\u0131nda yatay seyrederken, bant hareketinden veya kademeli d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015ften fayda sa\u011flayan yakla\u015f\u0131mlar \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131k\u0131yor. 1,2950 \u00fczerindeki kullan\u0131m fiyatlar\u0131nda (strike) \u201cparan\u0131n d\u0131\u015f\u0131nda\u201d (out-of-the-money: mevcut fiyattan daha uzak) al\u0131m opsiyonu spread\u2019i satmak (ekonomik g\u00fc\u00e7 devam eder ve Sterlin y\u00fckseli\u015fi s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 kal\u0131r varsay\u0131m\u0131yla) prim toplamaya y\u00f6nelik daha temkinli bir y\u00f6ntem olabilir. Alternatif olarak sat\u0131m opsiyonu (put) almak, 1,2700 destek seviyesine do\u011fru olas\u0131 geri \u00e7ekilmeye d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck maliyetle pozisyon alma imk\u00e2n\u0131 sunar.<\/p>\n
Teknik a\u00e7\u0131dan 50 g\u00fcnl\u00fck hareketli ortalama \u00f6nemli bir destek b\u00f6lgesi olmay\u0131 s\u00fcrd\u00fcr\u00fcyor. \u015eu anda bu ortalama 1,2810 civar\u0131nda ve bu seviyenin alt\u0131na inilmesi ek sat\u0131\u015flar\u0131 tetikleyebilir. Bu nedenle s\u00f6z konusu seviye, d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f y\u00f6nl\u00fc pozisyon art\u0131r\u0131m\u0131 veya opsiyon satanlar i\u00e7in risk y\u00f6netimi a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan yak\u0131ndan izlenmeli.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"
GBP\/USD 1,3600\u2019\u00fc a\u015famad\u0131, 1,3530\u2019a geriledi. BoE faizi %3,75\u2019te; ABD\u2019de NFP odakta. Z\u0131mni volatilite dipte, opsiyonlar ucuz: k\u0131r\u0131lmaya hedge ve bant stratejileri masada.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-46128","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/46128","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=46128"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/46128\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=46128"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=46128"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=46128"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}