ABD Hazine Bakan\u0131 Scott Bessent, Reuters\u2019in aktard\u0131\u011f\u0131na g\u00f6re pazartesi Fox News\u2019e yapt\u0131\u011f\u0131 a\u00e7\u0131klamada ABD\u2019nin H\u00fcrm\u00fcz Bo\u011faz\u0131\u2019n\u0131 \u201ca\u00e7t\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131\u201d ve burada \u201cmutlak kontrol\u201d sahibi oldu\u011funu s\u00f6yledi. Bessent, \u0130ran\u2019\u0131n bo\u011faz\u0131 kontrol etmedi\u011fini belirtti.<\/p>\n
Bessent, ABD\u2019nin yaln\u0131zca kendisine ate\u015f a\u00e7\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131nda kar\u015f\u0131l\u0131k verdi\u011fini s\u00f6yledi. Ayr\u0131ca uluslararas\u0131 ortaklar i\u00e7in \u0130ran \u00fczerindeki bask\u0131y\u0131 art\u0131rman\u0131n do\u011fru zaman oldu\u011funu ifade etti.<\/p>\n
Bessent, piyasan\u0131n yeterli arzla (yani petrol ve do\u011fal gaz gibi \u00fcr\u00fcnlerin bol bulunmas\u0131yla) desteklenece\u011fini d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcnd\u00fc\u011f\u00fcn\u00fc s\u00f6yledi. Akaryak\u0131t fiyatlar\u0131n\u0131n ABD\u2019de t\u00fcketicileri etkiledi\u011finin fark\u0131nda oldu\u011funu, ancak \u00e7at\u0131\u015fma bitti\u011finde fiyatlar\u0131n h\u0131zl\u0131 bi\u00e7imde gerilemesini bekledi\u011fini ifade etti.<\/p>\n
ABD Dolar Endeksi (dolar\u0131n ba\u015fl\u0131ca para birimleri kar\u015f\u0131s\u0131ndaki de\u011ferini g\u00f6steren g\u00f6stergedir) a\u00e7\u0131klamalara an\u0131nda bir tepki vermedi. Endeks g\u00fcn i\u00e7inde %0,12 art\u0131\u015fla 98,32 seviyesindeydi.<\/p>\n
H\u00fcrm\u00fcz Bo\u011faz\u0131\u2019n\u0131n kontrol alt\u0131nda oldu\u011fu ve piyasan\u0131n iyi arz edilece\u011fi s\u00f6yleniyor. Ancak bu g\u00fcvence, petrol ta\u015f\u0131mac\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131 a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan y\u00fcksek riskli ortamla \u00e7eli\u015fiyor. T\u00fcrev piyasada i\u015flem yapanlar\u0131n (fiyat\u0131 ba\u015fka bir varl\u0131\u011fa ba\u011fl\u0131 s\u00f6zle\u015fmelerde i\u015flem yapanlar\u0131n) bunu risksiz bir tablo olarak de\u011fil, piyasa alg\u0131s\u0131n\u0131 y\u00f6netme \u00e7abas\u0131 olarak g\u00f6rmesi gerekir.<\/p>\n
CBOE Ham Petrol Oynakl\u0131k Endeksi (OVX) (opsiyon piyasas\u0131nda beklenen fiyat dalgalanmas\u0131n\u0131 \u00f6l\u00e7en g\u00f6stergedir) son haftalarda 55\u2019e yakla\u015ft\u0131; bu seviye 2025\u2019teki tedarik zinciri \u015foklar\u0131ndan (\u00fcr\u00fcnlerin \u00fcretim ve ta\u015f\u0131nmas\u0131nda ya\u015fanan aksamalar) beri g\u00f6r\u00fclmemi\u015fti. Bu, opsiyon piyasas\u0131n\u0131n sert fiyat hareketlerini fiyatlad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6steriyor ve yetkililerin \u201csakin\u201d mesaj\u0131yla \u00f6rt\u00fc\u015fm\u00fcyor.<\/p>\n
Yetkililer yaln\u0131zca kendilerine ate\u015f a\u00e7\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131nda kar\u015f\u0131l\u0131k verdiklerini s\u00f6ylese de, bir hata bo\u011fazdan g\u00fcnl\u00fck ge\u00e7en yakla\u015f\u0131k 18 milyon varillik petrol ak\u0131\u015f\u0131n\u0131 durdurabilir. 2019 ortas\u0131nda insans\u0131z hava arac\u0131 sald\u0131r\u0131lar\u0131n\u0131n Brent vadeli i\u015flemlerini (ileride teslimat i\u00e7in bug\u00fcnden fiyat\u0131 belirlenen s\u00f6zle\u015fmeler) tek seansta %14\u2019\u00fcn \u00fczerinde y\u00fckseltti\u011fi hat\u0131rlan\u0131yor. Bu nedenle, \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki aylara d\u00f6n\u00fck ham petrol i\u00e7in \u201cparan\u0131n d\u0131\u015f\u0131nda\u201d al\u0131m opsiyonu (mevcut fiyattan daha y\u00fcksek kullan\u0131m fiyatl\u0131 opsiyon; prim d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck olur ama y\u00fckseli\u015f olursa kazan\u00e7 sa\u011flar) almak, olas\u0131 t\u0131rman\u0131\u015fa s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 riskle pozisyon alma yolu sunar.<\/p>\n
Akaryak\u0131t fiyatlar\u0131n\u0131n \u201c\u00e7at\u0131\u015fma bitti\u011finde\u201d d\u00fc\u015fece\u011fi ifadesi, net bir takvim vermedi\u011fi i\u00e7in belirsizlik yarat\u0131yor. Bu belirsizlik enerji i\u015flemleri i\u00e7in f\u0131rsat anlam\u0131na gelebilir. XLE gibi enerji ETF\u2019lerinde (bir endeksi\/sepete ba\u011fl\u0131, borsada i\u015flem g\u00f6ren fon) opsiyonlar, petrol \u00fcreticilerindeki olas\u0131 g\u00fc\u00e7lenmeye kar\u015f\u0131 korunma (zarar\u0131 s\u0131n\u0131rlama) veya fiyat hareketine y\u00f6nelik pozisyon alma amac\u0131yla kullan\u0131labilir; \u00e7\u00fcnk\u00fc \u00fcreticiler y\u00fckselen risk priminden (belirsizlik artt\u0131\u011f\u0131nda fiyatlara eklenen fazladan maliyet) fayda g\u00f6rebilir.<\/p>\n
ABD dolar\u0131n\u0131n s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 tepkisi, d\u00f6viz piyasas\u0131n\u0131n dolar\u0131 \u00e7at\u0131\u015fma ortam\u0131nda zaten \u201cg\u00fcvenli liman\u201d olarak g\u00f6rd\u00fc\u011f\u00fcn\u00fc (risk art\u0131nca yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n s\u0131\u011f\u0131nd\u0131\u011f\u0131 para birimi) d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcnd\u00fcr\u00fcyor. Gerilimin s\u00fcrmesi bu e\u011filimi destekleyebilir ve dolarda, b\u00fcy\u00fck petrol ithalat\u00e7\u0131s\u0131 \u00fclkelerin para birimlerine kar\u015f\u0131 uzun pozisyonu (fiyat art\u0131\u015f\u0131na oynayan pozisyon) \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131karabilir. Bu, jeopolitik riske maruz kalmay\u0131 daha d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck dalgalanmayla s\u00fcrd\u00fcrme yolu olabilir.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"
H\u00fcrm\u00fcz\u2019de \u201cmutlak kontrol\u201d iddias\u0131: ABD\u2019den piyasaya sakinle\u015ftirici mesaj. Ancak OVX 55\u2019e dayand\u0131; opsiyonlar risk primini fiyatl\u0131yor. 18 milyon varillik ak\u0131\u015f tehlikede; enerji ETF\u2019leri ve dolar pozisyonlar\u0131 \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131k\u0131yor.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-46088","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/46088","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=46088"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/46088\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=46088"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=46088"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=46088"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}