Brent petrol\u00fc, H\u00fcrm\u00fcz Bo\u011faz\u0131\u2019yla ilgili endi\u015felerin yeniden artmas\u0131yla k\u0131sa s\u00fcreli\u011fine 126 dolar\/varil seviyesinin \u00fczerine \u00e7\u0131ksa da, Aral\u0131k 2025\u2019ten bu yana en sert ayl\u0131k y\u00fczdesel d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fc kaydetti. Y\u00fckseli\u015f, ABD-\u0130ran g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fmelerinin t\u0131kanmas\u0131n\u0131n bo\u011faz\u0131n yeniden a\u00e7\u0131laca\u011f\u0131na dair beklentileri zay\u0131flatmas\u0131yla geldi.<\/p>\n
Petrol, jeopolitik gerilimler ve ABD\u2019den gelen politika mesajlar\u0131n\u0131n deste\u011fiyle \u00fcst \u00fcste ikinci haftay\u0131 art\u0131da kapatt\u0131. ABD Ba\u015fkan\u0131 Donald Trump, \u0130ran limanlar\u0131na y\u00f6nelik deniz ablukas\u0131n\u0131 (donanman\u0131n deniz trafi\u011fini engellemesi) s\u00fcrd\u00fcrece\u011fini s\u00f6yledi.<\/p>\n
En yak\u0131n vadeli Brent kontrat\u0131, ABD ve \u0130ngiltere d\u0131\u015f\u0131ndaki baz\u0131 geli\u015fmi\u015f piyasalar 1 May\u0131s tatili nedeniyle kapanmadan \u00f6nce 30 Nisan\u2019da 114 dolar\/varilden kapand\u0131. Kapan\u0131\u015f, \u00f6nceki seansa g\u00f6re %3,4 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015fe i\u015faret etti.<\/p>\n
WTI ham petrol\u00fc 106 dolar\/varil civar\u0131nda i\u015flem g\u00f6rd\u00fc ve haftay\u0131 %12 art\u0131da tamamlad\u0131. Brent ise Nisan ay\u0131n\u0131 Aral\u0131k 2025\u2019ten bu yana en b\u00fcy\u00fck ayl\u0131k d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015fle bitirdi.<\/p>\n
Petrolde a\u015f\u0131r\u0131 oynakl\u0131k (fiyatlar\u0131n h\u0131zl\u0131 ve sert dalgalanmas\u0131) g\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcyor; bu durum opsiyon i\u015flemleri (belirli bir tarihe kadar belirli fiyattan alma\/satma hakk\u0131 veren s\u00f6zle\u015fmeler) yapanlar i\u00e7in uygun bir zemin olu\u015fturuyor. Brent\u2019in 126 dolar\u0131n \u00fczerine \u00e7\u0131kmas\u0131na ra\u011fmen ay\u0131 sert d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015fle kapatmas\u0131, haber ak\u0131\u015f\u0131na ba\u011fl\u0131 riskin (man\u015fetlerin fiyat\u0131 h\u0131zla oynatmas\u0131) \u00e7ok h\u0131zl\u0131 s\u00f6nebilece\u011fini g\u00f6steriyor. Bu belirsizlik, fiyat\u0131n y\u00f6n\u00fcnden \u00e7ok b\u00fcy\u00fck hareketlerinden kazan\u00e7 hedefleyen stratejileri \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131kar\u0131yor.<\/p>\n
Brent ile WTI aras\u0131ndaki fark\u0131n a\u00e7\u0131lmas\u0131, en yak\u0131n f\u0131rsat olarak \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131k\u0131yor. EIA verileri (ABD Enerji Enformasyon \u0130daresi\u2019nin resmi petrol verileri), Oklahoma\/Cushing depolama merkezinde 3,1 milyon varillik beklenmedik stok d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f\u00fc (stoklar\u0131n azalmas\u0131) g\u00f6sterdi. Bu da WTI\u2019nin neden g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc kald\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 a\u00e7\u0131kl\u0131yor. ABD i\u00e7 piyasas\u0131na ait g\u00f6stergelerle (arz-talep) k\u00fcresel jeopolitik riskin ayr\u0131\u015fmas\u0131, Brent-WTI fark kontratlar\u0131yla (iki petrol t\u00fcr\u00fc aras\u0131ndaki fiyat fark\u0131na dayal\u0131 i\u015flem) do\u011frudan de\u011ferlendirilebilir.<\/p>\n
\u00d6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki haftalarda opsiyonlarla oynakl\u0131k sat\u0131n almak (fiyat dalgas\u0131ndan yararlanmay\u0131 hedeflemek) g\u00fcndeme gelebilir. ABD-\u0130ran g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fmelerinin t\u0131kanmas\u0131 ve deniz ablukas\u0131 dikkate al\u0131nd\u0131\u011f\u0131nda, Brent vadeli kontratlar\u0131nda straddle veya strangle almak etkili olabilir. Straddle, ayn\u0131 vade ve kullan\u0131m fiyat\u0131yla hem al\u0131m hem sat\u0131m opsiyonu alarak fiyat hangi y\u00f6ne sert giderse gitsin kazan\u00e7 hedefler. Strangle ise benzer yakla\u015f\u0131m\u0131 daha farkl\u0131 kullan\u0131m fiyatlar\u0131yla kurar. Z\u0131mni oynakl\u0131k (opsiyon fiyatlar\u0131na yans\u0131yan, piyasan\u0131n bekledi\u011fi dalgalanma) %45\u2019in \u00fczerine \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131; bu seviye 2022\u2019deki arz \u015foklar\u0131ndan (\u00fcretim\/tedarik aksamas\u0131 kaynakl\u0131 h\u0131zl\u0131 fiyat s\u0131\u00e7ramalar\u0131) beri g\u00f6r\u00fclmemi\u015fti ve piyasan\u0131n b\u00fcy\u00fck bir olaya haz\u0131rl\u0131k yapt\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6steriyor.<\/p>\n
Mevcut H\u00fcrm\u00fcz Bo\u011faz\u0131 g\u00fcndemi de benzer \u015fekilde k\u0131r\u0131lgan bir tablo sunuyor; k\u00fcresel petrol\u00fcn yakla\u015f\u0131k %20\u2019si bu bo\u011fazdan ge\u00e7iyor.<\/p>\n
Canl\u0131 VT Markets hesab\u0131n\u0131z\u0131 a\u00e7\u0131n<\/a>\u00a0ve\u00a0hemen i\u015flem yapmaya ba\u015flay\u0131n<\/a>. <\/b><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":" H\u00fcrm\u00fcz endi\u015fesiyle Brent 126 dolar\u0131 a\u015fsa da Nisan\u2019\u0131 Aral\u0131k 2025\u2019ten beri en sert d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015fle kapatt\u0131. Trump\u2019\u0131n ablukas\u0131, t\u0131kanan ABD-\u0130ran g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fmeleri oynakl\u0131\u011f\u0131 ve Brent-WTI fark\u0131n\u0131 \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131kard\u0131.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-46047","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/46047","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=46047"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/46047\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=46047"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=46047"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=46047"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}