ABD Dolar Endeksi (DXY), ABD dolar\u0131n\u0131 alt\u0131 b\u00fcy\u00fck para birimine kar\u015f\u0131 izleyen endeks, Pazartesi Asya saatlerinde 98,20 civar\u0131nda i\u015flem g\u00f6rd\u00fc. Seviye, piyasalar Orta Do\u011fu\u2019daki gerilimi de\u011ferlendirirken yatay kald\u0131.<\/p>\n
ABD Ba\u015fkan\u0131 Donald Trump, Pazartesi\u2019den itibaren Basra K\u00f6rfezi\u2019nde mahsur kalan baz\u0131 tarafs\u0131z gemilere H\u00fcrm\u00fcz Bo\u011faz\u0131\u2019ndan ge\u00e7i\u015fte rehberlik etmeye ba\u015flayacaklar\u0131n\u0131 s\u00f6yledi. Bloomberg, ABD Donanmas\u0131 gemilerinin, gerekirse bo\u011fazdaki ticari gemilere y\u00f6nelik sald\u0131r\u0131lar\u0131 \u00f6nlemeye yard\u0131mc\u0131 olmak i\u00e7in b\u00f6lgede yak\u0131n konumda kalaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 bildirdi.<\/p>\n
\u0130ranl\u0131 bir yetkili, ABD\u2019nin H\u00fcrm\u00fcz\u2019deki ad\u0131m\u0131n\u0131n ate\u015fkes ihlali say\u0131laca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 s\u00f6yledi. Yetkili, H\u00fcrm\u00fcz Bo\u011faz\u0131 ve Basra K\u00f6rfezi\u2019nin s\u00f6z d\u00fcellosu (sert a\u00e7\u0131klamalar) yap\u0131lacak bir yer olmad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 da ekledi.<\/p>\n
Piyasalar ayr\u0131ca Cuma g\u00fcn\u00fc a\u00e7\u0131klanacak Nisan ay\u0131 ABD istihdam raporuna odakland\u0131. Beklentiler 73 bin yeni istihdam ve i\u015fsizlik oran\u0131n\u0131n %4,3 olmas\u0131 y\u00f6n\u00fcnde.<\/p>\n
ABD Dolar Endeksi (DXY) \u015fu s\u0131ralar 104,50 civar\u0131nda yatay seyrediyor. Piyasalar, hem s\u00fcren jeopolitik riskleri hem de yakla\u015fan ekonomik verileri tart\u0131yor. Dolar\u0131n \u201cg\u00fcvenli liman\u201d (risk artt\u0131\u011f\u0131nda yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131n\u0131n s\u0131\u011f\u0131nd\u0131\u011f\u0131 varl\u0131k) rol\u00fc, yeni k\u00fcresel gerilim noktalar\u0131yla test ediliyor. Bu tablo, t\u00fcrev \u00fcr\u00fcn (dayanak varl\u0131\u011f\u0131n fiyat\u0131na ba\u011fl\u0131 s\u00f6zle\u015fmeler; \u00f6rnek: opsiyon, vadeli i\u015flem) yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n\u0131n oynakl\u0131kta (fiyat dalgalanmas\u0131) ani hareketlere kar\u015f\u0131 haz\u0131rl\u0131kl\u0131 olmas\u0131n\u0131 gerektiriyor.<\/p>\n
Bug\u00fcn de K\u0131z\u0131ldeniz\u2019deki s\u00fcren ta\u015f\u0131mac\u0131l\u0131k aksakl\u0131klar\u0131yla, ge\u00e7mi\u015fteki H\u00fcrm\u00fcz gerilimlerine benzer bir tablo g\u00f6r\u00fcyoruz. Son veriler, S\u00fcvey\u015f Kanal\u0131\u2019ndan ge\u00e7en y\u00fck hacminin ge\u00e7en y\u0131la g\u00f6re %60\u2019tan fazla d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck kald\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6steriyor; bu da daha uzun ve daha pahal\u0131 ticaret rotalar\u0131na yol a\u00e7\u0131yor. Burada olas\u0131 bir t\u0131rmanma, g\u00fcvenli varl\u0131klara y\u00f6neli\u015fi tetikleyebilir ve bu durum dolar\u0131 do\u011frudan destekleyebilir.<\/p>\n
T\u00fcrev yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131 a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan bu, jeopolitik risk art\u0131\u015f\u0131ndan yararlanmak i\u00e7in DXY veya ilgili borsa yat\u0131r\u0131m fonlar\u0131nda (ETF: borsada i\u015flem g\u00f6ren fon) al\u0131m opsiyonlar\u0131n\u0131 (call: belirli fiyattan alma hakk\u0131) de\u011ferlendirmeyi g\u00fcndeme getirebilir. Benzer bir dolar talebi, Mart 2020\u2019de pandeminin ilk \u015fokunda g\u00f6r\u00fclm\u00fc\u015ft\u00fc; DXY iki haftadan k\u0131sa s\u00fcrede 95\u2019ten 102\u2019nin \u00fczerine y\u00fckselmi\u015fti. VIX\u2019te (piyasa korkusu endeksi; oynakl\u0131k g\u00f6stergesi) al\u0131m opsiyonlar\u0131yla korunma (hedge: riski azaltma) da yerinde olabilir; \u00e7\u00fcnk\u00fc VIX genellikle piyasa endi\u015fesi artt\u0131\u011f\u0131nda y\u00fckselir.<\/p>\n
G\u00f6zler, ABD Merkez Bankas\u0131\u2019n\u0131n (Fed) politika beklentilerini g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc bi\u00e7imde etkileyecek Cuma g\u00fcnk\u00fc Nisan istihdam raporunda. Ekonominin yakla\u015f\u0131k 175 bin istihdam eklemesi ve i\u015fsizlik oran\u0131n\u0131n %3,8 civar\u0131nda kalmas\u0131 bekleniyor. Beklentinin belirgin alt\u0131nda bir veri, faiz indirimi olas\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 \u00f6ne \u00e7ekebilece\u011fi i\u00e7in dolar\u0131 zay\u0131flatabilir.<\/p>\n
\u0130stihdam\u0131n 150 binin alt\u0131nda gelmesi, dolarda k\u0131sa vadeli d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f y\u00f6nl\u00fc i\u015flemler i\u00e7in alan yaratabilir. Yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar, \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki haftalarda vadesi dolacak DXY sat\u0131m opsiyonlar\u0131n\u0131 (put: belirli fiyattan satma hakk\u0131) alarak bu hareketten faydalanmay\u0131 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcnebilir. Buna kar\u015f\u0131l\u0131k 200 binin \u00fczerinde g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc bir veri, dolar\u0131n g\u00fcc\u00fcn\u00fc teyit eder.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"
DXY jeopolitik risklerle sakin: Trump\u2019\u0131n H\u00fcrm\u00fcz\u2019de gemilere rehberlik plan\u0131 \u0130ran\u2019\u0131 k\u0131zd\u0131rd\u0131. Piyasalar g\u00fcvenli liman dolar\u0131n\u0131 ve Cuma ABD istihdam verisini izliyor; opsiyon stratejileri \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131k\u0131yor.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-46029","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/46029","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=46029"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/46029\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=46029"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=46029"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=46029"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}