WTI ham petrol\u00fc, Pazartesi g\u00fcn\u00fc d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f bo\u015flu\u011fuyla (a\u00e7\u0131l\u0131\u015fta fiyat\u0131n \u00f6nceki kapan\u0131\u015f\u0131n belirgin alt\u0131nda ba\u015flamas\u0131) yakla\u015f\u0131k 96,45 dolara geriledikten sonra toparland\u0131. Asya seans\u0131nda 98,00 dolar\u0131n biraz \u00fczerinde i\u015flem g\u00f6rd\u00fc ancak g\u00fcn i\u00e7inde h\u00e2l\u00e2 %1\u2019den fazla eksideydi.<\/p>\n
ABD, H\u00fcrm\u00fcz Bo\u011faz\u0131\u2019nda mahsur kalan gemileri kurtarmaya y\u00f6nelik bir \u00e7al\u0131\u015fma ba\u015flataca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 s\u00f6yledi. \u0130ran Meclisi Ulusal G\u00fcvenlik Komisyonu, ABD\u2019nin herhangi bir m\u00fcdahalesinin ate\u015fkes ihlali say\u0131laca\u011f\u0131 uyar\u0131s\u0131nda bulundu. Bu a\u00e7\u0131klama, arz\u0131n (piyasaya gelen petrol miktar\u0131) aksayabilece\u011fi endi\u015fesini art\u0131rd\u0131.<\/p>\n
ABD-\u0130ran g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fmelerinde ilerleme sa\u011flanamamas\u0131, b\u00f6lgedeki gerginlik kayg\u0131lar\u0131n\u0131 b\u00fcy\u00fctt\u00fc. Bu geli\u015fmeler, erken saatlerdeki d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015fe ra\u011fmen petrol fiyatlar\u0131na destek verdi.<\/p>\n
OPEC+ (OPEC \u00fclkeleri ve ortak \u00fcreticiler), \u00fcst \u00fcste \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcnc\u00fc ayda da \u00fcretimi art\u0131rma karar\u0131 ald\u0131. Haziran\u2019da yedi \u00fcye i\u00e7in g\u00fcnl\u00fck 188 bin varillik art\u0131\u015f planland\u0131. Petrolde ayr\u0131ca ABD Dolar\u0131\u2019na talep (dolar al\u0131m\u0131) bask\u0131 yaratt\u0131 ve kay\u0131plar \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcnc\u00fc g\u00fcne uzad\u0131.<\/p>\n
Jeopolitik belirsizlik ve ABD Merkez Bankas\u0131\u2019n\u0131n (Fed) yeniden faiz art\u0131rabilece\u011fi beklentisi dolar\u0131 destekledi. Bu durum, ge\u00e7en Per\u015fembe g\u00f6r\u00fclen yakla\u015f\u0131k iki ay\u0131n zirvesinden ba\u015flayan geri \u00e7ekilmenin (d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f hareketi) bitti\u011fini s\u00f6ylemek i\u00e7in yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131 temkinli tuttu.<\/p>\n
Arz taraf\u0131nda, OPEC+\u2019\u0131n \u00fcretim kotalar\u0131n\u0131 (\u00fclkelere verilen \u00fcretim limitlerini) sabit tutmas\u0131 piyasada hassas bir denge olu\u015fturuyor. Talep sinyalleri ise kar\u0131\u015f\u0131k. ABD EIA (Enerji Enformasyon \u0130daresi) verileri ham petrol stoklar\u0131nda 2,1 milyon varillik beklenmedik azal\u0131\u015fa i\u015faret etti. Buna kar\u015f\u0131l\u0131k \u00c7in\u2019in Nisan 2026 ham petrol ithalat\u0131 g\u00fcnl\u00fck 10,88 milyon varil ile tahminlerin biraz alt\u0131nda kald\u0131. ABD\u2019de g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc t\u00fcketim ile Asya\u2019da daha zay\u0131f talep g\u00f6r\u00fcnt\u00fcs\u00fc fiyatlar\u0131 bant i\u00e7inde (belirli bir aral\u0131kta) tutuyor.<\/p>\n
Ge\u00e7mi\u015fte Fed\u2019in faiz art\u0131r\u0131mlar\u0131na y\u00f6nelik net fiyatlaman\u0131n aksine, bankan\u0131n son d\u00f6nemde faiz art\u0131\u015f\u0131na ara vermesi dolar\u0131n y\u00f6n\u00fcn\u00fc belirsiz b\u0131rak\u0131yor. Bu nedenle, yakla\u015fan enflasyon verilerinin yeniden s\u0131k\u0131la\u015fmaya (faiz art\u0131r\u0131m\u0131 e\u011filimine) d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015f sinyali vermesi, petrolde a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc bask\u0131y\u0131 h\u0131zl\u0131ca art\u0131rabilir.<\/p>\n
Bu \u00e7eli\u015fen etkiler nedeniyle, WTI opsiyonlar\u0131nda ima edilen oynakl\u0131k (opsiyon fiyatlar\u0131ndan t\u00fcretilen beklenen dalgalanma) %35\u2019in \u00fczerine \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131. Bu, sadece \u201cyukar\u0131 m\u0131 a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 m\u0131\u201d y\u00f6n tahmini yapmak yerine, g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc fiyat hareketinden faydalanan stratejilerin g\u00fcndeme gelebilece\u011fine i\u015faret ediyor. \u201cUzun straddle\u201d (ayn\u0131 vadede hem al\u0131m hem sat\u0131m opsiyonu alarak b\u00fcy\u00fck hareket beklemek) gibi y\u00f6ntemler buna \u00f6rnek verilebilir. Ayr\u0131ca zay\u0131f ekonomik verilerle gelebilecek sert d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015fe kar\u015f\u0131 koruyucu sat\u0131m opsiyonu (put; fiyat d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f\u00fcne kar\u015f\u0131 sigorta) almak da \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki haftalarda daha mant\u0131kl\u0131 bir yakla\u015f\u0131m olabilir.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"
Petrolde tansiyon y\u00fckseliyor: WTI 96,45 dolardan toparlan\u0131p 98 \u00fcst\u00fcne \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131. H\u00fcrm\u00fcz ve ABD-\u0130ran riski destek olurken, OPEC+ arz art\u0131\u015f\u0131 ve g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc dolar fiyatlar\u0131 bask\u0131l\u0131yor; volatilite %35\u2019i a\u015ft\u0131.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-46021","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/46021","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=46021"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/46021\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=46021"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=46021"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=46021"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}