USD\/JPY, Cuma g\u00fcn\u00fc 155,48\u2019e geriledikten sonra s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 de\u011fi\u015fim g\u00f6sterdi. Japonya\u2019n\u0131n d\u00f6viz piyasas\u0131nda iki g\u00fcn \u00fcst \u00fcste yapt\u0131\u011f\u0131 m\u00fcdahale (kur \u00fczerinde etkili y\u00fckl\u00fc al\u0131m-sat\u0131m) Yen\u2019i destekledi; Yen 160,00 seviyesinin \u00fczerine do\u011fru zay\u0131flam\u0131\u015ft\u0131. Parite 156,67 civar\u0131nda i\u015flem g\u00f6rd\u00fc.<\/p>\n
Japonya Merkez Bankas\u0131 (BoJ) verileri, Japonya\u2019n\u0131n 35 milyar dolara kadar harcama yapt\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6sterdi. Bu tutar, Temmuz 2024\u2019teki m\u00fcdahalede kullan\u0131lan 36,8 milyar dolar\u0131n biraz alt\u0131nda kald\u0131. Dikkat daha sonra a\u00e7\u0131klanacak ABD verilerine kayd\u0131.<\/p>\n
Ayr\u0131 olarak, \u0130ran Pakistan \u00fczerinden Washington\u2019a bir \u00f6neri iletti. ABD ise \u0130ran ekonomisini etkileyen ablukay\u0131 (ticaret ve finans ak\u0131\u015f\u0131n\u0131 k\u0131s\u0131tlayan \u00f6nlem) uzatt\u0131. \u0130ran Meclis Ba\u015fkan\u0131\u2019n\u0131n a\u00e7\u0131klamalar\u0131 da haberle\u015ftirildi.<\/p>\n
ABD ISM \u0130malat PMI (Sat\u0131n Alma Y\u00f6neticileri Endeksi; 50\u2019nin \u00fcst\u00fc sekt\u00f6rde b\u00fcy\u00fcmeye i\u015faret eder) Nisan\u2019da 52,7 oldu, Mart\u2019a g\u00f6re de\u011fi\u015fmedi. \u00c7ar\u015famba g\u00fcnk\u00fc FOMC (ABD Merkez Bankas\u0131 Fed\u2019in faiz karar\u0131n\u0131 alan kurul) toplant\u0131s\u0131na kat\u0131lan \u00fc\u00e7 \u00fcye, g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015flerini payla\u015ft\u0131; petrol kaynakl\u0131 enflasyon riski (fiyatlar\u0131n kal\u0131c\u0131 y\u00fckselmesi) ve bir sonraki ad\u0131m\u0131n belirsizli\u011fine de\u011finildi.<\/p>\n
Japonya\u2019da gelecek haftan\u0131n veri takvimi sakin g\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcrken, ABD\u2019de Fabrika Sipari\u015fleri, Fed yetkililerinin konu\u015fmalar\u0131, ISM Hizmet PMI ve Nisan Tar\u0131m D\u0131\u015f\u0131 \u0130stihdam (tar\u0131m d\u0131\u015f\u0131 \u00e7al\u0131\u015fan say\u0131s\u0131ndaki de\u011fi\u015fim) verisi \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131k\u0131yor. Piyasalar ayr\u0131ca enerji ve tedarik risklerini izliyor.<\/p>\n
Teknik tarafta USD\/JPY 156,72 civar\u0131ndayd\u0131; 158,59 \u00e7evresindeki basit hareketli ortalama (fiyatlar\u0131n belirli g\u00fcn ortalamas\u0131) b\u00f6lgesinin ve 159,23\u2019ten gelen a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 e\u011fimli trend \u00e7izgisinin alt\u0131nda kald\u0131. Destek (fiyat\u0131n tutunabildi\u011fi seviye) 155,21 yak\u0131n\u0131nda, bir di\u011fer seviye 153,39 civar\u0131nda belirtildi. RSI (14) (G\u00f6reli G\u00fc\u00e7 Endeksi; 0-100 aras\u0131 momentum g\u00f6stergesi, d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck de\u011fer zay\u0131f ivme) 37 seviyesindeydi.<\/p>\n
Yen\u2019in tan\u0131d\u0131k seviyeleri test etti\u011fi izleniyor. 2025\u2019te bu d\u00f6nemde g\u00f6r\u00fclen g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc m\u00fcdahale hat\u0131rlan\u0131yor: Dolar 160 yenin \u00fczerine \u00e7\u0131k\u0131nca Maliye Bakanl\u0131\u011f\u0131 iki g\u00fcnde yakla\u015f\u0131k 60 milyar dolar harcam\u0131\u015f ve bunun \u201ck\u0131rm\u0131z\u0131 \u00e7izgi\u201d oldu\u011fu mesaj\u0131n\u0131 vermi\u015fti. Parite 157,50 civar\u0131nda seyrederken, oynakl\u0131k opsiyonlar\u0131 (fiyat dalgalanmas\u0131na duyarl\u0131 opsiyonlar) daha cazip g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcyor.<\/p>\n
ABD ile Japonya aras\u0131ndaki fark (\u00f6zellikle faiz fark\u0131) 2025\u2019e g\u00f6re daha belirgin. ABD Nisan Tar\u0131m D\u0131\u015f\u0131 \u0130stihdam verisi 243 bin yeni istihdamla g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc geldi. \u00c7ekirdek T\u00dcFE (enerji ve g\u0131day\u0131 d\u0131\u015flayan enflasyon g\u00f6stergesi) 3,6 ile y\u00fcksek seyrini korudu. Bu durum Fed\u2019i temkinli tutuyor. Kal\u0131c\u0131 faiz fark\u0131, m\u00fcdahale tehdidine ra\u011fmen dolar\u0131 satmay\u0131 riskli k\u0131l\u0131yor.<\/p>\n
WTI ham petrol (ABD tipi ham petrol g\u00f6stergesi) jeopolitik gerilimlerle varil ba\u015f\u0131na 85 dolar\u0131n \u00fczerine \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131. Bu, Fed\u2019in \u201c\u015fahin\u201d duru\u015funu (faizlerin y\u00fcksek kalmas\u0131n\u0131 savunan yakla\u015f\u0131m) destekleyerek dolar\u0131n g\u00fc\u00e7lenmesinden faydalanan stratejilere zemin haz\u0131rl\u0131yor.<\/p>\n
Ge\u00e7en y\u0131lki m\u00fcdahale pariteyi 155 seviyesine kadar \u00e7ekmi\u015fti; bu b\u00f6lge art\u0131k \u00f6nemli bir psikolojik destek (piyasan\u0131n \u00f6zellikle takip etti\u011fi seviye) olarak g\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcyor. G\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc ABD verileri ve ani m\u00fcdahale riski dikkate al\u0131nd\u0131\u011f\u0131nda, 159 \u00fczeri kullan\u0131m fiyatl\u0131 USD\/JPY al\u0131m opsiyonlar\u0131 (call; belirli fiyattan alma hakk\u0131) daha uygun g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcyor. Bu yakla\u015f\u0131m, dolar\u0131n g\u00fc\u00e7lenmesi halinde kazan\u00e7 potansiyeli sa\u011flarken, Japonya\u2019n\u0131n yeniden sert m\u00fcdahale yapmas\u0131 durumunda riski s\u0131n\u0131rlamaya yard\u0131mc\u0131 olur.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"
USD\/JPY\u2019de m\u00fcdahale r\u00fczg\u00e2r\u0131: Japonya\u2019n\u0131n iki g\u00fcnl\u00fck hamlesiyle yen toparland\u0131, parite 156,7\u2019de. BoJ 35 milyar $ i\u015faret ediyor. Piyasa ABD NFP\/ISM, petrol ve 155 deste\u011fine odakl\u0131.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-45987","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/45987","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=45987"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/45987\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=45987"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=45987"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=45987"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}