Twilio (TWLO) hisseleri, Per\u015fembe g\u00fcn\u00fc seans sonras\u0131 a\u00e7\u0131klanan ilk \u00e7eyrek sonu\u00e7lar\u0131n\u0131n ard\u0131ndan Cuma g\u00fcn\u00fc %21\u2019e kadar y\u00fckseldi. Hisse, a\u00e7\u0131l\u0131\u015fta 179,48 dolar\u0131 g\u00f6rerek son d\u00f6rt y\u0131l\u0131n en y\u00fcksek seviyesine \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131. \u0130lk \u00e7eyrekte gelir b\u00fcy\u00fcmesi y\u0131ll\u0131k bazda %20 oldu.<\/p>\n
ABD piyasas\u0131n\u0131n geneli de Apple (AAPL) bilan\u00e7osu ve \u0130ran\u2019\u0131n Pakistan\u2019daki arabuluculara g\u00fcncellenmi\u015f bir bar\u0131\u015f anla\u015fmas\u0131 g\u00f6nderdi\u011fine dair haberlerle destek buldu. ABD ham petrol\u00fc (WTI) %4 geriledi; bu d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f hisseleri destekledi.<\/p>\n
31 Mart\u2019ta biten \u00e7eyrekte Twilio, d\u00fczeltilmi\u015f hisse ba\u015f\u0131 k\u00e2r\u0131 (adjusted EPS: tek seferlik gelir\/giderler \u00e7\u0131kar\u0131ld\u0131ktan sonra hesaplanan k\u00e2rl\u0131l\u0131k) 1,50 dolar a\u00e7\u0131klad\u0131. Piyasa beklentisi 1,27 dolard\u0131. Gelir 1,41 milyar dolara y\u00fckseldi ve beklentinin yakla\u015f\u0131k 70 milyon dolar \u00fczerine \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131.<\/p>\n
\u015eirket, ikinci \u00e7eyrek i\u00e7in 1,425 milyar dolar gelir \u00f6ng\u00f6rd\u00fc; bu seviye beklentiden 35 milyon dolar y\u00fcksek. D\u00fczeltilmi\u015f EPS tahmini ise \u00f6nceki 1,29 dolarl\u0131k beklentiyle ayn\u0131 seviyede. Twilio ayr\u0131ca y\u0131l geneli serbest nakit ak\u0131\u015f\u0131 (free cash flow: i\u015fletmenin yat\u0131r\u0131m harcamalar\u0131 sonras\u0131 kasada kalan nakit) tahmininin orta noktas\u0131n\u0131 1,05 milyar dolardan 1,09 milyar dolara y\u00fckseltti.<\/p>\n
Wells Fargo hedef fiyat\u0131n\u0131 147 dolardan 200 dolara \u00e7\u0131kard\u0131. RBC Capital ise \u201cUnderperform\u201d (piyasadan k\u00f6t\u00fc performans) notunu korurken hedef fiyat\u0131n\u0131 100 dolardan 120 dolara y\u00fckseltti. Ayl\u0131k grafikte 150 dolar civar\u0131 destek olarak \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131k\u0131yor. Ayl\u0131k RSI (g\u00f6reli g\u00fc\u00e7 endeksi: fiyat\u0131n a\u015f\u0131r\u0131 al\u0131m\/a\u015f\u0131r\u0131 sat\u0131m durumunu \u00f6l\u00e7en g\u00f6sterge) 65\u2019e yakla\u015f\u0131yor; 70 seviyesi genelde \u201ca\u015f\u0131r\u0131 al\u0131m\u201d olarak izlenir.<\/p>\n
2026\u2019n\u0131n ilk \u00e7eyre\u011fine dair son veriler, gelir b\u00fcy\u00fcmesinin %12\u2019ye yava\u015flad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6sterdi. Bu oran h\u00e2l\u00e2 g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc olsa da, 2025\u2019teki y\u00fcksek b\u00fcy\u00fcmenin yaratt\u0131\u011f\u0131 \u201cbaz etkisi\u201d (ge\u00e7en y\u0131l\u0131n \u00e7ok g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc olmas\u0131 nedeniyle bu y\u0131l b\u00fcy\u00fcmenin daha d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck g\u00f6r\u00fcnmesi) kar\u015f\u0131la\u015ft\u0131rmalar\u0131 zorla\u015ft\u0131r\u0131yor. Ayr\u0131ca ABD\u2019de enflasyon %3,1 ile beklentinin biraz \u00fczerinde geldi. Bu durum Fed\u2019in (ABD Merkez Bankas\u0131) politikalar\u0131na dair endi\u015feleri tazeleyerek Twilio gibi b\u00fcy\u00fcme hisseleri \u00fczerinde bask\u0131 yarat\u0131yor. Bu fakt\u00f6rler hissede son d\u00f6nemde yatay seyre katk\u0131 verdi.<\/p>\n
Twilio opsiyonlar\u0131nda z\u0131mni oynakl\u0131k (implied volatility: opsiyon fiyatlar\u0131n\u0131n ima etti\u011fi beklenen fiyat dalgalanmas\u0131) son d\u00f6nemde %45\u2019e yakla\u015ft\u0131; y\u0131l ba\u015f\u0131nda %35 seviyeleri g\u00f6r\u00fclm\u00fc\u015ft\u00fc. Bu, piyasan\u0131n bir sonraki bilan\u00e7o \u00f6ncesi daha sert fiyat hareketleri bekledi\u011fine i\u015faret ediyor. Bu ortamda 150 dolar kullan\u0131m fiyat\u0131nda nakit teminatl\u0131 put satmak (cash-secured put: hisseyi o fiyattan alma taahh\u00fcd\u00fc verip kar\u015f\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131nda prim geliri elde etmek i\u00e7in nakit ay\u0131rarak put opsiyonu satmak) cazip g\u00f6r\u00fclebilir. 150 dolar seviyesi ge\u00e7mi\u015fte g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc destekti ve bug\u00fcn de y\u00fcksek prim sunabilir. Ama\u00e7 ya prim geliri elde etmek ya da ge\u00e7mi\u015fte g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc kalm\u0131\u015f bir seviyeden hisseyi portf\u00f6ye almak.<\/p>\n
Voice AI (ses yapay zek\u00e2s\u0131: konu\u015fmay\u0131 anlay\u0131p yan\u0131t \u00fcreten, \u00e7a\u011fr\u0131 merkezi ve m\u00fc\u015fteri hizmetleri gibi alanlarda kullan\u0131lan yapay zek\u00e2) hik\u00e2yesinin devam edece\u011fine inananlar i\u00e7in al\u0131m y\u00f6nl\u00fc opsiyon yay\u0131l\u0131m\u0131 (call spread: bir al\u0131m opsiyonu al\u0131p daha y\u00fcksek kullan\u0131m fiyatl\u0131 ba\u015fka bir al\u0131m opsiyonu satarak maliyeti d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcren strateji) daha dengeli bir yakla\u015f\u0131m olabilir. \u00d6rne\u011fin temmuz 170 dolar al\u0131m opsiyonu al\u0131p temmuz 185 dolar al\u0131m opsiyonu satmak, kazanc\u0131 s\u0131n\u0131rlar ancak y\u00fcksek oynakl\u0131k ortam\u0131nda ba\u015flang\u0131\u00e7 maliyetini belirgin azalt\u0131r. B\u00f6ylece ge\u00e7en y\u0131lki zirvelere do\u011fru olas\u0131 toparlanmaya s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 riskle pozisyon al\u0131nabilir.<\/p>\n
Ayr\u0131ca WTI ham petrol\u00fcn\u00fcn varil fiyat\u0131 85 dolara geri t\u0131rmand\u0131. Ge\u00e7en y\u0131l bu d\u00f6nemde g\u00f6r\u00fclen d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f, hisseler i\u00e7in destekleyici olmu\u015ftu. Bug\u00fcnk\u00fc emtia g\u00fcc\u00fc ise olumsuz etki yarat\u0131yor; t\u00fcketici ve \u015firketler i\u00e7in maliyeti art\u0131r\u0131yor. Enerji fiyatlar\u0131nda gev\u015feme sinyali, teknoloji b\u00fcy\u00fcme hisselerine ilgiyi h\u0131zla canland\u0131rabilir; bu da yak\u0131n vadeli al\u0131m opsiyonlar\u0131n\u0131 taktiksel olarak \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131karabilir.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"
Twilio bilan\u00e7o s\u00fcrpriziyle u\u00e7tu: EPS ve gelir beklentiyi a\u015ft\u0131, hisse %21 s\u0131\u00e7ray\u0131p 4 y\u0131l\u0131n zirvesini test etti. Y\u00fcksek oynakl\u0131kta 150$ put veya 170\/185 call spread \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131k\u0131yor.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-45983","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/45983","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=45983"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/45983\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=45983"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=45983"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=45983"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}