EUR\/JPY ikinci g\u00fcn \u00fcst \u00fcste geriledi ve Cuma sabah\u0131 Avrupa i\u015flemlerinin ilk saatlerinde 183,00 civar\u0131nda i\u015flem g\u00f6rd\u00fc. G\u00fcnl\u00fck grafik, k\u0131sa vadede d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f e\u011filimine i\u015faret ediyor; fiyat, dokuz d\u00f6nemlik ve 50 d\u00f6nemlik \u00dcstel Hareketli Ortalama\u2019n\u0131n (EMA: son fiyatlara daha fazla a\u011f\u0131rl\u0131k veren hareketli ortalama) alt\u0131nda kal\u0131yor.<\/p>\n
Parite son zirvelerden geri \u00e7ekildi. 14 g\u00fcnl\u00fck G\u00f6reli G\u00fc\u00e7 Endeksi (RSI: fiyat\u0131n h\u0131z\u0131n\u0131 \u00f6l\u00e7en momentum g\u00f6stergesi) 40,9 seviyesinde. Bu, a\u015f\u0131r\u0131 sat\u0131m (fiyat\u0131n k\u0131sa s\u00fcrede fazla d\u00fc\u015fm\u00fc\u015f olabilece\u011fi alan) b\u00f6lgesine girilmeden sat\u0131\u015f bask\u0131s\u0131n\u0131n s\u00fcrd\u00fc\u011f\u00fcn\u00fc g\u00f6steriyor.<\/p>\n
Destek, 16 Mart\u2019ta g\u00f6r\u00fclen 10 haftan\u0131n en d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck seviyesi olan 181,87 yak\u0131n\u0131nda. Bir sonraki seviye ise 12 \u015eubat\u2019taki yakla\u015f\u0131k be\u015f ay\u0131n en d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck seviyesi olan 180,81.<\/p>\n
Diren\u00e7, 50 g\u00fcnl\u00fck EMA olan 184,97\u2019de; ard\u0131ndan dokuz g\u00fcnl\u00fck EMA olan 185,59 geliyor. Fiyat\u0131n her iki ortalaman\u0131n da \u00fczerine \u00e7\u0131kmas\u0131 k\u0131sa vadeli g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fc yukar\u0131 \u00e7evirebilir ve 17 Nisan\u2019daki t\u00fcm zamanlar\u0131n zirvesi 187,95\u2019in test edilmesinin \u00f6n\u00fcn\u00fc a\u00e7abilir.<\/p>\n
Bir yapay zek\u00e2 arac\u0131, teknik analiz b\u00f6l\u00fcm\u00fcn\u00fcn yaz\u0131m\u0131na yard\u0131mc\u0131 olmak i\u00e7in kullan\u0131ld\u0131.<\/p>\n
EUR\/JPY i\u00e7in k\u0131sa vadeli d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fc dikkate al\u0131nd\u0131\u011f\u0131nda, \u00e7apraz\u0131n (iki para birimi aras\u0131ndaki kur) \u00f6nemli hareketli ortalamalar\u0131n alt\u0131nda kalmas\u0131 zay\u0131fl\u0131\u011fa i\u015faret ediyor. RSI 40,9 iken, piyasa a\u015f\u0131r\u0131 sat\u0131ma ge\u00e7meden \u00f6nce a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6n i\u00e7in alan oldu\u011funu g\u00f6steriyor. Bu da \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki g\u00fcnlerde d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f y\u00f6n\u00fcnde pozisyon alman\u0131n daha temkinli bir yakla\u015f\u0131m olabilece\u011fine i\u015faret ediyor.<\/p>\n
Opsiyon kullanan yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar i\u00e7in, kullan\u0131m fiyat\u0131 (strike: opsiyonun al\u0131m-sat\u0131m hakk\u0131n\u0131 verdi\u011fi fiyat) 181,87 civar\u0131nda olan sat\u0131m (put: fiyat d\u00fc\u015ferse de\u011fer kazanan opsiyon) opsiyonu almak, beklenen d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f\u00fc de\u011ferlendirmek i\u00e7in etkili olabilir. Bu yakla\u015f\u0131m, riski ba\u015ftan s\u0131n\u0131rlar ve parite 180,81\u2019e do\u011fru d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fc s\u00fcrd\u00fcr\u00fcrse kazan\u00e7 imk\u00e2n\u0131 sa\u011flar. \u00d6denen prim (premium: opsiyonu almak i\u00e7in \u00f6denen bedel) i\u015flemdeki en y\u00fcksek olas\u0131 zarard\u0131r.<\/p>\n
Bu teknik g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm temel geli\u015fmelerle de destekleniyor. Destatis verilerine g\u00f6re Almanya sanayi \u00fcretimi Mart\u2019ta beklentilerin aksine %0,5 geriledi; bu durum Euro B\u00f6lgesi b\u00fcy\u00fcmesine dair kayg\u0131lar\u0131 art\u0131rd\u0131. \u00d6te yandan Japonya Merkez Bankas\u0131 yetkililerinin a\u00e7\u0131klamalar\u0131, daha \u015fahin (hawkish: faiz art\u0131r\u0131m\u0131 ve s\u0131k\u0131 para politikas\u0131na daha yatk\u0131n) bir duru\u015fa ge\u00e7i\u015f olas\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131na i\u015faret ediyor. Tokyo\u2019da Nisan \u00e7ekirdek enflasyon (enerji ve taze g\u0131da gibi oynak kalemler hari\u00e7 enflasyon) %2,3 ile beklentinin biraz \u00fczerinde geldi. Para politikas\u0131 ayr\u0131\u015fmas\u0131, EUR\/JPY \u00fczerinde a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc bask\u0131y\u0131 art\u0131r\u0131yor.<\/p>\n
Bununla birlikte disiplinli olmak ve kritik diren\u00e7 seviyelerini yak\u0131ndan izlemek gerekiyor. 50 g\u00fcnl\u00fck EMA olan 184,97\u2019nin \u00fczerine \u00e7\u0131k\u0131\u015f, d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f ivmesinin zay\u0131flad\u0131\u011f\u0131na dair ilk sinyal olur. Yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar, k\u0131sa (short: fiyat d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f\u00fcnden kazan\u00e7 hedefleyen) pozisyonlarda riski y\u00f6netmek i\u00e7in bu seviyenin biraz \u00fczerine zarar-kes (stop-loss: fiyat aleyhe giderse zarar\u0131 s\u0131n\u0131rlamak i\u00e7in otomatik kapatma emri) koyabilir.<\/p>\n
\u00c7apraz yeniden bu hareketli ortalamalar\u0131n \u00fczerine \u00e7\u0131karsa, 186,00 civar\u0131nda kullan\u0131m fiyatl\u0131 al\u0131m (call: fiyat y\u00fckselirse de\u011fer kazanan opsiyon) opsiyonlar\u0131yla 187,95\u2019e do\u011fru yeniden test hedeflenebilir. Bu, mevcut e\u011filimin belirgin bi\u00e7imde tersine d\u00f6nmesi anlam\u0131na gelir ve k\u0131sa vadeli d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f senaryosunu ge\u00e7ersiz k\u0131lar; al\u0131c\u0131lar\u0131n tekrar kontrol\u00fc ald\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6sterir.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"
EUR\/JPY\u2019de sat\u0131\u015f bask\u0131s\u0131 s\u00fcr\u00fcyor: Parite 183,00 civar\u0131nda, 9 ve 50 EMA alt\u0131nda. RSI 40,9. Destek 181,87\/180,81; diren\u00e7 184,97\/185,59. Temelde zay\u0131f Euro, \u015fahin BOJ bask\u0131l\u0131yor.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-45946","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/45946","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=45946"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/45946\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=45946"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=45946"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=45946"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}