EUR\/CAD \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcnc\u00fc g\u00fcn \u00fcst \u00fcste geriledi ve Cuma g\u00fcn\u00fc Asya saatlerinde 1,5920 civar\u0131nda i\u015flem g\u00f6rd\u00fc. Bu hareket, Orta Do\u011fu\u2019daki gerginliklerin tetikledi\u011fi \u201criskten ka\u00e7\u0131\u015f\u201d i\u015flemleri s\u0131ras\u0131nda Euro\u2019nun zay\u0131flamas\u0131yla geldi. (Riskten ka\u00e7\u0131\u015f: Yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n belirsizlikte riskli varl\u0131klardan \u00e7\u0131k\u0131p daha g\u00fcvenli g\u00f6r\u00fclen varl\u0131klara y\u00f6nelmesi.)<\/p>\n
Per\u015fembe g\u00fcn\u00fc ABD Ba\u015fkan\u0131 Donald Trump, H\u00fcrm\u00fcz Bo\u011faz\u0131\u2019n\u0131n yak\u0131nda yeniden a\u00e7\u0131lmayabilece\u011fine dair endi\u015feler s\u00fcrerken \u0130ran limanlar\u0131na y\u00f6nelik deniz ablukas\u0131n\u0131 s\u00fcrd\u00fcrece\u011fini s\u00f6yledi. Bloomberg\u2019e g\u00f6re, ayn\u0131 g\u00fcn reddedilen bir Senato \u00f6nerisi dahil, Kongre\u2019nin sava\u015f yetkilerini s\u0131n\u0131rlama giri\u015fimlerini de ele\u015ftirdi.<\/p>\n
\u0130ran\u2019\u0131n dini lideri Mojtaba Hamaney, \u0130ran\u2019\u0131n n\u00fckleer veya f\u00fcze kapasitesinden vazge\u00e7meyece\u011fini s\u00f6yledi ve Tahran\u2019\u0131n bo\u011faz \u00fczerindeki kontrol\u00fcn\u00fc s\u00fcrd\u00fcrece\u011fini ima etti. Bu geli\u015fmeler, ABD-\u0130ran anla\u015fmas\u0131na ili\u015fkin belirsizli\u011fi art\u0131rd\u0131.<\/p>\n
Avrupa Merkez Bankas\u0131 (ECB) Per\u015fembe g\u00fcn\u00fc Nisan toplant\u0131s\u0131nda faizleri de\u011fi\u015ftirmedi. Mevduat faizini %2\u2019de tuttu ve enflasyonda yukar\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc risklerin, b\u00fcy\u00fcmede ise a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc risklerin artt\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 belirtti. (Mevduat faizi: Bankalar\u0131n ECB\u2019de tuttuklar\u0131 paraya uygulanan faiz; Euro B\u00f6lgesi k\u0131sa vadeli faizleri i\u00e7in temel referanslardan biridir.)<\/p>\n
Kanada Dolar\u0131, y\u00fckselen petrol fiyatlar\u0131ndan destek buldu; bu da EUR\/CAD \u00fczerinde bask\u0131 yaratt\u0131. WTI (ABD tipi ham petrol g\u00f6stergesi) varil ba\u015f\u0131na 102,40 dolar civar\u0131nda i\u015flem g\u00f6rd\u00fc. A\u00e7\u0131l\u0131\u015fta \u201ca\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc fiyat bo\u015flu\u011fu\u201d (bearish gap: Fiyat\u0131n bir \u00f6nceki kapan\u0131\u015f\u0131n alt\u0131nda a\u00e7\u0131lmas\u0131) olu\u015fmas\u0131na ra\u011fmen fiyatlar genel olarak zay\u0131f seyretti; ham petrol ise ikinci haftal\u0131k y\u00fckseli\u015fe haz\u0131rlan\u0131yordu.<\/p>\n
Kanada Merkez Bankas\u0131 (BoC) ise temel politika faizini %3,5 seviyesinde tutarak, emtia gelirlerine duyarl\u0131 Kanada ekonomisinin g\u00f6rece g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc seyrini yans\u0131tt\u0131. (Politika faizi: Merkez bankas\u0131n\u0131n piyasay\u0131 y\u00f6nlendirmek i\u00e7in kulland\u0131\u011f\u0131 ana faiz oran\u0131.) CAD lehine 0,5 puanl\u0131k faiz fark\u0131, Euro\u2019ya k\u0131yasla Kanada Dolar\u0131 ta\u015f\u0131may\u0131 daha cazip k\u0131l\u0131yor. Bu temel unsur, son 12 ayda EUR\/CAD kurunun ana belirleyicilerinden biri oldu.<\/p>\n
Bu \u00e7er\u00e7evede EUR\/CAD\u2019de a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6n\u00fcn devam etti\u011fi g\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcyor. Parite 1,4850 civar\u0131nda seyrederken, faiz avantaj\u0131 ve Kanada\u2019n\u0131n \u201cd\u0131\u015f ticaret ko\u015fullar\u0131n\u0131n\u201d (terms of trade: \u0130hracat fiyatlar\u0131n\u0131n ithalat fiyatlar\u0131na oran\u0131; petrol gibi ihra\u00e7 \u00fcr\u00fcnleri pahal\u0131 kald\u0131\u011f\u0131nda Kanada i\u00e7in destekleyicidir) CAD\u2019\u0131 desteklemesi nedeniyle a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6n daha olas\u0131 g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcyor. Bundan sonraki d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015flerin daha yava\u015f olsa da s\u00fcrmesi beklenebilir.<\/p>\n
\u00d6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki haftalarda, a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc hareketten faydalan\u0131rken riski s\u0131n\u0131rlamak i\u00e7in EUR\/CAD \u201cput opsiyonlar\u0131\u201d (put opsiyonu: Belirli bir tarihe kadar belirli fiyattan satma hakk\u0131 veren s\u00f6zle\u015fme) de\u011ferlendirilebilir. Ge\u00e7en y\u0131lki Orta Do\u011fu kriz d\u00f6nemine g\u00f6re \u201cz\u0131mni oynakl\u0131k\u201d daha d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck (implied volatility: Opsiyon fiyatlar\u0131na yans\u0131yan beklenen dalgalanma) oldu\u011fu i\u00e7in opsiyon primleri daha makul. Maliyeti d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcrmek i\u00e7in \u201cbear put spread\u201d (d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f spread\u2019i: Daha y\u00fcksek kullan\u0131m fiyatl\u0131 put al\u0131p daha d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck kullan\u0131m fiyatl\u0131 put satarak maliyeti azaltan strateji) ile 1,4700 seviyesine do\u011fru hareket hedeflenebilir.<\/p>\n
Canl\u0131 VT Markets hesab\u0131n\u0131z\u0131 olu\u015fturun<\/a>\u00a0ve\u00a0hemen i\u015flem yapmaya ba\u015flay\u0131n<\/a>. <\/b><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":" Piyasalar alarmda: EUR\/CAD \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcnc\u00fc g\u00fcn d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015fte, 1,5920 civar\u0131. Orta Do\u011fu gerginli\u011fi Euro\u2019yu zay\u0131flat\u0131rken, petrol destekli CAD ve BoC-ECB faiz ayr\u0131\u015fmas\u0131 bask\u0131y\u0131 art\u0131r\u0131yor; put stratejileri \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131k\u0131yor.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-45938","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/45938","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=45938"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/45938\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=45938"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=45938"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=45938"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}